How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Uganda? An econometric analysis

Abstract

This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Uganda, using a two-stage econometric approach. The findings show that climate shocks negatively affect household’s food security status (manly through temperature anomaly), and that food security variables significantly impact the probability of conflict incidence.

This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus?