PASTORAL SYSTEMS RESEARCH IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA PROCEEDINGS OF THE WORKSHOP HELD AT ILCA, ADDIS ABABA, ETHIOPIA21 TO 24 MARCH, 1983 sponsored by the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) and the International Livestock Centre for Africa (ILCA) AUGUST 1983 INTERNATIONAL LIVESTOCK CENTRE FOR AFRICA P.O. BOX 5689, ADDIS ABABA, ETHIOPIA PASTORAL SYSTEMS RESEARCH IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA PROCEEDINGS OF THE IDRC/ILCA WORKSHOP HELD AT ILCA, ADDIS ABABA, ETHIOPIA 21 TO 24 MARCH, 1983 AUGUST 1983 INTERNATIONAL LIVESTOCK CENTRE FOR AFRICA P.O. BOX 5689, ADDIS ABABA, ETHIOPIA This o Key words PASTORAL SYSTEMS/RESEARCH/AFRICA SOUTH OF SAHARA/ - REMOTE SENSING/AERIAL SURVEYING/VEGETATION OR PLANT RESOURCES/ LIVESTOCK/PRODUCTIVITY/MARKETING/ANIMAL NUTRITION/PRODUCT ION STRATEGIES/ WEALTH RANKING/HOUSEHOLDS/SURVEYS/TESTING PROCEDURES/PASTORAL DEVELOPMENT Abstract These workshop proceedings give a full report of the papers presented at the IDRC/ILCA workshop on 'Pastoral Systems Research in sub-Saharan Africa' held at ILCA's headquarters from March 21 to 24, 1983. Papers presented in English are summarised in French, and vice versa. All discussion sessions at the workshop are summarised in both English and French. These proceedings give an introduction to pastoral systems research. A majority of papers focus on the survey and diagnostic stage of pastoral systems research, and include ILCA's experience of remote sensing techniques and aerial surveys, the survey of vegetation resources, livestock productivity and animal nutrition, pastoral production strategies, the importance of wealth effects, household studies and labour data collection and livestock marketing studies. Two papers focus on the scope for improvement in pastoral production and two case studies highlight the experimental design and testing procedures relevant to pastoral systems research. The final discussions at the workshop were related to the strengths and weaknesses of ILCA's approach to pastoral systems research, and how this approach might be improved . Preface This document summarises the proceedings of the workshop on Pastoral Systems Research in sub-Saharan Africa held at ILCA's headquarters in Addis Ababa from 21 to 24 March 1983. The workshop was sponsored by the International Development Research Centre (IDRC), Ottawa, Canada and by ILCA. It was attended by 15 scientists from different countries in sub-Saharan Africa, by 20 scientists from ILCA and by 3 others. The workshop focused on the techniques and processes in pastoral systems research with particular reference to ILCA's experience in sub-Saharan Africa. The 21 presentations were made by ILCA staff members and the discussion sessions were led by national representatives from different African countries. At the end of the workshop a panel of national representatives reviewed ILCA's progress in pastoral systems research and made suggestions for future work. This document contains the written presentations made at the workshop and summaries of the discussion sessions. Each presentation appears in its source language and is followed by a summary in English or French, as appropriate. Summaries of each discussion session are presented in both English and French. Acknowledgment is made to the ILCA staff who assisted in the running of the workshop, in particular Mr Addis Anteneh, the workshop organiser; and to Senedou Leon and Sophie Gorfineh who typed these proceedings. - in - Contents Page General Introduction Introductory remarks Workshop background, organisation and procedure The development experience* Towards a framework for pastoral systems research (PSR) P J Brumby Addis Anteneh S Sandford C de Haan 7 11 25 Summary/Resume of discussion session 1. 45 The survey and diagnostic phase of PSR Integration of remote sensing techniques for resource evaluation in pastoral systems research Low altitude aerial surveys in PSR P N de Leeuw and K Milligan K Milligan and P N de Leeuw 57 81 Summary/Resume of discussion session 2. 107 Les vegétations et les ressources P Hiernaux fourrageres dans les systemes pastoraux L'evolution du milieu J C Bille 113 133 Summary/Resume of discussion session 3. 147 Livestock productivity and management Animal nutrition R T Wilson and P Semenye L J Lambourne, M S Dicko, P Semenye and M Butterworth 151 183 N.B. Each presentation made in English is followed by a French summary, and vice versa. - v - Summary/Resume of discussion session 4. 209 Production strategies and pastoral man N Cossins 213 The importance of wealth effects on BE Grandin pastoral production: A rapid method for wealth ranking 237 Summary/Resume of discussion session 5. 257 Household studies in PSR B E Grandin and Solomon Bekure 263 Livestock transactions data collection B E Grandin 277 Household income and expenditure Solomon Bekure studies 289 Labour data collection B E Grandin 305 Summary/Resume of discussion session 6. 321 Livestock marketing studies Solomon Bekure and Negussie Tilahun 327 Summary/Resume of discussion session 7. 357 Features and constraints identified in PSR at ILCA Summary/Resume of discussion session 8. 361 Identifying the scope for improvement in pastoral production The scope for improvement S Sandford, F Anderson and Addis Anteneh 365 Biotechnical options L J Lambourne and M Butterworth 383 - vi - Summary/Resume of discussion session 9. 403 Case studies in PSR Design and testing procedures in R von Kaufmann livestock systems research: An agro-pastoral example 407 Summary/Resume of discussion session 10. 431 A proposal for pastoral development in P N de Leeuw and the Republic of Niger C de Haan 435 Summary/Resume of discussion session 11. 459 Strengths and weaknesses of PSR Summary/Resume of discussion session 12. 463 Final discussion on PSR Summary/Resume of discussion session 13. 471 List of Workshop Participants 477 - vn - i ■■ I i'i GENERAL INTRODUCTION Introductory remarks Peter J. Brumby Director General, ILCA, Ethiopia May I warmly welcome you here this morning. This workshop on our re search in Pastoral Production Systems has been in the making for sev eral years, plus a bit longer, the bit longer being the additional time we needed for the hard work in preparing the papers for this meeting, as well as the time needed to develop the courage to expose our experience and ideas to you. Very little has been written on the analysis of the live stock aspects of farming systems research (FSR) . The 1981 compendium of Farming Systems Research in Africa contains virtually no references on the subject. But this situation is changing. In 1982, IDRC published an excellent monograph on issues and policies influencing livestock development in Asia and this publication contains several valuable papers on the analysis of livestock systems. Winrock International are also increasingly productive in this subject, particularly in respect of Latin America. We at ILCA have now published nine major reports on various livestock farming systems in different parts of Africa. Excellent journals on the subject of FSR generally are also available; unfortunately, however, they contain very little livestock material. Systems analysis is a term, like so many others that will be used in this workshop, that means different things to different people. To a computer engineer the meaning of systems analysis is very clear, but we use the term in a broader and less precise manner. The phrase 'systems analysis' or 'farming systems research', or the fancier semantic derivatives that describe a fancier research focus that extends beyond the farm level, such as 'farming systems per spectives' and 'farming systems research and development1, provide little more than an innocuous umbrella under which people of different disciplines and background can work together, interactively, on the task of improving livestock and crop output and income. - I - Our discussions this week will focus upon rather specific and technical parts of our approach to livestock systems. The techniques we use in this work are obviously very important, but it is the approach we take to livestock and pastoral farming systems that I would like to see characterizing your views of ILCA's work, rather than the use of any of the specific research techniques we shall discuss this week. The ILCA approach consists of two main items: a character istic philosophy and a collection of techniques. I shall spend a few minutes talking about the philosophy that underlies our work; my colleagues will discuss mainly the techniques used and the results obtained. In brief, the philosophy is that there are such things as systems, and that things that operate as systems have to be regarded rather differently from things that operate in some other manner. What is a system, are systems important and in what way do systems differ from non-systems? Let me try to explain by referring to ILCA as an institution. At ILCA we regard our organisation, ILCA, as a system. We, the staff, interact and work together for a common purpose and thereby have the key characteristics of a system. Thinking unkindly, other organisations may be regarded as a collection of individuals, and a collection does not constitute a system. With a collection you can take out a component and it makes little difference, similarly you can add one without making much difference. But if you interfere with one component of a system such as ILCA, remove it, alter it, or add another, you are likely to have important effects on the whole system, because it is a characteristic of a system that the components interact. It follows that grey hair and system management go well together ! There are two other important and inter-linked characters of a system I want to emphasise. The first is that a system has a bound ary and that boundary must be clearly established in our description of the system. The second is that a system is purely a concept. By this I mean that an adequate description of a specific system will depend on the purpose of the description and the boundaries that are perceived for the system; a naturalist defines the same aggregation - 2 - of interacting activities in quite a different way to an economist, a politician or an agriculturalist. Obviously you need a clear notion of the specific purpose of your description of a system in order to describe either the system or its boundaries. You will also appreciate that a description of a system is highly biased by the training of the person you have asked to describe it. If you doubt me set loose an agriculturalist, an economist and a sociologist to describe a specific system such as ILCA. Each will give an appropriate description that suits their particular purpose, but none is likely to be appropriate for the purpose of understanding the ILCA system as a whole. The first task is to think carefully about what is to be described, and even more importantly about what does not need to be described - if you try to describe everything you will never finish and will never produce a description that is of use to a specific audience. To decide if a component observed in a system is important, one has to relate it to the purpose for which the system exists. In the ILCA system, for example, one finds components such as sociol ogists, chemists and librarians. It is only when we know the purpose of ILCA that we can start to decide if describing these specific components is important. If it is argued that the purpose of ILCA is to increase milk production, then we can decide on the basis of the likely effect of our sociologists etc. on milk production whether they are an important part of our system, or whether they can be disregarded in our description. If the purpose of ILCA is perceived as something different than simply increasing milk production, our description and judgement of the vital component parts must be different. A key objective we all share is to improve livestock pro duction; we also probably share a belief that using a systems approach is a sensible way to tackle this objective. This accepted, the key questions we then need to ask. are what systems are to be improved and what constitutes an improvement. In many livestock systems of concern to us there is very little information available and it is tempting to start extensive, time consuming baseline surveys to try to build the data necessary - 3 - for initial modelling and intervention. If this exercise is followed we frequently find, several years later when modelling and analysis of the data collected is started, that some key data required have not been collected. My very important point here is that it is essential that data collection, data analysis, and modelling go hand in hand. We must start with a very simple model at the outset to help determine what information is actually required and not wait until we have accumulated large lumps of information that are likely to be both too much and too little. Having described in adequate terms the systems to be improved one then has to decide what constitutes an improvement. Improving milk production per cow may be technically possible in several different ways, but each way suggested may be financially or organi zationally impractical. Clearly we need to consider not only increased outputs but also increased inputs; we need to consider if the inputs proposed are likely to be available, can they actually be safely used by our target farmers, and what do they cost? One also quickly realizes that livestock systems do not produce just one thing, and that they are not using just one resource. "Improving" a system that produces several products and uses many resources is a matter beset with many complications that are frequently overlooked in an otherwise simple technical approach to livestock improvement. We must also ask who benefits from any improvement that may be made. If output is increased does the farmer benefit, or do prices decrease? In the latter case does the nation as a whole reap the rewards, or just one small part of the nation? If the objective is to increase overall food production, obviously a most important task in Africa, we still need to ask if fulfilling this objective will feed hungry people. Hungry people are poor people; if they weren't poor they wouldn't be hungry; if they had the money to buy food, that food would certainly be produced and available. Clearly, a food production objective alone is inadequate and we need to consider equity distribution, cash flows, labour requirements, multiplier effects and all the rest of the bits and pieces that are critical in deciding on the value of our improvement. - 4 - Farming systems are rarely static, they are usually being continually changed in many ways by a multiplicity of external forces. We as systems researchers must make judgements as to where our target systems may be headed. Research appropriate to improving the pro ductivity of large farms is frequently inappropriate to improving farming systems on small farms, and we need to be reasonably sure that the target system for our research effort has an appreciable life span. ILCA's task is twofold : to apply existing knowledge to improve livestock production, and to undertake research on major gaps in that knowledge. The technical base for improving livestock pro duction in Africa has proved to be less extensive than was perceived when ILCA was established just a few years ago. In consequence, we have recently been placing greater emphasis in our work at ILCA on what we loosely call component research. Yet I urge great caution on your part in regard to the use of the term "component research". Our primary interest and concern is not in understanding how a legume grows, or how a cow copes with a protein deficiency, but how key changes in vital parts of livestock production systems, such as improving pasture quality and dry-season nutrition, might improve the productivity and efficiency of the farming system as a whole. Our main task in many of the systems we work with lies in assessing the relationships among their key components. Strictly speaking this is not component research, rather it is process research. Others, however, may regard it as a development activity. May I suggest that the distinction between research and development is largely in the eye of the beholder. In line with our purposive philosophy, we regard the difference between the two as the reason one gives as to why the particular work is being done. May I make a final comment about organising the staff of any institution to carry out a systems research approach. Many ways of doing this have been tried and the virtues of multidisciplinarity are usually loudly emphasised. I want to stress, however, there is little merit in having many disciplines represented if they are not required, and that the pursuit of multidisciplinarity as such can be overdone. In our experience what is required is staff with knowledge - 5 - that is highly relevant to the systems you are studying, and this staff needs to encompass a very wide range of training and experience. First class generalists backed up by specific selected specialists is the formula we seek. I am sure you will note this amongst our staff at ILCA this week. During the course of the next few days we expect to learn a great deal from you. We appreciate greatly the time you have given to share your experience and your wisdom. We also value highly your willingness to work with us in helping develop our overall programme. IDRC have made a sizeable cash contribution to the organisation of this workshop. Their assistance has made it possible to invite more participants than would otherwise have been the case and it has been a spur to us to hold this important meeting. We are most grateful to them. We hope that you will benefit from the discussions of the next few days, and that you greatly enjoy your stay with us. - 6 - Workshop background, organisation and procedure Addis Anteneh Workshop Organiser, ILCA, Ethiopia My sitting here and trying to explain the background to this workshop arises out of a historical accident. At the time when a definite idea had been formed about organising this workshop, I happened to be working with Dr. Poul Sihm, who was then the co-ordinator of arid zones research at ILCA. He was at the centre of the initial stages of the preparation of the workshop. Poul Sihm returned to the World Bank last year, but before we parted he extracted a promise from me that I would make sure this workshop took place. On his part he promised to keep a close watch on the workshop's progress and to participate in the discussions. Unfortunately he is unable to attend the workshop due to heavy pressure of work, but he has certainly kept an interest in its organisation - some of our distinguished par ticipants work in World Bank livestock projects with which he is associated and were highly recommended by him. To this extent at least he has kept his side of the bargain. I hope I have succeeded in keeping mine by helping in the workshop's preparation. I do not want to burden you with a detailed chronological account of what has happened since this workshop was first suggested two years ago. What I would like to give you is a brief pointer to those events which, in my opinion, have a story to tell about the dynamics of ILCA's work. The origins of this workshop are very much related to one of the first livestock research activities of ILCA - that of monitoring livestock production systems under induced change. ILCA had then undertaken to monitor changes taking place in production and the social and economic impact generated by livestock development projects in the arid/semi-arid zones of Kenya, Ethiopia and Botswana, and had entered a commitment to develop and prepare a monitoring guideline. Monitoring subsequently became a rather unpopular term and activity, - 7 - not because it was not necessary but because it was being used and carried out mostly in the project financing framework, not totally befitting the character of an international research centre such as ILCA. Clearly, as you can realize, there could be no such thing as a monitoring guideline under the circumstances. The move away from monitoring to livestock production systems research in these areas entailed the need to clarify conceptual problems as well as questions of using systems research techniques and methodologies for livestock which, as the Director General pointed out earlier, have not featured strongly in the farming systems research approaches now coming into vogue. And in the meantime, African research and development insti tutions concerned with livestock as well as ILCA were continually gaining experience in the field. With all these things taking place, it was evident that ILCA alone could not produce a pastoral systems research (PSR) /livestock systems research (LSR) guideline or manual as a unilateral prescription. It was thus decided quite early to convene this workshop to exchange ideas and experiences with selected African leaders in livestock research and development. The objectives of using this workshop to provide a forum for discussion of the merits of the PSR/LSR approach has thus become a primary one. The possible estab lishment of a network of pastoral/range livestock systems research in tropical Africa is another important objective which we hope you will consider. The development and preparation of a set of PSR/LSR guidelines remains a serious goal. We hope all participants will consider and give their views on this matter before the closure of the workshop. The schedule of presentations and discussions is indeed a tight one. For the next few days we will have 3£ to 4-hour sessions each morning and afternoon. We have tried to arrange the sessions to present a logical flow of ideas. They start with the conceptual framework and continue with the survey and diagnostic phase, including the technical, social and economic components. Specific constraints identified, which follow on the third day, are based on the preceding phase and are presented in the framework of ILCA's on-going pastoral systems research programmes. We finish with the identification of - 8 - the scope for improvement on the fourth day and will close after the presentation and discussion of case studies to illustrate in some detail ILCA's experience in the use of PSR/LSR design and testing procedures in two areas - Nigeria and Niger. We have arranged for either ILCA Board Members or senior members of ILCA's management to chair the different sessions, Their intimate knowledge of the issues and processes involved in ILCA's research work or their extensive experience in pastoral systems and the critical component problems facing these systems' potential improvements, will be a valuable asset in guiding the discussions. The agenda submitted to you has gone through several revisions to take account of the changing picture presented by ILCA's growing field experience of livestock systems research in its on-going pastoral programmes and elsewhere. Many of the participants to whom we were able to send the schedule, together with our invitation to attend the workshop, are likely to be suprised at the considerable changes intro duced since then. I hope you will appreciate how much thought and effort on the part of ILCA's management and staff has gone into the substantive aspects of the workshop's preparation. As you will also note from the way the programme is structured we have gone a little further in our attempt to make participation as effective as possible. The device we proposed and which was accepted by most of our colleagues was for a review of specific topics, pre sented by ILCA staff, by selected discussion leaders from among our African colleagues. We had hoped to make the papers available some time before the start of the workshop, but we have not been able to do so for logistic reasons. We offer our apologies, but are certain that this particular handicap will be offset by the extensive knowl edge and experience our lead discussants possess on the subject matter addressed by the papers. We expect the lead discussants to take the floor first after the papers have been presented, this to be followed by a general discussion, except in those cases where there is only provision for open discussion. In the final analysis, the outcome of this workshop will have to be judged more by how much it will succeed in imparting better knowledge from the experience and the generation of new ideas than by the logistics which have gone into its organisation and running. My colleagues in Training and Conferences, Liaison and Travel hope that your participation will be useful and fruitful and that your days inside and outside this conference hall will be enjoyable. Finally, let me be permitted to thank on behalf of ILCA those individuals and institutions outside ILCA who have been instrumental in assisting the workshop to take place. We would like to thank Dr. Barry Nestel for his support and advice both on the concept and structure of the workshop and in obtaining IDRC support. Our sincere thanks also go to IDRC who financed a substantial portion of the cost of the workshop. We are most thankful and appreciative of Dr. Hubert Zandstra, Associate Director of IDRC's Agriculture Food and Nutrition Sciences Division and Dr. Bruce Scott, IDRC Region; 1 Director in Nairobi, without whose continued help and interest it would have been difficult for many of us to attend. - 10 - The development experience Stephen Sandford Economist, Livestock Policy Unit, ILCA, Ethiopia The purpose of this paper is to set our consideration of pastoral systems research within the framework of the experience of livestock and pastoral development in Africa during the last half century. The paper starts with some preliminary background material and then turns to those elements in past experience which are of particular relevance to pastoral systems research. African livestock and pastoral background I shall start with some statistics on populations (mainly based on Jahnke, 1982). Pastoral systems occur mainly in arid and semi-arid zones, which together I call "dry regions". Dry regions occupy about 55 % of tropical Africa's land surface area- and account for 60 % of its ruminant livestock population (expressed in terms of tropical livestock units of 250 kg liveweight equivalent) . Not all the live stock of the dry regions are involved in pastoral systems. Depending on one's definition of a pastoral system, the proportion of tropical Africa's total ruminant livestock population involved in pastoral systems probably lies between 30 % (if one counts only the population of the arid zone) and 50 % (if one includes up to 2/3 of the livestock population of the semi-arid zone) . The figure for the human pastoral population is even more difficult to determine - largely due to problems of definition - but the true figure probably lies between 15 and 25 million people, representing 6-10 % of tropical Africa's total rural population. I now proceed to some data on productivity (drawn largely from Jasirowski, 1973, and de Montgolfier-Kouevi and Vlavonou, 1981). Between 1950 and 1970 Africa's human population grew at about 2.5 % - 75 % of its tsetse-free land surface area. 11 - per annum but meat and milk output grew at just over 2 %, indicating declining output per human caput. From 1970 until 1975 the rate of growth of the human population increased while that of livestock output decreased, indicating an even faster decline in per caput output. Effective demand, i.e. demand backed by cash to pay, has been rising faster than population so that the relation between domestic output and domestic demand has deteriorated at an even faster rate than per caput output. The result has been a decline in the export of livestock and their products and a rise in imports. Increases in the total output from African ruminants has more or less matched increases in total ruminant population. In other words there has been no apparent change in productivity per head of ruminants at least until the mid 1970s. As far as one can tell these figures for tropical Africa as a whole are matched by figures for the dry regions. I do not want to decry the devoted work of African national statisticians, and of FAO and ILCA staff who have laboured to produce chese statistics. However, they would be the first to agree that these figures are often not well based in reality. The general picture they convey is probably right but might be wrong. It is very difficult to find firm evidence concerning changes in the welfare of the human pastoral population in Africa. On the one hand there has been an encroachment by non-pastoralists into previously pastoral areas and there has been some population growth among pastoralists themselves. These factors suggest an increase in pressure on resources, with a probable consequent decline in welfare. On the other hand, mainly due to development of water supplies, the extent of the dry region effectively accessible to exploitation by livestock has increased, offsetting some of these pressures. Most studies by social anthropologists suggest a decline in pastoralists' welfare. However a very recent study (Jamal, 1983) of Somalia suggests that pastoralists, on average, fare significantly better than crop farmers, mainly because of changes in the ratios between the prices of livestock and grain which enabled pastoralists to buy more grain in exchange for each animal sold. But Somalia's - 12 - easy access to the oil-rich and meat-hungry markets of the Middle East may make it a special case. Although in terms of the welfare criteria traditionally used by pastoralists (e.g. ownership or consumption of livestock, meat and milk), the welfare, on average, of pastoralists has declined, this has been more than matched by increased access to a range of new goods and services. I suspect, therefore, that on average the material welfare of pastoralists has increased. However, most studies agree that inequality within pastoral societies has grown, for a variety of reasons, so that the absolute number of pas toralists below a given level of material welfare, i.e. the number of poor people, may have increased, and almost certainly there has been an increase in both the number and proportion of those who feel themselves to be under-privileged relative to some norm. An outline of pastoral development efforts Pastoral development in the past has consisted of a mixture of general programmes, e.g. veterinary services, and of special development projects. It is difficult to summarise effectively the extent of this mixture. On a financial scale we can note that the total cost of government livestock development efforts in all ecological zones of tropical Africa between 1960 and 1975 has been estimated as USjS 600 million (Wissocq, 1978). Funds committed only to those special livestock projects in dry areas of tropical Africa in which one donor - the World Bank - was involved between 1965 and 1980 amounted to VS$ 600 million and the livestock elements of further mixed crop-livestock projects in dry areas funded by the Bank amounted to a further US# 200 million (Sandford, 1981) . These figures should be viewed in relation to a total annual gross value of livestock output in all ecological regions of tropical Africa of about US$ 6 billion (at 1975 prices) if one excludes the value of traction and transport services supplied by livestock, and USj5 10 billion if one includes them (de Montgolfier- Kouevi and Vlavonou, 1981) . The nature of, i.e. the type of component involved in, pas toral development has tended to change over time with fashion and technology. In the 1920s and 1930s the main emphasis was on veter inary programmes to fight the three major diseases of the dry areas, 13 - rinderpest, contagious bovine pleuropneumonia and anthrax. From the 1920s onwards, but primarily from the 1950s, there was a tremendous surge in the development of water supplies. Over the same period there was a growth in commercial ranching in those regions with European settlers. In some cases as early as the 1930s, but more generally after the Second World War, there were attempts to introduce controlled grazing schemes in areas used by traditional pastoralists. Until the mid 1960s these efforts were financed primarily by domestic resources generated from within the countries of tropical Africa, with some external supplementation by private capital in the case of commercial ranching. The pace of development was rather slow and the main constraint was lack of finance for both staff and other forms of expenditure. After about 1965 there was a significant quickening in the pace of development with the arrival on the scene of both the World Bank and USAID as important financiers of pastoral development. Since the mid 1970s the EEC/EDF has also become a financier of pastoral development on a significant scale. From 1965 to 1980 finance was no longer the critical constraint but experienced staff (whether local or foreign) , viable components and suitable government policies and institutions became the main factors limiting progress. From 1965 until about 1975 great emphasis was put on the development of ranching, on the model of the European settlers' ranches, by individuals, parastatal organisations and cooperatives of pastoralists. At this time little emphasis was put on general veterinary services other than the Pan African JP 15 rinderpest campaign. From about 1974 onwards there was a progressive disenchant ment with commercial ranching and a determined search for other components. There was some return to favour of general veterinary programmes but these were oriented more than before to problems other than those of the three major diseases which had been the focus of attention in earlier periods. There was some emphasis on "stratifi cation", i.e. specialisation in production by regions and enterprises, with most attention being paid to intensive feedlots and to fattening of livestock on peasant smallholdings. Great emphasis was placed on - 14 - reforms in land tenure in pastoral areas, and especially on the association of relatively small groups of people with defined areas of land. This association was done on a smaller more detailed scale than the previous general association of one or two tribes with very large blocks of land. Sometimes this association of land and people took the title of "group ranches" (which have seldom behaved at all like commerical ranches) but in recent years the fashion has been to talk of "pastoral units". From World War II onwards there has been a fairly continuous interest by governments in the reforming marketing systems. This has often involved the introduction of direct trading by government or of government control over a private marketing system. Sometimes these marketing systems have been linked with processing facilities, sometimes not. The lessons from development efforts in the past Although livestock development in Africa has often been characterised as peculiarly disastrous, in fact from 1963 to 1975 (de Montgolvier- kouevi and Vlavonou, 1981) the growth rate of livestock output was practically identical with that of crop output. The most recent figures show that in the last decade (1969/71-1979/81) meat and milk output grew faster than cereal output (FAO Production Year Books) . However there has been virtually no change in output (productivity) per ruminant; and there seems little reason to believe that there has been any increase in the primary productivity (herbage yield per unit area) of accessible grazing land. The increase in total output has been achieved by increases in livestock numbers, and these increases have been made possible either by grazing a higher proportion of the existing vegetation on land always accessible, or by increasing the area of land accessible. The livestock system has been extended but not intensified. In extending the system two kinds of improvement have predominated - the control of rinderpest permitting increases in cattle numbers, and the development of water supplies permitting increases in the area of land exploited. In both cases institutional and administrative as well as technological changes were involved. - 15 - Earlier huge losses from rinderpest were initially reduced by an administrative device - quarantine - albeit at high social cost. The subsequent development of a safe, easy-to-administer vaccine made rinderpest control much easier, more reliable and less costly to all, but the problem was already essentially under control, through quarantine, long before the tissue culture vaccine was developed. Improved technology played an earlier role in water development, in the form of hydrological skills, better borehole technology and machines that could move large quantities of earth quicker and more cheaply than could be done by hand. But the use of improved water technology - developed elsewhere - was in most places only made possible by organisational changes which permitted economies of scale in the employment of