ArticleThe extent and distribution of joint conservation- development funding in the tropicsGraphical AbstractHighlightsd We calculate funding extent for World Bank joint conservation and development projects d We show where funding is targeted within the tropics d We find funding is not driven by conservation or development need d Governance and political-economic factors appear to drive fundingReed et al., 2020, One Earth 3, 753–762 December 18, 2020 ª 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.11.008Authors James Reed, Johan Oldekop, Jos Barlow, ..., Josh van Vianen, Malaika Yanou, Terry Sunderland Correspondence j.reed@cgiar.org In Brief This study analyzes the extent and distribution of World Bank and GEF funding for joint conservation and development in the tropics, whether it is directed to areas of greatest environmental and development need, and finally what factors drive funding allocation decisions. Total spending was US$16.5 billion across 75 countries. We find that neither biodiversity nor HDI status are driving funding allocation, but rather that governance and political- economic factors are most likely more influential.Inc. ll OPEN ACCESS llArticle The extent and distribution of joint conservation- development funding in the tropics James Reed,1,2,13,* Johan Oldekop,3 Jos Barlow,4,5 Rachel Carmenta,2,6 Jonas Geldmann,7,8 Amy Ickowitz,1 Sari Narulita,1 Syed Ajijur Rahman,1,9 Josh van Vianen,1,10 Malaika Yanou,1,11 and Terry Sunderland1,12 1Center for International Forestry Research, Bogor, Indonesia 2University of Cambridge Conservation Research Institute, Cambridge, UK 3Global Development Institute, The University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, UK 4Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK 5Universidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Minas Gerais 37200-000, Brazil 6Tyndall Centre and the School of International Development, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK 7Center forMacroecology, Evolution andClimate, Globe Institute, University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 15, Copenhagen EDK-2100, Denmark 8Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing St., Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK 9Department of Ecology, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China 10Forest Carbon, Jakarta, Indonesia 11University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands 12University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada 13Lead Contact *Correspondence: j.reed@cgiar.org https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.11.008SCIENCE FORSOCIETY This study analyzes 381 projects of theWorld Bank and the Global Environment Fa- cility (GEF) concluded between 1995 and 2013 to show how much money is spent on joint conservation and development in the tropics, where the money is directed, whether it is directed to areas of greatest environ- mental and development need, and finally what factors drive funding allocation decisions. The total extent of funding was US$16.5 billion across 75 countries, representing approximately US$870million per year. Coun- tries with high biodiversity and low human development receive nomore funding for integrated conservation and development than other countries. Notably, countries with a low biodiversity status receive relatively more funding than highly biodiverse countries and there was no association between development need and funds received. Therefore, we find that neither biodiversity nor human development status explain fund- ing allocation, but rather that governance and political-economic factors are most likely more influential.SUMMARYDespite ongoing debates about the viability of sustaining economic growth while maintaining environmental integrity, international sustainability agendas increasingly propose reconciling socio-economic development and global environmental goals. Achieving these goals is impeded by limited funding and a lack of informa- tion onwhere financial flows to integrate environment and development are targeted.We analyzeWorld Bank and Global Environment Facility data to investigate the extent and distribution of such funding across the tro- pics. We find a misalignment between funding flows and need with highly biodiverse, low development (HBLD) countries receiving no more funding than non-HBLD countries. Countries with low biodiversity receive more funding than highly biodiverse countries and there was no statistical association between a country’s development status and funds received. Rather than environment-development need, funding ap- pears to be driven by governance and political-economic factors. Future research should investigate how such factors and funding flows are associated with conservation and development outcomes.INTRODUCTION Several of the 20 internationally agreed Aichi biodiversity targetsContemporary international commitments recognize, more than ever before, the importance of reconciling social and environ- mental agendas to address global sustainability challenges.1–3One Earth 3, 753–762, Decem This is an open access article undof the Convention on Biological Diversity incorporate a social or economic component (e.g., Targets 1, 2, and 3) and Target 11 specifically calls for a more equitable approach to conservation. In a similar vein, the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) areber 18, 2020 ª 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. 753 er the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). ll OPEN ACCESS Articleframed around the pledge to ‘‘leave no one behind’’—a recogni- tion of the need to support those people furthest behind first— and the commitment to inclusivity is now well established in SDG rhetoric, with an understanding that goals need to be ad- dressed in a holistic manner. This agenda has been widely endorsed by national governments (officially adopted by 193 countries) and is largely considered to be a more equitable approach to development relative to predecessors. However, this integrated agenda is far from new. The Brundt- land report (1987) linked environment and development within its mandate on ‘‘Our Common Future’’ and was followed by the Rio declaration of 1992 that explicitly recognized the inter-related challenges faced by humanity and the environment when at- tempting to enhance economic development while also halting depletion of natural resources. The post-Rio soundbite declared that ‘‘nothing less than a transformation of our attitudes and behavior [is required] to bring about the necessary changes.’’ Governments recognized that fundamental policy changes were needed to develop a ‘‘grand survival plan’’ for humanity that ensured future economic decision making fully considered environmental impacts.4 Since 1992, global GDP has continued to rise, funding for biodiversity conservation has increased,5–8 the global network of protected areas has grown,9 and global hunger has fallen.10 Yet since 1970 the number of birds, mammals, reptiles, and amphibians has decreased by more than half11 while globally aggregated statistics mask important geographic and temporal heterogeneity, persisting inequalities, and sharp declines in environmental health and biodiversity.12,13 In particular, the global tropics, where many conservation and development challenges intersect, continue to experience alarming losses of biodiversity and areas of persistently low human welfare. The vast majority of the 900 million people living in poverty today reside in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and South Asia,14 with the first increase in global hunger in over a century occur- ring in 2016,15 and the largest increase in deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon since records began occurring in 2019 (see http://terrabrasilis.dpi.inpe.br). The continued combination of economic, environmental, and political pressures on tropical land means that poverty, food insecurity, and biodiversity loss remain some of the most pressing concerns of the global envi- ronment and development community. Furthermore, these challenges are amplified by an increasingly unstable climate, the impacts of which will be felt hardest by those living in already vulnerable tropical geographies who have limited ca- pacity to respond.16,17 In recognition of the need to reconcile global environmental commitments with local economic and socio-cultural realities, a variety of concepts—such as Integrated Conservation and Development Projects, Payments for Environmental Services, Ecosystem Approaches, and Integrated Landscape Ap- proaches—have sought to deliver improved outcomes for both society and environment at regional or landscape scales.18–21 Furthermore, international development agencies and the big in- ternational conservation NGOs have increasingly adopted more holistic strategies within their agendas whereby they aim to bet- ter integrate nature and people.22,23 Despite this recent focus and thewidespread appeal of such ‘‘win-win’’ strategies, applied examples of effectiveness at scale have been elusive.24–27754 One Earth 3, 753–762, December 18, 2020Due to the complexity of integrating often conflicting conser- vation and development agendas, a number of impediments to their effective reconciliation have been identified28–30 and a num- ber of critiques of the feasibility of such strategies docu- mented.31–33 Apparent proponents of integrated approaches assert that a major impediment to progress is a lack of funding, with solutions orientating around calls for an increase in funding from both the public and private sectors.34,35 Such views reso- nate with the biodiversity conservation literature that has consis- tently lamented insufficient funding for the protection of na- ture.5,36–38 The issue of financial allocation is more contested within the development literature with strong arguments in favor of increased funding for developing countries contrasted with claims that development aid leaves unsustainable legacies, has no effect on growth, or even exacerbates poverty traps.39–43 Due to its considerable financial leverage and the normative power of its development theories, the World Bank provides a highly relevant case study to examine the allocation of joint development and environmental funds.44 In response to pres- sure from member governments and NGOs, the World Bank increased its commitment to the environment within its project portfolio post-Rio 1992,45 coincidingwith the creation of its sister organization, the Global Environment Facility (GEF).6 Conse- quently, the World Bank is now established as the largest inter- national donor to biodiversity conservation,7,46 spending (com- bined with the GEF) in excess of US$300 million annually.47 Having long been recognized for its considerable allocation of funds for development aid, it is reasonable to contend that post-Rio the World Bank has been one of—if not the—principal funder(s) for initiatives that integrate environment and develop- ment agendas.48 With recent commitments to more integrated approaches to land management, funding for joint conservation and development continues to increase, but as yet there is limited analysis of the extent of funding to such initiatives. Our analysis therefore complements previous efforts48,49 and has a targeted focus on the largest funders and a biome of specific concern for integrated conservation and development efforts. Finally, our index of countries detailing their respective environ- mental and development needs offers insight into where fi- nances are being invested pre-emptively. As such, we provide a resource for researchers and decision makers detailing previ- ous spending and our analysis can help to inform future conser- vation and development decision-making. Here, we use publicly available data sources of theWorld Bank and the GEF to investigate the extent and distribution of funding for integrated conservation and development since the 1992 Rio Earth Summit. We restrict our analysis to the tropics, which con- tains the majority of the world’s biodiversity, has the highest pro- portion of threatened species, and has relatively low develop- ment status and response capacity that is far below the global North.17 Our objectives are to determine how much funding has been allocated toward joint conservation and development, identify where funding is directed, assess whether this funding is targeted toward areas of greatest environmental and develop- ment need, and finally consider what factors are