Global intervention decision model
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CGIAR Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems (WLE). 2013. Global intervention decision model. Colombo, Sri Lanka: International Water Management Institute (IWMI). CGIAR Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems (WLE). 42p.
Permanent link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10568/35093
The Global Intervention Decision Model (GIDM) is a probabilistic decision analysis tool produced through a cooperative effort between the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) and Hubbard Decision Research (HDR). The work was carried out under the CGIAR program on Water, Land and Ecosystems1 (WLE). The objective was to provide a modeling framework to support future decisions and to provide guidance for what should be tracked in a metrics database. The quantitative methods used are supported by published research showing how these methods provide a measurable improvement on expert decisions done without the aid of such models. This report contains a summary of our efforts, reviews some key challenges facing CGIAR, and presents both the current method and a proposed approach for dealing with these challenges. We then give an overview of the pilot projects, present information values, and present other modeling results. We conclude by returning to a discussion of next steps for the proposed Global Intervention Decision Model, as well as suggesting specific actions based on our findings.