expertise, the acquisition and use of equipment and the raising of the necessary finance. I am afraid that I have to point out here that in these most successful forms of pastoral improvement nothing remotely resembling what this workshop will define as pastoral systems research was employed. Both the technological and the organisational techniques employed were developed elsewhere and largely for other purposes, and very little thought or adaptation with respect to local circum stances were employed. When we turn from extensive development to the intensifi cation of production, i.e. the application of new skills and inputs to raise yields and values, there has been very little success in tropical Africa on any scale - either in increasing yields per head of livestock or, more importantly, per hectare of pastoral land. Yet yields and values have been raised elsewhere - both in pastoral areas in other countries and in non-pastoral forms of livestock production in the countries of tropical Africa. The relative failure to itensify production in pastoral areas in tropical Africa can be attributed to a number of causes. In some cases there has been simple neglect. Deliberately or through lack of interest very little effort has been made in many countries to intensify production. In some cases this has been caused by a belief that pastoral production cannot be intensified or that this can only be done at the expense of ecological degradation. - 16 - In many cases government policies towards the livestock sector in general - or to the pastoral subsector in particular - have been defective. There may have been wrong policies, or contradictory policies, or simply an absence of policy. By policy in this case I mean some general issue, e.g. land tenure, pricing of commodities, organisation, etc., that is not related to some specific intervention for pastoral development. In some cases the problem has concerned organisation and staff for specific pastoral development programmes. Staff have been too few, poorly trained and inadequately motivated. Organisations have been established with the wrong structure and work has been poorly coordinated. Administrative procedures, e.g. for procurement or financial control, have been inappropriate; and funds have either not been provided at all or were provided too late to be of proper usej However when all other causes have been taken into account the fact remains that in many cases the failure to intensify pro duction arose from attempting misconceived interventions and from a failure to try interventions which would have succeeded. These errors must have been due to ignorance. Ignorance can be put right by general training and by research. It is to research and knowledge I now turn. Before looking at some specific issues there are some general comments to be made. Three years ago I did a desk review of about 30 livestock projects in dry tropical Africa which were financed by one donor. Two main points of interest emerged. The first was the low expenditure on research of any kind. In general agricultural projects financed by this donor approximately 3 % of total project expenditure was allocated to research. By contrast in livestock projects in dry tropical Africa only 1.5 % was so allocated. The second major point of interest was the indifference shown by project planners to the technical base for their interventions. This was not in general true of veterinary innovations. In the case of veterinary interventions considerable attention was paid in the project appraisal documents to their technical base, i.e. to the evidence that the innovation proposed would have the expected results. But in the case - 17 - of other innovation* - especially range management innovations - extremely little attention seems to have been paid to the technical base (Sandford, 1981). I now turn to some particular examples of interventions which have taken place in pastoral development which are relevant to our consideration of pastoral systems research (PSR) . I do not want to preempt what my collegues are going to say about the nature of PSR as a member of a general body of approaches more usually referred to as farming systems research (FSR) . Let me however stress here four aspects of PSR. Firstly, PSR is concerned with a production system as a whole. Although particular elements in the system may be the ones on which attention is focused, nevertheless this is in the context of a general understanding of the system as a whole and of the relation of the elements selected to other elements. Secondly, in PSR consider-* able attention is paid to understanding the whole system before attention is focused on particular elements within it or before at tempting to change these elements. Thirdly, PSR, in contrast to approaches more dominated by technological or commodity interests, is characterised by the attention paid to the pastoralists ' own points of view. Fourthly, in PSR research is not only carried out on research stations. A crucial element in PSR is the testing of proposed innovations in pastoralists' own enterprises and under the conditions which pastoralists usually face. Three examples of relevance to a pastoral systems research approach I now look at three examples of interventions where, I believe, a PSR approach might have led to greater success or to less costly failure. In one country the pastoral areas were partitioned into 2 huge "divisions" - of the order of 6 000 km each - which were in turn divided into "paddocks". The range management intervention proposed was one in which a particular set of pastoralists would be associated with a particular range division, water supplies would be developed in each paddock, and the range management activities would then, with the help of a committee of pastoralists, determine which paddocks - 18 - could be "open for use" at any one time and which "closed" in order to implement a rest-and-rotation system. On the whole this programme has not been successful; and one can identify at least three major reasons for this. Firstly, the programme did not adequately recognize the enormous spatial variability of rainfall, and the absolute necessity of allowing livestock to move from one division to another according to recent rainfall rather than confining them to particular divisions regardless of conditions. Secondly, the programme treated the live stock as homogeneous and failed to recognize that rotation of livestock between paddocks in a rather inflexible way prevented herders from providing particular species or classes of animals the particular types of vegetation, water and minerals which they needed at particular times. Both these problems arose from the failure of the authorities to recognize the rationale behind the existing land use system. The third main reason for the lack of success was that no research on range management methods was carried out in that area prior to the project's implementation. The explicit assumption was that range management techniques for rest and rotation developed in the USA would be an improvement on the existing system of land use and that variations in these techniques could subsequently be made to suit local conditions. However, no further local research was carried out for at least the first 10 years of the project; and there is still no evidence that the management techniques suggested - and which the local pastoralists have ignored - would have raised land productivity. My second example relates to the record of livestock re search programmes in Africa in general rather than to a particular project. In a number of cases trials have been carried out on research stations on animal management practices, e.g. breeding seasons, supplementary feeding, and as a result recommendations have been made about practices which appear to be highly profitable. Pastoralists and other livestock owners have not followed these recommended practices because in their circumstances the practices have been unfeasible or uneconomic. - 19 - In a number of countries governments have intervened in marketing systems in order to improve their efficiency and provide pastoralists with higher prices for their livestock. Common among such interventions have been restricting permission to trade to those traders able to fulfill certain license conditions, and insisting that all trading takes place in formal markets, that sale be by auction and that livestock to be sold first be weighed. Such marketing inter ventions have usually been unsuccessful, firstly because no attempt was made to assess objectively the efficiency of the pre-intervention marketing situation - which was just assumed to be costly, inefficient and subject to manipulation by traders for their own profit; secondly, because often it was assumed that the function of livestock marketing was to extract beef animals from rural areas for urban consumption or export, and it was not realized that often the vast majority of transactions were of breeding animals, or animals for draught purposes - transactions for which sale by weight at auction is highly unsuitable. Also the long time interval between market days which may be suitable for the extraction of beef cattle from rural areas is highly unsuitable for transactions in smallstock and in cattle for other purposes. In other words the proponents of the interventions failed to understand pastoralists' or other livestock owners' purposes or needs in marketing stock and failed to have adequate regard for their point of view. Conclusions PSR is relatively new in Africa, and I do not want to preempt the discussions of the concluding sessions of this workshop by either wholeheartedly supporting or disclaiming PSR. Let me end by reemphasizing five points. 1. Although increases in livestock production in pastoral areas of tropical Africa have occurred in the past these increases came about by the extension of existing systems rather than through their intensification. 2. Intensification of production has not yet been sussessful in pastoral areas. 20 - 3. Part of the reason for this lack of success has been ignorance about which interventions should be introduced. 4. Part of the reason for this ignorance has been the generally inadequate volume of livestock related research. 5. However, part of the reason for the lack of success has been the making of inappropriate interventions due to a failure to carry out some of the stages included in PSR. In particular there has been a failure to understand the present system - both in terms of what people want to do (their ends) and why they adopt the means they do. Also critical has been the failure to test innovations developed elsewhere or those tested on research stations under the specific conditions of the natural and social environment faced by the pastoralists for which the particular innovation is planned. References De Montgolf ier-Kouevi, C. and Vlavonou, A. 1981. Trends and prospects for livestock and crop production in tropical Africa. ILCA Working Document No. 5, Addis Ababa. Jahnke, H.E. 1982. Livestock production systems and livestock development in tropical Africa. Kieler Wissenschaf tsverlag Vauk, Kiel. Jamal, V. 1983. Nomads and farmers: incomes and poverty in rural Somailia. In Dharam Ghai and Samin Radwan (Eds) (1983) Agrarian policies and rural poverty in Africa, ILO, Genena. Jasirowski, H.A. 1983. Twenty years with no progress ? World Animal Review 5: 1973. Sandford, S. 1981. Review of World Rank livestock activities in dry tropical Africa. Unpublished report. ILCA, Addis Ababa. Wissocq, Y. 1978. Livestock development projects in Africa south of the Sahara: a review of the period 19(1-1975. Unpublished report. ILCA, Addis Ababa. - 21 Expérience en matière de développement Résumé Le thème de ce document porte sur l'analyse de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux dans le cadre du développement de l'élevage en Afrique au cours du dernier demi-siècle. Les zones arides sur lesquelles vivent 60% des ruminants de l'Afrique tropicale couvrent 55% de la superficie du continent. La proportion de la population totale de ruminants de l'Afrique élevés dans les systèmes pastoraux se situe probablement entre 30 et 50%. Entre 1950 et 1970, la population humaine de l'Afrique a approximativement augmenté au rythme de 2,5% par an mais la croissance de la production carnée et laitière ne dépassait guère 2%, ce qui indique une baisse de la production par habitant. De 1970 à 1975, le taux de croissance de la population humaine a augmenté alors que celui de la production annuelle diminuait, traduisant ainsi une chute encore plus rapide de la production par habitant. En conséquence, on a observé une baisse des exportations de bétail et de produits animaux parallèlement à une augmentation des importations d'animaux et de produits de l'élevage. Autrefois, le développement pastoral était synonyme d'un ensemble hétérogène de programmes à caractère général. Après 1965, il y a eu une accélération remarquable du rythme du développement, notamment avec l'arrivée sur la scène de la Banque mondiale et de 1' Agency for International Development des Etats-Unis (USAID), toutes deux grands bailleurs de fonds dans le secteur du développement pastoral. Durant la seconde moitié des années 70, la CEE/FED est entrée elle aussi dans le club des grands bailleurs de fonds des projets de développement. Mais dans l'ensemble, c'est à une extension plutôt qu'à une intensi fication du système d'élevage qu'on a assisté. Celle-ci se caractérisait par deux types d' améliorations : la lutte contre la peste bovine qui permet d'accroître la population bovine et la mise en valeur des ressources en eau qui permet d'augmenter la superficie des terres exploitées. Malheureusement, dans la mise en oeuvre de ces formes très adéquates d'amélioration pastorale, rien n'a été envisagé en ce qui concerne la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux. - 22 L'intensification de la production animale en Afrique tropicale ne s'est pas réalisée. Pour certains programmes de développement pastoral, les raisons qui expliquent cet échec tiennent sûrement à la négligence des responsables mais aussi aux contradictions et à l'incohérence des politiques gouvernementales tout comme aux carences en matière d'organisation et de personnel. Dans plusieurs cas, l'échec a été causé par le choix d'interventions inopportunes à la place d'autres interventions qui auraient pu être couronnées de succès. Dans la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux, l'accent est mis sur la compréhension de l'ensemble du système avant celle des composantes particulières du système ou avant toute tentative d'intervention sur ces composantes. Contrairement aux approches qui privilégient la technologie ou les produits, la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux se caractérise par l'importance accordée au point de vue de l'éleveur. L'un des éléments les plus remarquables de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux c'est qu'elle prévoit le test des innovations envisagées au niveau de l'exploitation elle-même dans les conditions dans lesquelles vivent habituellement les éleveurs. Quoique par le passé on ait pu enregistrer des accroissements de la production animale dans les zones pastorales de l'Afrique tropicale, ceux-ci étaient plutôt le fruit de l'expansion des systèmes existants que de leur intensification. L'intensification de la production dans les zones pastorales s'est jusqu'ici soldée par un échec. Cet échec s'explique dans une large mesure par l'incapacité d'identifier les types d'interventions appropriées. Cette lacune s'explique en partie par le volume généralement inadéquat de la recherche sur l'élevage. Mais cet échec procède également d'interventions inadéquates qui s'expliquent par le fait que certaines étapes de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux ont été négligées. En particulier, on ne s'est pas attaché à comprendre le système actuel et à expliquer notamment les objectifs des populations concernées et la raison pour laquelle elles adoptent les moyens dont elles se dotent. Autre aspect important de cet échec: on n'a pas essayé les innovations mises au point sous d'autres cieux ou - 23 - au niveau des stations de recherche dans les conditions spécifiques de l'environnement naturel et social de l'éleveur auquel ces innovations sont destinées. - 24 Towards a framework for pastoral systems research Cees de Haan Deputy Director General, ILCA, Ethiopia Introduction The International Livestock Centre for Africa (ILCA) has adopted a systems approach to research since its inception in 1975. This strategy originated from ILCA's Foundation Report, which stated that 'technical answers are available to many of the specific problems facing livestock development in Africa, but the major constraint lies in introducing change into existing socio-economic systems, exacer bated by inexperience in adapting technology to suit local conditions' (Nestel et al,1973). The approach was reinforced by the growing realisation as experienced in development projects that the results of classical on-station research, whether in Africa or elsewhere, and Western technology could not be transferred directly to African traditional systems. A better understanding of those systems, and adaptive research was necessary to identify relevant improvements. When ILCA started its research no methodology for livestock systems research (LSR) was readily available, and a considerable amount of time and resources was spent on developing methods of studying and understanding the complexity of livestock production systems, and on defining ways in which available technology could best be tested within a particular production system. With the emergence of a farming systems research (FSR) methodology (Gilbert et al, 1980; Byerlee et al,1980; Shaner et al, 1982) , ILCA has attempted to develop a systems approach analogous to the framework used in FSR, although the greater genetic variability of livestock, the lower degree of control because of mobility, the daily rather than seasonal inputs required for livestock, their multiple usages, and the greater influ ence of individual management makes LSR more complex than cropping systems research. Additionally in pastoral systems the greater mobility of people and livestock, problems of land tenure, and the - 25 - limited scope for improvements, adds to the complexity in the application of the approach. This paper gives an overview of the ILCA research framework and highlights some of the results obtained. It focuses on pastoral systems of arid and semi-arid zones, but also includes the linkages with cropping in agropastoral systems. It uses mainly examples from ILCA's own field research in the Sahelian environment of Mali, and the semi-arid areas of Kenya and Ethiopia but also incorporates other situations in more humid areas or where ILCA was only indirectly involved. Objectives of livestock systems research The objective of livestock systems research (as in FSR) is to assist in the generation of relevant improvements for. the well-being of a certain target population. These improvements can be technical and socio-economic in nature. LSR is not responible for the extension of a new technology, or for making complete baseline surveys or management plans for a certain region. These distinctions should be emphasised, as it immediately puts limits on the number of producer units and the kind of parameters under study, the level of details in observations made, the frequency of data collection, etc. For example in a pastoral area, LSR would describe the relationship between water resources and rangelands utilisation, diagnose labour and sanitary constraints for the extraction and use of the different types of water points, assess the effect of those constraints on animal productivity and identify users' rights. It would then use this information to design and test relevant technology, which could overcome those constraints. It would not make a complete inventory of all water points in the region, nor conduct a hy- drological study of all underground water available. The latter tasks are clearly the responsibility of a development agency, which should use the technology developed and tested through LSR to design and implement water improvement schemes for the region. - 26 - Stages in LSR LSR as defined above consists of a sequence of stages, designed to identify constraints in a particular system, and through experimen tation or available knowledge identify possible solutions. These solutions are then tested in real life situations, initially with a high degree of scientific control, and as positive effects are noted with increasing producer participation and decreasing scientific involvement and control. Table 1 gives the different terms used in each of the stages. Table 1. The terms used in the stages of livestock systems research Stage Object of observations 1. Descriptive 2. Diagnostic 3. Design researcher managed/ executed 4. Testing a. researcher managed/ farmer executed b. farmer managed/farmer executed 5. Extension Natural, livestock and human resources, production systems Constraints, in order of priority research requirements, chances of success to overcome them Possible solutions through on- station experimentation or body of knowledge Producer management of improvements Acceptability of improvements Evaluation of technical and socio economic impact of improvement Source: Adapted from Shaner et al (1982) and Norman (1982). Three points should be emphasised in this context : 1. The different stages can overlap, e.g. it is not necessary to complete the whole diagnostic phase before any design or testing activity can take place. - 27 - 2. Although the classical approach is to start with the descriptive phase, the research process can be initiated at any stage. 3. Continuous data analysis is essential for feed-back of results and rapid progress from the descriptive/diagnostic phase to the testing phase. Micro-computers can play a useful role in this process. If no computing facilities are available, the data collec tion system should be organised in such a way that calculators can do the analysis. Some considerations on sampling framework in LSR With the increasing limitation on funds and the pressure from devel opment agencies on research institutes to provide improvement the emphasis is on using rapid and low-cost appraisal techniques. Sample selection can be an important tool in enhancing the cost effectiveness of the c.iagnostic and testing phase. ILCA's results indicate that the following parameters are important in determining the management strategy, and therefore the profile of possible improvements, and should be considered in the sampling framework. 1. The livestock/man ratio ("rich vs poor"). It becomes increasingly apparent that a different degree of livestock wealth results in different management. For example, in the pastoral areas of Niger, Wilson and Wagenaar (1983) found a marked decrease in offtake with increasing herd size (see Table 2). Table 2. Relation between herd size and offtake of WoDaaBe herds in Northern Niger (1983) Herd size Offtake* (%) per year 5-10 5.9 11-15 10.9 16-20 4.7 21-25 4.3 >25 315 * Sales, slaughter and gifts Source : Wilson and Wagenaar (1982) . - 28 - In this example the category owning between 11 and 15 animals also sold females which indicated that they were forced to sell. The poorest category could not sell, and practised migratory labour. Further examples of the importance of livestock/man ratio, and a rapid method of assessing the relative wealth will be given by Bekure and Grandin later in the workshop. 2. Men vs women. As shown by ILCA's subhumid programme in northern Nigeria (ILCA, 1982) there is often a conflict of interest in the male and female economic sphere particularly over milk offtake and sales. Milk offtake normally benefits the women, whereas the proceeds of livestock sales go directly to the men. Improvements like supplementary feeding, which are financed by men, therefore should not only result in increased milk offtake, but also in in creased rates of calf survival, and at a later phase improvements should benefit both groups in order to avoid future inequities. In pastoral systems research, both groups should therefore be included in the sampling framework. 3. 'On-road' vs 'off-road' producers. Especially in agro- pastoral systems research activities tend to focus on the easily accessible 'on-road producer. Access to a road, as shown in Table 3 for the Ethiopian highlands, to a considerable extent affects producers' strategy, and therefore should be one of the considerations in selecting the sample. - 29 - Table 3. Average livestock holdings per household of on-road and off-road producers* in the Ethiopian highlands Livestock ' On-road' 'Off-road'* Cows Local breeds 2.1 Crossbreeds 0.4 Oxen 1.8 Sheep 4.9 Goats 0.2 Donkeys 1.0 1.6 1.6 8.5 0.3 1.2 * Minimum of 2.5 hours away from an all-weather road. Source : Gryseels (per. coram .) . Descriptive and diagnostic phase The descriptive phase consists of a literature review and a general reconnaissance of the resources and production systems of the target region. It will generally provide an indication of the nature of the constraints but not a quantitative assessment of their importance or their priority ranking. The descriptive phase should be kept short (one to six months) to move as soon as possible into the diagnostic phase. The different methods used by ILCA in the descriptive and diagnostic phase for resource assessment, and the measurement of vegetation, vegetation trends, animal productivity, importance of diseases, nutrition, resource allocation within the producers' units, and marketing will be presented in detail in this workshop, and are therefore not reviewed in this paper. Some results which merit special mention and which have assisted in developing ILCA's overall programme are : - 30 - 1. Herd and flock management practices by individual owners seems to be one of the most important single factors affecting productivity. For example, Wilson et al (1982) found in central Mali the ratios of the production index (production kg per year per kg metabolic weight of breeding female) given in Table 4. Table 4. Ratios of production index of small ruminants in the agro-pastoral system of central Mali Source of variation Ratio Goats Sheep Overall mean 1.47 2.31 Parity All parities/ first 1.40 1.23 Season of birth Best/worst 1.23 1.14 System Rice/millet 1.58 1.33 Flock (millet) Best /worst 2,.43 (rice) Best/worst 5 .58 Source : Wilson et al (1982). Similar results were obtained in ILCA's Kenyan programme both with cattle and small ruminants. This is all the more surprising because grazing is communal to all and different owners have the same access to this principal resource. Individual management skills therefore seem to play a more important role than previously reported. However, ILCA has not yet defined the components which determine those management practices. In view of their overriding importance, more attention is presently being given to quantify these factors. Indeed if those parameters could be better quantified, and if through extension the management of the below-average flocks and herds could be raised to higher levels, considerable productivity gains could be obtained. - 31 - 2. Strong linkages already exist between livestock and crop ping, and the enhancement of these linkages merits a high priority in research, because they form a relatively easy entry point for improvement . On an Africa-wide scale Brumby (1983) observed a significant correlation between the increase of total cereal production and cattle numbers, e.g. that each extra number in the cattle population was associated with an extra 0.25 ha of crop land and about 200 kg of annual grain output. On a regional basis, the strong relationship between livestock and cropping was shown by ILCA's aerial survey work in several systems. For example, Table 5 demonstrates this inte gration for central Nigeria. Table 5. Relationship between livestock and cropping in central Nigeria % area cultivated Cattle density wet season dry season < 10 10-34 35-60 7.7 40.0 16.6 48.5 21.4 50.6 22.4 45.7> 60 Source: Miligan, 1980. The beneficial nature of this relationship expresses itself differently in the various situations. For example ILCA's systems studies in central Mali demonstrated a very clear effect of livestock ownership on millet yields, probably through the manure linkage (see Table 6) . - 32 - Table 6. Relation between village field millet yields (kg/ha) and livestock ownership in central Mali Millet yield (kg/ha) Year Households cattle ; with Household without cattle 1980 1981 679 637 * 440 Source : Fulton and Toulmin (1982). 439 A similar close relationship in the field of animal traction was found by Gryseels (1983) in the Ethiopian highlands. His results clearly show a marked increase in the crop area cultivated by each family as well as a significant change in cropping patterns to higher value cereals as oxen numbers increase (see Table 7). Similar trends were observed by ILCA's central Mali studies (Fulton and Toulmin, 1982). Table 7. Relationship between area cultivated, cropping pattern and oxen ownership in the Ethiopian highlands No. of oxen Area cultivaited Area under Are.a under per farmer (ha) cereals (%) pul;ses (%) 0 1.2 54 46 1 1.9 44 56 2 2.7 67 33 3 or more 3.6 92 8 Source : Gryseels (1983)- - 33 - These findings have directed to a considerable extent the focus of ILCA's research thrust; for example, activities aimed at strengthening the integration of crops and livestock (legume agronomy, animal traction) are receiving approximately 150 % more funding in 1983 than in 1981. Even more important than the specific results, although less tangible, is the understanding ILCA staff have gained of systems and systems research after five years of work. The identification of improvements Possible improvements are identified and designed by the systems team, tentatively during the descriptive phase, but increasingly during the diagnostic phase. It should be emphasized that the identification of improvements and their priority ranking must be a team effort. Quan titative models describing the input/output relationships at the different systems levels are useful in assisting the team in the decision-making process. The plant/animal sub-component is adequately represented by ILCA's herd productivity model. This model is being used to estimate the effect of supplementation or management strategies, such as the effect of early weaning, watering frequencies and distance to water on livestock productivity, and can therefore be used to rank the priorities for field research (Konandreas and Anderson, 1982; Konandreas et al, 1983). A simple example of an input/output model at the producers' unit level for the Ethiopian Borana system is graphically represented in Figure 1. - 34 - Rain 600 mm Solar energy 750 kj cm2 80 ha wet season 50 ha dry season LAND — (100 ha) T WATER 400 1/day 200 ton dry matter1 (Exc. browse) CATTLE SMALLSTOCK CAMELS 1 bull 9 cows 4-5 Q immature 4 Cf immature 6-10 sheep 7-9 goats Purchase of grain 200-300 kg/yr 5-6 cows in milk I 2000 1/yr I Family consumption 1 Milk in dry season? Sales US$ 300 ' Food requirement of cattle and smallstock about 45 tons DM/yr. Figure 1: Input /output relationships of a Borana pastoral production unit in southern Ethiopia - 35 - This particular example also illustrates the multi- disciplinary approach to the identification of improvements. In the Borana system the herd demography study revealed a significant differen tial mortality between female and male calves (see Table 8) . This is caused by a heavy reliance of the Borana on milk for subsistence, which probably forces them to slaughter male calves to enable a faster reproduction and to allow less suckling to increase the amount of milk available for human consumption. However, this strategy conflicts with government objectives aimed at increasing the meat offtake from these rangelands. An obvious way therefore to reduce this calf mortality, and to increase total offtake from this particular system, is to increase either the total milk yield or the amount of available grain to reduce dependence on milk. The joint ILCA/RDP (Ethiopian Pangelands Development Project) team therefore will shortly be testing the feasibility of millet cultivation around the heavily manured permanent dry-season camps and has started work on legume introduction for dry-season supplementation. Table 8. Age I sex distribution (%) of cattle herds in southern Ethiopia (dry and lactating herds combined) Age/sex distribution (%) Male 9.3 6.3 Source : Cossins (pers. coram.) . The design phase The assumption that the new technology for improving Africa's traditional livestock production systems would be available, is only partially true. Generally it can be said that in the field of animal health and animal nutrition there exists a whole range of improvements, which can immediately be tested under pastoral con- Female Calf 12.2 Immature 14.7 - 36 - ditions, However, in the field of range management and in the integration of forage production into cropping systems, the available body of knowledge is still extremely scarce, and no clear-cut sol utions to identified constrains are available. Production par ameters have to be established, therefore, initially under controlled conditions, e.g. in on-station research. It is therefore essential that LSR has access to good research station facilities. One major distinction between LSR and classical research station experiments relates to the identification of the treatments. In LSR the treatments are defined by the socio-economic and political framework determined in the diagnostic phase. If for example the supply of fertilizer or agricultural equipment is not expected in the near future, such inputs would not be used in the experimental design. The testing phase Once the improvements have been formulated they have to be tested under producers' conditions. The object of these tests is to obtain scientifically valid conclusions regarding the effect of improvements and to assess producers' acceptance. The first objective dis tinguishes systems research from extension. In extension improvements are normally introduced without control groups, and without built-in scientific comparisons. In systems research the objective is not to cover the whole target population, but to make a scientifically valid comparison regarding the effect of certain treatments (improvements) on a minimum required sample size. This means that systems research should always have a with/ without comparison on a representative sample, simultaneously carried out under similar environmental conditions. A before/after comparison as carried out in many development projects will always have the confounding effect of different environmental conditions. For this comparison, matched pairs of animals with similar characteristics within a herd or flock are preferred when inputs are very easily administered. ILCA is following this experimental procedure for example in the case of animal health inputs, and in concentrate supplementation in northern Nigeria. If the improvements -37 proposed require major changes in management strategies, or different organisational structures, then comparisons have to be carried out on a whole farm, or whole herd, basis. Examples of this procedure are to be found in ILCA's programme testing the use of fodder banks in northern Nigeria, and forage production and crossbreeding for dairy production in the Ethiopian highlands. The latter programme, although not a pastoral system, illustrates the value of continued systems research. Although the initial results (Gryseels and Anderson, 1983) showed a very positive impact of the introduction of crossbreds and forage production (annual milk yield increased sevenfold to 2300 kg, cash income fourfold to US $ 800, food grain production by 40 %) , changes in the cropping pattern clearly Remonstrated the need for more research on forage production. It was shown that farmers: 1. replaced their crop yielding the lowest gross margin (pulses) to grow forages with a resulting negative long-term effect on soil fertility; 2. allocated labour for soil preparation first to cereal crops, rather than the forages; and 3. applied fertilizers only to cereal crops because of recent increases in fertilizer prices. This in turn has caused ILCA to allocate more resources to the search for leguminous pasture plants requiring low labour and low fertilizer input. The first on-farm trial with a perennial grass legume mixture will start in 1983. Improved range management practices are particularly difficult to test under pastoral conditions, and generally new organisational forms are required a priori. Even so, a good understanding of a traditional system frequently offers opportunities: 1. In the Malian delta, traditional forms of land tenure offer the possibility of establishing pastoral units which would enable the introduction of improved grazing schemes (ODEM/CIPEA, 1983 Wilson et al, 1983). 