driving funding allocation. As integrated environment-development initiatives become more prevalent, major investments are being made; however, ‘‘accurate estimates of the financial magnitude of these ll Article OPEN ACCESS Figure 1. Extent of World Bank and GEF funding Absolute (A) and relative proportion (B) of funding for World Bank, GEF, and co-funded (GEF & World Bank) integrated environment and development projects from 1995 to 2013 in tropical countries. GFC, global financial crisis; MA, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment; MDGs, Millennium Devel- opment Goals.investments are not available.’’22 Given also the apparent lack of evidence regarding the effectiveness of integrated ap- proaches25,26 and a shortfall in available funding,35 it is useful to consider the extent and distribution of previous financial flows. To determine effectiveness, an important first step is to better understand where and how funding for integrated conservation and development has been applied. RESULTS Allocation of funding for integrated projects Our study period (1995–2013) was determined by completed projects following the first cycle of post-Rio funding, and data availability (completed projects) thereafter. We specifically tar- geted World Bank and GEF projects with both an environ- mental and development component (see the Experimental Procedures). From an initial 2,622 project reports we collated relevant financial flow data for 381 World Bank, GEF, and co- funded (i.e., World Bank and GEF) integrated environment and development projects. Funding was distributed across 75 tropical countries, although both the volume and frequency of funding per country varied greatly (Figures 1 and 2). The abso-Onlute volume of funding for the 19-year period was in excess of US$16.5 billion, representing an average investment of almost US$872 million per year. Unless otherwise stated, we refer here to the aggregate spending of both the World Bank and GEF toward integrated projects over the study period. There was a noticeable increase in financing in the mid to late 1990s, perhaps as a response to the 1992 Earth Summit and pressure from NGOs and member governments. The first half of the last decade (2000–2005) saw a decrease in financing; however—with spikes in 2002 and 2004—it is worth noting that the Millennium Development Goals, which incorporated environmental sustainability targets were established in 2000, and the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA), which explicitly recog- nized human wellbeing and ecosystem linkages, was launched in 2001. Funding then rose again in the latter half of the last decade, possibly in response to the publication of the MA in 2005, with a noticeable dip in 2009, potentially relatedto the 2008 economic crash. The large decrease shown for the years 2012 and 2013 is likely not representative of the actual financial commitment for these years; the data were retrieved from completed World Bank/GEF projects and we speculate that a proportion of the evaluation reports for pro- jects concluded in 2012/2013 were yet to be made available at the time of our screening. Regardless, we have shown that there has been considerable investment (in excess of US$16 billion) from the World Bank and GEF toward integrated conser- vation and development in the tropics. Funding alignment with environment and development need We mapped and overlaid the human development index (HDI) and species richness data to identify tropical areas with high biodiversity and low human development scores, whichwe cate- gorize as highly biodiverse, low development (HBLD) areas (see the Experimental Procedures) and then overlaid this information with the financial flows data obtained from our screening of World Bank and GEF projects. This allowed us to illustrate how funding is targeted to environment and development across the tropics (Figure 2).e Earth 3, 753–762, December 18, 2020 755 ll OPEN ACCESS Article Figure 2. Overlay of World Bank and GEF financial investment with areas of high to low biodiversity and low to high development status in the Tropics HBLD, high biodiversity low development; HDI, human development index; BIO, biodiversity.A visual assessment could suggest that the funding for envi- ronment and development has been well targeted—areas with greater investment appear to be well-distributed among HBLD countries (Figure 2). For example, biodiversity rich and relatively economically poor areas of Central America, West Africa, and Southeast (SE) Asia have clearly received a significant share of the absolute investment. However, a statistical assessment re- veals a more nuanced funding landscape with some interesting patterns related to conservation need, level of development, biodiversity status, and geographic region. Over the entire study period, there was a large variation in the amount and frequency of funding different countries received (Figure 3). For example, at the lowest end of the spectrum Djibouti and Côte D’Ivoire received approximately US$2 million for one project, while Mexico, Brazil, India, and Indonesia received in excess of US$1 billion each for 81 projects collec- tively (see Table 2). Following Sachs et al.50 we hypothesized that areas of high biodiversity would broadly overlap with areas of low develop- ment. We further hypothesized that funding for joint environment anddevelopmentwould correlatewell with these identifiedHBLD countries. However, the evidence did not support this relation- ship; while HBLD countries are broadly financially supported (35 of the 39 received funding), we found no statistically signifi- cant difference in funding per capita or funding per area received between HBLD and non-HBLD countries. There was also no sta- tistical association between a country’s development status and funds received measured either in per capita or per area terms. Moreover, we found that countries with low biodiversity received more funding per capita relative to countries with high biodiver- sity after controlling for land area, governance, and inequality (Figure 4), implying that national biodiversity status is not an influ- ential determinant of donor’s funding decisions. We also tested the relationship between threatened species as opposed to high biodiversity (using IUCN red list data) and funding allocation, but again found no statistically significant association (Figure 4). Given that SSA countries are the World Bank’s stated top pri- ority (see http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/ 2016/07/12) it is interesting—and of concern—to note the mini- mal overlap between HBLD countries and investment in this re- gion. Of the 47 SSA tropical countries, 24 were characterized as HBLD. Of these 24, 12 were in the bottom 2 quintiles of funding (i.e., below US$150 million across the study period), with 7 in the756 One Earth 3, 753–762, December 18, 2020lowest quintile (below US$55 million) and 4 received no funding. Malawi received the most funding in SSA both in absolute vol- ume and by unit area (US$301 million and US$2,421 million/km2, respectively) and yet failed tomake the top 10most highly in- vested tropical countries by either metric. Indeed, when ranked by funding per unitarea, only 6 of the top 20 countries with the highest rates of in- vestment were HBLD countries, with Bangladesh ranked highest in ninth, and only 4 were in SSA (Malawi, Burundi, Gambia, and Rwanda). In terms of absolute volume of investment, SSA is the region with the second highest amount of investment (of four) (Table 1). However, the total investment of US$3.4 billion is dwarfed by the US$8.5 billion committed to Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) (more than half of the total commitment). Both regions had a similar number of projects funded (142 and 148, respectively); however, funding was spread across 39 SSA countries and only 22 LAC countries, indicating a lower average project funding commitment in SSA. Of the top 5 most heavily invested countries, three (Mexico, Brazil, andMadagascar) are not HBLD countries and yet account for US$7.4 billion (44% of the total investment—see Table 2). Meanwhile, four HBLD countries (Angola, Equatorial Guinea, Re- public of Congo, and South Sudan) received zero funding across the study period (Figure 2) and of the five least invested coun- tries, two (Côte D’Ivoire and Zimbabwe) are HBLD (Table 2). Governance and political-economic factors The influence of governance on both the targeting and effec- tiveness of aid spending has been a contested issue.51–55 Some authors have shown that better governance is positively correlated with aid delivery,7 while others have shown that do- nors continue to fund corrupt countries with relative funding to such countries increasing after the Cold War.56 Focusing on protected areas, Hickey and Pimm47 showed that World Bank investment decisions are not influenced by a country’s governance status. However, our findings show that a signifi- cantly greater proportion of finance for joint conservation and development is invested in countries with better governance ratings. Our results corroborate those of Hickey and Pimm47 in that ‘‘there is no evidence to suggest that countries with lower- cost structures receive more investments.’’ For example, the countries with the lowest average cost structure were Zimbabwe, Djibouti, and the Seychelles, each of which featured in the lowest quintile of absolute funding; these fig- ures, however, are not proportional, and it should also be noted that each of these countries only had a minimal number of projects (<3) across the study period. Finally, consistent with Miller48 we find that national population size is positively ll Article OPEN ACCESS Figure 3. All countries in receipt of funding, with funding received plotted against average HDI Colors indicate relative biodiversity rank based on combined national-level species richness range data (see Experimental Procedures).correlated with financing for joint environment and develop- ment initiatives. Of course, there are a multitude of further factors that may in- fluence how the World Bank (and other funding agencies) deter- mineswhere to invest. For example, it has beenwidely discussed how World Bank rhetoric on sustainable development has not been matched in reality while the Bank’s internal structures incentivize the disbursement of money, yet fail to sufficiently pro- mote or reward environmental impact assessments.44,57–60 Further factors, not fully considered here, include historical polit- ical or military alliances between donor and recipient countries, colonial legacies, securing access to natural resources, and level of socio-political stability within recipient countries (see Hicks et al.,49 chapter four, for more detailed examples). We found that countries with a higher governance rating received more funds per area (Figure 4D), supporting the idea that stabilitymight be a consideration. Furthermore, recent funding allocation may also be partially driven by other conservation targets, such as climate change mitigation potential. For example, the enormous carbon storage and carbon sequestration values of the humid tropical forests in South America, Central and West Africa, and SE Asia likely explains part of their appeal to funders, while the absence of strong climate change mitigation benefits may explain the lack of funding in some of the dry regions. Finally, several SSA countries that received limited or no funding ex- perienced extended periods of conflict during the study period. Nevertheless, we hope that this study provides a useful prelimi- nary investigation of the amount and distribution of funding for initiatives with integrated environment and development objec- tives in the tropics, upon which future research, discussion, and decision-making can build.DISCUSSION The HBLD areas presented here are intended to stimulate a broader discussion around the targeting, allocation, and appro- priate use of funds for both—and particularly joint—environment and development approaches in the tropics. We are not aware of a previous attempt at developing global priority areas for inte- grated conservation and development. However, Sachs et al.50 overlaid poverty (using infant mortality as a proxy) and threatened species data that showbroadly similar patterns to themaps in this study,withareasof highpoverty andspecies threatmostly located in SSA, South Asia and East Asia, and the Pacific. Meanwhile, conservation planning as a field has a history of identifying priority areas