FAO releases long-term agricultural projections
CTA. 2002. FAO releases long-term agricultural projections. Agritrade, October 2002. CTA, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Permanent link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10568/52701
The Food and Agriculture Organisation's projections for the...
The Food and Agriculture Organisation's projections for the future of world agriculture up to 2030 are now available. Amongst the major conclusions drawn are: patterns of food consumption are becoming more similar throughout the world, shifting towards higher quality and more expensive foods, such as meat and dairy products; an extra billion tonnes of cereals will be needed by 2030; developing countries will become increasingly dependent on cereal, meat and milk imports, since production will not keep pace with demand; developing-country cereal imports look set to rise from the current level of 103 million tonnes to 265 million tonnes by 2030; the EU, the USA, Canada, Australia and Argentina are expected to produce the surpluses needed to fill this gap; much of the future food production will come from higher productivity, with the expansion of farm land for production being slower than in the past; most of the expansion in farm land-use will take place in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America; climate change could increase the dependence of some developing countries on food imports.