2. In Niger, building upon traditional water rights, a promising grazing scheme developed on a government station will be tested with a small number of experimental herders associations. Soon to be established water points under the control of those herders associations form the mechanism for testing this grazing scheme. - 38 - 3. In the Kenyan group ranches, individual ownership of certain pastures allows the introduction of legume fodder banks to overcome the dry-seaon nutritional stress. ILCA plans to introduce fodder banks in on-herd trials in 1983. Extension phase Once the improvement has been satisfactorily tested under producers' conditions in farmer managed, farmer executed trials, it can pass to the extension service for further implementation. This will generally be carried out in the framework of a development project. It is important to evaluate the improvement and, in this phase especially, its socio-economic impact. The direct involvement of a research institute in this evaluation is questionable. Ideally the project or extension structure will include the capabilities for the technical and socio-economic evaluation of the improvement. In the absence of such a structure and the information still being required, it should be national research institutes who take responsi bility for this often politically sensitive task. The degree of ILCA's direct involvement is an open question. In any case, the evaluation procedures should be simple and be focused on the specific improvement introduced. If a particular improvement is to be successful, it should produce a considerable gain in productivity and income, or added security. The data collec tion system to study the impact could therefore be reduced in sampling frequency and size. Qualitative information allowing the identification of trends in this case might be given more emphasis. ILCA's future role in LSR , Livestock systems research is location specific, focusing on a particular target zone. It cannot be the role of an international centre like ILCA to take direct responsibility for the whole African production system. Rather, ILCA sees its role as 1. further developing the systems methodology for each of the major ecological zones, 2. developing improvements for the constraints identified in those zones, and 3. simultaneously assisting national research and develop- - 39 ment agencies in establishing their own in-house capabilities. The interest which has recently emerged is encouraging. - In northern Nigeria, ILCA is actively cooperating with scientists from the National Animal Production Research Institute (NAPRI) in establishing an LSR group, which focuses on an agropastoral system near Shika. - In Mali, ILCA has recently signed a contract with the Institute National de Recherche Zootechnique Forestier et Hydro- biologique (INRZF) to assist in the establishment of a LSR group in the institute to focus on smallholder mixed farmers in southern Mali. - Negotiations are at an advanced stage with the Directorate of Research and Special Services in Zimbabwe to assist them in the establishment of an LSR capability, focusing initially on two mixed farming systems, in high and medium potential areas respectively. - The Government of the Cameroons has recently approached ILCA to assist them in developing LSR capabilities in the Institute de Recherche Zootechnique (IRZ) focusing initially on three different production systems there. Summary The complexity of livestock production systems in sub-Saharan Africa, and the multiple objectives of its producers requires that whole systems rather than components be studied. Livestock systems research, as practised by ILCA over the last year, represents an approach to such studies. By applying this approach ILCA has gained considerable knowledge of the constraints and opportunities in pastoral and agropastoral systems. The testing of improvements under producers' conditions is a crucial and essential part of this approach. Livestock systems present particular difficulties in implementing these tests. Some experience has been gained but more methodology development is still required for this phase. ILCA sees its role as that of further exploring these issues, assisting national agencies in developing systems research capa bilities, and developing relevant improvements to the constraints 40 - identified. With this combination of research thrusts ILCA believes that a sustained gain in African livestock productivity and overall food production can be achieved. References Brumby, P.J. 1983. Alternative strategies for dairy development. Paper presented at the Seminar on Agricultural Research in Kigali, Rwanda. ILCA, Addis Ababa. Byerlee, D., Collinson, M.P., Perrin, P.K., Winkelman, D.L., Biggs, S., Moscardi, E.R., Martinez, J.C., Harrington, L. and Benjamin, A. 1980. Planning technologies appropriate to farmers: Concepts and procedures. CIMMYT, El Batan. Fulton, D. and Toulmin, C. 1982. Socio-economic study of an agro- pastoral system in central Mali. Draft Report: ILCA, Addis Ababa. Gilbert, E.H., Norman, D.W. and Winch, F.E. 1980. Farming systems research: A critical appraisal. M.S.U. Rural Development Paper No. 6. East Lancing, Michigan. Gryseels, G. 1983. Livestock in farming systems research for small holder agriculture: Experience of ILCA's Highland Programme. Paper presented at the Seminar on Agricultural Research in Kigali, Rwanda. ILCA, Addis Ababa. Gryseels, G. and Anderson, F.M. 1983. Research on farm and livestock productivity in the central Ethiopian highlands: Initial results. ILCA Research Report 4, Addis Ababa. ILCA (International Livestock Centre for Africa), 1982. Annual Report 1982. Addis Ababa. Konandreas, P. and Anderson, F.M. 1982. Cattle herds dynamics: An integer and stochastic model for evaluating production alternatives. ILCA Research Report 2, Addis Ababa. Konandreas, P., Anderson, F.M., and Trail, J. CM. 1983. Economic trade-offs between milk and meat production under various supplementation levels in Botswana. ILCA Research Report 10, In press. - 41 - Nestel, B., Pratt, D.J., Thome, M. and Tribe, D.E. 1973. Animal production and research in tropical Africa. Report of the Task Force commissioned by the African Livestock Sub committee of the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research. Washington, D.C. Norman, D. 1982. Institutionalizing the farming systems approach. Research paper presented at the African Bureau of Agricul tural and Rural Development Officers' Workshop at Ibadan, Nigeria. USAID, Washington, D.C. ODEM/CIPEA (Opération de développement de l'élevage dans la région de Mopti/Centre Internationale pour l'Elevage en Afrique). 1983. Recherche d'une solution aux problèmes de l'élevage dans le delta intérieur du Niger au Mali. 5 vols., Addis Ababa. Shaner, V.W., Philipp, P. F. and Schmehl, W.R. 1982. Farming systems research and development. Guidelines for developing countries. Westview Press, Colorado. Wilson, R.T. (éd.). 1982. Livestock production in central Mali. ILCA Bulletin 15, Addis Ababa. Wilson, R.T. and Wagenaar, K.T. 1983. Enquête préliminaire sur la démographie des troupeaux et sur la reproduction chez les animaux domestiques dans la zone du projet gestion des pâturages et élevage de la République du Niger. ILCA/Mali Working Document AZ 80, Bamako. Wilson, R.T., de Leeuw, P. and de Haan, C. (eds) . 1983. Systems research in the arid zones of Mali: Initial results. ILCA Research Report 5, Addis Ababa. - 42 - Vers un cadre de recherche sur les systèmes d'élevage Résumé Dès sa création en 1975, le CIPEA a adopté une approche par système analogue au cadre utilisé dans la recherche sur les systèmes d'exploitation agricole. Le présent document brosse un tableau général du cadre de recherche du CIPEA, présente certains des résultats qu'il a obtenus et met l'accent sur les systèmes pastoraux des zones arides et semi-arides. La recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux se propose de contribuer à l'amélioration de la qualité de la vie d'une certaine population-cible. Cette amélioration peut être technique et socio-économique. La recherche sur les systèmes d'élevage est une série d'étapes conçues pour identifier les contraintes d'un système particulier et les moyens d'éliminer celles-ci par le biais de l'expérimentation ou par l'utilisation des connaissances disponibles. Ces solutions sont par la suite testées dans les conditions de l'exploitation, tout d'abord sous le contrôle du chercheur, dont le rôle sera progressivement transféré au producteur, à mesure que les résultats enregistrés s'avéreront encourageants. Avec l'accroissement des restrictions budgétaires et des pressions qu'exercent les organismes de développement sur les instituts de recherche en vue de la mise au point par ceux-ci d'innovations, il faudrait privilégier l'utilisation de techniques rapides et peu coûteuses d'évaluation. La sélection des échantillons peut constituer un outil utile pour renforcer l'efficacité - coûts de la phase du diagnostic et de l'expérimentation. Les résultats obtenus par le CIPEA indiquent que les paramètres ci-dessous jouent un rôle important dans la détermination de la stratégie de gestion et partant, dans la forme des innovations éventuelles. Il faudrait donc en tenir compte dans la base d'échantillonnage: rapport bétail/homme (riche/ pauvre); homme/femme; producteur situé à proximité de la route/ éloigné de la route. - 43 - Lors de la phase de la description,on procède à un examen de la documentation et à une reconnaissance générale des ressources et des systèmes de production de la zone-cible. Cette phase fournit générale ment une idée de la nature des contraintes même si elle ne permet pas de procéder à une évaluation quantitative de leur importance ou de leur rang de priorité. Cette phase donne lieu à l'identification et à la mise au point d'améliorations potentielles par l'équipe étudiant le système. Ces activités s'intensifient au cours de la phase de diagnostic. Après la formulation des innovations, on doit procéder à des essais dans les conditions de l'exploitation. L'objet de ces essais est de confirmer scientifiquement les effets des améliorations et d'évaluer le degré de succès des innovations chez les producteurs. Une fois que les améliorations auront été testées dans les conditions de l'exploitation au cours d'essais dirigés et exécutés par les agriculteurs, on pourra passer à la phase de la vulgarisation pour une plus large diffusion. De telles activités s'effectuent généralement dans le cadre de projets de développement. La recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux s'effectue en un lieu spécifique, sur une zone-cible particulière. - 44 - Summary of Discussion Session 1 . Chairman: Dr. L.J. Lambourne (ILCA) Dr Choma referred to Dr de Haan's paper in which he mentioned possible on-station work during the design phase. Where would ILCA do this work in e.g. Kenya where it had no research station? Dr de Haan said that an LSR team working in a particular area did not have to do the on-station work itself but could involve other research groups in the process. If the results of ILCA's diagnostic phase indicated that on- station work was necessary, the co-operation of national authorities would be actively sought. Dr Chema asked at what stage of LSR should extension officers be involved; Dr de Haan said they should be involved at all stages. Dr Zulberti pointed out that in recent work on the main components of project success the early participation of farmers in the descriptive and diagnostic phases had been identified as one of the most important ones. Also the role of extensionists was crucial especially when testing was being done because of the multiplication effect of their participation. Dr de Haan agreed. Dr Zulberti suggested that participants used the term 'pastoral systems research' during the workshop rather than 'farming' or 'livestock systems research'. Dr de Haan explained that he had used the term 'livestock systems research' because he wanted to highlight the specific difficulties inherent in livestock as a part of an overall farming system. The focus of the workshop was indeed on pastoral systems, although he had given a broader scope in the opening paper. In referring to Mr Sandford's paper, Dr Zulberti said that the development of water systems was not necessarily a consequence of machinery reducing the cost of earth movement, because the ILO had data showing that the cost of earth movement was cheaper with hand labour. Mr Sandford pointed out that in most pastoral areas it was very difficult to hire people for manual labour and often pastoralists had a low productivity in this regard. - 45 - Dr Abel questioned whether or not there had been a sincere development effort in the arid and semi-arid areas - such areas were frequently marginal ones politically, economically and ecologically with their people poorly represented. Mr Sandford agreed that there were extreme difficulties in channeling development efforts to pastoral areas - he felt it was unrealistic to expect governments to commit large sums over long periods to the development of marginal areas. Development efforts needed to be self-supporting after as short an initial investment period as possible. Dr Sorbo said he felt that ILCA was confronted by two main problems in the field of systems investigations: the problem of improving the conceptual and data technical tools by which one approaches the realities of production systems; and the problem of applying these tools and techniques to finding solutions to decision-making in practical tasks. He felt ILCA's activities needed to be focused on both problems, not just the second. Dr de Haan agreed, but said that under pastoral producers' conditions ILCA's main focus should be on the testing of hypotheses e.g. making scientifically sound conclusions regarding the impact of improvements, but not going beyond the sample size and the inputs required to test the specific hypotheses. If that focus were kept in mind, the distinction between research and development would be clear. Dr Chema asked Mr Sandford to clarify what he had said about the control of rinderpest by quarantine. Mr Sandford said that quarantine was very difficult to administer and was very costly in terms of both government efforts and inconvenience to pastoralists. Tissue culture vaccine was in every way a vastly superior method of control. He said he had been making the point that quarantine had controlled rinderpest first, but was not advocating a return to quarantine control. Dr Rhissa said that he thought that the failure of projects to intensify animal production was not primarily due to the negligence of governments, the lack of adequate policies, bad co-ordination or poor planning. But rather this failure was due to the approach used in which the producer was not involved from the start of intensifica tion programmes. Dr Rhissa felt that ILCA should intervene only after - 46 - the state had determined its precise needs; ILCA could then after field studies apply a package of solutions which the state could choose and adapt according to their own needs. Mr Sandford agreed that development planners had tried to think and act too much on behalf of producers instead of directly involving them in the planning process. But he still thought that negligence, poor policies, and poor planning had also been major problems. Mr Sandford thought that there was a role for ILCA to intervene earlier than Dr Rhissa proposed. ILCA ought to be able to make valuable suggestions which themselves help populations and states to determine their precise needs. Dr Abel said that the understanding between local people and foreigners could be good and that in some countries the extension service was so alienated from the local farmers that only an outsider had a fair chance of getting useful information. Communication between farmers and scientists was both useful and possible. Dr von Kaufmann said that systems research was about change and was iterative. One could not expect farmers to comment easily on some thing new - their answers would be motivated by all sorts of reasons. Iteration meant going forward and seeing the farmers' reaction, then going back and adjusting the innovation, then putting it to the farmers again. Evaluation was a continuous process. Dr Diakite felt that Mr Sandford had not taken into account the problem of financing - finances were in general inappropriate, inadequate and conditional. Mr Sandford agreed that financing conditions were often quite inappropriate and that one expected too much too soon. But he doubted if the fact that one was dealing with 'traditional populations' had much to do with it. The problem was that development projects often tried to do foolish things rather than that traditional populations hesitated to do wise ones. Dr Diakite felt that Mr Sandford underestimated the importance of international health agreements. Mr Sandford thought that they were not necessarily well founded - indeed often they were manifestly not in the interests of developing countries. He believed that disease - 47 - eradication or control policy should not be regarded as sacrosanct but should be subject to review and justification from time to time. Prof. Saka Nuru said that it was acknowledged that national institutes had carried out research into various national livestock problems over the years with considerable success. However, traditional research had its limitations in that its direct application to the field was not feasible. ILCA's role was different in that it not only looked at the problem in its totality through its multi-discipli nary approach, but also carried the applied research to the farmers' level. However, ILCA had to continue to rely on the basic research resources of national institutions and to relate its work to the needs of the development agencies of each country. A closer link with national bodies was therefore desirable. Mr Sandford said that the way in which PSR had been described - and so defined - may have given the impression that the only 'output' of PSR was successfully tested improvements. There were other valuable outputs - which were only spin-offs of PSR as defined by Dr de Haan, but were the outputs of other ways of defining PSR. These outputs were in terms of the better understanding by everyone concerned in pastoral development. A piece of PSR which led to no successful improvements could still be valuable in terms of increased understan ding and consequently better oriented development efforts. Dr Bekure commented that if one confined systems research to the production of technology to increase productivity, one closed the door to research on e.g. marketing which did not deal with the producer directly but yet was important for the producers' incentives and for an understanding of producers' perceptions. Dr von Kaufmann agreed that testing technology was not the only subject for FSR. If the diagnostic phase revealed extension as the bottleneck, then FSR would focus on how many farmers should there be per extension officer, what would be the logistic package and how could the package be best presented to farmers. - 48 - Dr Grandin pointed out that ILCA was not involved in adaptive research/ extension for its own sake. ILCA's purpose was to understand the process of doing PSR, to work out the necessary methods. This could be done partially by other research activities which helped to evaluate the role or process of PSR. Dr Lambourne said that ILCA had a mandate which required it to "assist national efforts which seek to bring about a change in the systems of production..." ILCA thus had two roles: to look for ways of improving and changing existing production systems, and to find those systems which were best left in their present equilibrium because of ecological or social reasons. Dr Habou suggested that most livestock projects were more interested in the animal than in man - but in the long run man was the centre of any production system. Mr Sandford commented that the disregard in planning of the human element was much more obvious in the 1960s than either before or after that period. It was perhaps too early to judge whether the changes from the 1960s to the 1970s in this respect had led to better projects. Dr Ngutter suggested that ILCA should ask governments and research institutions what role they would like ILCA to play in their own countries rather than ILCA assuming they knew each country's problems a priori. Dr de Haan said that the essence of systems research was that the problems of a certain production system were not known a priori.. ILCA would see its involvement along the following lines: governments ask ILCA for a systems study in a certain target area chosen by the government; ILCA then decides in discussion with the government research and extension agencies the kind of co-operative agreements required. - 49 - Résumé des débats de la première séance Président: M. L.J. Lambourne (CIPEA) Le Dr Chema a fait allusion au document présenté par M. de Haan dans lequel celui-ci mentionnait des travaux éventuels au niveau de la station au cours de la phase de conception. Où est-ce que le CIPEA pourrait effectuer ces travaux, par exemple au Kenya où le Centre ne dispose pas de station de recherche? M. de Haan a déclaré qu'une équipe de RSP travaillant dans une zone donnée n'avait pas à effectuer elle-même les travaux au niveau de la station et qu'elle pourrait au contraire demander à d'autres groupes de chercheurs de participer aux travaux. Si les résultats de la phase de diagnostic du CIPEA indiquaient que les travaux au niveau de la station étaient nécessaires, on chercherait activement la coopération des autorités nationales. Le Dr Chema a demandé à quel niveau de la RSP devaient intervenir les agents de vulgarisation. M. de Haan a déclaré qu'ils devaient intervenir a toutes les étapes. Le Dr Zulberti a souligné que dans des travaux récents sur les éléments essentiels de la réussite des projets, la participation précoce des exploitants dans les phases de description et de diagnostic a été identifiée comme déterminante. Le rôle des vulgarisateurs était également très crucial, notamment lorsque les tests étaient effectués en raison de l'effet multiplicateur de leur participation. M. de Haan a accepté ce point de vue. Le Dr Zulberti a suggéré que les participants utilisent l'expression "recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux" au cours du séminaire plutôt que celle de "recherche sur les systèmes d'élevage" ou"d' exploitation agricole". M. de Haan a expliqué qu'il avait utilisé 1' expression "recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux'parce qu'il voulait mettre l'accent sur les difficultés spécifiques inhérentes à l'élevage conçu comme un élément du système global d'exploitation agricole. Il était évident que ce séminaire avait pour principal objectif les systèmes pastoraux bien que dans son exposé préliminaire, il ait parlé dans une perspective beaucoup plus large. - 50 - Parian* du document présenté par M. Sandford, le Dr Zulberti a déclaré que dans la mise en place de systèmes d'adduction d'eau, la conséquence de l'utilisation de machines pour les travaux de terrassement n'entraînait pas nécessairement la réduction des coûts, car le BIT disposait de données montrant que le coût de ces aména gements était moins élevé avec le travail manuel. M. Sandford a souligné que dans la plupart des zones pastorales, il était très difficile da recruter une main-d'oeuvre pour des travaux manuels et que souvent la productivité des éleveurs dans ce domaine était faible. Le Dr Abel a demandé si oui ou non il y avait eu un réel effort de développement dans les zones arides et semi-arides, celles-ci étant fréquemment des régions marginales aux plans politique, économique et écologique, et leurs populations étant mal représentées. M. Sandford a reconnu qu'il était très difficile de canaliser les efforts de développement dans les zones pastorales. A son avis, il était peu réaliste d'attendre des gouvernements qu'ils engagent des sommes importantes sur de longues périodes pour le développement de zones marginales. Les efforts de développement devraient être auto-entrete- nus après une période d'investissement initiale aussi brève que possible. Le Professeur Sorbo a souligné qu'à son avis le CIPEA était confronté à deux problèmes essentiels dans le domaine de la recherche sur les systèmes. Le problème de l'amélioration des instruments conceptuels et techniques de collecte de données qui permet d'aborder les réalités des systèmes de production et le problème de l'application de ces outils et techniques à la formulation de solutions en vue de la prise de décisions dans des domaines pratiques. Il a estimé que les activités du CIPEA devraient être axées sur la solution de ces deux problèmes et non seulement sur celle du second. M. de Haan a exprimé son accord mais a déclaré que dans les conditions de la production pastorale, le CIPEA devrait se concentrer essentiellement sur le test des hypothèses, par exemple travailler en vue de parvenir à des conclusions scientifiquement valables en ce qui concerne l'impact des améliorations,mais que l'envergure de tels tests ne - 51 - devrait pas dépasser la taille d'un échantillonnage et les facteurs requis pour vérifier les hypothèses spécifiquement identifiées. Si l'on garde cela présent à l'esprit, la distinction entre recherche et développement devient claire. Le Dr Chema a demandé à M. Sandford de clarifier sa pensée lorsqu'il a parlé de la lutte contre la peste bovine par la quarantaine. M. Sandford a répondu que la quarantaine était difficile à mettre en pratique et qu'elle était coûteuse et pour le gouvernement et pour les éleveurs. Le vaccin à base de culture tissulaire était dans tous les cas une bien meilleure méthode de lutte. Il a déclaré qu'il avait voulu souligner que la quarantaine avait été utilisée par le passé pour lutter contre la peste bovine, mais qu'il ne tenait pas pour autant à se faire l'avocat de la quarantaine. Le Dr Rhissa a déclaré qu'à son avis, l'incapacité des projets d'intensifier la production animale ne relevait pas essentiellement de la négligence des gouvernements, de l'inefficacité des politiques adoptées et de l'inadéquation de la coordination ou de la planifica tion. C'était plutôt l'approche utilisée dans laquelle le producteur n'était pas présent pendant la phase initiale de l'intensification des programmes qu'il fallait incriminer. Le Dr Rhissa a estimé que le CIPEA ne devait intervenir qu'après que l'Etat ait déterminé de manière précise ses besoins; le CIPEA pourrait alors, après des études de terrain, utiliser un ensemble de solutions que l'Etat pourrait choisir et adapter en fonction de ses propres besoins. M. Sandford a reconnu que les planificateurs du développement avaient trop souvent essayé de penser et d'agir à la place du producteur plutôt que de l'intégrer directement dans le processus de planifica tion. Mais il persistait à croire que la négligence, de même que des politiques et une planification inadéquates avaient également constitué de sérieux problèmes. M. Sandford pensait que le CIPEA pouvait intervenir plus tôt que ne l'avait suggéré le Dr Rhissa. Le CIPEA devait être à même de formuler des suggestions valables qui pourraient aider les populations et les Etats à déterminer leurs besoins. Le Dr Abel a déclaré que la compréhension pourrait régner entre les autochtones et les étrangers et que dans certains pays, le service de - 52 - vulgarisation était tellement éloigné des préoccupations des agricul teurs locaux que seul un étranger pouvait accéder à des informations utiles. La communication entre les agriculteurs et les scientifiques était à la fois utile et possible. M. von Kauffmann a déclaré que la recherche sur les systèmes portait sur les changements et qu'elle était itérative de nature. Il ne fallait pas s'attendre à ce que les exploitants agricoles puissent exprimer facilement leurs impressions sur quelque chose de nouveau. Leurs réponses seraient motivées par toutes sortes de raisons. L'itération signifiait l'observation des réactions de l'agriculteur puis l'adaptation des innovations qui seraient de nouveau présentées à l'agriculteur. L'évaluation était un processus continu^ Pour le Dr Diakité, M. Sandford n'avait pas pris en considération le problème financier. Le financement était en général insuffisant et conditionnel. M. Sandford a reconnu que les conditions de financement étaient souvent réellement inadéquates et que par ailleurs, l'on avait tendance à faire preuve d'un optimisme exagéré en ce qui concerne le volume et les délais des financements. Mais il a déclaré qu'il ne pensait pas que le fait qu'il s'agissait de "populations tradition nelles" en soit la raison principale. Le problème était que le projet de développement essayait très souvent de réaliser une entreprise insensée et non que les populations traditionnelles hésitaient à faire des choses censées. Le Dr Diakité a déclaré qu'il estimait que M. Sandford sous-estimait l'importance des accords sanitaires internationaux. M. Sandford estimait que ceux-ci ne se justifiaient pas nécessairement et qu'en fait, très souvent, ils n'allaient manifestement pas dans le sens des intérêts des pays en développement. Il estimait que la politique d' eradication des maladies ou de lutte contre celles-ci ne devrait pas être considérée comme sacro-sainte mais qu'elle devrait de temps à autre faire l'objet de révision et de justification. Le Professeur Saka Nuru a déclaré qu'il était reconnu qu'au cours des années qui venaient de s'écouler, les instituts nationaux avaient - 53 - effectué des travaux de recherche sur plusieurs problèmes nationaux d'élevage avec beaucoup de succès. Toutefois, la recherche tradition nelle avait ses limites en ce sens qu'une application directe sur le terrain n'était pas faisable. Le rôle du CIPEA était différent dans la mesure où, grâce à son approche multidisciplinaire, il étudiait les problèmes dans leur globalité mais aussi parce qu'il menait à bien des activités de recherche appliquée au niveau de l'exploitation agricole. Toutefois, le CIPEA devait continuer à s'appuyer sur les ressources qu'offrent les institutions nationales en matière de recherche de base et à faire en sorte que ses travaux concordent avec les besoins des organismes de développement de chaque pays. Il était donc souhaitable que des liens plus étroits soient établis avec les organismes nationaux. M. Sandford a déclaré que la manière dont la RSP avait été décrite et définie avait pu donner l'impression que la seule contribution de la RSP consistait à mettre au point des améliorations testées avec succès. Il y avait d'autres contributions valables qui n'étaient que des effets secondaires de la RSP telle que définie par M. de Haan mais qui découlaient d'autres manières de définir la RSP. Il s'agit précisément de l'accroissement des connaissances de tous ceux qui s'intéressent au développement du système pastoral. Des travaux de RSP qui n'ont pas donné lieu à des innovations adoptées pourraient néanmoins être valables, notamment en développant les connaissances sur le sujet et partant, en permettant de mieux orienter les efforts de développement. M. Bekuré a souligné que si l'on confinait la recherche sur les systèmes à la mise au point de techniques en vue d'accroître la productivité, on fermerait la porte à la recherche sur la commerciali sation qui ne s'appliquait pas directement au producteur mais était toutefois importante en ce qui concerne la motivation des producteurs et la compréhension de l'opinion des producteurs. M. von Kauffmann a reconnu que le test de techniques n'était pas le seul objet de la recherche sur les systèmes d'exploitation agricole. Si la phase de diagnostic révélait que la vulgarisation constituait un goulet d'étranglement, la RSA mettrait l'accent sur le nombre des exploitants - 54 - agricoles qui doivent être couverts par un agent de vulgarisation, sur ce que devrait être la logistique à mettre en oeuvre et sur la manière de présenter de la façon la plus avantageuse cette logistique aux exploitants agricoles. Mlle Grandin a souligné que le CIPEA ne participait pas à une vulgarisation/recherche d'adaptation en soi. L'objectif du CIPEA était de comprendre le processus de la RSP pour élaborer les méthodes nécessaires. Cela pouvait s'effectuer partiellement par d'autres activités de recherche qui ont contribué à évaluer le rôle ou le processus de la RSP. M. Lambourne a déclaré que le mandat du CIPEA consistait à "aider les pays intéressés dans leurs efforts en vue d'introduire des changements dans les systèmes de production..." Le CIPEA avait ainsi deux rôles: chercher les moyens d'améliorer et de changer les systèmes de production actuels; trouver les systèmes qui étaient les meilleurs dans leur état actuel d'équilibre, compte tenu des conditions écologiques ou sociales. Le Dr Habou a souligné que la plupart des projets d'élevage s'intéressaient davantage a l'animal qu'à l'homme. Mais qu'à long terme, c'est l'homme qui se trouve au centre de tout système de production. M. Sandford a déclaré que la négligence en ce qui concerne la planification de l'élément humain était beaucoup plus évidente dans les années 60 qu'avant ou après cette période. Il était peut être prématuré de dire si les changements intervenus entre les années 60 et les années 70 à cet égard, on donné lieu à de meilleurs projets. Le Dr Ngutter a suggéré que le CIPEA devrait demander aux gouverne ments et aux institutions de recherche, le rôle qu'ils voudraient que le Centre joue dans leurs pays respectifs plutôt que de supposer qu'il connaît les problèmes de chaque pays à priori. M. de Haan a déclaré que l'essence de la recherche sur les systèmes était que les problèmes d'un système donné de production n'étaient pas connus a priori. Le CIPEA devrait s'engager sur la base des éléments suivants: les gouvernements demandent au CIPEA d'effectuer une étude de système dans une zone-cible donnée choisie par lui-même; le CIPEA - 55 - décide ensuite, à la suite de concertations avec les organismes de recherche et de vulgarisation du gouvernement, du type d'accord de coopération requis. - 56 - THE SURVEY AND DIAGNOSTIC PHASE OF PSR Integration of remote sensing techniques for resource evaluation in pastoral systems research 1 . . 2 Peter N. de Leeuw and Kevin Milligan Ecologist, Arid Zones (Eastern and Southern Africa) Programme, ILCA, Kenya 2 Air Survey Coordinator, ILCA, Nigeria Introduction The leading assumption of this paper is that natural resource surveys and inventories are an essential prerequisite for planned development and should be integral components of the descriptive and diagnostic phases of livestock systems research. In the past, range resource assessment at ILCA was rarely formally placed in this sequential framework, but awareness that such assessment was needed has been increasingly felt. The trends in ecological and vegetation research at ILCA is a convincing illus tration. For instance, in Mali during the earlier years, emphasis was placed on detailed ecological studies on the Niono ranch in order to understand the vegetation dynamics of the upland Sahelian ecosystem. This was combined with extensive vegetation mapping in the Niger Delta and its surroundings according to the exacting procedures of the Zurich-Montpellier school of phyto-sociology . Initially, there was little concern about the application of this research to other disciplines or to the production systems within which the research was done. Such research was considered a laudable pursuit in its own right. In recent years, inter-disciplinary research has become prominent resulting in data flows from ecological research that were more oriented to the needs of range and animal nutrition science, without neglecting the pure research aspects of the work. This more pragmatic and applied approach led to maps of the ILCA study area that not only depicted vegetation types, but also contained complemen tary information for carrying capacity estimations and assessment of land use suitability for grazing, flooded rice and rainfed cropping. - 57 - This trend was not restricted to ILCA alone, but also noticeable in the various national and international agencies engaged in other surveys and inventories. As will be shown in the sections on resource surveys and methodology, emphasis moved from heavy and costly procedures to rapid, cost-effective and consumer-oriented data generation. Although cost escalation reinforced this trend, the knowledge that many of the earlier inventory reports remained shelf- bound and never effectively influenced their designated audiences, was more important. This paper is designed to provide a short and selective overview of resource surveys and their methodologies that seem most appropriate to pastoral and agro-pastoral regions in Africa. Full acknowledgement must be given to Dent and Young (1980) from whose book several tables and figures are derived and on which substantial parts of the text is based. The most recent applications of remote sensing techniques are briefly summarised and put in the context of rapid appraisal methods and early warning procedures within a livestock systems research approach. Types of surveys - a historical perspective Soil survey Soil survey involves the production of a pedological map, which shows the distribution of soil units defined primarily according to their morphology and their physical, chemical and biological characteristics. These units are based on the description of soil profiles, their comparison and subsequent grouping into a classification system that is significant for the aims and purpose for which the survey was intended. Stobbs (1970) classified soil surveys in three classes from exploratory to detailed and indicated the appropriate mapping scales (Table 1) . Classification of soil types varies with survey objectives but usually follows either the FAO soil map of the world (FAO-UNESCO, 1970-80) or the U.S. Soil Taxonomy (Soil Survey Staff, 1975) and the selection of what system is used depends often on the donor agency that has commissioned the survey. - 58 - General purpose soil surveys are most appropriate in sparsely settled areas in developing African countries, where there was and often still is a dearth of basic geographical information on resources- Exploratory and reconnaissance surveys provide a first approximation of such data. In densely settled areas small-scale surveys serve no direct useful purpose and instead detailed surveys are needed (Table !)