based on, for example, vulnerability,61 ecosystem services,62 or more recently ‘‘key biodiversity areas’’ (see http://www.keybiodiversityareas.org/site/mapsearch). Achieving consensus for such priority areas has not been without its chal- lenges63,64—not least because both biodiversity and the threats to its conservation are unequally distributed, while reactive and proactive approaches to conservation planning will produce varying priority outcomes.65 Furthermore, data availability for biodiversity at the national scale is poor. Despite the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) requirement of countries to provide such data, we were able to find just two sources of data each rep- resenting a single year within our study period. Future effort is needed to develop national and sub-national biodiversity indices; such datawould enable longitudinal analysis of biodiversity status and how it relates to other factors. It is difficult to assess how our findings compare with other studies due to a lack of systematization in reporting and analyzing data across studies and donors,56 and the limited previous analysis of joint conservation and development financing.25 However, World Bank and GEF funding for biodiver- sity aid has previously been estimated at almost US$11 billion for the period 1980–2008, or equivalent to approximately US$393 million annually,7 with 90% of this allocation targeted toward biodiversity projects linked with development objectives.48 Meanwhile, Hickey and Pimm47 suggest that World Bank and GEF spending on biodiversity projects is in the region of US$309 million per annum. Hicks et al.49 provide the highest es- timate we were able to find, reporting that the World Bank spent in excess of US$13 and US$25 billion in the 1980s and 1990s, respectively; these figures, however, are based on environ- mental aid without the condition to be linked with a development component. Variation in funding numbers can also be attributed to factors, including the extent of in-country co-financing, incon- sistency in how projects are classified by researchers, and indeed by the World Bank itself,46 and differences in the US$ standard rate applied. Additional research is needed to deter- mine the total investment toward integrated conservation and development from across the spectrum of funding sources to better evaluate funding distribution and accurately calculate the shortfall between current spending and global commitments to development and the environment.35 Our main finding shows that funding decisions for integrated environment and development projects are neither driven by biodiversity nor HDI status, and SSA countries, in particular, do not receive an amount commensurate with their HBLD status. We suggest this warrants further investigation and considerationOne Earth 3, 753–762, December 18, 2020 757 ll OPEN ACCESS Article A B C HDI [High] HDI [High] HDI [High] HDI [Low] HDI [Low] HDI [Low] Biodiversity [High] Biodiversity [High] WGI Biodiversity [Low] Biodiversity [Low] WGI Population WGI Population Gini coefficient (average) Population Gini coefficient (average) Gini coefficient (average) Red List (average)Red List (average) −100 −50 0 50 −100 −50 0 50 −100 −50 0 50 Estimate Estimate Estimate D E F HDI [High] HDI [High] HDI [High] HDI [Low] HDI [Low] HDI [Low] Biodiversity [High] Biodiversity [High] WGI Biodiversity [Low] Biodiversity [Low] WGI Total area WGI Total area Gini coefficient (average) Total area Gini coefficient (average) Gini coefficient (average) Red List (average)Red List (average) −80 −40 0 40 −80 −40 0 40 −50 0 50 Estimate Estimate Estimate Figure 4. Predictors of joint conservation-development funding Coefficients of regression models for: (A) funding per area as a function of high and low HDI (baseline is medium), high and low biodiversity (baseline is medium), WGI, population size, and Gini coefficient; (B) funding per area as a function of high and low HDI (baseline is medium), high and low biodiversity (baseline is medium), WGI, population size, Gini coefficient, and red list scores; (C) funding per area as a function of high and low HDI (baseline is medium), WGI, population size, Gini coefficient, and red list scores; (D) funding per capita as a function of high and low HDI (baseline is medium), high and low biodiversity (baseline is medium), WGI, population size, and Gini coefficient; (E) funding per capita as a function of high and low HDI (baseline is medium), high and low biodiversity (baseline is medium), WGI, population size, Gini coefficient, and red list scores; and (F) funding per capita as a function of high and low HDI (baseline is medium), WGI, population size, Gini coefficient, and red list scores. Thick lines of bars represent standard errors and thin lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Variables Variables Variables Variables Variables Variablesfor future integrated environment and development funding allo- cation.While we acknowledge that increasing fundingmight only be part of the solution to effectively reconciling environment and development agendas, it is important to recognize that for biodi- versity conservation at least, the effect of funding has been shown to be significant.8 Concluding comments Our objective for this article was to identify where funding for in- tegrated environment and development has been targeted. Con- trary to our hypotheses this study shows that HBLD areas across the tropics receive no more funding for integrated conservation and development than non-HBLD countries. In a similar inverse outcome to our expectation, countries with a low biodiversity rat- ing receive relatively more funding than highly biodiverse coun- tries. Furthermore, we find no statistical association between758 One Earth 3, 753–762, December 18, 2020development status and funds received. Therefore, neither biodi- versity nor HDI status are driving funding allocation, and our anal- ysis shows that governance and political-economic factors as proxied by inequality in our models are likely more influential. Fulfilling the objectives of the SDGs and other internationally agreed commitments toward climate, conservation, and devel- opment will require transformational shifts in thinking and the way in which we define and measure