• General purpose soil maps may serve as a basis for further stages of interpretation, namely land evaluation (see below), which apart from soil units includes other relevant physical, economic and sometimes social factors. During the 1960's a large number of soil surveys were carried out in Africa. Although they were meant as a basis for a land resource inventory, they have been criticised in that their only purpose was to make a soil map, as a desirable end in itself. A more tenable criticism is the cost and time involved in describing, mapping and reporting. Dent and Young (1980) calculated that for 2 a survey at a scale of 250,000, 100 man-days /l ,000 km were needed or 2 about US$ 15/km at 1980 prices, of which the actual interpretation of aerial photos (scale 1:40,000) would take 7 to 10 man-days. This 2 is somewhat lower than the 8 man-months/1 ,000 km needed for resource mapping in the Sudan (Wilson, 1979). If these costs are applied to the reconnaissance survey of the Amboseli-Kibwezi sheet in Kenya, this 2 project of 12,600 km would have cost USg 200,000. Land systems survey Although soil surveys have been used to produce derived information on land resources, capability and suitability, more direct approaches to natural resource inventory were sought, that would be more rapid and less costly. In anglophone Africa the most common approach is the use of the land system concept as the basic mapping unit for subdividing and classifying land. A land system is defined as an area with a recurring pattern of topography, soils and vegetation and with a relatively uniform climate. This area is subdivided into land facets which are the smallest areas that can be recognized and delineated on aerial photographs and are usually linked by geomorpho- - 59 - Table 1. Types of soil survey Type Map units Scale Purpose Exploratory Associations of phases of great soil groups Reconnaissance Detailed low intensity Associations of phases of soil series or higher categories (great soil groups or families) Phases of as sociations 1:1,000,000 and smaller (schematic maps) .. To locate areas of substantial soil difference (inventory) 2. Locate more de tailed work 3. Test legend 1:62,500 to 1 . To survey areas 1:500,00 suited only to extensive use 2. Pre-detailed survey to locate and define such work 1:30,000 & smaller For forestry and grazing development areas Source : Stobbs (1970) logical process. A land system can be alternatively defined as an area with a recurring pattern of genetically linked land facets. As part of the integrated approach, derived information is reported on vegetation, range and water resources, on actual and potential land use, the latter being based on land suitability ratings for each land system and its constituent facets. Numerous integrated surveys have been carried out by the Land Resources Division in Africa, in particular in Nigeria, Zambia and Malawi (LRD, 1966-79). In the agropastoral zone in northeast Nigeria, emphasis was put on assessing range resources, actual and potential seasonal stocking rates and associated limitations to use such as flooding, inaccessibility and tsetse challenge (de Leeuw et al , 1972; 60 - de Leeuw, 1976) . From these inventories came recommendations on seasonal de-stocking requirements if a more balanced utilisation of pastoral land was desired (Tables 2 and 3) . Although these recommendations were rarely actively implemented, they helped to increase the awareness of the problems in ministries and planning authorities. In the subhumid zone in Nigeria land systems and soil mapping was followed by a detailed land evaluation based on the j suitability for eight individual crops. Suitability was assessed from climatic limitations, soil physical and chemical characteristics and erosion hazards and this led to a map of crop options at a scale of 1:250,000 (Hill et al, 1978). The main advantages of the land systems approach is speed and relative cheapness, the integration of different environmental factors and a clear communication of results (although some reports run to over 1,000 pages). Disadvantages are a high degree of generalisation, variable and somewhat ill-defined mapping units and the static nature of the information presented. Greater emphasis should be given to the dynamic aspects of environment such as soil moisture regimes, successive stages in the vegetation (cropping/fallows, effects of fire on woody/herbaceous species balance) and the interactive effects between range resources and livestock use. Natural resource surveys and land suitability evaluation As has already been shown above for the central Nigeria survey (Hill et al, 1978), a basic natural resource survey can lead to the production of maps and other data on which land evaluation is based. The information needed for a range resource inventory concerns amounts and seasonal distribution of dry matter production, digestible protein, etc., but to define mapping units and to delineate their boundaries calls for some combination of vegetation physiognomy and species frequency according to established principles of vegetation mapping. - 61 - Table 2. The estimated actual and potential wet-season cattle population in northeast Nigeria (in thousands) Zone Estimated Potential Difference (%) Tsetse-free 1,987 1,214 + 65 Tsetse 584 2,352 - 75 TOTALS 2,571 3,569 Source: de Leeuw (1976) Table 3. Potential year-round population (1000 AUs) Type of land Tsetse-free zone Tsetse zone wet dry wet dry season season season season savanna 1,000 - 1,576 972 fallows 213 148 229 115 cereal residues - 363 - 180 alluvial/flooded land - 840 — 400 Sub-totals 1,213 1,351 1,805 1,667 Grand total 3 ,028 Source: de Leeuw (1976). - 62 - The fundamental descriptive features for livestock production systems are the types and numbers of livestock, the livestock inten sity and the degree of nomadism. The livestock intensity is the number of livestock units per square kilometre of grazing land. Where present, livestock systems may be classified as total nomadism, semi-nomadism or transhumance (for definition, see Ruthenburg, 1980). These descriptive headings can also be used for the livestock component of mixed or predominantly arable farming. The activity flow-chart of a land suitability evaluation is given in Figure 1. Land Suitability Evaluation Initial consultations (a) objectives (b) data and assumptions (c) planning of the evaluation Kinds of land use Major kinds of land use or land utilisation types I T A \ . \ iteration/ / / Land use requirements and limitations Comparison of land use with land I Land suitability classification T Presentation of results Resource surveys Land mapping units Land characteristics and qualities Land improvements Source; Dent and Young (1980), p. 146 Fig 1 . Schematic* representation of activities in land evaluation. - 63 - The resource survey has the function of dividing the study area into a number of relatively homogenous units and of providing the information necessary to evaluate each of these units for the kinds of land use under consideration. Thus, resource surveys should not be treated as a separate activity, but as an integral part of the evaluation. For example, in a semi-arid region that is dependent on pastoralism, a survey effort would be directed towards range and water resource surveys and the determination of livestock carrying capacity. Seen in this light, the numerous surveys and mapping carried out in francophone West Africa by IEMVT could be termed pastoral resource surveys. Dent and Young (1980) enumerate the land qualities related to livestock production as follows (Table 4) . Table 4. Land qualities related to livestock production Nutritive value of natural pastures Nutritive value of improved pastures Resistance of degradation of vegetation Resistance of soil erosion under grazing conditions Toxicity of grazing land Availability of drinking water for livestock Climatic hardships affecting livestock Endemic pests and diseases Access within the production unit Size of potential management units Location: - (a) existing access (b) potential access Source : Dent and Young (1980), pp. 166-168. Remote sensing methodology Remote sensing methods have been classified according to the altitude at which imagery is taken, and include satellites, and photographs and visual observations from low-flying aircraft. Satellite imagery and conventional aerial photographs usually provide total cover, whereas low-altitude aerial surveys are usually based on sampling strips. The characteristics of these methods are summarised in Tables 5 and 6. - 64 - Table5.Somcharacteristicsofthdifferentme hodsusnr m tesensing Vehicle Scaleofgeneralus landrover,otpplicable lighta r-non-photogrammetric craftorf o Usualcover usuallyquadrat; usuallystrips total total sampling sampling 250,000 ,000 non-photogrammetric 1:1,000,000-1,N 1:20,000-1:100, 1:300-1:20,000 notapplicable high-level satellite aircraft low-level low-evel aircraft aircraft 1 1 samplingusually quadrats,fre quentlylinked withlow-level photogrammetry Sensors PrimaryUse various,b s cally scanningradiometers cameras cameras humanobserversand obliquesma l-format cameras humanobservers usingara geof resourcesurv y equipment mapping mapping+overall quantificationsouse +useofpatt rns quantificationsouse +useofpatterns photogrammetric quantificationouse +useofpatt rns photogrammetric 'groundtruth' Source:WatsonandTippet(1'1),Fig., Satellite imagery The main source of imagery has come from the LANDSAT series, which 2 . produces monochromic or colour-enhanced images of 34,000 km with a resolution of 80 m (LANDSAT-3) at a frequency of every 18 days. Thus, images at different seasons and successive years are readily available and relatively cheap. LANDSAT is increasingly used for rapid small-scale reconnais sance surveys when mapping is envisaged at a scale from 1:1,000,000 to 250,000. Usually monochrome prints are used for landscape or land systems mapping, while false colours are more appropriate for vegetation and land use. Interpretation of one LANDSAT image costs about USg 20/1,000 2 km (1980) and it is possible to map large areas in no more than a few months. Mitchel and Howard (1978) reported that a land systems 2 map of Jordan (c. 100,000 km ) was mapped on a scale of 1:1 million in 1.5 months of interpretation, one month of field work and two weeks for report preparation and printing. In addition to LANDSAT, satellites (or aircraft) have been equipped with infrared detectors that record the far-infrared radi ation of the earth's surface and can distinguish vegetation and soil types by their thermal emission characteristics. Recently Tucker (1983) used the thermal channel of the N0AA satellite to detect reflectivity differences and found that variations in dry standing biomass could be derived from remote-sensed temperature differences (Table 6) . Aerial photographs Since the 1950s aerial photo interpretation has become an important tool for soil and other surveys, in particular for reconnaissance studies in Australia and developing countries. Black-and-white photos are most commonly used but other types of film have been tried for specific purposes : near infrared for tree differentiation in forest evaluation and false-colour photography in vegetation and land-use surveys and large-scale disease detection of crops and forests. Colour photos have been tried for mapping desert landscapes - 66 - and urban fringe zones and also for sampling land use and vegetation patterns from low-flying aircraft (Watson and Tippet 1981; K. Milligan, personal communication). Side-looking radar (SLAR) Althought SLAR has very low resolutions (Table 6) , it is used for mapping regions which are rarely cloud-free to permit other methods of remote sensing. SLAR was the basis for a reconnaissance resource inventory of the Amazon basin and for a country-wide land use and vegetation map of Nigeria. The quality of this map is being tested j through comparison with low-altitude vegetation sampling as well as with existing land-use maps based on aerial photo interpretation (Hill et al, 1978; Milligan and de Leeuw, in press). Spectral radiance Linear or ratio combinations of two wavelength regions, red and near infrared (see Table 6), measured at ground level (1-1.3 m) at low altitude from aircraft (60-200 m) or from satellites have been used to estimate green standing biomass (Tucker, 1980). For instance in the Serengeti (McNaughton, 1979) and in the Amboseli ecosystem in East Africa (Western and Grimsdell, 1979) satisfactory correspondence was reported between clipped ground biomass and 'green machine' measurements on the ground and from low-flying aircraft at least for open grassland with a low woody cover. Estimating biomass in veg etation types high in woody cover is less promising, although Herlocker and Dolan (1980) in north-east Kenya found a good corre lation between clipped green biomass of dwarf shrubs and hand-held radiometer readings. Similarly, promising results were obtained in the Sahelian zone in Senegal from radiometer readings of the N0AA-7 satellite during the 1981 rainy season. From these readings (calibrated with ground clippings) a map was made of cumulative 2biomass production for a 30,000 km region in classes of 200 kg/ha in the range from 0-1,600 kg DM/ha (Tucker, 1983; Gaston and Boerwinkel, 1982), - 67 - Table6.Somecharacteristicsofremo - en ingsyst ms Resolution veryhigh high high high (plusvisible, 0.4-0.-um)Wavelength 0.4-0.-um 0.--0.-um 0.3-0.-um 0.5-0.-um Remotesensing system near-infrared false-colour photography normalair photography photography true-colour photography monochrome 1 i Specialfacilities Applicationsinsoil orrelatedsu veys thermalinfrared side-looking airborneradar (SLAR) --14um low 0.--3.0cmverylow chlorophyllreflects strongly,water absorbs groundsurface numerous detectionofrainage, impedancesurfacewater; differentiationoftree species urbanf ingesurveys, display emphasisesvariationsvegetationndl nd invegetationusemapping,soilsurveys inntertidalzone recordsheatemittednone bythegroundsurface penetratescloud possiblyreconnaissance incloud-coveredareas satelliteMSS 0.5-l.lumhighrelativetoun f rcoverageof small-scaleimage,l rgeea lowrelativeto ground^^^_____________ coverageofve ylarge areas,initialoverview inothersurveys Source:DentandY ng(1'0),Table3.4,p.A- Although Tucker (1980) concluded that 'for large area surveys, the spectral method has been shown to work well and allows for synoptic coverage of large areas from aircraft and/or satellite platforms', several problems in the calibration techniques have to be resolved (solar zenith angle, sunlight vis-a-vis overcast conditions etc.) before a more general adoption of this methodology can be recommended. Low-altitude aerial survey Aerial observations have become an integral part of reconnaissance and inventory surveys. For a detailed discussion, reference is made to Milligan and de Leeuw (1983) who have reviewed the the aerial survey methodology within the framework of ILCA's livestock system research programmes in Mali, Niger and Nigeria. LIGHT AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS1 r impressions for LANDSAT Opt. Proc. Imagery interpretation annotation for identification and delineation SMALL SCALE AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY J] U-i c -a Ground Sampling Qual . Invent . Estimation Source : Thalen (1981), Fig. 4. Figure 2. Possible combinations of complementary reconnaissance rangeland survey techniques. - 69 - The integration of remote sensing techniques and ground truth Introduction In most resource surveys at the reconnaissance level, information is gathered from space, air and ground and it is clear that information quality improves from space to ground as do costs. Consequently,- a balance needs to be struck between extensive and intensive methods which is geared to the objectives of the survey undertaken. Thalen (1981) reviewed the different method combinations for ! the evaluation and resource mapping of arid rangelands with the focus on assessing what grows where and when and how good is it. He showed that the most cost-effective approach for arid land vegetation surveys was the use of low-altitude aerial surveys in combination with LANDSAT imagery or detailed topographical maps. However, to produce a 2 rangeland map of the Kalahari desert in Botswana (240,000 km at a j scale of 1:500,000) LANDSAT imagery at different scales was used for j orientation and initial delineation of rangeland types together with complementary conventional aerial photography and aircraft observations for more detailed type identification and description as well as for stratification and subsequent ground truth sampling (Fig. 2). A similar approach was used to describe, assess and map the natural resources of Mali south of the 18° parallel. A broad land systems map was produced from LANDSAT-2 false-colour composites enlarged to a scale of 1:200,000. With the major land systems so identified, representative sample transects were selected from false - colour images and subsequently photographed with hand-held cameras from light aircraft simultaneously at scales of 1:2,000 and 1:8,000. The resulting slides were analysed for tree and grass cover, land use and soil surface characteristics and correlated with false-colour pixel distributions on the LANDSAT prints so as to relate the latter to the real world. Transect photo data were then used for the location of ground samples for data collection on soils, vegetation and cropping. However, it is unfortunate that an appraisal of this approach has to await the publication of the maps and reports. 70 - An integrated appraisal approach As shown by Milligan and de Leeuw (1983) the use of aerial surveys within the different ILCA programmes has been less integrated than was desirable. Data collection from aircraft was often done as an independant exercise and data integration was carried out afterwards by interested researchers (e.g. de Leeuw and Milligan, 1981). Having gained experience of aerial surveys in the context of livestock systems research (Milligan et al, 1982; Milligan, 1982), a better planned and more integrated approach seems worth testing. Some work has already started in the Maasai system project where aerial surveys are part of an inter-disciplinary study and direct comparisons between a large volume of ground truth data and aerial survey observations can be made (e.g. Peacock et al, 1982). The proposed approach differs from earlier work in that it is planned to execute a rapid appraisal of a target area (50,000 to 2 100,000 km in size) which should deliver a comprehensive description of the resource base and the people that use it together with a constraint diagnosis of the production system in the area. As set out in Fig. 3, the appraisal is executed in time sequence with the following steps : 1. From satellite imagery and other information, landscape (landform or land system) units and vegetation zones are delineated and areas of particular interest defined. 2. Systematic and/or stratified low-altitude aerial surveys are carried out over the whole zone at the same or different intensities according to strata. After an initial data analysis and mapping of range, water livestock and human resource distributions, the target area is subdivided in homogeneous 'land units', which provide the base for further aerial survey and ground observations. 3. Range resources are further assessed by multi-scale low- level aerial photography along transects and if possible, biomass estimates are made from radiometer readings followed by ground sampling of biomass for quality and quantity and species composition. At the same time ground teams select representative households for - 71 - SATELLITE IMAGERY T ZONATION Land forms Vegetation Land use T I SAMPLE AREA SELECTION \ SYSTEMATIC LOW-ALTITUDE FLIGHTS ± VISUAL OBSERVATIONS Range, Water, Animals, People I STRATIFICATION & SAMPLE SELECTION I TRANSECT FLIGHTS Photography and visual obser vations GROUND SAMPLING Biomass species composition cropping system, herd pro ductivity, labour and budgets £ Wide-angle farm areas vegetation water I Telephoto tree/ grass cover species compo sition cropping systems 1 Radiometer biomass estimates Fig 3. A rapid appraisal approach for pastoral systems research - 72 - rapid appraisal of human and herd demography, labour budgets and income and expenditure. If large seasonal differences in resource distribution are expected, a second aerial survey is planned to look at all system attributes that are subject to large seasonal variations * Early warning procedures Forecasting of environmental conditions, in particular of range and water resources relative to existing livestock and human requirements, would be a prerequisite for the better long-term management of fragile ecosystems that are subject to varying climatic events. It is postulated that timely prediction is most urgent in regions with a short single rainy season and with range resources that largely consist of annual grasses. The need is much lower in regions with bimodal rainfall patterns. While in the Sahel two successive rainy seasons with poor rainfall will have a disastrous impact on long-term livestock productivity due to its two-year continuous time span, a similar event in East Africa (e.g. the Maasailand) is of much shorter duration (10-12 months). The same is true for recovery rates following droughts. i While it took nearly ten years for Sahelian cattle herds to reach their pre-drought levels, livestock populations in Kajiado (south east Kenya) recovered in half that time. More important than popu lation recovery has been the long-term effect of the Sahelian drought on livestock ownership patterns. Since the drought, ownership has shifted markedly from herders to outsiders (traders and civil ser vants) . This trend is a concomitant result of the unfavourable price ratios between stock and grain during drought since many producers not only lost stock through death but had to sell at low prices to buy high-priced grain and became indebted to traders, moneylenders and others. Such a 'drought syndrome' can be reduced if pastofalists can be persuaded to react timely to the deteriorating situation by early selling of stock and early purchase of grain. Prediction in mono-modal rainfall regions can be based on available resources at the end of the growing season. As disappear ance rates of standing biomass are fairly well known^and if the size - 73 - of the livestock population dependent upon the resources is known from aerial surveys, the balance between supply and requirements can be calculated for the dry season. If the region covered is suf- 2 ficiently large (the NOAA satellite can cover up to 600,000 km in one composite image) , cropping areas south of the pastoral zone can be included from which potential crop yield estimations can be derived. Once the alert for pending drought is raised, adapted management strategies can be put into operation (supplementary feeding, mobilisation of additional water resources in under-utilised areas etc.) combined with accelerating the flow of stock through marketing channels and providing credit for early grain purchases. The integrated approach could thus be extended to include an 'early warning' component. To be effective it is essential that biomass estimations through remote sensing are reliable for large regions, and it thus seems worthwhile to accord a high priority to developing this methodology. References Dent, D. and Young, A. 1980, Soil survey and land evaluation. Allen and Unwin, London. FA0-UNESC0, 1970-80. Soil map of the world. 1:5,000,000, vols. 1-10. UNESCO Paris. Gaston, A. and Boerwinkel, E. 1982. Evaluation de la production primaire herbacee sahelienne par mesures simultanees au sol et par satellite, mise au point d'une technique rapide et extensive. Coll. sur l'inventaire des ressources et la coordination de la cartographie au Sahel. USAID, Ibadan. Herlocker, D.J. and Dolan, R.A. 1980. Comparison of different techniques for the determination of large dwarf shrub biomas, IPAL Techn. Rep. A-3, 30-40, Nairobi. 74 - Hill, I.D. 1978. Land resources of central Nigeria, agricultural possibilities. 1 vols. Land Resources Development Centre, Surbiton. Land Resources Development 1966-1980. Land resources studies (nos. 1- 31. Surbition. de Leeuw, P.N., Lesslie, A. and Tuley, P. 1972. The land resources of northeast Nigeria. Vol. 4. Present and potential land use. Land Resources Division, Tolworth. de Leeuw, P.N. 1976. Fodder resources and livestock development in Northeast Nigeria. Savanna, 5; 61-74. de Leeuw, P.N. and Milligan, K. 1981. Livestock resources. In: Systems research in the arid zones of Mali. ILCA Systems Study 5, pp. 36-54. ILCA, Addis Ababa. McNaughton, S.J. 1979. Grassland-herbivore dynamics. In: Sinclair, A.R.E. and Norton-Griffiths, M. (eds) . Serengeti, dynamics of an ecosystem, pp. 46-81; Univ. of Chicago, Chicago press. Milligan, K. , Keita, M. and de Leeuw, P.N. 1982. Recensement aerien saisonnier du cheptel et types de paysage du delta central du Niger au Mali. Report to ODEM/IBRD, Sevare. Milligan, K. 1982. Aerial survey of human, livestock and environ mental conditions in a central region of the pastoral zone of Niger. Final Report. USAID, Niamey. Milligan, K. and de Leeuw, P.N. 1983. Low altitude aerial surveys in pastoral systems research. Proc. Workshop on pastoral systems research in sub-Saharan Africa, March 21-25 1983, Addis Ababa. Mitchel, C.W. and Howard, J. A. 1978. Land systems classification: A case hzstory, Jordan. AGTL Bull. 2/78, FAO Rome. Peacock, C.P., de Leeuw, P.N. and King, J. 1982. Herd movement in the Mbirikani area. Int. Rep., ILCA, Nairobi. - 75 - Ruthenburg, H. 1980. Farming systems in the tropics, 3rd edition Oxford University Press. Soil Survey Staff, 1975. Soil taxonomy. A basic system of soil classification for making and interpreting soil surveys, Agric. Handbook 436. Dept of Agric, Washington D.C. Stobbs, A.R. 1970. Soil survey procedures for development purposes. In: I.H. Cox (ed.). New possibilities and techniques for land use and related surveys, 41-64. Geographical Publ., Berkhamsted. Thalen, D.C. P. 1981. An approach to evaluating techniques for surveying vegetation on arid rangelands. In: Low-level aerial survey techniques, 85-98. ILCA Monograph 4, Addis Ababa. Tuckei , C.J. 1980. A critical review of remote sensing and other methods for non-destructive estimation of standing crop biomass. Grass and Forage Sc. 35: 177-182. Tucker, C.J. 1983. Determining the spatial extent of deserts using NOAA AVHRR digital data (In press). Watson, R.M. and Tippet, C.I. 1981. Examples of low-level aerial surveys conducted in Africa, 1969-1979. In: Low-level aerial survey techniques, 35-58. ILCA Monograph 4, Addis Ababa. Western, D. and Grimsdell, J.J.R. 1979. Measuring the distribution of animals in relation to the environment. Handbook No. 2, African Leadership Foundation, Nairobi. Wilson, R.T. 1979. Recent resource surveys for rural development in southern Darfur, Sudan. Geogr, J, 145: 452-460. - 76 - Intégration des techniques de télédétection pour l'évaluation des ressources dans la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux Résumé Cet exposé s'articule autour de l'hypothèse selon laquelle les enquêtes et les recensements sur les ressources naturelles constituent un préalable fondamental au développement planifié et devraient constituer une composante intégrale des phases de description et de dianostic de la recherche sur les systèmes d'élevage. Le document est conçu pour donner un aperçu bref et sélectif sur les enquêtes sur les ressources et les méthodologies qui semblent les plus appropriées aux régions pastorales et agro-pastorales de l'Afrique. Les types d'enquêtes précédemment utilisés ont notamment porté sur la pédologie, les systèmes fonciers, les ressources naturelles et les caractères des sols. Une enquête pédologique implique l'établissement d'une carte pédologique qui indique la distribution des unités pédologiques définies en premier lieu en fonction de leur morphologie et de leurs caractéristiques physiques, chimiques et biologiques. Dans l'Afrique anglophone, l'approche la plus commune se fonde sur l'utilisation du concept de l'unité territoriale considérée comme l'unité cartographique de base pour la subdivision et la classification des terres. Les méthodes de télédétection ont été classées en fonction de l'altitude à laquelle les photos sont prises; elles incluent l'utili sation d'images transmises par des satellites, de photos et d'observations visuelles à partir d'un appareil volant à basse altitude. Les images recueillies par satellite et les photographies aériennes de type classique fournissent en général une couverture globale alors que les enquêtes à basse altitude sont généralement basées sur des bandes d'échantillonnage. La source essentielle des images recueillies par satellite provient des séries Landsat qui 2 produisent des images monochromatiques ou en couleur de 34 000 km avec une résolution de 80 m, prises à des intervalles de 18 jours. Le Landsat permet ainsi de disposer d' images peu coûteuses aux différentes saisons et sur des années successives. - 77 - Depuis les années 50, la photo-interprétation aérienne est devenue un outil important pour les enquêtes pédologiques et autres. Les photos en noir et blanc sont les plus communément utilisées mais d'autres types de pellicules ont été essayés à des fins particulières, y compris l'utilisation de photographies de proche infrarouge et de fausse couleur. Parmi les autres techniques utilisées, on note celles du radar à vision latérale, de la radiance spectrale et des enquêtes à basse altitude. Dans la plupart des enquêtes sur les ressources, la qualité de l'information s'améliore et les coûts diminuent quand on passe de l'espace au sol. Il convient d'établir un équilibre entre les méthodes extensives et intensives en vue d'atteindre les objectifs de l'enquête entreprise. Il est proposé une approche intégrée en matière d'évaluation qui diffère de l'approche utilisée dans les travaux antérieurs en ce sens qu'elle est conçue pour permettre l'évaluation rapide d'une zone-cible qui doit donner lieu à une description exhaustive des ressources de base et des populations qui les utilisent ainsi qu'un diagnostic relatif aux contraintes du système de production de la zone. L'évaluation est effectuée en séries chronologiques avec les étapes suivantes: 1 . Délimitation des unités de paysage et des zones de végéta tion et définition des zones d'intérêt particulier sur la base d'images transmises par satellite et d'autres données;. 2. Enquêtes à basse altitude systématiques et/ou stratifiées sur l'ensemble de la zone à la même intensité ou à des intensités différentes selon les strates. Après une analyse préliminaire des données, et le levé de la distribution des parcours, de l'eau, du bétail et des ressources humaines, la zone-cible est subdivisée en unités territoriales homogènes qui fournissent la base d'enquêtes aériennes et d'observations au sol plus approfondies. 3. L'évaluation des ressources des parcours se poursuit par les photographies à basse altitude à échelles multiples le long de transects et, si possible, des estimations de la biomasse sont effec tuées sur la base de mesures radiométriques suivies par le prélèvement au sol d'un échantillonnage de la biomasse en vue d'en déterminer la qualité, la quantité et la composition par espèce. En même temps, des - 78 équipes au sol sélectionnent des ménages représentatifs pour une évaluation rapide de la démographie humaine et animale, des budgets, des revenus et des dépenses. L'approche intégrée peut être élargie pour inclure une composante "système de prévision avancée". Pour être efficace, il est essentiel que les estimations de la biomasse par la télédétection soient fiables pour de vastes régions et il semble par conséquent indiqué d'accorder un rang élevé de priorité à la mise au point de cette méthodologie. - 79 - Low altitude aerial surveys in pastoral systems research 1 2 Kevin Milligan and Peter de Leeuw Air Survey Coordinator, ILCA, Nigeria 2Ecologist, Arid Zones (Eastern and Southern Africa) Programme, ILQA, Kenya Introduction The recent development of the science of low-altitude aerial survey has provided a rapid, reliable and cost effective method for assessing the numbers and distribution of livestock and people over large tracts of land. In the past, descriptions of pastoral systems had to rely upon indirect methods, such as vaccination counts or tax returns, for obtaining information about livestock numbers. Such methods have well-publicised errors and biases. However, it is rarely pointed out that these indirect methods are usually based upon counts taken only once a year and thus seasonal distributions are unknown. Also, because the animals are generally congregated into camps for these counts, their actual distribution in relation to resources during their daily grazing orbit is not known. The methods of low altitude aerial survey were initially developed by ecologists in East Africa wishing to map the distribution of wild animals in national parks. Specif ic strategies suitable for assessing livestock and people are still being perfected and ILCA has taken a leading role in exploring the possibilities. An area of particular interest has been the inclusion of recordings of rangeland resources. This information, especially on vegetation and water availability, can be compared to the observed livestock distribution and thus an understanding of resource utilisation can be included in the descriptive phase of pastoral systems research. Such comparisons often allow identification of specific constraints to livestock distribution and thus a diagnosis of possible interventions to improve the system. - 81 - This paper describes the basic methods now being used for low altitude aerial survey and illustrates the cypes of results that can be obtained and how these results are being presented. The possibilities of linkage and integration between such aerial surveys and other methods of remote sensing are covered in another paper at this workshop (de Leeuw and Milligan, 1983) , and thus this paper will discuss how low level aerial survey can be used to diagnose constraints within pastoral systems and the relative cost effective ness of such operations. Methodology: survey procedures and data collection Details of ILCA's methodology are given in previous papers (Grimsdell et al, 1979; 1979a; Okali and Milligan, 1980) and reports (Milligan et al, 1979; 1982; Milligan, 1980; 1981, 1983). What makes the general method different from other remote sensing techniques is that the aircraft is flown at a very low altitude, so that a team of observers on board can make direct visual counts of animals, people and range resources that pass by the aircraft. Flight and sample procedures ILCA usually carries out its aerial surveys using a systematic, unstratified flight pattern (see Fig. 1), so that every part of the study area is covered evenly and uniformly and results can immediately be presented as distribution maps. It also provides a data base for post-survey stratification. Spacing between the systematic parallel flight lines is usually decided by a balance between time and cost constraints and the required levels of sampling and precision of results. Flight lines based upon the 10 km UTM grid projection provide a useful system for global reference. However, sometimes a flight pattern that exactly corresponds to existing maps will be more useful when ground truth work is carried out or planned in the study area. Each flight line is divided into intervals down its length. These intervals, together with the parallel flight lines, allow the entire study area to be divided into a grid pattern of fixed dimen- 82 - sions. All information collected can thus be related to the individ- udal grids and the resulting maps show simple and clear distribution patterns . | AIRCRAFT FLIES PARALLEL LIMES OVER STUDY AREA FIXED BAND SAMPLED ON EITHER SIDE OF AIRCRAFT DISTANCE INTERVALS DOWN LINE ENABLE GRID CONSTRUCTION Fig 1. Flight pattern, grid system and sampling. The area actually sampled is restricted to a fixed band on either side of the aircraft (Fig. 2) . This band is determined by the projection, from the observer's eye to the ground, of two parallel rods attached to each wing strut. The choice of a suitable flying altitude is important. The higher the altitude, the greater the sample area observed and thus the greater the expected precision of results; however, animals and people become increasingly difficult to see and count at higher altitudes. The selected altitude is usually between 400 and 1 000 feet above ground level . Depending upon survey design, overall samnle cover is usually between 5 to 20%. - 83 - The strip sampled (w) oil either side of the aircraft is determined by the projection, from the observers' eye to the ground, of the two rods (a and b) fixed on the wing struts. Strip width can be varied by altering these rods and is directly proportional to the aircraft height above the ground (h) . Typical settings for cattle surveys are h = 1000 feet, w = 500 metres. Fig 2. Schematic representation of aircraft during observation flight. Information collection and analysis In the aircraft, there are two back seat observers who count and photograph the numbers of animals and dwellings seen in the sample band in each grid. Individual observer bias, which varies according to certain factors such as the effects of vegetation structure and time of day, requires careful calibration and correction. A front seat observer, seated beside the pilot, is responsible for navigation and recording ecological conditions. Depending upon survey require ments, ecological zones and seasons, these would normally include: - vegetation physiognomy; - tree density per hectare, dead trees and indicator tree species ; - grass cover, height and greenness and extent of burning; - water sources and extent; - farm areas, extent and major canopy crops. 84 - Ecological recordings are supplemented by hand-held side- looking photography and occasional vertical photography. The primary objective of an animal and human survey is usually to answer the fundamental questions: How many ? - this can be worked out from simple statistics upon the recordings down each individual sample flight line; Where ? - this can be readily seen from the grid distribution maps; Why ? - relationships between animals and people and their environment can be tested by a series of multivariate analyses. Although simple corre lations can be confounded by partial relation ships, step-wise regressions or more preferably analyses of variance or factor analyses can display all the variables in terms of their individual relationships to each other. The opportunities for such analyses can be envisaged from Fig. 3, which represents some data sets that could be collected from a typical survey. Assuming that one variable such as cattle herds, is of particular interest, this can be separated from the rest of the data file. The general distribution of cattle herds can be seen by examining the grid entries on this data element. The relations of cattle herds to any of the data files can be examined statistically and, in the case of fig. 3, cultivation, grass cover and distance to water are all likely to influence cattle herd distribution. The final analysis, which is particularly important to the identification of actual constraints to cattle herd distribution, is to give a priority rating to each of the data files in terms of their' sequental ability to explain variation in the cattle herd distribution. The total number of data files for analysis is not restrict ed to information collected during flight, but can include other information from existing maps. In this way, the importance of .parameters such as rainfall, geology or administrative boundaries could also be assessed. - 85 - CATTLE HERDS lolololo|o|l|2|3|4|4|3|2|l|o|o|o| HABITAT TYPES SlM OlOiO 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 1 I ID n n ^ s 5 i^^^iU * A 1 1 IB 0 0 c) 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 OlII 0 0 (>>2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 ol 1 " 1 7 ? L ; 1 ^0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 Tj |(2.l 1 \ 1 1 ' 0 2 ! 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 321 0 0 () 0 0 2 2 2 0 3 0 0 0 3 3 Tj 6 ■■ 0 0 <)T>1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 3 3 3 jH 0 0 () 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 4 [j 1 0 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 5 5 E 3 2 I 8 2 - 1 0 3 3 3 4'• 433555 0 0 3 3 4 4 1 3 jSSSS - 3 ? 1 U 0 0 3 4 4 4 13 3 5 5 5 5 : s r 1 M 1 0 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 5 5 5 5 1 TH 1 ( ) 0 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 5 1 (M 1 SM 0 0 () 0 4 4 4 3 3 1 3| j 5 5 1 1 TJ l(6_l0 0 (> 0 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 1 1 1 1 Tj HTMIlo 0 () 0 3 3 3 3 5 5 1 1 1 1 1 Tj 0 0 ) 3 3 3,5 511 1 1 1 1 1 1 l| 0 0 5 3 3 5 5 5 1 i i i i i i Tj DATA FILE DATA ELEMENT BY CODING ALL ORIGINAL INFORMATION AT A COMMON FORMAT AND SCALE, ANALYSIS (SUPERIMPOSING DATA, IDENTIFYING PROXIMITY OF RESOURCES AND MATHEMATICAL WEIGHTING) ARE POSSIBLE WITH RESULTS IN A SPATIAL CONTEXT' Fig 3. Typical data elements used in the computer data handling technique. Results: resources inventory and land stratification To illustrate some of the results from low-altitude aerial survey and the way these results are being analysed and presented, examples are taken from ILCA's work in Nigeria, Mali, Niger and Ethiopia. - 86 - Animal and human populations: abundance and distribution An initial analysis of data provides overall population totals for the study area, including herd or camp sizes, and densities. Table 1 2 shows results from the entire 81,555 km USAID/NRL project area in Niger, during two seasons. Table 1. Seasonal livestock populations (+% SE) in the NRL project area, Niger. Heads Herds Animal type Total (Nos) Stocking (Ha/Hd) Total (Nos) Mean Size Dry Wet Dry Wet Dry Wet Dry Wet Cattle Bororo Azawak Sheep/ goats Camels Donkeys 288,653(12) 376,533(16) 28 22 152,814(15) 246,900(17) 54 33 135,839(12) 129,632(17) 60 63 8,706(10) 10,043(12) 33 38 4,025(13) 5,444(16) 38 45 4,681(10) 4,599(10) 29 28 780,289(8) 1,147,914(11) 10 7 16,964(8) 16,513(10) 46 70 70,162(9) 155,708(32) 116 52 12,917(9) 7,829(13) 5 20 13,540(14) 23,375(12) 588 345 1,890(14) 4,086(9) 7 11 Such population and herd sized totals give information about likely production levels and economy in the project area. A comparison between the seasons suggests changing herding strategies. For example, the population of the Bororo cattle was 62% greater during the wet season than during the dry season, while the Azawak cattle breed numbers remained stable between seasons; this suggests that the Bororo cattle are more mobile and may be part of a larger-scale transhumant pattern. Detailed distribution analysis detected: areas of seasonal herd splitting; areas of total herd immigration; areas of cattle influx linked to immigration of primarily sheep and goat owners; areas of influx associated with livestock ownership by settled culti vators; and a substantial wet-season immigration of camels. Similar tables for the total pastoral population of the NRL project area identified five distinct pastoral groups: three Tuareg; 87 - one WoDaaBe Fulani; and one Arab. An immediately interesting result was that, while the initial project preparation document for the area estimated 50,000 people, the actual number of pastoralists alone was about 175,000. Although information about the total number of animals or people in an area is valuable because it indicates the size of the target group and thus the possible total regional benefits that might result from successful intervention, information about distribution ;is often more important, in that it indicates the regional impact of animals upon their resources, and guides follow-up research and i development activities into areas of concentration. For example, an 'examination of the livestock and pastoralist distribution in this NRL project area showed that the Bororo and Azawak cattle breeds had very different areas of concentration and these corresponded to the distribution of WoDaaBe Fulani and tented Tuareg respectively. These differences in distribution immediately indicated that detailed in formation about either breed or tribe would only be relevant to certain parts of the zone, while the opportunities for research or development contact with the two tribal peoples would be different. The different transhumance patterns between the two groups suggest different flexibilities in management strategies which are likely to affect their long-term development paths and choice of interventions. ILCA is at present using four different methods to represent the results of distribution data (Fig. 4). As the original data is collected on a grid basis, each grid may be shaded to represent the density it supports (choropleta symbolism) . Alternatively, the individual grid information can be represented as squares or circles (proportional point symbolism), whose sizes correspond to the observed densities. Such representation of actual recordings, on a grid by grid basis, can often be more easily interpreted if variations between adjacent grids are mapped as contours which can also be represented as a three surface view. - 88 - choropleth symbolism proportional point symbolism 90 50 25 10 D • ■ ■ • ■ • ■ ■■■■■• •••••■■M» » ■ ■■■ a ■ ■■ ■ 90 80 ■ 60 " 50 . ♦0 30*20 8 2-dimensional surface 3-dimensional surface Dry-season grass distribution in a central region of the pastoral zone of Niger - May 1981 Figures shown are percentage grass cover Fig 4. Methods of representing aerial survey distribution data. - 89 - A common feature of pastoral systems is the changes in seasonal distribution patterns of livestock and people. Although it is almost impossible, by aerial survey, to link these movements to indi vidual specific herds (without radio collaring or herd marking) the patterns of herd concentrations can be easily understood from repeated seasonal surveys. If these distribution patterns are investigated on the ground, by social interview, and movement histories are estab lished, regional mobility strategies can be mapped and quantified. As stated in the introduction, most of the ground census data relates to one period of the year. For example, ground census figures for the Jos Plateau of Nigeria, based upon vaccination and tax returns, suggested a population of about 300,000 cattle, while aerial surveys (Milligan, 1980) showed a dry-season population of 140,000 and a wet-season population of 400,000. Often ground studies have provided general indications of movements; however, the value of an actual census can be illustrated from work by ILCA in the Nigerian subhumid zone which was generally considered to be an area of dry-season grazing, with animals returning north early in the wet season when surface water becomes again available and the southern tsetse belts expand. Table 2 shows that two of ILCA's four case-study areas had high wet-season concentrations: an exactly converse pattern to that expected. Table 2. Cattle densities in four case-study areas in the Nigerian subhumid zone. Area Density Mean (km2) (no. km2) dry size wet dry wet Kurmin Biri 2,500 17.3 4.2 51 54 Abet 2,475 37.4 22.7 48 61 Mariga 2,750 6.6 23.5 25 53 Laf ia 3,500 12.7 37.7 59 86 - 90 - The Niger delta region in Mali is another area of marked seasonal movements of livestock. This seasonally flooded region within the Sahel supports, during the period of greatest animal concentration, about 1,200,000 cattle and an additional 500,000 sheep and goats. Maps of the seasonal distributions of cattle are illus trated in Fig. 5. October 1980 >■■■-- 550 165 125 70 50 40 30 20 15 10 0 Cattle density per square kilometre March 1981 June 1982 ■ • ■ ■ • • ■ ijml ■ ■ ■ i a ■ a ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■■■■• • ■ Fig 5. Seasonal cattle distribution in the Niger delta region of Mali. 91 These maps show, during October, high cattle densities in the transition zone surrounding the delta and low populations where water is lacking and also in the central basin which is inaccessible due to flooding or because it is protected by river barriers. The March pattern showed a concentration of cattle in the floodplain which supported 72% of the total population. Two distinct sub-populations were detected; one south of the River Niger in the Djenne region; the other north, near Lake Debo. During June, cattle were leaving the delta, and distinct movements westwards and eastwards from Lake Debo were recorded. Environmental conditions All environmental variables .ecorded during a survey can individually be illustrated as distribution maps based upon the aerial survey grid pattern. Alternatively, average or total figures can be computed for particular regions. An example of these resource maps for the Mali delta region shows that only about half of the survey areas can be termed 'upland Sahel with little or no flooding1 (Fig. 6). Farming is of high density in the Mema Jura to the east of Mopti and in the Sanari plains. The rest of the area consists mostly of flooded plains and backswamps (34%) with considerable land devoted to floating rice cultivation. The highest levels of rice cultivation were recorded in the Macina plains and those south of Mopti; these plains are broken by higher level terraces, levees and point-bar systems, which are much less inundated and show a mixture of rainfed and rice farming. - 92 - Level of flooding • ■■■■■■ar ■ ■■■■■■■ ■! •■■! • ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ 3s ■■•■ ■■■■ ■< ■■■■■ • ■ ■■ a. v h • ■■ ■ 100 5 i S S' o Rice cultivation Cereal cultivation 1 ■ ■ ■ • ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ • ■ ■ I ■ ■ ■ ■ m * ■■ » ■ m m ■ ■ ■ a ■ ■ ■ urn, m ■ ■ ■ ■ ■■■■■■ ■ ■a ■a■ ■ ■ ■ » ■■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■■■■■■■■ ■■■ ■■■■■■ • .1 ■ ■ ■■■■■■■■■■ 100 ■ ■ ■ ■ a ■ ■ ■ ■■■ ■■■ ■■■■ ■ ■ ■ ■a ■ ■ ■■ ■■■ > ■■ ■■■■■■■■a '•'a ■ ■■■ ■ ■■ ■■■ ■■■ ■■ ■■■■ ■■ ■■ ■■ ■■■■■■■ ■■■ • ■■■»■ ■■■ ■ ■ ■■■■■• ■ ■■■ ■ ■ ■■■■ ■ MSB- ■ ■■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■■■ ■ ■ ■ ■ am ■ ■ ■■BMla 20. ,05- ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ m ■ Baa* )■■■■■■ ,■ m ■ !_ r- 0* Figures shown are percentages Fig 6. Levels of flooding, vice and ceveal cultivation in the Niger delta region of Mali. - 93 - As for livestock, seasonal changes in environmental con ditions can also be illustrated by a series of seasonal maps and graphs. An example of a graphic application for the drier areas surrounding the Mali delta is given in Fig. 7, for grass cover during March and June. Such frequency distributions of grass cover levels are often related to the levels of grazing: in general, curves with a rightward skew indicate understocking, while a leftward skew indicates overstocking, except where there are other causes for dry matter disappearance . 50i 40 Co 30 o o 20- 10- o i March June "20 30 40 Grass cover (%) 50 60 70 Fig 7. Frequency distribution of seasonal grass cover levels in the upland Sahel region bordering the Mali delta. - 94 - The actual environmental variables collected during a survey will depend upon the objectives of the survey and the capabilities of the survey team. Questions about specific environmental conditions can often be answered; such as possible changes in degradation which can be inferred from soil and erosion patterns, from grass cover, or from the distribution of dead or indicator plant species. In Niger, the distribution of a small shrub, Calotropis procera, was recorded as well as the distribution of dead trees (Fig. 8); the former was in response to USAID requests based upon observations that this species had increased substantially in their area during the past few years and the suggestion that it may indicate deteriorating conditions. ■ ■ ■ • ■ a • » ■ • ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ * • • • ■ ■ ■ ■•■■■■ ■■■ • ■•■■■■a••• •a■ •■■■■■ •• • • • • ■ >■•■■•• ■■■■•■ ■ ■ > • . ■ . . >, ■ • ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ t > • * ■ • • • . • • ■ • • • ... J 6 I 5 4 2 2 1 Dead trees Calotropis procera Fig 8. Distribution of Calotropis prooera and dead trees in the NRL project area in Niger. Interrelations between animals and environment The interrelations between animals or people and the various measured environmental parameters can provide information that will directly suggest appropriate management interventions into the pastoral system. For example, if animals are usually concentrated into cultivated - 95 - areas, opportunities for better interactions with farmers may exist; whereas, if cattle are usually away from cultivated areas and are [concentrated in the natural rangelands and savannas, grazing reserves jor improvement of range management practices may be feasible. Simi larly, direct linkages to specific variables can indicate their relative importance and thus whether they are likely to be a constraint to the system. For example, if animals mostly graze near water sources can be investigated. While any set of two variables can be examined, for example grass cover to distance from water, it is often more valuable to study the system as a whole, considering the combined and cumulative effects of many variables upon another independent variable. The objective may be to identify, for example, which out of all the variables recorded most closely corresponds to the distribution of cattle, on ithe assumption that such a variable may thus be a limiting or con trolling factor to cattle distribution. This particular stage in the analysis is perhaps the most valuable to pastoral systems research, as it moves away from the basic descriptive phase of the system into the diagnostic phase, hypoth esising specific constraints that can be validated and tested by ground research teams. It is important to stress that results from such analysis are necessarily "predictive" rather than "causal". For example, results could indicate that animals are usually concentrated near water, i.e. that a knowledge of water distribution allows one to predict animal distribution. Water may, in fact, not be the cause of the observed animal distribution, which could be due to factors not even recorded during the survey, such as tribal or border conflicts, or that a particularly desirable plant occurred near these water sources. Clearly, a ground research team, equipped with the predic tive hypotheses generated from an aerial survey, can quickly clarify their validity. In the USAID/NRL study area, the overall cattle population distribution during May could be best predicted from a knowledge of cultivated areas, grass cover and distance to various water sources. During October, cultivation and grass cover continued to be most important but predictions could also be made from the general veg- - 96 - etation structure and tree density maps. However, the two cattle breeds were conspicuously different. Bororo distribution could nearly always be predicted from grass cover, further refined by vegetation and tree density distribution. Azawak were most concentrated in cultivated areas and near water sources. Thus there was a clear division between the two breeds in terms of their relationship to natural vegetation versus man-induced conditions. Such observations indicated that the basic options between rangeland development or water development may have a different relative value for the two breeds and the pastoral group associated with them. In the southern Ethiopian rangelands, 19 variables, including cultivation, grass cover, vegetation physiognomy, growing period gradients and distance to three water source types, were included in an analysis of livestock distribution. The distance to ponds was nearly always the best predictor of livestock distribution. From such a knowledge, the relationship between cattle and ponds was more closely examined. Figs 9 and 10 show two ways that this information was presented. CKl yells Distance to water (km) Fig 9. Cattle distribution in relation to water sources in the SORDU project area of southern Ethiopia. - 97 - Cattle density per square kilometre 205. V■■ ■■ ■ *■■ ■ /*f ■ ■■■■» ■■■ 1 ) "iP -■ Contours show distance (km) to ponds 25 kilometres XfmV " " " " '■"i *■•■■■■ ■ -■■■ y Fig 10. Number of cattle and the distance to ponds in the SORDU project area, southern Ethiopia. Land stratification Over large tracts of land, ecological conditions usually vary con siderably and consequently so do opportunities for intervention. Thus an effective diagnosis of the principal constraints within a pastoral system will often require an initial stratification of land into major vegetation or ecological units; followed by an assessment of probable constraints within each strata; followed by an evaluation of whether particular strata are likely to respond to the proposed interventions. In Niger, geomorphology and landscape were used to divide the NRL project area into six landtypes. Further subdivision into - 98 - management units depended on the supposition that, at the present state of pastoral development, practical interventions require units that are geographically distinct, with suitable operational bases. The project area in Niger was finally divided into four major strata with 10 units. Specific research and development possibilities could be identified for each unit. For example, one of the units, the Ighazer plains, was essentially a clay soil floodplain while another was a sand dune grassland. While the development of surface water in pools and ponds was likely to persist in the former, ground seepage in the latter would necessitate construction of deep boreholes. However, controlled animal stocking was likely to be of little value in the floodplains where there was a low grass cover of scattered perennial tufts, compared to the dunes which had a good cover of annual grasses. A similar approach to land stratification was adopted for the Mali delta region, with breakdown into four strata subdivided into 19 units, for each of which aspects of the animal and human populations as well as the environmental conditions could be described (Table 3). Table 3. Cattle and selected environmental conditions in four land management strata in the Mali delta region. Land Area (km2) Cattl e population Environment management Oct. March June Flood Rice Cereal strata Cooo) ('000) Cooo) (%) (%) (%) Upland Sahel 13,197 226 63 116 0 0 19 Transition zone 5,811 237 91 102 10 7 14 Elevated plains 5,818 230 189 181 21 12 9 Inundated plains 11,117 114 871 410 72 24 3 - 99 - Discussion The general iterative sequence of pastoral systems research can be seen to have four essential phases: | > DIAGNOSTIC -i DESCRIPTIVE TRIALS L PROMOTE < 1 Low-altitude aerial survey is mainly valuable at the descriptive and diagnostic phases. The descriptive phase provides an inventory of the resources, together with an evaluation of their structure and functioning within the production system. This descrip tive phase needs to be open euded, as comprehensive as possible and, most importantly, should be both rapid and cost-effective. Thereafter, the diagnostic phase must first identify the main constraints, devise ways of tackling them and then evaluate the probability of the success of any proposed interventions. The remote sensing nature of low level aerial surveys means that the constraints to the system can only be proposed or hypothesised, and ground vali dation is essential. Results of the work provide predictive state ments, for example that animals tend to be found near wells, but the actual reasons and mechanism for this may be more complicated: animals may be near water for reasons other than water, while developing alternative water sources may be either technically or socially unfeasible. Fig. 11 indicates how the essential flows from description towards diagnosis can operate. The survey immediately answers the resource questions: How many? Where? and When? while the interrelationships provide the hypotheses: Why? These hypotheses about possible causation and limiting factors to the system are posed within the multi-variate animal, human, environment context. - 100 - z o HOW MANY WHERE WHEN E 5 u ANIMALS ANIMALS ANIMALS PEOPLE PEOPLE PEOPLE LU ENVIRONMENT ENVIRONMENT ENVIRONMENT o ^V i INTERRELATIONSHIPS CONSTRAINTS I vt ENVIRONMENT ANIMAL PEOPLE O GRASS COVER MOVEMENTS HERO SIZES STOCKING RATES SPECIES RATIOS ANIMAL x RANGE MOVEMENTS DISPERSION MARKETS ETHNIC RATIOS PEOPLE x ANIMALS z WATER < EROSION 5 FIRE RANGE x CULT Fig 11. Low altitude aerial survey. Although low-altitude aerial surveys record a large number of parameters relating to the animal and human populations as well as their environment, numerous parameters cannot be recorded. For example, while the animal population size and distribution are recorded, age and sex structures are not. Similarly, baseline infor mation about human demography, household and labour budgets and decision making processes are not recorded, neither are environmental factors, such as geology and rainfall, though these often exist in published literature. While detailed range resource maps have been produced from intensive photo-interpretation and ground truthing, the general vegetation descriptions made during flight will often be sufficient to indicate whether range resources are an important constraint to animal distribution and thus whether further, more detailed, research is in fact necessary. - 101 - A particularly useful advantage of low aerial survey is its ability to guide aspects of the sampling design of ground inves tigations (Okali and Mill igarij 1980) . If detailed animal production studies require a stratified sample design based upon herd size, this can be directed from the results of the aerial surveys. Subsequently, aerial and ground data can be linked together and detailed results from the ground can be extrapolated to the entire study area. Simi larly, if household studies are to be based upon wealth strata and if the wealth characterization can be linked to factors visible from the air such as camp size, number of granneries, or cattle holdings, the basic sample frame and its locations can be determined before the ground work begins. Outside its advantage as a multiple resource inventory technique, low altitude aerial surveys are both rapid and cheap. Although survey time will depend upon sample procedures and various 2 logistic considerations, an area of about 100,000 km could be covered in three to four weeks and preliminary reports from the survey could be made available to ground teams one month later. Costs are variable. The actual flying operations themselves are usually substantially less expensive than man-time costs, and thus analysis and reporting time become important considerations. Normal costs, from planning to 2 reporting, are about USj5 1.00 per km , although costs would be higher for particularly intensive investigations. This amount usually represents as little as 1% of the total research and development costs within a pastoral project. References De Leeuw, P. and Milligan, K. 1983. The integration of remote sensing techniques for resource evaluation in pastoral systems research. Invited paper, Workshop on Pastoral Systems Research in Sub-Saharan Africa, ILCA, Addis Ababa. Grimsdell, J.J.R., Bille, J.C. and Milligan, K. 1979. Alternative methods for aerial livestock census. Invited paper, International Workshop on Aerial Survey Methods, Nairobi. - 102 - Grimsdell, J.J.R., Sihm, P. and Milligan, K. 1979a. The role of aerial surveys in livestock development projects. Invited paper, International Workshop on Aerial Survey Methods, Nairobi. Milligan, K. 1980. Abundance and distribution of cattle on the Jos Plateau, Nigeria. Report to the Federal Livestock Department, Lagos. I Milligan, K. 1981. Aerial survey of human, livestock and environmental conditions in a central region of the pastoral zone of Niger. Report to USAID, Niamey. Milligan, K. 1983. An aerial reconnaissance of livestock and human populations in relation to land use and ecological con ditions in the SORDU project area of southern Ethiopia. Report to RDP, Addis Ababa. i Milligan, K., Bourne, D. and Chachu, R. 1979. Dry and wet season patterns of cattle and land use in four regions of Nigerian subhumid zone. Report to ILCA, Kaduna. Milligan, K., Keita, M. and De Leeuw, P. 1982. Recensement aerien saisonnier du cheptel et types de paysage du delta central I du Niger au Mali. Report to ODEM/IBRD, Severe. Okali, C. and Milligan, K. 1980. Ground/air linkage and the role of socio-economic survey in interdisciplinary research for intervention testing. Invited paper, Workshop on the Role of Anthropologists and other Social Scientists in Inter disciplinary Teams Developing Improved Food Production Technology, IRRI/UNEP, Manilla. - 103 - Les enquêtes à basse altitude dans la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux Résumé La technique des enquêtes à basse altitude qui connaît depuis peu un certain essor s'est avérée une méthode rapide, fiable et peu coûteuse pour évaluer le nombre et la distribution des populations animales et humaines sur de vastes superficies. Le document décrit les méthodes de base utilisées actuellement pour effectuer les enquêtes à basse altitude, y compris les procédures de vol et d'échantillonnage et la collecte et l'analyse de l'information. Des exemples tirés des travaux du CIPEA au Nigeria, au Mali, au Niger et en Ethiopie sont utilisés pour illustrer certains des résultats qui peuvent être obtenus avec les enquêtes à basse altitude et la manière dont ceux-ci peuvent être analysés et présentés. Ces exemples mettent l'accent sur l'importance et la distribution des populations animales et humaines, sur les conditions mésologiques, sur les interactions entre les animaux et l'environnement et enfin sur la stratification territoriale. Les enquêtes à basse altitude sont surtout importantes dans les phases de la description et du diagnostic de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux. Le recours que font les enquêtes à basse altitude à la télédétection signifie que les contraintes aux systèmes identifiés par le biais de telles enquêtes ne constituent que des hypothèses et que la confirmation par l'observation au sol est indispensable. L'un des avantages les plus importants des enquêtes à basse altitude réside dans le fait qu'elles permettent d'orienter certains aspects du plan d'échantillonnage des enquêtes au sol. Si les études détaillées sur la production animale font appel à un plan d'échantillonnage stratifié basé sur la taille des troupeaux, il est possible d'obtenir un tel plan grâce aux résultats produits par les enquêtes aériennes. Par la suite, il est possible d'établir la corrélation entre les données issues des enquêtes aériennes et des observations au sol; ainsi des informations détaillées recueillies au sol peuvent être extrapolées - 104 - pour l'ensemble de la zone d'étude. De même, si les études sur les ménages doivent être basées sur la stratification de la richesse et si la détermination de la richesse peut être liée à des facteurs tels que la taille des campements, le nombre de greniers ou de bovins visibles à partir d'un appareil, le cadre d'échantillonnage de base et ses éléments peuvent être déterminés avant le début des travaux au sol. Les enquêtes à basse altitude représentent une technique multiple; en outre, elles sont à la fois rapides et peu coûteuses. Une superficie 2 d'environ 100 000 km peut être couverte en trois à quatre semaines et les rapports préliminaires relatifs à l'enquête pourraient être mis à la disposition des équipes au sol un mois plus tard. Normalement, les coûts (de la phase de la planification à celle de 2 l'élaboration du rapport) sont d'environ 1 dollar E.