progress. It has long been recognized—and is increasingly accepted—that GDP per capita is an inadequate metric for development, and particularly human welfare.66–68 We must therefore incorporate other vari- ables that cumulatively contribute toward a country’s economic, social, and environmental health. It is also widely accepted that financial resources are scarce and ‘‘must be used where they can have the largest effect’’ (see https://www.worldbank.org/). Progress toward international goals with limited resources ll Article OPEN ACCESS Table 1. Regional distribution of total funding for conservation and development Region No. of projects Investment (US$) East Asia and Pacific 66 2,714,183,508 South Asia 25 1,858,139,739 Latin America and 148 8,583,362,104 Caribbean Sub-Saharan Africa 142 3,411,943,139 Total 381 16,567,628,490 Regions are based on World Bank classification.therefore demands a concerted financial strategy that prioritizes key areas where multiple benefits can be achieved, including conservation of biodiversity and ecosystems and mitigating the effects of climate change while ‘‘leaving no one behind.’’ Future research to assess the performance of integrated envi- ronment-development initiatives is urgently required to enhance our understanding of the appropriateness and effectiveness of global financial flows for such endeavors. Furthermore, future research could disaggregate country-level patterns to achieve a better understanding of in-country flows and the role of partic- ular sites or site dynamics. Our study provides guidance for future investment decisions related to integrated conservation and development across the tropics and generates discussion around how—and why—finances are targeted and ultimately to what effect. Our results suggest that a specific consideration is warranted for those countries recognized as HBLD areas that will be among the most negatively impacted as a result of inac- tion to the threats of global environmental change.EXPERIMENTAL PROCEDURES Resource availability Lead contact Further information and requests for data should be directed to the Lead Con- tact, James Reed (j.reed@cgiar.org). Materials availability This study did not generate new unique materials. Data and code availability The full dataset for this study is openly available in the CIFOR repository at https://doi.org/10.17528/CIFOR/DATA.00251.Method summary This article is based on an analysis of the publicly available datasets of the World Bank and the GEF (all project IDs are provided in the publicly available CIFOR data repository listed above). In addition to the World Bank and GEF we identified a broad range of insti- tutions that provide funding for initiatives that integrate environment and devel- opment objectives; however, a lack of available and transparent data—basic principles for aid organizations (see, for example, Paris declaration on aid effectiveness, 2005)—precluded the majority of sources from being used for this study. Nevertheless, as probably the largest funders of joint environment and development globally, this review of theWorld Bank and the GEF provides a relevant case study upon which further research can build. Moreover, the World Bank and the GEF should be commended for systematically making project data freely available; the implementation completion and results and terminal evaluation reports provide an excellent—and often underutilized— resource for research examining aid allocation patterns for economic develop- ment and environmental conservation,69 albeit that data can be hidden in voluminous reporting frameworks.We were interested in identifying where, geographically, the World Bank and GEF invested in projects that incorporated linked environment and development agendas on land in the tropics. Our study period was 1995–2013; the start date was considered to be a realistic point at which joint environment and development projects would be concluded in response to the 1992 Rio Earth Summit. The end date was determined by the most recently concluded project data availability. To overcome is- sues associated with data inconsistency, this review only focuses on concluded projects. Search strategy The World Bank is recognized as a primary funder for international develop- ment and so therefore we focused our initial search strategy on the World Bank’s environmental topic and corresponding 33 subthemes (ranging from ‘‘adaptation to climate change’’ to ‘‘wildlife resources’’; see Table S1 for full list) anticipating this would provide a suite of projects that contained both envi- ronment and development components. The GEF was established on the eve of the Rio Earth Summit to address the planet’s most pressing environmental problems (see www.thegef.org) and its project database is categorized into eight main focal areas. For this review we applied project type and status filters to capture full size and closed projects from the following GEF focal areas: Biodiversity, Climate Change, Land Degradation, and Multi Focal Area. To further expand our search, we also used Integrated Natural Resource Management filter as our own search term (Table S2). Supplementary searches As our screening of the World Bank and GEF projects proceeded and our un- derstanding of the functioning of the respective databases increased, it became apparent that there were limitations to our initial search strategy. As such, we designed and conducted a second search strategy of both theWorld Bank and GEF databases. For the second World Bank search we selected 10 topic filters and 17 sub-areas (Table S3). For the second GEF search we used the same strategy but included medium size projects. In total, our searches yielded 2,622 project reports: 1,244 projects from the World Bank and 1,378 projects from the GEF. As the World Bank and the GEF often co-fund projects, we removed duplicates from the dataset and then pro- ceeded with project report screening, data extraction, and analysis. Project screening Five reviewers independently screened all captured projects with an imple- mentation completion report (World Bank) or evaluation report (GEF), applying the following inclusion criteria for a project to be included in the final suite of studies: (1) located within the tropics—in part within the