-U. par km , quoique pour les enquêtes particulièrement intensives, ce chiffre puisse être dépassé. Les sommes consacrées aux enquêtes à basse altitude représentent en général 1% seulement des coûts totaux de recherche - développement des projets pastoraux. - 105 Summary of Discussion Session 2. Chairman: Dr Cees de Haan (ILCA) Discussion led by Dr Noumou Diakite (Mali) Dr Rhissa suggested that finance be sought for aerial surveys of all the countries in the Sahel zone from international organisations such as OAU, World Bank, UNDP. Dr Abel warned that in using remote sensing there was one danger in particular that resulted from the detachment of the observer from the object of the survey. Objects that were visible on photographs and images may not be relevant to the local users of the land. Land classification from remote sensing may, because it ignored local use of particular resources, result in development plans which adversely affected local land users. There was also an unnecessary waste of existing information in the form of local knowledge of the land and its use which had been tried and tested over a long period. It was not, in Dr Abel's view, sufficient to use the social scientists of an inter-disciplinary team to counteract the inadequacies and dangers of remote sensing. He suggested that if local land classification systems were described and used from the outset, some of the dangers of inappropriate classification would be removed. If different ethnic groups practised a variety of land uses on the same land, each of their classification systems should be incorporated into an integrated scheme, otherwise certain groups may be placed at a disadvantage in the competition for land which commonly accompanied planned changes in land use. In commenting on the paper by Drs Milligan and de Leeuw, Prof. Saka Nuru said that the remote sensing technique would be a useful preliminary aid in the conceptual framework of LSR in terms of its time-saving and cost benefit effect before more serious work was done by scientists at a particular location. But he said that it was only useful when used as a complement to ground surveys which were probably more reliable in the identification of parameters of interest. There were certain constraints to the technique, such as the difficulty in identifying goats due to their small colour and size. Dr Milligan pointed out that sheep and goats were not normally a problem because of an aspect of their behaviour - they usually ran when an aircraft - 107 - approached and thus could readily be distinguished from cattle. It was difficult to separate sheep from goats, and thus they were normally classified as 'shoats'. Prof. Saka Nuru asked what was the relative efficiency/sensitivity of the remote sensing technique vis a-vis the ground survey. Dr Milligan replied that counting animals from the ground was time-consuming and there were numerous practical and theoretical problems. Dr Milligan agreed that ground truthing was important, depending on the level of information that was required. Items estimated from the air could be checked and some biases corrected from ground survey calibration. Also a knowledge of the ground conditions helped onr to make correct observations from the aircraft. Prof. Saka Nuru strongly supported the idea that ILCA should be involved in a country-wide use of the remote sensing technique in order to get a better picture of the distribution of natural resources as an aid to future planning for livestock development. Dr Zulberti emphasised the need for a conceptual framework before any information was collected to avoid gathering a large amount of data, some of which might not then be used. Dr Chema also stressed the need for a specific purpose to be clearly defined at the beginning of the survey. Dr Milligan agreed, and stated that specific objectives were indeed identified before each flight. The hypotheses and questions that were stated at the start formed the basis for the kind of data that was collected and the design of the sampling strategies. Dr Hiernaux asked Dr de Leeuw whether or not he thought that the use of satellite remote sensing methods and aerial surveys could result in increased costs due to the many field observations that had to be made to support such methods. Dr de Leeuw said that this highlighted the need for researchers to be more clear about what data they really needed from such surveys . - 108 Résumé des débats de la deuxième aéance Président: M. Cees de Haan (CIPEA) Débats dirigés par le Dr Noumou Diakité (Mali) Le Dr Rhissa a suggéré de rechercher le financement d'enquêtes aériennes pour tous les pays de la zone sahélienne auprès d'organisations internationales telles que l'OUA, la Banque mondiale et le PNUD. Le Dr Abel a déclaré que l'utilisation de la télédétec tion comportait un aléa particulier qui résultait de l'éloignement de l'observateur de l'objet de l'enquête. Les objets qui étaient visibles sur les photos et sur les images peuvent ne rien signifier pour les utilisateurs locaux de la terre. La classification des ressources territoriales par télédétection pourrait se traduire par des plans de développement néfastes pour les utilisateurs locaux, notamment parce qu'elle ne tient pas compte des utilisations locales de ressources particulières. En outre, on ne tirait pas parti d'informations disponibles sous forme de connaissance locale de la terre et de ses utilisations et éprouvée par le temps. Aux yeux du Dr Abel, il n'était pas suffisant d'utiliser les spécialistes de sciences sociales d'une équipe interdisciplinaire pour pallier les insuffisances et les dangers de la télédétection. Il a déclaré que si les systèmes locaux de classification des terres étaient décrits et utilisés dès le départ, certains des risques de classification inadéquate pourraient être écartés. Si divers groupes ethniques ont adopté diverses formes d'utilisation des terres sur la même superficie, chacun de leurs systèmes de classification devrait être incorporé dans un schéma intégré, autrement, certains groupes pourraient être placés dans une situation désavantageuse dans la compétition pour les terres qui accompagne en général les changements planifiés de l'uti lisation des terres. Dans son commentaire sur le document de MM. Milligan et de Leeuw, le Prof. Saka Nuru a déclare que la technique de la télédétection constituait un outil préliminaire dans la conception du cadre de la recherche sur l'élevage en raison de l'économie de temps qu'elle permet et de son effet coûts/bénéfices avant que des travaux plus approfondis ne soient entrepris par des scientifiques sur un site déterminé. Mais il a déclaré qu'elle n'était utile que lorsqu'elle - 109 - était utilisée comme complément d'enquêtes au sol qui étaient probablement plus fiables dans l' identification des paramètres importants. Cette technique comportait certaines contraintes telles que la difficulté d'identifier les chèvres en raison de leur couleur et de leur petite taille. M. Milligan a souligné que les moutons et les chèvres ne constituaient pas normalement de problèmes à cause d'un aspect de leur comportement: il s'enfuient généralement lorsqu'un avion approche et peuvent ainsi être facilement distingués des bovins. Il est difficile de distinguer les moutons des chèvres et ils ont donc été normalement classés en "cavins". Le Prof. Saka Nuru a demandé quelle était la fiabilité/efficacité relative de la technique de télédétection par rapport aux enquêtes au sol. M. Milligan a répondu que le dénombrement des animaux à partir du sol prenait beaucoup de temps et qu'il posait de nombreux problèmes théoriques et pratiques. M. Milligan a reconnu que la confirmation au sol était importante, compte tenu du niveau d'informations requis. Les estima tions faites à partir de l'appareil peuvent être vérifiées et certaines distorsions corrigées par calibrage basé sur les enquêtes au sol. La connaissance de la situation au sol a également permis de faire des observations correctes à partir de l'appareil. Le Prof. Saka Nuru s'est déclaré entièrement en faveur de l'idée selon laquelle le CIPEA devrait participer à l'utilisation à l'échelle des pays des techniques de télédétection pour avoir une image plus claire de la distribution des ressources naturelles en vue d'une assistance à la planification future du développement de l'élevage. Le Dr Zulberti a mis l'accent sur la nécessité d'un cadre conceptuel avant la collecte des données, pour éviter le rassemblement d'infor mations abondantes dont certaines pourraient ne pas être utilisées. Le Dr Chema a également souligné la nécessité de définir clairement un objectif précis au commencement de l'enquête. M. Milligan a accepté ce point de vue et a déclaré que des objectifs spécifiques étaient en fait identifiés avant chaque vol. Les hypothèses et les questions formulées au départ constituaient la base à partir de laquelle les divers types de données étaient collectées et la concep tion des stratégies d'échantillonnage mise au point. - 110 - M. Hiernaux a demandé à M. de Leeuw si oui ou non il estimait que l'utilisation des méthodes de télédétection par satellite et par enquête aérienne pourrait résulter en un accroissement des coûts en raison de la multiplicité des observations qui devaient être faites sur le terrain pour appuyer de telles méthodes. M. de Leeuw a déclaré que cela soulignait la nécessité pour les chercheurs de définir de manière très claire les types de données dont ils ont besoin dans de telles enquêtes. - 111 - Les végétations et les resources fourragères dans les systèmes pastoraux Pierre Hiernaux Ecologiste, zones arides (Afrique de l'Ouest), CTPEA, Mali Le but des études menées sur la végétation et les ressources fourragères dans les systèmes pastoraux est de détecter et d'analyser les contraintes nutritionnelles pour l'élevage qui sont liées à une insuffisance de ces ressources, et de proposer des solutions pour y remédier. Comme pour d'autres aspects du système, l'étude est structurée en phases descriptives et de diagnostic, éventuellement suivies de tests au niveau expérimental puis progressivement mis en place dans les systèmes. Une particularité des études sur la végétation tient à ce que celle-ci est à la fois une des ressources alimentaires principales de l'élevage qu'il faut quantifier et dont il faut analyser les processus de production et de reproduction, mais c'est aussi un paramètre majeur de l'environnement, et qui reflète, par sa structure et son fonctionnement, les autres composantes de l'environnement. A travers sa structure physique, floristique, ses variations saisonnières ou interannuelles, la végétation est un indicateur synthétique des conditions de milieu qui peut être utilisé pour identifier et caractériser l'environnement. M. Bille traitant des méthodes utilisées pour l'étude de la dynamique de la végétation, ma présentation se limite aux méthodes d'inventaire et d'analyse des processus de production végétale en les illustrant par des exemples extraits des travaux du CIPEA au Mali. La phase descriptive Buts: - Stratifier l'environnement dans lequel évoluent le ou les systèmes pastoraux étudiés. - 113 - - Caractériser la production fourragère de chaque strate et les variables écologiques qui la conditionnent. Méthodes: Les relevés et les cartes phyto-écologiques Les relevés Un inventaire des ressources fourragères est réalisé sur le terrain par relevés méthodologiques de la végétation et du milieu. Un relevé consiste à noter systématiquement pour un site-échantillon les valeurs prises par une série de paramètres de la structure de la végétation et de l'environnement. Pour la végétation, ce sont des paramètres de la structure des peuplements herbacés et ligneux (recouvrement, densité, stratification...), la composition floristique, la biomasse aérienne, etc. . Pour l'environnement ce sont les caracté ristiques climatiques et édaphiques du site: nature de la roche-mère, unité géo-morphologique, descripteurs du profil de sol... mais aussi les indications sur l'occupation du sol -statut agricole et pastoral. Pour faciliter les comparaisons et autoriser les manipulations statistiques, la superficie des sites-échantillons est fixe et l'emplacement est matériellement délimité sur le terrain. Dans les 2 etudes faites au Mali, la superficie des relevés est fixée à 100 m (carré de 10 m de coté) pour le tapis herbacé et 2,56 ha (carré de 160 m de côté) pour le peuplement ligneux. Dans les deux cas, l'étude des distributions aire-espèce a guidé le choix de la superficie qui est proche de l'aire optimale phytosociologique . La durée d'un relevé est comprise entre 2 et 6 heures pour un relevé du peuplement ligneux et 1/2 à 1 heure pour un relevé phyto- écologique (1 observateur). L'échantillonnage des relevés De l'emplacement et du nombre de stations écologiques choisies dépendront la précision des résultats et leur représentativité. Un plan d'échantillonnage fixe la liste dis situations à observer et le nombre des répétitions à effectuer dans chacune d'elles. Le nombre des situations est déduit d'une stratification hiérarchisée de l'espace - 1 14 - régional étudié en régions, secteurs, séries ou séquences et enfin en stations écologiques. Il est égal au produit du nombre des stations par celui des séries multiplié par le nombre de secteurs de chaque région. Le nombre des répétitions est généralement compris entre 3 et 10. Le tableau 1 présente les paramétres de l'échantillonnage réalisé au Mali. Au total, cinq cent relevés de reconnaissance (et 2 100 relevés ligneux) ont été effectués sur une superficie de 71 000 km , 2 soit en moyenne 1 relevé pour 142 km (un carré de 12 km de côté) et une moyenne de 3 répétitions par groupement végétal. Tableau 1. Paramètres de Véchantillonnage stratifié des relevés phyto-écologiques au Mali Régions Glacis Delta Delta Niveaux de perception Ecologiques continental "mort" "vif" Total zone d'étude secteurs 4 (climat) 3 (climat) 9 (inon- 16 dation) séries 8,5 (sol) 8 (sol) 6 (sol) 7,7 (moyenne /secteur) stations l,78(artif.) 2,25(Artif .) 1 (Artif.) 1,7 (moyenne /série) Nombre de strates • 60 Nombre de répétitions x 3 Nombre de relevés 180 Nombre de relevés effectivement réalisés 167 Taux d'échantillonnage superficie km /relevé 168 54 54 172 x 3 x 3 162 162 504 164 169 500 155 103 142 115 - Le tableau d'échantillonnage fixe l'effectif des observations et les localise grossièrement. Pour préciser leurs emplacements, les documents cartographiques et les photographies aériennes sont très utiles. Si l'échelle des photographies aériennes et leur actualité sont appropriées, cette localisation peut être directement utilisable sur le terrain au niveau duquel il ne restera plus qu'à vérifier la correspondance avec les critères d'échantillonnage retenus et, pour le détail de l'emplacement, à veiller à la représentativité de l'élément choisi vis-à-vis de l'ensemble de la station écologique. La photographie aérienne s'avère un instrument très précieux dans la phase technique de l'échantillonnage, tant pour le contrôle de la représentativité des sites que pour résoudre au mieux les problèmes d'accès. La durée d'une campagne ile relevés telle que celle qui a 2 été faite au Mali est de 22 jours de terrain pour 10.000 km pour un observateur (en moyenne 4 relevés phyto-écologiques/jour et 1 relevé ligneux/jour) . A condition toutefois de choisir une saison propice, surtout pour les herbacées (septembre à janvier au Sahel) . L'analyse des données des relevés phyto-écologiques Les données recueillies dans les relevés peuvent être présentées sous la forme d'une matrice où les objets sont les relevés et les descrip teurs à la fois les taxons (composition floristique qualitative ou quantitative) et les états des variables écologiques observées ou mesurées (Fig. 1). De cette matrice de base d'autres matrices sont dérivées dont les objectifs sont les états des variables du milieu et les descripteurs sont soit les espèces, soit les relevés groupés par formation végétale. Les dimensions très élevées de ces matrices rendent indispensable le recours à un ordinateur performant. Ce traitement mécanographique des données réclame un codage des données et leur transcription sur cartes perforées ou bandes magnétiques. Après une série de tests pour contrôler l'échantillonnage (mesure de l'interdépendance des variables sur la base des calculs de probabilité, ou de l'information mutuelle sur les tables de contingence), les groupements végétaux sont définis par une comparaison des compositions floristiques des relevés. Ces groupements sont alors caractérisés par les espèces et les états des variables écologiques auxquels ils sont significativement lies. - 116 - MATRICE DE BASE DES DONNEES PHYTO-ECOLOGIQUES OBJETS: R1 RELEVE \ R % D E S C R I P T E 0 R S El 11 * X1N Especes vegetales E , X .... - - - - E P pi •••• * XpN Variables 1 Ml • ylN de l'environnement L 1 \ yq r '-qN \ x: presence-absence, abondance-dominance, recouvrements, effectifs, biomasse.... de l'espece E dans le releve R. y: etat de la variable L dans le releve R. t> Mesures de distance: Groupements phyto-socio- logiques Mesures d' interdependan- ce : structure du milieu. Verification de l'echan- tillonnage . MATRICES DERIVEES Variable Etat K L Etat 1 Etat W ESPECE E U, . . .1 . . uK uNK U 1F. 1 RELEVE S R, . . . . . R • RNK1 K 11 frequence (ou participation) de l'espace E dans les releves R, ou la variable L presente l'etat K. | PROFILS ECOLOGIQUES ZZp> Frequences UK/RK relatives: Frequences UK.NR/ corrigees: Probabilites : profil ecologique indice. Fig. 1. Organigramme de ll'analyse des donnees phyto-ecologiques. ■. !, - 117 - Les calculs sont souvent complétés par une ordination en espace réduit qui permet d'ordonner réciproquement entre eux groupements végétaux, espèces végétales et variables écologiques. La projection des groupements végétaux et états des variables de l'inondation sur le plan des axes factoriels 1 et 2 dans une analyse factorielle des correspondances faites sur les relevés phyto-écologiques du Delta est un exemple des ordinations obtenues (Fig. 2). Il faut compter un jour de travail pour coder et inscrire les données de 10 relevés phyto-écologiques (1 jour pour 5 relevés ligneux), 2 soit environ 10 jours pour 10.000 km échantillonnés comme précédemment pour un observateur. Il faut ajouter à cela la durée des calculs et de l'interprétation qui n'est pas proportionnelle au nombre des relevés. La carte La caractérisation des groupements végétaux est complétée par une carte dont le thème principal, synthétique corrélatif est celui des unités phyto-écologiques. La clef de cartographie est directement établie à partir des résultats de l'analyse des données de relevés qui fournit en outre une liste d'indicateurs. Pour lever la carte, on a recours à la télédé tection par photo-interprétation des photographies aériennes (panchro matiques, et infrarouge au 1/50 OOOème pour le Mali). Elle est d'autant plus aisée que les photos ont servi à l'échantillonnage et aux prospections de terrain. Dans l'approche empirique utilisée, la clef de photo-interprétation est forgée progressivement au cours des rapprochements répétés entre l'image et la vérité de terrain. La télédétection peut procéder d'une démarche plus systématique; il suffit d'adjoindre aux descripteurs de terrain ceux qui caractérisent l'emplacement observé sur le document de télédétection: relief, structure, texture et ton des images photographiques, signatures spectrales sur les fiches de relevé. Des calculs identiques aux précédents établissent la valeur indicatrice de ces paramètres ou de leur combinaison, ce qui, dans le cadre de données géographiquement cotées, permettrait une cartographie automatique. Il est cependant douteux que les indicateurs multispectraux puissent répondre aux caractërisations complexes et hétérogènes qui participent à la définition des groupements végétaux. - 118 - Opposition entre les inondations— rapides et precoces x lentes et tardi^ es « €m iO A 1 10 m K) c — o ?E * • c £ ♦ 1 " 5 •< <£> *J -1 ■o • to ■ • « "3 • 9 i ino" * ■ 2 to 2 i o «M 2 Mu _ O B o Z o A = o •W u -i * ••-? '• c £ ** "" e io » IO c V ^ ■D ■a !h•o m <»— f\j o *■ o Q> -^ x? — > & v-~J fe; . rQ c\; o a s- i^ a •^ 'a +s 0)» - CN • 00 •H - 119 - Une fois les clefs de cartographie et de photo-interprétation établies, le lever d'une carte par les méthodes indiquées et à 2 l'échelle 1/50 OOOPnii- prend 60 jours/homme pour 10 000 km (25 jours de préphoto-interprétation: 6 photos par jour, 10 jours de vérification de terrain, 25 j . de corrections et de dessin). La durée effective globale de la phase descriptive suivant les méthodes décrites ci-dessus se chiffre à 100 jours/homme pour 2 10.000 km en comptant 10 j. forfaitaires pour l'établissement du tableau d'échantillonnage (étude bibliographique, première observation des documents photographiques) et 28 j. pour les calculs et l'interpré tation des résultats. La phase de diagnostic But: - Détecter les contraintes à la nutrition animale liées à une insuffisance quantitative ou qualitative des ressources fourragères . - Proposer des solutions techniques ou des voies de recherche pour les résoudre. Méthodes: Disponible fourrager, production, productivité et biomasse. Les contraintes nutritionnelles dépendent des disponibilités fourragères des principaux pâturages décrits en tenant compte de la fraction de ces disponibilités effectivement accessible au bétail (fraction qui dépend du parcours, de la nature du bétail et du mode de conduite de la pâture, cf. G. Boude t 1975, P. Hiernaux 1982, H. Breman 1982). Les disponibilités fourragères d'un parcours varient au cours du cycle annuel, d'une année à une autre, et en fonction du mode de gestion. En un lieu et instant donnés, elles résultent des phénomènes de production, de prédation et de dégradation qui se sont produits jusque- là. Aussi, les mesures de biomasse doivent avoir pour but l'analyse de ces trois phénomènes sous pâture et sous mise en défens. Les techniques de mesure de biomasse Les techniques utilisables sont très nombreuses et sont l'objet d'une documentation abondante. Nous nous limitons à indiquer quelques-unes des méthodes pratiquées dans le cadre du projet du CIPEA au Mali. - 120 - ■iomasse aérienne du tapis herbacé Technique destructive - Quels que soient les organes et catégories considérés (matière verte, matière morte, graminées, légumineuses, taxon, strates physionomiques, stade phénologique. . .) la mesure est faite par prélèvement pratiqué par coupe sur les placettes délimitées. Le principal problème technique est celui de l'échantillonnage: il faut fixer les formes, la taille, le nombre et la disposition de ces placettes sur le terrain pour que les mesures soient représentatives de la station. Pour la forme de la placette, on sait que la forme circulaire réduit au minimum les effets de bordure et que la forme rectangulaire minimise la variance associée à la micro-hétérogénéité mais augmente les effets de bordure. Finalement la forme carrée est retenue. Le nombre et la surface élémentaire des placettes déterminent la précision de la mesure mais aussi son coût. Si l'on tient compte du coût, la surface 2 optimale se situe suivant les cas entre 1 et 4 m . Le nombre de placettes pour un seuil de précision requis est fonction de l'hété rogénéité du tapis herbacé mais aussi du plan d'échantillonnage. Avec une répartition aléatoire (ou systématique-aléatoire), une trentaine de répétitions suffisant à atteindre une précision satisfaisante, la précision sur la moyenne s x P - écart-type moyenne s.t x n n : nombre de répétitions t : valeur du t de Student pour n-1 degrés de liberté au seuil de 0,05 se stabilise entre 5 et 25% selon l'hétérogénéité du parcours. La disposition aléatoire ou systématique des placettes sur l'unité étudiée n'est pas toujours aisée; elle est souvent remplacée par une distribution subjective stratifiée moins fiable mais plus efficace. Il faut compter une à deux heures par mesure de biomasse sur le terrain. Technique non destructive - Les lectures des contacts sous un point ou des intersections sous segment qui sont préconisées par de nombreux auteurs sont des mesures indirectes: la biomasse est calculée - 121 - à partir de la densité de la végétation. Ces méthodes fournissent en plus des informations très détaillées sur la structure du tapis végétal. Mais elles exigent beaucoup de temps et seront réservées à des mesures fines de la dynamique du tapis végétal (cf. présentation de J.C. Bille). De la biomasse à la production et aux disponibilités fourragères Dans une première approche, les compensations entre production et dégradation sont négligées; on se contente de répéter les mesures de biomasse et les analyses bromatologiques par intervalles au cours du cycle annuel. Ces résultats permettent d'établir les premiers diagnostics . La courbe de la biomasse et de la teneur en protéine d'un parcours sahélien à Schoenefeldia gracilis montre que même si le parcours est protégé jusque là, le taux de protéine est inférieur à 6% une grande partie de l'année durant laquelle la qualité moyenne du parcours est insuffisante (Fig. 3). Dans une approche toujours globale, il est possible de comparer diverses situations liées à l'utilisation du parcours, la différence entre la parcelle pâturée et le témoin souvent appelée consommation apparente traduisant globalement le bilan de l'ingestion de la croissance modifiée et la dégradation sous pâture. Cette approche peut être perfectionnée en faisant la part des divers phénomènes qui concourent au bilan "biomasse", en différenciant la production brute et la production nette dans un pâturage sahélien. Les résultats obtenus au Sahel sont d'ailleurs variables, disent les auteurs. Sur un principe similaire, on mesure la production sous pâture par prélèvements couplés à l'intérieur de cages fourragères déplacées à intervalles rapprochés. Le tableau 2 donne un exemple où sont comparées les productions sous pâture et sous trois régimes de fauche d'un parcours à Echinochloa stoanina. La comparaison oriente les recherches vers l'expérimentation de modes de gestion optimisant la production par rotation des parcours. - 122 - Tableau 2. Production de repousses feuillees d'un parcours Intervalle PRODUCTION DE REPOUSSES FEUILLEES (kg MS/ha) entre les DU 28/12/80 AU 13/7/81 fauches Prod.cumulee Prod, par fauche Prod. journal ier< (semaines) ou pature (p) mama ma 1 2 4 4737 370 190 15 4807 311 400 26 4496 100 749 17 2346 2593 180 199 25,3 2 26,7 1.7 24,9 0,1 12 13,3 Biomasse aerienne (kg de MS/ha) 2000- Debut des pluies regulieres pluies ^ I precoces - I I teneur en I fin des pluies protéines a )SdhoenefeIdia 1000 200- Mois Fig. 3. Evolution mensuelle de la biomasse et de la teneur en proteine d'un pdturage herbeux a Schoenefeldia gracilis mis en defens (ranch de Niono) . - 123 - Il est très difficile de fixer des normes de temps pour ce type de recherches tant elles sont fonction de cas particuliers. Mais d'une façon générale, elles portent sur un cycle annuel complet, plusieurs cycles si les fluctuations interannuelles sont importantes. A titre d'exemple - Pour le delta, les études menées sur 10 parcours, 3 années durant, occupaient une équipe de 5 personnes, 2 semaines pour la mise en place puis une semaine par mois. La phase d'expérimentation But: Analyser l'impact d'une variable du système ou d'une innovation technique sur le fonctionnement du système. Mettre au point une technologie adaptée pour promouvoir un aména gement préalablement testé localement. Les expérimentations sectorielles Elles sont menées sur quelques sites ou stations en conditions contrôlées souvent assez artificielles par rapport aux réalités du système de production. Pour les pâturages, elles consistent principalement à analyser l'impact de pratiques pastorales vraies ou simulées sur la production et la dynamique d'un parcours. L'impact de la date d'entrée dans les parcours du delta (simulée par la fauche) sur leur production et effet de la précocité des incendies, illustrés par les essais menés sur un pâturage à Andropogon gayanus (Fig. 4), sont un exemple d'expérimentation sectorielle dont les résultats orientent les propositions d'aménagement du système de gestion. Les résultats obtenus sur les divers parcours amènent à préconiser une première pâture ou un incendie les plus précoces possibles après la maturité des herbacées. Par ailleurs, l'impact des régimes de fauches répétées à intervalles d'une, deux, quatre ou huit semaines sur la production de repousses, figure dans le tableau 3 pour quatre pâturages du delta. D'après les valeurs de production cumulées, il existe pour chaque parcours un rythme de fauche optimal (entre 1 et 2 semaines pour Echinonhtoa, 2 et 4 semaines pour Andropogon . . . etc) . - 124 - Biomasse (kg de MS /ha) Legende : Coupe precoce (CP) ,tardiv T / N. 1 .. i Brulage precoce (BP;/tardif (BT) / \ / 500- / ^^ / /\ / ' / 1 CP / / \ / ■ /•• '. / ." 100- ■ / BT / v7 ••""'7 */' *.,- Date 17/11 17/12 17/1 16/2 18/3 17/4 17/5 17/6 17/7 Fig. 4. Effet de la date de fauche ou dHncendie sup la repousse d'un parcours 5 Andropogon gayanus. - 125 - Tableau 3. Repousses feuillies de quatre graminees des plaines d'inondation du Niger soumises 5. divers rythmes de fauehe. Productions journali^res en "kg MS/ha. Intervalle entre deux fauehe s (semaines) Repousses Stagnina 80 m Feuillees d ' Echinochloa (dec. a juillet) kg MS/ha/j 81 82 mama 1 2 4 8 - - 25,3 2 28 8,9 31,8 1,6 26,7 1,7 37,2 4, 4 23,3 0,8 24,9 0,1 - - 26,6 0,3 - - - - Intervalle entre deux fauches (semaines) 1 2 4 8 Repousses Feuillees kg MS/ha/j Andropogon Panicum Vetiveria gayanus anabaptistum nigritiana 1980 1982 1982 m a m a m 0 - - 6,2 0,7 5,1 0,4 6,9 1,7 8,7 0,7 6,4 0,6 7,7 1,4 11,4 0,8 4,3 0,5 6,2 1 (15,1) (3) - 126 - Les expériences sectorielles peuvent aussi comporter des essais de pâture dont les effets seront analysés à court et long termes. C'est le cas des expérimentations menées sur le ranch de Niono pour quantifier l'impact de la pâture saisonnière des parcours sahéliens. Le test des innovations Les innovations suggérées par les résultats de ces essais doivent être testées sur quelques unités de production afin de vérifier quels en sont les impacts sur le système et de mettre au point les technologies appropriées. Un test de la rotation des parcours de saison sèche est en cours à Diafarabé. Les éleveurs de la Coopérative de Diafarabé ont bien voulu se prêter à une expérimentation de rotation hebdomadaire sur trois soles pour une partie de leurs troupeaux laitiers villageois. Le protocole a été élaboré au cours d'une série de réunions où nous nous sommes efforcés d'expliquer les buts techniques de l'essai aux éleveurs. Les éleveurs assurent le gardiennage et la gestion de leurs troupeaux; nous nous contentons de mesurer les effets sur la végétation et le poids des animaux. Nous n'avons pas vraiment franchi l'étape suivante dans le projet Mali. Cependant un certain nombre de travaux réalisés dans le cadre du contrat passé entre le CIPEA et l'Opération de développement de l'élevage dans la région de Mopti s'intègrent à la phase de promotion des innovations au niveau de l'ensemble d'un système de production. C'est en particulier le cas des cartes des parcours, des capacités de charge potentielle, et de la structure foncière des systèmes pastoraux du delta intérieur du Niger et de ses marges sahéliennes ainsi que tout le travail concernant la mise en place des unités pastorales pilotes, autant de documents qui doivent servir à la réforme structurelle et foncière indispensable à la promotion des innovations technologiques proposées, en particulier toutes celles qui sont relatives à la gestion des parcours. - 127 - Cet exemple illustre un aspect de la recherche sur les ■ystines pastoraux. De même que lors de l'échantillonnage, il a fallu contidérer une hiérarchie des niveaux d'organisation de la végétation et du milieu, de même les systèmes de production animale sont structurés en niveaux d'organisation avec à la base les unités de production, puis les communautés de base aggrégées en groupes plus ou moins homogènes à leur tour intégrés dans des sociétés d'autant plus complexes qu'elles sont vastes. Dans l'aménagement d'un système, il faut veiller à ce que les proportions soient adaptées à chacun des niveaux d'organisation et coordonnées entre elles. Même si l'unité de production est le maillon fondamental du système et si la détermination individuelle des éleveurs ou propriétaires d'animaux est indispensable à tout aménagement, certaines décisions ne peuvent être prises qu'à un niveau d'organisation supérieur. L'organisation de rotations pastorales sur les terrains de parcours villageois nécessite une décision collective (cas de la coopérative des éleveurs à Diafarabé) . La modification du calendrier qui fixe l'entrée des animaux dans les parcours du Delta doit être prise à un niveau encore supérieur puisqu'il concerne non seulement les éleveurs de la plaine et du Sahel environnant mais aussi les riziculteurs, les pêcheurs, et les services régionaux (vétérinaire, santé, enseignement) . Actuellement une décision est prise chaque année par une commission paritaire organisée par le Gouvernorat de la Région. Les documents cartographiques réalisés pour le contrat ODEM/CIPEA ne sont certes pas très utiles à l'éleveur qui a une connaissance empirique infiniment plus détaillée des parcours de son secteur, mais elles peuvent jouer un role important dans le dialogue entre les éleveurs et les cadres des organismes de développement pour le choix des aménagements. - 128 - Vegetation and feed resources in pastoral systems English Summary: The aim of studies on vegetation and feed resources in pastoral systems is to detect and analyse the nutritional constraints to livestock production and to put forward solutions to relieve them. Vegetation is one of the main feed resources for animal production which has to be quantified and its production and reproduction processes need to be analysed. Vegetation is also a major environmental parameter which reflects the other components of the environment. The aim of the descriptive phase of studies on vegetation and feed resources is to stratify the environment in which the pastoral system or systems under study evolve. Such studies also aim to characterise forage production within each strata and the ecological variables which condition it. An inventory of forage resources is carried out in the field using methodical surveys of the vegetation and the environment. A survey consists of systematically noting for a sample site the values recorded for a series of parameters covering the structure and the vegetation of the environment. For vegetation these parameters cover the structure of herbaceous and ligneous associations, the floristic composition, the above-ground biomass. For the environment the parameters are the climatic and edaphic characteristics of the site, the nature of the bedrock, geomorphology, topography, description of the soil profile and indications on land use, pastoral and agricultural status etc. The accuracy of the results depends on the position and number of ecological stations selected. A sampling plan establishes the list of situations to be observed and the number of replicates of each. The number of situations is worked out from a graded stratification of the area under study into regions, sectors, series or sequences and finally into ecological stations. The sampling table establishes the number of observations and situates them in rough terms. To situate them accurately, maps and aerial photographs are very useful. Aerial photography is a very useful tool in the technical sampling phase, both for checking the representativeness of sites and for solving access problems. - 129 - Data collected in surveys can be presented in the form of matrices in which the objects are the surveys and the descriptors the taxons and the states of the ecological variables observed or measured. The large size of these matrices makes a computer essential. This kind of data processing requires the coding of data and their processing onto punched cards or magnetic tapes. The calculations are often completed by a factorial analysis which allows the reciprocal processing of plant groups, species and ecological variables. The characterisation of plant groups is completed by a map whose main theme is phyto-ecological units. The key to the map is directly established from the results of the data analysis from the sample areas which also provides a list of indicators. Remote sensing is used to make the map; photo-interpretation of aerial photographs is easier if the photographs have also been used for sampling and ground truthing. The aim of the diagnostic phase is to identify the constraints to animal nutrition linked with inadequate quantity or quality of feed resources, and to propose technical solutions or lines of research. The techniques which can be used for measuring biomass are numerous. In destructive techniques measurements are made by cutting samples from the small sample areas delineated in the field. The shape, size, number and pattern of sample areas have to be predetermined in the field, so that measurements will be representative of the ecological station. One or two hours must be allowed for each measurement of biomass in the field. In non-destructive techniques readings are taken from contacts at a point or intersection at a segment. Biomass is calculated using vegetation density as the basis. These methods also provide very detailed information about the structure of the vegetation cover. However, they are time-consuming and should be reserved for measurements of the dynamics of the plant cover. The aim of the experimentation phase is to analyse the impact of a variable within a system or a technical innovation on the functioning of that system, and to develop an adapted technology so as to promote *a locally tested management scheme. Sectorial experments are carried out on several sites or stations under controlled conditions which are often rather artificial when compared to the realities of the - 130 - production system. For pasture they consist mainly of analysing the impact of pastoral practices, real or simulated, on the production or dynamics of a rangeland. Results obtained on different kinds of rangeland lead to a recommendation to start grazing or to burn off as early as possible after the grass has matured. The innovations suggested by the results of these trials must be tested on several production units in order to verify their impact on the system and to develop an appropriate technology. - 131 - L'évolution du milieu J.C. Bille Ecologiste, programme des zones arides (Afrique de t'Est et Afrique australe) , CIPEA, Ethiopie Les causes de l'évolution La description de l'évolution du milieu suppose une conception suffisamment claire des lois biologiques qui s'appliquent aux systèmes pâturés et des liaisons internes dans ces systèmes. On peut, en première approximation, représenter un tel système par le diagramme ci-après : r - "1 Energie ( Atmosphère $ < 1 O o J 8 * ? ARBRES eu HERBE Animal X VU 4-1 vu Q. a non acces sibles c o 0 Sol i — .-l Fig. 1: Représentation d'un écosystème pâture - 133 - On y remarque des compartiments pour la plupart reliés entre eux, et ces liaisons symbolisent l'existence de flux susceptibles d'aller d'un compartiment à un autre, généralement dans les deux sens. Ce schéma a pour but d'attirer l'attention sur le problème le plus habituellement rencontré lors des mesures de dynamique des pâturages: on demande à un écologiste de décrire les modifications perçues dans le sol et les plantes sans proposer aucune indication sur trois éléments indissolublement liés aux précédents: - les animaux, leur type, leur nombre, l'époque à laquelle s'exerce leur actior , etc... - la gestion du territoire, représentée sur le diagramme par des points d'interrogation aussi multiples que les données qui la composent; - ce qui entre et ce qui sort du système, dans le meilleur des cas exprimé sous forme d'unités monétaires. Il est important de bien se rendre compte que la simple notification des changements dans la végétation n 'apporte aucune information si elle n'est pas accompagnée de mesures sur les divers flux à l'intérieur du système et à travers le système. En outre, l'intérêt réside habituellement dans les changements liés à 1' exploi tation et non dans ceux qui sont induits par des causes naturelles Cielles que le climat): c'est alors une méthode indirecte d'apprécia tion de la gestion. Le premier point consiste donc à dissocier les types d'évolution. Types d'évolution Il n'y a de changements climatiques tangibles et rapides que ceux qui correspondent aux variations interannuelles des précipitations habituelles aux zones tropicales. Cette variabilité est d'autant plus élevée que le climat est plus aride, et se traduit presque immédiatement sur la croissance végétale à des degrés divers. La sécheresse modérée d'une seule année réduit la production primaire; une sécheresse intense détruit une partie des plantes pérennes, ou certaines espèces seulement, ou empêche les germinations. Il y a presque toujours un arrière-effet climatique sur l'année suivante, soit par l'intermédiaire de la - 134 - production de diaspores, soit en raison des traumatismes subis par les végétaux pérennes. Nous considérons cependant que ce type de changement est à court terme, brutal, marqué et assez éphémère. Si par contre on modifie à la fois la plupart des éléments et des flux à l'intérieur du système, de nombreux phénomènes vont se produire: on pourra avoir une réduction permanente de l'ensemble des végétaux, ou simplement de certaines espèces, ou encore un transfert de productivité des plantes herbacées vers les plantes ligneuses. Tous les équilibres du système étant perturbés, il y aura aussi des conséquences sur les sols (perte de fertilité, érosion, reprise de pédogenèse) qui se feront sentir pendant 10 ans, 50 ans ou un siècle. La cause la plus usuelle de ce second type de changements est une sur-exploitation du système (c'est-à-dire que ce qui en sort n'est pas compensé par ce qui y entre), en particulier par l'intermé diaire des animaux domestiques. Ce sont des évolutions à long terme, appelées à tort tendances évolutives car ces tendances ne sont perçues que lorsque l'évolution a déjà eu lieu et qu'il est trop tard pour intervenir. Mesure des changements à long terme Nous imaginerons à partir de maintenant que pour une raison quelconque, on ne dispose pas d'une étude scientifique complète du système de production à l'étude et qu'on ne veut pas réaliser cette étude, soit qu'on ne dispose pas de l'expertise nécessaire, soit qu'on ait une prévention innée contre ce type de travail. On souhaite cependant mesurer ou évaluer ce qui se passe dans la végétation. Les possibilités seront illustrées à partir d'exemples choisis au Kenya, où le CIPEA s'est efforcé de réaliser un exercice de ce type. Contraintes particulières à la mesure simple des changements dans la végétation Les paramètres les plus souvent utilisés pour la description des formations végétales sont la diversité, la structure, la périodicité des phytocénoses d'une part, et l'abondance, la fréquence, la constance, la dominance, la fidélité, la vigueur et le couvert de chaque espèce - 135 - d'autre part. Certains de ces paramètres sont qualitatifs et mal adaptés à la mesure de nuances subtiles; la mesure des autres demande une somme de travail qu'on ne peut guère conseiller pour une inter vention bon marché . Ainsi, la détermination du couvert par espèce qu'on pourrait aisément relier à la productivité est réalisable par représentation, graphique de la végétation, par enumération des plantes associée à des mesures sur leurs dimensions, par des méthodes de type P.C.Q. et par des systèmes ponctuels à base de tiges fixées sur des cadres, sur des roues et autres dispositifs. Considérant que la mesure d'un changement se fait à partir d'une comparaison de mesures, et par suite suppose des mesures répétitives, aucune des techniques citées n'est à la fois assez rapide et assez précise pour répondre aux besoins. Un autre type de contrainte est lié à la représentativité des observations effectuées, et par suite à l'échantillonnage: les procédés classiques de description de la végétation supposent toujours qu'on travaille sur une unité homogène et non pas, comme c'est nécessaire dans une étude de système de production, sur une unité de gestion pastorale où l'hétérogénéité est une vertu capitale. Même si l'on ne se sent pas concerné par les querelles académiques des spécialistes, il faut admettre que la méthodologie appropriée n'est pas décrite dans les manuels d'écologie qui d'ailleurs évitent pour la plupart de traiter du sujet. Dispositif de terrain utilisé au Kenya Le dispositif qui a été mis au point au Kenya considère un territoire relativement vaste et soumis à un type d'exploitation donné comme site échantillonné. Les points-échantillons constituent un réseau permanent et sont disposés de façon systématique (par exemple, un point tous les 2, 3 ou 5 km) le long d'un itinéraire fixe qui sera parcouru lors de chaque évaluation. L'un des points joue un rôle privilégié, en ce sens qu'il est repéré au sol par un moyen quelconque (peinture, barres métalliques, petites excavations, masses de métal enfouies,...) et qu'on y effectue - 136 - des mesures précises sur la végétation. Les autres points seront décrits en fonction de ce lieu, et seulement sous forme d'estimations comparatives. Les deux types de points de contrôle ont été appelés respectivement Transect principal et Points secondaires, et l'ensemble du dispositif est tel que présenté par le diagramme suivant: Unité de production TRANSECT PRINCIPAL : Mesures sur PS PS Nombre + couvert des ligneux PS Couvert par espèce, strate herbacée sur lignes ou ban Do ^n 5 50 P. S. des permanentes. POINT SECONDAIRE + si besoin, popula Estimations tion ligneuse. Nombre d'arbres. Dominantes (ar bres, graminées, non graminéens) Couvert total.PS PS Fig. 2: Plan de surveillance des terrains de parcours - 137 - Réalisation pratique des observations En dépit des indications portées sur le diagramme, les mesures ne présentent qu'une indication voisine du couvert, et ne prétendent pas se substituer aux procédés plus scientifiques habituels. Elles consistent en effet à poser un anneau de petite taille (de l'ordre de 2,5 cm) tous les 50 cm le long de deux lignes de 50 mètres et à noter la présence de végétaux dans la surface, en restreignant le choix à quatre possibilités: rien, un peu d'herbe avec une espèce, beaucoup d'herbe avec 1 ou 2 espèces. Si le tapis est trop clairsemé, on se contente de noter l'interception des plantes le long des mêmes axes. Par ailleurs, deux bandes de 100 x 1 m incluant les mêmes lignes servent à localiser les arbres qui s'y trouvent, en notant leur position, leur diamètre et l'extension de leur couronne. Aux points secondaires, on note si les arbres sont plus ou moins nombreux qu'au point de mesure, si le couvert herbacé est plus dense ou plus faible; on établit la liste des trois espèces qui paraissent dominantes dans chaque strate, et ca note la pression de pâture. Des tests sévères ont montré au Kenya que différents observateurs donnent des informations comparables, que le contrôle du réseau ne demande habituellement pas plus que le temps de parcourir la distance, augmenté d'environ 4 heures, et que l'observateur le moins spécialisé fournit des données acceptables. On peut remarquer que ces résultats donnent des indications sur : - la répartition des espèces végétales sur la surface, et les changements dans cette répartition (espèces envahissantes, ou qui disparaissent sous l'action du bétail ou pour une autre raison, déboisement sélectif et autres modifications qualitatives) ; - le potentiel productif de la zone et sur ses variations, en liaison avec l'utilisation des savanes, et des renseignements immédiats sur la denudation ou l'érosion. - 138 - Periodicite et resultats Les resultats sont lies a la periodicité des mesures. Un controle annuel ne revele le plus souvent que 1' influence du climat de l'annee (connu par ailleurs, dut-on dans ce but inclure un pluviometre dans le reseau, c'est-a-dire si aucune station méteorologique n'existe a moins de 50 km). Un changement a long terme lie a l'exploitation n'apparait generalement qu'apres 3 ou 5 ans. Les resultats qui suivent donneront une idee du type d' informations recueillies au Kenya: Tableau 1 . Exemple des resultats de strates herbacees obtenus au Kenya Strate herbacee, transects Espece Digitaria milanjiana Pennisetum stramineam Themeda triandra Sporobolus firribriatus Cynodon plectostachyum Microchloa indica Chlovis spp. Pennisetum mezianum non gramineen Total litiere % du couvert Oct. 1977 Mars 1978 Mars 1980 3,9 +/-0,9 5,5 7 4,3 " 3,3 1,3 1,5 0,5 " 0,7 0,5 4,5 M " 0,5 2 0,5 0,5 " 0,7 2 1,7 2,1 " 0,8 0,5 - - 4 2,7 0,7 " 0,8 0,8 T 5,5 " 0,6 3,7 0,3 20,2 22 19,4 9,1 15 13,7 Strate herbacee, points secondaires Couvert relatif 1979 (%) Espece Digitaria milanjiana Chloris spp. Pennisetum spp. Sporobolus spp. Eragrostis spp. Cynodon Autres graminees Transect Ranch 36,1 21,5 13,9 10,7 7,7 20 2,6 13,3 6,2 8 8,8 6,7 1,5 11,8 - 139 - Mesure des changements à court terme Sauf cas très exceptionnel, les changements dans le milieu au cours d'une même année sont les variations dans la biomasse végétale. Il est bien entendu qu'on ne peut en aucun cas assimiler la biomasse à une époque quelconque avec la production primaire nette d'une année ou d'une période donnée, même si on dispose d'un territoire en défens et qu'on suppose résolus les problèmes de mesure des masses (énorme variabilité dans l'espace, échantillonnage difficile, longueur et coût des opérations de terrain) . Le graphique suivant illustre cette affirmation: Masses de matériel végétal Pluies Biomas protégees 3es, \ s / ; — - „• (productivité primaire nette) / N.I'.P. cumulée (productivité primaire cumulée) / l / A X \ Biomasses, avec pâture Mois Fig. 3: Comparaison de la productivité de la biomasse observée sur une période d'un an - 140 - Les trois courbes, obtenues au Kenya, diffèrent non seulement par leur forme mais même par l'époque des maxima et minima s ils existent. Le matériel végétal ingéré par le bétail ne peut pas non plus être calculé à partir des courbes dont les variations incluent les pertes par piétinement, l'action des décomposeurs et celle d'éventuels autres consommateurs primaires. Les mesures de biomasses végétales ne -peuvent dono en aucun cas être utilisées pour un autre but que l'estimation de la quantité de matériel alimentaire offert aux animaux. Mesures sur le terrain La technique des coupes réalisées sur de petits plots est bien connue, mais est souvent pratiquée avec de nombreuses variantes: - échantillons répartis au hasard à l'intérieur d'une formation végétale déterminée: outre que le travail demande l'existence d'une carte de végétation à grande échelle et une certaine aptitude de l'opérateur à décider s'il se trouve bien dans la formation voulue (des détails de terrain peuvent ne pas avoir été cartographies) , le procédé est très long et peu réaliste; - échantillonnage volontairement biaisé: on ne garde que les plots qui semblent représentatifs, mais il est alors interdit de proposer un écart-type et un intervalle de confiance pour le résultat; - mélange de mesures vraies et d'estimations: on effectue les estimations sur des plots répartis au hasard, et on vérifie l'estimation par une mesure, par exemple une fois sur 10 de façon à introduire un facteur correctif pour l'ensemble des résultats. Le procédé réduit très sensiblement la quantité de travail et a été utilisé au Kenya sur une surface où une action mul tidisciplinaire intensive était en cours, justifiant de tels efforts. Le tableau reproduit ici donne une idée des résultats obtenus. Pour toutes les valeurs, les mesures ont été arrêtées dès que l'inter valle de confiance de la moyenne était inférieur à 20% de cette moyenne qu'il faut donc lire: m +/-0,1 M. - 141 - Tableau 2. Exemple d'une biomasse herbacée mesurée pendant toute une année pour quatre unités écologiques Mois Biomasse herbacée (kg MS/ha) 1 2 3 4 Oct. 80 355 180 660 4 Mars 81 275 80 495 Juin 81 560 440 1060 Oct. 81 465 360 910 Oct. 80 305 230 435 370 Mars 81 270 205 370 300 Juin 81 600 735 820 510 Oct. 81 455 370 430 310 Un autre type de mesures de terrain est la détermination des taux de croissance de l'herbe, qui évite certains des reproches adressés à l'utilisation des biomasses. Il faut disposer d'une centaine de petites cages destinées à protéger les plots-échantillons au cours de périodes assez courtes (de l'ordre de 2 semaines) pour que la croissance végétale s'y effectue au même rythme qu'aux endroits non protégés. On considère que la production à l'intérieur des cages est assez proche de la productivité nette à l'extérieur pour lui être assimilée. Mesures indirectes De très nombreuses méthodes existent, et on peut citer pour mémoire les mesures par densitometrie sur photographies aériennes en noir ou couleur, panchromatique ou infra-rouge; les procédés radiométriques divers: on enregistre au sol, ou en vol à basse altitude, ou à partir d'un satellite, la réponse du milieu dans certaines fréquences d'émission micrométriques ; et plus récemment l'analyse des composantes de réflexion du milieu qui demande l'usage d'un ordinateur et dont les deux tendances sont actuellement: - 142 - - l'analyse par vecteurs construits dans un espace multidimensionnel à partir des composantes de rayonnement; - l'analyse multi-temporelle qui compare deux images successives d'une même scène prises à des époques telles que l'inclinaison du soleil soit différente. Aucun procédé de mesure indirecte des masses végétales n'a encore donné pleinement satisfaction, car le travail présuppose souvent un terrain plat, une végétation homogène sur de vastes espaces (faible définition des documents-satellites) et un accès aisé aux bandes d'enregistrement des mesures, ce qui n'est jamais possible pour les pays d'Afrique tropicale. En outre, les mesures indirectes ne dispensent pas du travail de terrain nécessaire pour calibrer les données de télédétection, de sorte que les causes d'erreur s'ajoutent et que le résultat final est peu fiable. Les observations aériennes à basse altitude qui classent les couverts végétaux et la proportion de matériel vert en un petit nombre de catégories, fournissent finalement des informations plus précises et à moindre coût que les procédés les plus sophistiqués. Utilisation des connaissances et choix du type d'investigation Le texte qui précède montre en particulier que, si toutes les mesures de changements sont des actions répétitives, les mesures de changements à court terme sont infiniment plus coûteuses et plus contraignantes que celles des évolutions à long terme. Si l'on compare la réalisation d'une étude scientifique complète de base qui fournira dès le départ tous les éléments de connaissances nécessaires pour juger simplement des tendances du milieu (description des séries de végétation) , et la seule mesure de la dynamique telle qu'elle vient d'être traitée, on voit aussi que la différence réside surtout dans un étalement dans le temps des efforts et des dépenses pour la seconde approche. En fait, le choix d'une méthode dépend surtout des possibilités d'investigation et de l'intensité des actions de développement prévues. En cas d'intensification poussée de la production animale, les études les plus complètes sont encore bon marché mais il serait inutile - 143 - d'effectuer un suivi des quantités d'aliments disponibles, par exemple, si l'on n'a ensuite aucune possibilité d'intervention sur la gestion du territoire et si l'on ne dispose pas sur le terrain a la fois d'agents techniques compétents, d'une législation qui permette d'agir et de l'infrastructure nécessaire à la mise en place d'une intervention complexe. En outre, la seule mesure des changements dans le milieu est une activité sectorielle à la suite de laquelle on aura acquis très peu d'informations sur les possibilités de cultures ou de reconversion du système de production. Par contre, le suivi de la dynamique végétale devrait accompagner toute intervention humaine sur les systèmes de production animale, au même titre que le suivi de la production secondaire ou des résultats socio-économiques. Il devrait également être une composante automatique de toute expérimentation pastorale, même lorsque le but de l'expérience est aussi spécifique que l'amélioration génétique d'une Face animale ou l'accroissement de la production laitière. - 144 - Vegetation trends English Summary: To describe vegetation trends presupposes an adequate and clear knowledge of the biological laws applicable to grazed eco-systems and the links within these systems. Merely noting down changes in the vegetation provides no information at all if it is not accompanied by measurements of the various flows within and through the system. The starting point is to distinguish between the various types of vegetation trend. If the majority of components and flows within the system undergo change, several trends may occur; there can be a permanent reduction in the overall vegetation, or merely in some species, or a transfer of productivity from grass towards ligneous species. Because the overall balance of the system has been disturbed the soil will also be affected; fertility is lost, erosion sets in, or soil development begins again, for a period of 10, 50 or 100 years. The most usual cause of this type of trend is over-utilisation of the system, particularly by domestic animals. Such trends are long-term, wrongly called evolutionary trends simply because they are noticed only after the evolution has taken place, by which time it is too late to take any action. The classical procedures for describing vegetation assume that work is being carried out on a homogeneous unit and not as is inevitable in the case of production systems studies, on a pastoral management unit the heterogeneity of which is its chief virtue. According to the approach adopted in Kenya any relatively large area subject to a given utilization is considered as the sampling site. The sampling points constitute a permanent network and are arranged in a pattern along a fixed route to be covered during each evaluation. The method uses main transect points and secondary points. Measurements with this technique offer only an approximation of the vegetation cover. However the results give indications on the distri bution of plant species over the area and changes in this distribution and the productive potential of the zone and its variations, in - 145 - relation to utilisation of grazing land as well as immediate information on degradation or erosion. Results obtained in Kenya are described. Short term measurements of change are then described. Changes taking place during the same year are variations in plant biomass. However the measurement of plant biomass cannot be used for any purpose other than for evaluating the quantity of feed on offer. The techniques of hand sampling from small plots are well known. Variations include sampling plots distributed at random within a specific plant formation, deliberately biased sampling and a mixture of actual measurements and estimates. Another type of field measurement is determination of the grass growth rate. Indirect measurements include densitometer measurements made from black-and-white, panchromatic or infra-red aerial photographs by which the response of vegetation in certain short-band wavelengths is measured on the ground, by low level survey or by satellite. A new method is that of computer analysis of the reflectivity of vegetation. No indirect method of measurement has so far proved satisfactory. Indirect measurements do not preclude the field work necessary for calibrating remote sensing data, and as a result the sources of error accumulate and the final result is unreliable. Low level aerial survey, classifying vegetation and the proportion of green matter into a few broad categories, provides more accurate and cheaper data than the more sophisticated methods. Measurements of change in the short term are far more costly and cumbersome than those over the long term. The choice of method depends primarily on what is feasible and the intensity of the development effort planned. Measurement of change in the vegetation by itself is a disciplinary activity. It provides very little information on the possibilities of growing crops or on ways of transforming the production system. On the other hand, the monitoring of vegetation dynamics should accompany any human intervention in an animal production system, just as the monitoring of secondary production or of the socio-economic results should do. It should also be automatically a component of every pastoral research project, even when the purpose of research is as specific as the genetic improvement of an animal breed or an increase in milk production. - 146 - Summary of Discussion Session 3. Chairman: Dr Cees de Haan (ILCA) Discussion led by Dr Ibrahim Gueye (SODESP, Senegal) Dr Diakite pointed out that there was often a problem of transferring research information to extension workers and herdsmen because of the difficult language often used to describe research. Dr Nestel warned that one shouldn't fault ecologists and forage scientists for conducting elegant research in their own field of specialisation - that was their role in a systems research team. One had to determine at what stage one brought in social scientists to question the likely benefit, if any, to be gained from pursuing a particular line of research. Dr Akilu stressed that rangeland management had social, socio economic and political implications. Researchers and extension workers couldn't solve these problems on their own. There was a need to involve the politicians to decide on policies conforming to the aspirations of herdsmen. Dr Thomson asked if one always needed to do experiments on a research station - could one not go directly to the producer and do on-farm trials. Often there was a wealth of information on technologies which aimed to solve some of the obstacles facing producers, which were identified during the diagnostic phase. Did one need to repeat this work? Dr de Haan said this depended on the situation - sometimes one could leave out the experimental phase and go directly to the producer, but sometimes one could not. Dr Ngutter pointed out that work by vegetation/forage ecologists was often not useful to the development planner unless such information could help in determining the technical trade-offs possible between, say, smallstock and large stock on a given range with a given botanic composition, without affecting the botanic composition in an undesirable way. - 147 - Dr Zulberti asked Dr Hiernaux if the bi-weekly or four-weekly grazing systems mentioned in his paper could be applied or recommended in areas where the annual variation in rain was 50% to 200% of the mean and when pastoralists moved from area to area according to the availability of pasture. Could not research on rotation be more oriented to these conditions? Dr Hiernaux said that the proposals for rotational grazing concerned the pastures of the entire Niger delta, the productivity of which was high. The proposals were based on results obtained on experimental sites. Trials were currently underway in the field to test the relevance of these techniques to the existing pastoral system. Dr Barry pointed out that an understanding of the natural resources entering into animal feed was important for maintaining the ecological equilibrium, often highly fragile, in the Sahel countries. Pastoral people and their herds were in a delicate situation due to variability in rainfall, expansion of cash cropping and traditional husbandry methods. Inventories of natural resources needed to be applied to the real situation of pastoral people - thus one should consider socio-economic factors. The problem was how to get these people to adopt their knowledge of rangeland management in the light of long periods of drought and considerable variation in rainfall. - 148 - Résumé des débats de la troisième seance Président: Cees de Haan (CIPEA) Débats dirigés par le Dr Ibrahim Guèye (SODESP, Sénégal) Le Dr Diakité a souligné qu'il se posait souvent des problèmes de transfert des données de recherche aux vulgarisateurs et aux éleveurs à cause de la difficulté du langage souvent utilisé pour décrire la recherche. M. Nestel a déclaré qu'il ne fallait pas blâmer les écologistes et les agrostologues à cause des travaux complexes qu'ils effectuaient dans leur domaine de spécialisation, ce qui correspondait à leur rôle au sein d'une équipe de recherche sur les systèmes. Il fallait déterminer le niveau auquel il fallait faire intervenir les spécialistes des sciences sociales pour se pencher sur les avantages éventuels, si tant est qu'il y en ait, à tirer de la mise en oeuvre d'une voie de recherche particulière. Le Dr Akilu a souligné que la gestion des parcours comportait des effets socio-économiques et politiques. Les chercheurs et les vulgarisateurs ne pouvaient pas tout seuls résoudre ces problèmes. Il fallait l'intervention des politiciens pour prendre des décisions conformes aux aspirations des éleveurs. M. Thomson a demandé si l'on avait toujours besoin de mener les expériences sur une station de recherche; ne pouvait-on pas aller directement aux producteurs et effectuer des essais au niveau des exploitations agricoles? Il y avait souvent des informations abondantes sur les techniques qui visent à résoudre certains des problèmes auxquels les producteurs ont à faire face. Celles-ci avaient été rassemblées au cours de la phase de diagnostic. Etait-il nécessaire de refaire ces travaux? M. de Haan a déclaré que cela dépendait de la situation. Quelquefois, on pouvait sauter la phase expérimentale et aller directement aux producteurs, mais d'autres fois, cela n'était pas possible. Le Dr Ngutter a souligné que les travaux entrepris par les écologistes sur la végétation et sur les fourrages n'étaient très souvent pas utiles pour le planificateur du développement à moins que de telles - 149 - informations puissent aider celui-ci à déterminer les avantages techniques éventuels qu'il y a par exemple a élever du petit bétail au lieu de grands animaux ou vice-versa sur un parcours déterminé, avec une composition botanique donnée, sans affecter de manière négative la composition botanique. Le Dr Zulberti a demandé à M. Hiernaux si les systèmes de pâture bi-hebdomadaire ou quadri-hebdomadaire mentionnés dans son étude pouvaient être appliqués ou recommandés dans des zones où la variation annuelle de la pluviométrie était de 50 a 200% de la moyenne et lorsque les éleveurs se déplaçaient d'une zone â l'autre en fonction de la disponibilité des pâturages. La recherche sur les pâturages tournants ne pouvait-elle pas être mieux orientée vers l'étude de telles situations? M. Hiernaux a déclaré que les propositions de pâturages tournants concernaient les pâturages de l'ensemble du delta du Niger dont la productivité était élevée. Ces propositions étaient basées sur les résultats obtenus sur les sites expérimentaux. Des essais étaient en cours sur le terrain pour tester l'applicabilité de ces techniques au système pastoral existant. Le Dr Barry a souligné que la connaissance des ressources naturelles entrant dans l'affouragement de l'animal était importante pour le maintien de l'équilibre écologique souvent très fragile dans les pays du Sahel. Les peuples pastoraux et leurs troupeaux étaient dans une situation précaire en raison de la variabilité de la pluviométrie, de l'expansion des cultures commerciales et des méthodes d'élevage traditionnelles. L'inventaire des ressources naturelles devait s'appliquer à la situation réelle des populations pastorales; ainsi les facteurs socio-économiques devaient être pris en considération. Le problème était de savoir comment amener ces populations à repenser leurs méthodes de gestion des parcours à la lumière des longues périodes de sécheresse et des variations considérables de la pluvio métrie . - 150 - Livestock productivity and management 1 2 R. Trevor Wilson and P. Semenye Team Leader, Arid Zones (Vest Africa) Programme , ILCA Mali 2Animal Scientist, Arid Zones (Eastern and Southern Africa) Programme , ILCA, Kenya. Introduction Effective and realistic planning for total development in Third World areas requires not only that baseline data be obtained relating to the existing situation but also that future trends are predicted with a reasonable degree of accuracy. While it is possible for economists to derive output figures using a variety of methods for "with project" situations it is usually the "without project" and the "base" situ ation which are suspect, as often the base utilised is little better than an educated guess. Of all the elements utilised for the formulation of an integrated development plan it has normally been the livestock sub-sector which has been the weakest link. Perhaps there have been good - even almost valid - reasons for this. The traditional reluc tance of pastoralists and livestock owners in general to enumerate, or to have enumerated, their animals and the mobile nature of the assets in question have made accurate or even reasonably approximate estimations of total numbers almost impossible to obtain. Indirect methods of estimation such as those based on returns for tax, marketed output, sales of hides and skins are also notoriously inefficient. Aerial surveys have to some extent alleviated this problem but is not only at the population or regional level that errors are apparent: parameters at the level of the herd and of individual animals have also been generally unknown. In the latter case, estimates of pro duction - birth and death rates, growth, offtake - have been based on factors derived from usually non-comparable situations in more developed economies or data from experimental or livestock breeding - 151 - units where managment for "improvement" of local breeds (usually by crossing with exotic, i.e. highly specialised and non-adapted stock) takes place. In recent years methods have been developed for the more realistic estimation of livestock parameters in traditional systems. These relate to estimates of total livestock in a given area as well as to the determination of individual and herd production character istics. By combining the two sets of data, precise figures for the total livestock output of an area can be derived, with known confidence limits. Once this point has been reached it is feasible to manipulate the data for predictive purposes, taking into account natural factors such as rainfall variability and effects of disease and anthropogenic factors such as responses to market stimuli and improved veterinary control. Evolution of survey methodology Low-level aerial surveys are particularly suitable for the enumeration of total animal numbers related to both time and space. Sequential surveys at fixed or varying intervals can be used to establish short- term changes in livestock numbers, trends in total effective size of the herd and seasonal or longer-term movement patterns. The method is particularly suitable for the determination of total animal numbers and, provided a series of flights over time is flown, can also be used to establish the gross dynamics of an animal population. It is not possible to obtain precise data on recruitment (birth) and mortality rates from aerial surveys, nor is it possible to establish population structure or sex ratios with any accuracy - although in early surveys attempts at this were made using size criteria based on photographic samples. Thus for estab lishment of population dynamics and demography, as well as for individual growth rates, production parameters for meat and milk production and levels of offtake, some sort of ground survey is necessary- Until the early 1970s livestock production data for traditional societies were almost invariably based on the work of anthropologists and sociologists whose main interests were outside - 152 - the field of livestock production. Otherwise data have been compiled, often by economists who themselves have usually had little experience of livestock production, from questionnaire surveys. In general it can be considered that both socio-anthropological and formal ques tionnaire methods provide too little and too inaccurate data of the kind required to established livestock population and production parameters. There are exceptions, however, some of these types being adequate for certain data: the good ones generally result from the quality and knowledge of the observer rather than from the raw information given. In addition (but perhaps to a decreasing extent as social and educational horizons expand) formal questionnaires may induce a response block in the more conservative pastoral societies. There is no substitute for physical inspection - and physical contact with - as large a number of animals as possible. Once the livestock owner realizes that the researcher has a real interest in (and an ability with !) the animals, then considerable information, as opposed to the "data" of an elicited response caused by a questionnaire, is usually forthcoming. Thus, some years ago, attempts were made to establish a "zootechnical" method of survey which would provide data of the kind and of the accuracy required for detailed development planning. The method, which is described fully in the next section, was primarily designed for use with cattle, sheep and goats. It has also been used in camel and donkey studies. Integrated development plans for several semi-arid areas in northeast Africa have been formulated using live stock data from these studies. These include plans for Darfur in western Sudan in which livestock data were obtained from transhumant Baqqara Arabs and indigenous sedentary cultivators; and for Tigre in northern Ethiopia with data from short-cycle transhumant Afar in the Rift Valley and sedentary Tigrean cultivators on the Ethiopian Plateau. In West Africa a study of agropastoral systems forming part of the ILCA semi-arid and arid programme used data obtained from transhumant Fulani and sedentary Bambara cultivators in central Mali. Further studies forming part of the ILCA subhumid and humid programme and of their monitoring programme are under way in Nigeria and Kenya respectively. - 153 - The ground survey Three levels or depths of intensity of survey can be recognized: 1. pre-survey 2. initial survey 3. continued survey The ultimate level of survey will depend on the kind of information required and the use to which the data will be put. It should be noted, however, that it is a prerequisite of the method that the earlier stages must be carried out. It may be possible to tele scope a continued survey either with one or with both earlier survey stages but usually some initial work will need to be done. Pre-survey A knowledge of the natural environment, the social groups and the general pattern of livestock distribution and ownership is fundamental to any further survey. Initial stratification can be carried out using LANDSAT imagery and (if an integrated aerial/ground survey is envisaged) aerial reconnaissance. Some time, however, must be spent on the ground in all parts of the survey area, preferably as part of multi-disciplinary team. This should comprise at least the animal scientist, a range ecologist and a social anthropologist or socio- economist. Unless one of these is thoroughly familiar with the area in question and/or the local language a guide/interpreter will be required and in any case may be desirable or necessary for political reasons. During this phase it should be possible to select represen tative areas and representative villages or other units for the initial survey stage. An outline of the subsequent stages should also be given to the probable participating units. If an aerial census to determine total numbers is not to form part of the subsequent stages of survey then available statisti cal data should be collected at this point. In any case such data may well be useful for comparative purposes and also may help to establish household and individual ownership patterns. Market and slaughterhouse figures also need to be collected. - 154 - At this point, however, we think it' would be useful to illustrate some of the problems which are inherent in the published data relating to these aspects. The FAO Production Yearbooks are the most commonly quoted source for livestock numbers. These rely to a considerable extent on national authorities for their data, although they often make adjustments. They give little idea, unfortunately, of the distribution of animals within countries and among people in these countries. Some preliminary work may well be required to. determine the importance of livestock in the area being studied - not simply in terms of numbers but in the contribution of livestock to the overall economy. ILCA is using a classification of "pastoral" for people obtaining more than 50 % of their gross income from live stock and "agropastoral" for those obtaining between 10 % and 50 % from animals. Another problem is the continuing lack of importance attached to small ruminants by national authorities and development agencies. Yet in the seven countries which occupy the semi-arid belt of northern tropical Africa from the Atlantic to the Red Sea, sheep and goats together account for 15.5 % of the standing domestic ruminant biomass. This is shown in Table 1 which also includes figures for Kenya. In some statistics small ruminants are virtually ignored altogether and we can quote here the Office du Niger in Mali which, as Table 2 which is taken from the census records shows, indicated only 12.0 % of families owning goats. The real situation (Table 3) is very different and this table also shows another aspect, not evident in Table 1 except for Niger and Kenya: in the semi-arid zones, particularly in the agropastoral areas, goats are generally of much more importance than sheep numerically and, on account of their potential birth rate, are probably creating an ever widening gap. Ownership patterns and flock sizes are one aspect that would be useful for us to look into during the field studies. 155 - Table1.Theimportanceofshe pandgoatsselectedAfricc untri s ON sheep&goats per inhabitant Numberof 0.-3 6.41 2.13 2.10 1.N 2.13 1.65 0.-3 1.6- No.ofsheep toonegoat Ratio: 1.-5 1.56 1.04 0.40 1.00 1.31 1.35 0.-0 1.16 sheep&goats Numbersof ('000head) 2-05 -200 114N -360 450- N644 40N -3-5 112-05 sheep&goats as%oftotal Biomassof 12.2 2-.2 22.- 21.- 10.2 13.- 14.4 -.- 14.