Tropics of Cancer and Capricorn (countries listed in Table S4), (2) had a terrestrial land-use focus, and (3) contained both an environmental and developmental objective. A total of 9 months (five reviewers, two full-time and three part- time from June 2017 to April 2018) was required for designing the strategy and extracting project bibliographic data and relevant information for total project cost, duration, environmental and developmental objectives, and outcomes and risk assessment. After removal of duplicates and screening for relevance, from a total of 2,622 reports the final suite of studies for anal- ysis totaled 381 projects (World Bank, GEF, and co-funded projects combined). Biodiversity and development data We used proxy indicators for national-level measures of ‘‘biodiversity’’ and ‘‘development’’ to determine highly biodiverse, low development (HBLD) areas. These data consist of the HDI (UNDP—average value across the study period) and spatial overlays of species richness range maps for birds, mam- mals, and amphibians using data from biodiversitymapping.org that combines data from BirdLife International and the International Union for Conservation of Nature.70,71 Both the conservation and development measures were trans- formed into three-level ordinal measures (using tercile values—birds, mam- mals, and amphibians were ranked individually; a national scale ranking of low, medium, or high was then calculated for both biodiversity and develop- ment) and combined into a binary measure of HBLD countries or non-HBLD countries: countries with medium to high biodiversity ranges and medium toOne Earth 3, 753–762, December 18, 2020 759 ll OPEN ACCESS Article Table 2. The 10 countries receiving the Most (n = 5), and the least (n = 5) environment and development funding by volume Investment FPU No. of Biodiversity HBLD Country (US$, Millions) (US$/km2) projects WGI HDI status country Most Mexico 3,520 1,498 (16) 24 0.11 (M) 0.72 (H) 6 (M) no Brazil 3,200 358 (38) 32 0.03 (M) 0.7 (H) 9 (H) no India 1,340 401 (37) 14 0.25 (M) 0.53 (L) 7 (M) yes Indonesia 1,040 548 (31) 11 0.63 (L) 0.63 (M) 7 (M) yes Madagascar 708 1,062 (21) 14 0.42 (L) 0.49 (L) 5 (L) no Least Djibouti 1.8 79 (63) 1 0.72 (L) 0.4 (L) 4 (L) no Côte D’Ivoire 2.34 7.15 (73) 1 1.06 (L) 0.41 (L) 7 (M) yes Comoros 3.43 1,961 (14) 1 ND 0.47 (M) ND no Seychelles 3.79 7,602 (5) 2 0.21 (H) 0.73 (H) 3 (L) no Zimbabwe 4.26 9.75 (71) 3 1.35 (L) 0.44 (L) 8 (H) yes FPU, funding per unit area, numbers in brackets indicate rank out of all recipient countries in dataset, n = 75. When ranked by FPU, none of the top five recipient countries (Maldives, Samoa, Antigua and Barbuda, Kiribati, Seychelles) are HBLD countries, and Côte D’Ivoire, Central Africa Republic, and Zimbabwe of the bottom five (Sudan, Chad, Côte D’Ivoire, Central Africa Republic, and Zimbabwe) are HBLD countries. WGI, world governance index; HDI, human development index. Biodiversity status reflects our own ordinal ranking for country-level biodiversity: high (H), medium (M), and low (L).low development ranges (i.e., countries exhibiting relatively high biodiversity and relatively low development) were categorized as HBLD countries (see Fig- ure 2). We use the HDI (http://hdr.undp.org/en/data) as our measure of devel- opment because poverty and human wellbeing are increasingly recognized as multi-dimensional and thought of as encompassing more than income and consumption, which have been typically used as measures of develop- ment66—although we also conduct a robustness test using GDP per capita. We acknowledge that there are varying frameworks of how funding for con- servation and/or development should be prioritized and distributed. For example, the HBLD areas we analyze are areas where medium to high biodi- versity status overlaps with low development status. However, an alternative way to prioritize funding would be to target those areas where biodiversity has already been impacted. To test this relationship, we collected threatened species data from the IUCN red list and again took the average country values across the study period and included this as an additional variable in our models (see below). It should also be noted that, despite our inclusion of the Gini coefficient in our analysis, country-level GDP and HDI metrics obscure a high level of regional inequality, especially in the larger countries. For example, the vast majority of the Brazilian Amazon and Caatinga regions have medium to low HDI scores, which is not reflected in the country-level scores; indeed, within the single state of Pará there are 142 municipalities covering the spectrum of very low to high HDI. Finer grained spatial assess- ments of projects would enable a richer understanding of environment-devel- opment funding priorities. We also collected other publicly available national-level development data, including world governance index (WGI) measures (World Bank Group, 2018), GDP per capita (World Bank Data), Gini index measures of inequality (World Bank Data), population (World Bank Data), and environmental performance in- dex measures (Yale University). We screened projects and collected data be- tween June 2017 and April 2018 and transformed all financial data to 2010 US$ values. Statistical analysis We use the various datasets extracted from World Bank and GEF reports and combine these with those extracted from additional data sources (detailed above) to run a series of linear regression models to understand what predicts total funding received (expressed as both US$ per capita and US$ per km2). All measures were taken as averages across the study period 1995–2013. We ran three models for each outcome: the first outcome was funding per area, regressed as a function of (1) HDI, biodiver- sity, WGI, population size, and Gini coefficient; (2) included threatened spe- cies (red list) to the variables listed in (1); (3) removed biodiversity and re- tained threatened species. The second outcome was funding per capita— the same set of variables (described above for outcome one) were included760 One Earth 3, 753–762, December 18, 2020across three models with the exception of population, which was substituted for total area. All models were run in Stata 15 using Hubert- White robust standard errors. We also ran the models with regional dummies, but in the end did not include these since they were highly corre- lated with the other independent variables and since some regions had very few observations (South Asia only had three observations). All models were run using robust standard errors. Descriptive statistics and regression results are provided in Tables S5 and S6, respectively.SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION Supplemental Information can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j. oneear.2020.11.008. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This study is part of the CGIAR Research Program on Forests, Trees and Agroforestry (CRP-FTA). This collaborative program aims to enhance the management and use of forests, agroforestry, and tree genetic resources across the landscape from forests to farms. Funding for this study was pro- vided by the International Climate Initiative (IKI) of the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety (BMUB) grant 18_IV_084, the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Forest and Biodiversity Office, and the CGIAR FTA program. R.C. was supported by the Frank Jackson Foundation. We are very grateful for the comments of the anonymous reviewers that helped to improve the manuscript. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS J.R. conceived the study. J.R. and J.v.V. designed the study. M.Y., S.N., and J.R. collected the data. J.O., A.I., and J.R. analyzed the data. J.R. wrote the original draft. All authors contributed to developing, writing, reviewing, and finalizing the paper. DECLARATION OF INTERESTS The authors declare no competing interests. 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One Earth, Volume 3Supplemental InformationThe extent and distribution of joint conservation- development funding in the tropics James Reed, Johan Oldekop, Jos Barlow, Rachel Carmenta, Jonas Geldmann, Amy Ickowitz, Sari Narulita, Syed Ajijur Rahman, Josh van Vianen, Malaika Yanou, and Terry Sunderland Table S1: World Bank database search strategy Topics Subareas Environment Adaptation to climate change Environmental management Air Quality and clean air Environmental Protection Biodiversity Environmental strategy Brown Issue and Health Environmentally Protected Areas Carbon Policy and Trading Forests and Forestry Climate Change and Environment Global Environmental Facility Climate change and impacts Green Issues Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases Marine Environment Coastal and Marine Environment Montreal Protocol Dryland and Desertification Natural Disasters Ecosystems and Natural Habitats Natural Resources Management Environment and Energy Efficiency Persistent Organic pollutants Environmental disasters and degradation Pollution Management and control Environmental economics and policies Sustainable Land Management Environmental Engineering Tourism and Ecotourism Environmental Governance Water Resources Management Environmental Information Systems Wildlife Resources 1 Table S2: GEF database search strategy Search Terms Focal Area Biodiversity Climate Change Land Degradation Multi Focal Area INRM Project Type Full Size Status Completed Table S3: Supplementary search strategy for the World Bank database. Topics Subareas Agriculture Climate Change & Agriculture Forestry Management Culture & Development Culture in Sustainable Development Energy Energy & Environment Energy & natural resources Energy resources development Gender Gender & Development Gender & Energy Health, Nutrition & Population Environment & health International Economics & Trade Trade & Environment Poverty Reduction Poverty, Environment & Development Rural Development Forestry management Natural Resources Management Sustainable Land& Crop Management Transport Transport & Environment 2 Water Resources Coastal & Marine Resources Water Conservation Table S4: List of tropical countries included in this study Antigua And Barbuda Eritrea Nicaragua Bahamas Ethiopia Niger Bangladesh Gabon Nigeria Belize Gambia Panama Benin Ghana Papua New Guinea Bolivia Guatemala Paraguay Botswana Guinea Peru Brazil Guinea-Bissau Philippines Burkina Faso Guyana Rwanda Burundi Haiti Samoa Cabo Verde Honduras Senegal Cambodia India Seychelles Cameroon Indonesia Sierra Leone Central African Republic Kenya Sri Lanka Kiribati Chad Sudan Lao PDR Colombia Suriname Liberia Comoros Tanzania Madagascar Congo DR Thailand Malawi Costa Rica Malaysia Togo Cote d'Ivoire Maldives Uganda Cuba Mali Venezuela Djibouti Mauritius Vietnam Dominican Republic Mexico Zambia Ecuador Mozambique Zimbabwe El Salvador Namibia Table S5: descriptive statistics for Fig. 4 Standard Variable Name Mean deviation Funding_per_area 2 24.19 91.651 (km ) Funding_per_capita 24.37 60.446 High_HDI 0.35 0.479 Low_HDI 0.35 0.479 Medium HDI 0.31 0.464 High Biodiversity 0.27 0.445 Low Biodiversity 0.43 0.498 3 Medium Biodiversity 0.29 0.459 WGI -0.46 0.581 Population 3.91e+07 1.34e+08 Total area 6.17e+07 1.19e+08 Gini coefficient 45.11 6.976 Red List 57.85 66.858 Table S6: regression results for Fig. 4 Funding Per Funding Per Area Capita Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Variable Estimate SE Estimate SE Estimate SE Estimate SE Estimate SE Estimate SE HDI [High] -29.78 39.46 -22.36 38.13 -22.41 36.99 -15.68 24.41 -10.86 27.36 -6.498 24.81 HDI [Low] -46.84 41.71 -49.90 42.82 -48.59 41.62 -30.72 22.29 -35.23 22.16 -35.28 23.15 Biodiversity -8.029 10.78 -4.752 11.05 22.40 24.20 -22.80 24.46 [High] Biodiversity 20.59 22.58 17.97 22.05 23.30** 10.33 19.69** 9.326 [Low] WGI 38.74* 19.83 34.89* 18.69 40.21* 22.24 9.294 18.10 7.299 16.92 10.00 18.32 Population -8.79e- 5.67e- -5.82e- 4.77e- -6.07e- 5.39e- 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 08 08 08 08 08 08 Total area 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.70e- 2.64e- 3.40e- 2.85e- 1.17e- 2.65e-08 08 08 09 08 08 Gini -3.098 1.924 -3.062 1.928 -3.387 2.131 -0.401 1.060 -0.551 1.155 -0.581 1.154 coefficient (average) Red List (average) -0.141 0.0970 -0.191 0.116 -0.117 0.111 -0.141 0.122 Constant 207.2 124.2 209.5 126.3 234.8 147.5 50.24 54.55 62.33 62.22 78.34 63.44 Observations 69 69 69 69 69 69 R-Squared 0.144 0.149 0.140 0.092 0.100 0.076 *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 4