- Senegal Mauritania Mali Niger Tchad Sudan Ethiopia Kenya TOTAL « P W £ 4i •ri CO Si CO CO tt•»i f * +i Jl to !h •*i o■fa +i 5 CO CO a, rO £ a Cn•^ « o•<^ •r> S-, t-i ^ H o « Q i>» +i g §2 s•*» w 'tl o fc O w « rS1 t) -J^> ti s ^ •*s • CO c § >> cfl 3 r cooooor-~coi-^coincncn cn cn o .5 ■ 2 5 O O O in m \o O60 -9 M q m vo cn m co vo oo 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 r-l CO 00 1 1 1 1 1 a) r-l m CO in CN CN CN CN in CN r-1 r-l JS tn 60 C OOoosrr^mOOcnr-i O m OOOOmOcnOcnsj- Ocsimr^r-( r^ CT> cm o -* t>i i—lOmcnOmvocnoocn m cn m cn ^o cy. i— or-^r^oor^ONincncn 00 vO 00 00 o> 00 s r-i o /*-\ /"\ co «* T3 /-S r-l r-i CT> /'V i—1 o /-v CN /—n v£> v-' ~-**, X s-\ en ^^ i—i cn ^s S 01 0) O <*1 CN/-\^'S^NtyV OJ 60 CO /-vr-lwcO^'O O CM CO 4J Ct) 3 CN -^ 3 St CO 60 v£> *~' CO r-l O vO O cd 0) v—'03^— /—\ /—^ /"S /•^ /—\ /^N p*. r-l J3 ^o^ede: 30 ct) m cn r^ cn m ct CO •i-l 3 cri 3 -i-l 60 O J3 CUtj cn r^ cn m m cn XI > H-l CN OOco-H33cflCUr-icO 4-» 60 g co c 60-h u a -i-t s ^-^ s^ \^ \^s \^ »»_• 3 o o CO CD O tO -H CU -H X! -r-4 - 4Jcdcn VD CTv in i—1 r-l v£> o r-l MsiWHWHwZZW . CO X 3 co CD O •H CO 3 co 3 OJ o to aj OJ > •H •H CJ 4-1 OJ tO D, >-i to u to r-l •r-l r-l 3 nl •H e rJ Tl o < cw B TJ O 0) M T) IH 3 r-l rd CJ OJ X 4-1 OJ to >. 61) to 3 •O •H 3 -a CO r-l o 4J rC OJ r-l r-l r-l •t-l ■r-l z as -1 CN - 157 - Table 3. Ownership patterns of sheep and goats in an agropastoral area in central Mali Irrigated rice subsystem Rainfed millet subsystem Goats Sheep Goats Sheep Number of owners Number owning sheep or goats Number owning goats but no sheep Number owning sheep but no goats Mean flock size . 2 Mean flock size Range in flock size 26 27 15 16 16 12 7 1 0 9.0 6.4 38.2 7.1 9.3 11.5 38.2 12.6 0-23 0-64 2-91 0-58 Of all owners, i.e. irrespective of whether the holding of one species is nil. 2 Of only those flocks in which animals are held, i.e. nil holding excluded. Initial survey This stage is designed primarily to provide data on population struc ture and individual animal growth rates. From these parameters it is possible to postulate instantaneous individual and flock output without any additional knowledge of birth rate, death rate or actual levels of offtake. Indeed some of these parameters may be deduced from the population structure at least as accurately as they can be extrapolated from questionnaires. Large numbers of each animal species are required to establish realistic population means with a sufficient level of re liability. In real terms this will probably involve not less than 1,000 head of each species (in Darfur data were collected in this phase for 5,600 cattle, 1,900 goats and 1,200 sheep and in central Mali almost 10,000 smallstock were involved) . Population classes based on dentition - 4 pairs incisors worn, 4,3,2,1 pairs incisors - 158 - and milk teeth - while subject to some reservations, are likely to provide data on demography just as valuable as can be obtained using the more or less subjective ages in years given by most owners. For the class of milk teeth some reasonably accurate age indications of younger animals can be expected and can, with experience, be utilised in conjunction with tooth growth and wear to establish sub-groups within this class. Fig. 1 shows the kind of population data which can be- obtained using a questionnaire technique (this one was done in Tchad) compared with that obtainable from a "handling and mouthing" exercise (this was done in Mali) and relates to sheep. Fig. 2 shows data for cattle at two extremes of the range of systems likely to be encoun tered in the traditional sector, both these being obtained by the latter method. We think it probable that for Mali we have sufficient population data of this kind but it may be worthwhile doing some demographic work in other countries. What might be useful in Mali in the rice subsystem of the agropastoral sector would be to compare the oercentage of work oxen in large herds with those in smaller ones. Sample selection within the broader ecological/social strata established during the pre-survey poses some problems. A frame suitable for randomisation of the sample is unlikely to exist given the differences which will probably be found in ownership patterns and flock sizes. Some subjectivity might need to be accepted, after the primary stratification governing locality and group size has been adequately taken into consideration. A representative sample should be the aim. At this stage considerable additional information on the animals may be obtained at little extra cost. In all cases this might include details of external morphology: such physical data may have little direct relevance to the primary objectives of the study but nevertheless may well provide useful comparisons, particularly as existing descriptions of African livestock, and especially of small- stock, are generally inadequate and often of condiderable antiquity. In some cases, and certainly where a continued survey is not envisaged, it is worthwhile attempting to obtain individual reproductive his- - 159 - Transhumantgoats-Tchad Transhumantsheep-Mali I—r- N50 Nales 2-.3% —T— 10 "E chrAn 7* 6-7 5-6 5 A5 N4 N3 1-N 0-1■+- 0 Females -1.-% -T N0 105N5 Percentageofallanimals Fig1.Populationdemogr phyofSaheliansmallstock ONo I I 1ede1taryassocia edwith irrigatedrice-Mali Males 6N.8% 8GE 8HZ Fe.ales a.N% 20,, Transhu.ant+se1dentary associatedwithrainf .illet-1udan aales 31.N% AGE 8HZ ,,.8 8ercentageofall1i.als FigN.Sexanda ecompositionfthhr eprincipaldom stic 1I' ioe Fe.ales 68.8% ,, , a speciesresentedforslaughterNiono tories of breeding females: if such data can be obtained then it is possible to calculate such parameters as birth rate, frequencies of multiple births and parturition histories. Tables 4 and 5 illustrate the kind of information which can be compiled with a lot of perseverance and not a little luck. Where a continued survey is expected these latter parameters are probably of too tenuous a nature to be worth the investment in time required at this stage. Table 4. Data on kidding for 42 flocks of sedentary goats in the Niono area, (calculated from initial survey) 4 pairs 3 pairs 2 pairs 1 pair Milk All Parameter incisors incisors incisors incisors teeth goats Number ir sample 180 77 61 111 15 444 Type of birth Triplet B 8 Twin •3 11 4 1 219 Single S7 139 81 77 5 759 Total births c68 150 85 78 5 986 Total kids born 887 161 89 79 5 1221 Average litter size 1.33 1.07 1.05 1.01 1.00 1.24 Parturitions Mean 3.71 1.95 1.39 0.70 0.33 2.22 Mode 3 2 1 1 0 1 Range 0-10 0-5 0-3 0-1 0-1 0-10 - 162 - in QJ H '/> M a 0) >> 14-1 CJ c > •r4 u 2 •U CJ o a & u 3 c X) 3 0 2 a. OJ CJ >— tO 'J '— o 1) -O S 3 2 OJ CJ > ctJ U o u CO QJ i-> 60 C < a ^ lT| r-» O CO co r^ m r^ CO o co in CO «* ~* <* a\ CM oj n CO —l cn vD oo CO vO ^£> CO CO O CO CN OJ U0 00 OJ 00 UO CN 1—1 r-^ ^-i CN ^ r^- CO -c CO r^ 01 X CJ l-~ m i—' 1—1 OJ r^ r-i o o ^j0 CM oc CO oo OJ lA Osl CO -* r- CN .—I i—I O 00 CO CO ,-H cn oo o oo r-~ i—I CM -* co r-i oo r>» cn i—i » 00 oo ^H o 1 ! 1 I 1 1 1 I** 1 I + ^j CO UO CO OO o co vC C CN 3 H C H - 163 - In addition to normal help from the livestock owners a team composed of the animal scientist and a recorder is the minimum re quired. Providing there is a degree of confidence between these two, that both are aware of the descriptive "shorthand" being used and both understand the principal language of communication within the studied community, good results can be expected. Up to 300 head of smallstock or 80-100 cattle can be processed in a five-hour session. A complete "initial survey" of this type might be expected to take about six to eight man-months occupying a time span of four to six months including full data analysis and report completion. Continued survey The continued survey is designed to provide full and reliable data over the whole range of production parameters. These include birth, death and offtake rate (the latter by components such as sales, gifts, ritual and emergency slaughter) , individual weight gains by season and year, meat and milk production and flock dynamics. Individual identification of ani • _s is necessary. The most convenient method from the point of view of the survey is by coloured and numbered plastic ear tags. The application of these can be expected to create some consternation and initial resistance in most societies, but this has so far not proved too difficult to overcome. It does again, however, condition sample selection and the aim should be a represen tation of the generality of the areas. A minimum of ten units for each species should be aimed at with not less than 300 animals of each species being recorded initially. Very small units and atypically large ones should be avoided. If the latter are selected they may lead to inaccurate estimate of offtake, particularly if they are operated on a commercial rather than a subsistence basis and if the study is aimed at establishing production and identifying contraints in the traditional sector. At this first visit when each animal is identified, as much information as possible on its physical characteristics and its relationships to other animals in the unit should be obtained. All this information should be transferred subsequently to the back of an individual record card. - 164 Recently we have analysed here in Addis Ababa, with the aid of the ILCA computer, some three and a half years' data for Mali and about two and half years' data for Kenya. Data from the highlands programme and from the programme in Nigeria have also been, or are in the process of being, analysed. So we now have considerable expertise in field data collection and analysis of results including programmes for analysis and modelling. Physical and family relationship data enable positive identification to be made should ear tags become accidentally lost; family data are also useful in establishing the most prolific and productive blood lines. Subsequent visits need to be made at fairly short intervals (two weeks or less) in the early stages of this phase. All events in the flock in the intervening interval should be recorded and sub sequently entered on the individual card. Newborn animals need to be identified, cross-referenced to their dams and weighed: relevant details should be entered on the dam's card and on a new card for the young. A canvas sling suspended from a spring balance of the dial type is suitable for weighing smallstock but some kind of crush and weighbridge will be needed for cattle. A crush is also required for adult horses but a suitable sling and a 200 kg dial can be used for donkeys and foals. Camel weighing poses problems and undoubtedly requires some ingenuity (in the Darfur studies "live" weights were established post-mortem in concurrent slaughterhouse studies) . We were able to arrive at a formula for estimating the weight of camels and there is another one available. These are given in Fig 3. - 165 - P = 53 TAH where P = Weight in kilograms T = Girth behind the breast pad A ■ Abdominal girth over the hump in metres H = Shoulder height Y = 5.071 X - 457 where Y = Weight in kilograms X = Girth in front of breast pad in centimetres (best taken with camel in squatting position) Fig 3. Estimation of camel weight from linear measurements . The main problems in the early period of this stage are associated with getting the livestock owner to appreciate the need for full reports of all events. Outgoings in which the tag is returned to the recorder are less of a problem than incomings. The principal deficits in the latter respect are failure to report deaths of newborn animals in which both birth and death have occurred between visits; failure to report stillbirths or abortions; and failure to report deaths of one or more siblings of multiple births. It is not necessary to check every animal physically at each visit but whole unit checks need to be carried out at regular intervals to identify any discrepancies. Once some confidence in the ability of both the researcher and the owner to record and report all events has been achieved, the frequency of visits can be reduced to something between four and six weeks. Longer intervals may be acceptable where there is some literacy in the group being studied and where a group member undertakes to record data. - 166 - In order to achieve worthwhile and reliable results which can be used for productive purposes or as aids to biotechnical innovation this type of study should take a minimum of three years. Such a period would minimize seasonal effects in the results other than in exceptional cases. Normally, some useful indications of production parameters would be forthcoming after the first 12 to 18 months. A programme involving the three main species of domestic livestock in 30 units totalling 1000 head in the region could be expected to occupy a technician more cr less full time, with super visory scientific and analytical work including report writing, in the region of three man-months per year. A comparison of some results from initial and continued surveys In both Kenya and Mali in 1978 we carried out initial surveys of the type decribed here with the intention in both countries of going on to continued surveys. How much and what kind of information have we obtained from the latter and how does it differ from that obtained in tht former ? For population structure the initial survey obviously is the definitive one as we generally use much larger numbers of animals. We have already had some examples of this in Figs 1 and 2 and we have tried to indicate how population structure is affected by management objectives. We have also said that for establishing weight or growth curves the initial survey can be satisfactory. This is true, however, only for certain limited objectives, for example to find a general ised growth curve and mature average weights. Fig. 4 shows direct comparisons for Kali for initial and continued surveys for sheep and goats from birth to 18 months. There is quite a lot of correspondence but also some divergences. The main problems are at the older end of this age range where, either the ages in the initial survey were underestimated, or they were weighed at a time of the year which was particularly favourable to them. What Fig. 4 cannot show, and what can only be obtained from a continued survey, is a breakdown of weights by type of birth and parity. With a continued survey we can - 167 - 60 60 •H > — — Initial surveyCon nued survey l r- 8 9 ~i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 II 12 13 14 15 16 17 Age (months) Fig 4. A comparison of growth curves for the same population when estimated from a single survey and calculated from long-term data. - 168 - also have weight curves by season of birth among other things. Initial surveys do not give seasonal weight variations either: an example of these for cattle, using the same age classes by den tition that we might use in an initial survey, is given in Fig 5. This shows the magnitude of seasonal weight changes indicating the main stress points, and where, for example, supplementary feeding needs to be considered and to what classes of stock it should be given. Continued surveys can also give a much better idea of the variations in weight for age as shown in Fig 6. Turning to reproductive traits, we saw in Table 4, taken from an initial survey, the kind of data it is possible to extract. Comparing tables 4 and 6 it can be seen that one reproductive trait is fairly close for the goat in both surveys - the average litter size. We also came very close, at 1.06, for sheep in the initial survey although, as we have implied earlier, we think we were lucky. What the initial survey will not tell us is the age at first partur ition (although we can get some idea of this from dentition/partur ition data) , the parturition interval or the distribution or parturition intervals in relation to parity. The continued survey will show us this, as can be seen from Figs 7 and 8; Fig. 7 also shows the increase in litter size with parity, something which can be deduced but with less accuracy from an initial survey as table 4 illustrates. One of the principal drawbacks of an initial survey is the lack of any firm data on deaths and offtake. Acisin it is possible to compile some figures from population structure and individual breeding female histories - total animals born, now in flock, died, sold etc., but these are subject to considerable errors of recall. A continued survey enables us to establish precise figures for these parameters. - 169 - 35Q- 340- 330- 320 310 300 290H 280 270 260 250 240 100 3 Female > pairs permanent ™. IV Male » incissors i i i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 JFMAMJJASOND Month v//////mmm^m cold hot late dry rains dry post cold rains dry Fig 5. Seasonal weight changes in cattle - 170 - uo-iivjndoddeei{svaojdcuznowcnoaB■pdq.vinoivomsmfrienivnp%aypwiJutDdB .dq.q.vosa q. moQ*98t£ 00N1 0901 i 006 OSZi 0A 0St7i ooc I 051 0 '"-.o 6o|)8Sfr AA -01 A+ -0N -0£Ofr ■09 •.-I U 3 4J >-l CO CX t \ Institute seasonal breeding if worthwhile advantage can be demonstrated from this practice at this stage Further improvement in manage ment (flock stratification) to delay age at first parturition and to prevent parturitions occuring at intervals of less than 240 days -^ ^ Veterinary treatment against >». T , . . , , - , , .? CVw. Individual veterinary treat-external (and external) ^O^^r parasites B ment Manipulation of flock structures 01 r j- * ,.,,. - n , , n , , Supplementary feeding of out-(culling of old females and sale /v , J , b.. - , , , x of-season breeders and/orof surplus young females) to /-^ •>—1 - . , . , .. . . , r CT tT7 fattening for special purposesobtain maximum production of If young (parturition internal + litter size) t. J Fig 9. Interventions pathways for small ruminants in the agro- pastoral system - 176 - Additional notes on weight and milk recordings Livestock weighing Weighing just after daylight on each weighing day is comparatively easy on the animals and holds variation to a minimum. Weighing of cattle later than the time they are usually released from their night enclosure causes a lot of commotion, and should be avoided. Also to be avoided is weighing when animals are coming back for the night after grazing the whole day or soon after drinking water. However, there are situations, as in Kenya, where calves are weighed in the evenings in an effort to spread livestock activities throughout the day. Calves in this case are weighed late in the evenings, because they are left by their dams early in the morning after suckling and they do not feed until the dams come back for the night. Whatever time of weighing is picked, the key thing is consistency. Frequency of weighing Accurate weights should be obtained at all times. To ensure this the scales being used should be calibrated frequently and test weights should be used before any weighing and strategically thereafter. For calves four weighings are necessary up to the age of two years. The weights are at the ages of 1, 3, 7 and 18 months. "Birth weight" should be taken within 24 hours of actual birth whenever possible. On the other hand it weight at actual birth of the breed in question is not known at all, it is then worthwhile to measure it. We have weighed 53 calves in Kenya once every month up to the age of four months. The correlation of 30 days with that of 60 days is 95 %, for 60 and 90 days is 95 % and for 90 and 120 days is 94 %. Because of this high correlation it is obvious that one can cut down the number of weighings to two without losing accuracy. For weighing calves up to the age of 120 days a weighbridge is not necessary. Up to this age liveweights are easily taken by a scale of 100 kg hanging from a tripod. Above this age weighbridge is necessary. An ideal weighbridge is one with a yoke as it facili tates tagging and mouthing and it restrains an animal for other measurements. A weighing scale mounted on the back of a four-wheel - 177 - drive pick-up is better than one on a trailer. The former can be moved faster and more easily from one site to another, covering distances of over 100 km per day. Two weighings are recommended within the first four months as this is a critical period of the life of a calf. It is also the period when calf growth is nearly entirely dependent on milk. It therefore gives the best measure of milking ability. Weighing at the age of seven months is taken as the weaning weight, for measuring the mothering ability. It is not possible to weigh all calves at the exact age of seven months and adjustment is necessary for calves falling between six and eight months, to correct them to 210 days. The final calf weight at 18 months after standardisation for age differences is a better measure of genetic differences in growth rate than earlier weights discussed above. Monitoring of seasonal weight changes If a measure of the productivity value of the range is desired as dictated by seasons, mature steers or wethers are the choice. Steers and wethers are preferred because changes in their liveweights are not affected by physiological status of pregnancy or milk production. In some situations one may require to study seasonal effects on liveweight as affected by specific animal product, e.g. milk pro duction, in which case the appropriate animal type is used. Milk yield measurement Zebu cows are known for refusing to let down their milk without the stimulus of a calf sucking. So when computing lactation yield of zebu cows milk taken by calves must be taken into consideration. Several methods of measuring total milk yield have been tried: weighing before and after suckling, oxytocin injection, bucket feeding, partial suckling and liveweight growth rate milk equivalent. Weighing of calves, lambs or kids before and after suckling is a very sound method except that it requires a very sensitive scale able to pick differences in the range of 50 g to 3.5 kg. Such scales exist but are not suitable for weighing livestock which never remain ■v - 178 - still during weighing. The weight difference obtained in some cases is negative due to the fact that before weighing after suckling the young animal may have urinated or defecated. This method requires a lot of labour, so that not many animals can be recorded and a very small sample may to be taken, leading to unsatisfactory statistical analyses . Injection of oxytocin to stimulate milk let-down is possible only on a research station. In some countries, e.g. Kenya, oxytocin can be administered only by a qualified veterinarian. How many calves and sampling times is it possible to study under free range con ditions ? Bucket feeding and partial suckling methods are related. In order to bucket-feed partial suckling is necessary first to stimulate milk let-down and calves have to be taught how to drink from a bucket. Complete milking-out under-estimates total yield from milking plus suckling by as much as 18 % (Amble et at , 1965). Calculation of the amount of milk equivalent to observed growth rate is good only for the first three or four month of the life of a calf, that is before it starts grazing. Necessary formulae for converting liveweight and growth rate to milk equivalent are available (Konandreas and Anderson, 1982; MAFF, 1975). The remainder of the lactation yield is best estimated by computing the net energy available for milk production, combined with milk offtake measurements. With this method yield evaluation of many cows is possible and in Kenya the method is used with over 600 cows. A cows are known to attain their peak production within the first four months of lactation this method is therefore adequate in estimating maximum milk yield potential . Number of milk measurements and yield rating Milk offtake is normally recorded twice a day. Pastoralists normally milk twice and, among the Maasai, approximately 80 % milk twice and 20 % once a day. With the Kenyan pastoral tribe of Maasai a paired 't' test was conducted between a.m. and p.m. yields on 2,939 milking days. The difference between the two means (30 ml) was significant (P 0.05) but not large enough to matter. It is therefore suggested - 179 - to do only one milk offtake measurement per day. This will cut down the cost of evaluating zebu cows' potential for milk and beef pro duction, leading to increased number of such evaluations for improve ment purposes. The minimum number of measurements is four per month, preferably two in the morning and two in the evening. These should also be made on days of average activities, rather than when cows are on heat or following vaccinations or dipping. Pastoral tribes rate their cows for their yield potential by simple classifications into good, average and poor on milk offtake. This classification is specially applicable to cows with a previous lactation. Cows on their first lactation are rated provisionally on their current yields. On analysis of 2,301 records, actual production was found co conform with the yield rating of the owners; good cows gave 1.2P, average 0.96 and poor 0.86 liters per day. The differences were highly significant (P 0.005) . If breed improvement is envisaged it would be easy to use pastoral peoples' rating to identify the good producers, the best of which could be used as dams of young bulls for progeny testing. As an added variable to milk offtake it is recommended to note the number of teats being milked on each measurement occasion, and also the method of calf restraint. References Amble, V.N. et al. 1965. Estimation of the amount of milk sucked by calves. Indian J. Vet. Sci. 35: 56-67. Konandreas, P. A. and Anderson, F.M. 1982. Cattle herd dynamics: an integer and stochastic model for evaluating production alternatives. ILCA Research Report 2, Addis Ababa. MAFF (Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, United Kingdom) 1975. Energy allowances and feeding systems for ruminants. Technical Bulletin No. 33, London. - 180 - inferior males is a recognized practice. The basic attitudes andmechanisms for genetic improvement are there to be used if clear-cut methods for identifying the most productive animals for the environ ment could be developed and ways of exploiting their merit could be promoted. Health The interaction of nutrition and health in deciding overall pro ductivity has been recognized in all ILCA programmes. Efforts have been made from an early stage to diagnose the main diseases, study their epidemiology and impact on production, and test available control measures. - li In 1982 an agreement was reached with the research branch of the Kenya Ministry of Livestock Development to conduct collabor ative research on the incidence and impact of animal diseases on Maasai herds and flocks. Through this arrangement the research branch has made available one senior and one junior veterinarian. The former is responsible for designing the research project (contents, sampling, phasing, analysis and interpretation of data) in consultation with ILCA scientists and for supervising the junior veterinarian, who is responsible for carrying out the field investigation in collaboration with the ILCA team. This component of the research was launched in June 1982. In Mali and northern Nigeria veterinarians have been appointed to ILCA teams to carry out surveys of epidemiology of common diseases in livestock being recorded in the main programme and the causes of mortality in animals dying or slaughtered. The wide spread practice of killing animals in extremis for meat, makes it difficult to arrive at reliable statistics for the number of deaths due to disease. In Mali it was found that most deaths occurred in the overgrazed zone outside the live delta and major causes included tick- borne diseases and pneumonia-like infectious diseases (Pasteurella, Diaplococcus) . No evidence was found of protozoal parasites but sarcoptic mange was common and many samples examined showed the presence of the internal parasites Monieza, Eimeria, Paramphistomum, Oestrus ovis, Echinocoecus, or Fasciola hepatica. The Mali team has now set up a section of Animal Health and Nutrition reflecting the close relationship of these two aspects of animal productivity, and research in the present phase will give more attention to disease and parasites as causes of the high mortality in young animals, which averages 21% in calves up to 12 months, and 6.2% for the herd as a whole. Preweaning mortality was as high as 35% in goats and 30% in sheep, varying between pastoral systems (rice, millet) and with type of birth. Of the total deaths recorded 16% were abortions, 22% were still births or occurred on the first day, and a further 14 % in the first 7 days. Seventy percent of all deaths occurred before 15 months. - 185 - Fewer figures are available from the newer Ethiopian rangelands project concerning disease incidence, but similarly heavy losses of young animals have been recorded and there can be no doubt that many are disease related. In all systems studied, internal and external parasites are prevalent and tick-borne diseases are major problems. In some Fulani areas ticks are regularly removed by hand, usually by children; internal parasites are "treated" by use of traditional herbal prep arations or by the annual "cure salee" or access to salt outcroppings, which is believed to have curative properties. Most pastoralists are aware of the symptoms of common diseases, indeed they also recognize and classify diseases, by signs and by postmortem indications, into groupings which can readily be translated into standard Western terms. ILCA's systems studies have made it possible to assess major diseases and to estimate their impact on productivity. Work now in progress will make it possible to evaluate various approaches to disease control, in economic and in practical terms, and their re lationship to nutriti and management of the flock or herd. Wilson (1982, and this wor'p >p) has outlined a programme for improvement of smallstock productivity involving the upgrading of management, diag nosis and control oi epidemic diseases, selection of males for growth rate and twin-born females for retention as breeders, control of breeding times, treatment, of parasites, careful culling of least productive females and supplementary feeding for special purposes. Nutrition General The most useful record for nutritional purposes is liveweight since this is an integrated measure of the nutritional response of the animal, and liveweight gains or losses give a sensitive indication of nutritional adequacy or inadequacy. Weighing is possible, given a weighing scale or tripod and clock face balance and necessary assist ance, during both initial and continued surveys, as described by Wilson and Semenye in this workshop, and yields very useful infor mation. Where weighing facilities are not available, a very useful - 186 - approximation may be made by measuring heart (or chest) girth of cattle and estimating the liveweight from these by means of one of the published formulae. The relationship between heart girth and weight depends on breed, and to some extent on condition and sex. A more robust, easily applied but more subjective method is to visually assess body condition. This is readily done on large numbers of animals and, if clear criteria are set for distinguishing grades of condition, it can be reproducible. Up to five grades are easily distinguished; it is often claimed that nine or ten grades can be used by experienced observers but reproducibility within, and particularly between, observers may be rather poor. The fewer the grades the more repeatable the grading, but the greater the differ ences in body weight corresponding to each change of grade. In frequent watering of cattle is likely to superimpose a two or three lay cycle on liveweights, as also on visual estimates of condition. Since individual cattle may take in up to 30 litres of water (30 kg of liveweight) in five minutes one may question the interpretation of measurements made either before or after watering. In these conditions heart girth may be a more reliable measure. More detailed information about nutrition can be obtained from samples of blood, faeces, or body tissues. In ILCA studies in northern Nigeria we have analysed samples of blood to correlate with the mineral content of range grass and browse species, and samples of liver to estimate tissue stores of copper and vitamin A in cases where forage analysis has suggested these might be low. Blood plasma inorganic phosphate analysis has often been used to assess the adequacy of supplies of phosphorus, an element closely linked with animal performance, but recent .work in the semi-arid tropics of Australia has shown that more reliable information is obtained by analysis of small samples of rib-bone obtained by simple surgery. The skeleton acts as reserve of minerals, and bone is readily mobil ised to maintain plasma concentrations when the P content of the diet falls too low. We have analysed many samples of 'milk from the Ethiopian pastoral programme, but milk composition seems to be deter mined very much by genetic and physiological factors such as age and stage of lactation. The "let-down" problem in zebu cows means that - 187 - it is difficult to obtain a truly representative sample of milk in field studies. The wide variation we have found (2.5 to 70% fat) may reflect this problem, but average figures of about 13.5% to 14.0% total solids, and fat percentage increasing from 4% to 6 or 7% during lactation, suggest that our samples are reasonably rep resentative and consistent and that the Borana cow produces excellent quality milk under pastoral conditions. Milk quality is of great importance not only because of the need for good calf growth rate, but also because pastoral families live on a predominantly milk diet for much of the year. ILCA's nutritional studies include records of weight and height for age of representative groups of pastoralists and their families, together with observations of their food consump tion and daily work routine. The very hard work of lifting water from wells for stock comes during the late dry season, when milk pro duction is at its lowest in a seasonally-calving herd, and when last season's grain reserves are getting low. The supply of labour and work capacity per person may limit the possibility of introducing any management changes neer1 g extra work. Because of -c self-evident importance of nutrition in all the pastoral zones was decided early in ILCA's work to do more intensive research into this component of the system. Methods used Amounts and composition of forage available Liveweight or body condition measures the response of animals to their nutritional environment integrated over weeks or months. For many purposes it is necessary to know to which component of that environ ment they are responding or how the factors of feed quantity and quality, grazing, watering and walking are interacting. - 188 - -50% faecal production 3 (kg/d) 2- digestibility (%) 75% <3f' \ .300 dry matter intake (3) and liveweight (4) of cattle. Figure 1 shows the annual weight changes of cattle in the agropastoral system of central Mali, and it is easy to distinguish several main periods of the year : - the wet season, when rapid gains are made on abundant high-quality feed; - the main dry season, when slow but steady weight losses occur on an initially adequate but diminishing supply of poor quality feed; and - the late dry/very early wet season, when weight loss is often more rapid. This last period may be so serious in its effects that it is referred to as the 'crise de Juillet'. Several possible causes for ill-thrift at this time have been suggested, including leaching of the remaining forage, mycotoxins produced by fungal - 189 - growth following the first rains, excessive energy expenditure in seeking the fresh grass or diarrhoea causing reduced digestibility and apparent loss of weight. Table 1 shows results of quadrat Sampling on pastures in the Fulani agropastoral system of northern Nigeria's subhumid zone, in which the main rainfall occurs between June and October. Because of the good growth of tall grasses in this cattle area, the protein and digestibility figures are generally low, particularly in the dry period between October and May. Table 2 shows corresponding data from a grass and browse system grazed by goats and sheep in northern Kenya. The bimodal rainfall occurs in the period January to March and in October, and a marked decline in availability and quality of feed occurs during the intervening dry months of July, August and September. Because of the high content of browse, the protein content was notably higher throughout most of the year than shown in Table 1. Table 1, Composition of forage available to traditionally managed oattle in northern Nigeria. Month : MJJASONDJFMA available DM1 0.7 1.1 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 (t/ha) CP2 (% of DM) 9.4 9.8 8.5 6.8 6.0 4.8 3.0 4.2 4.5 5.4 5.4 5.1 digestibility (% DM) 61 60 54 50 48 46 42 52 47 53 53 53 grazing time (h/d) 9.5 7.6 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 7.0 7.9 8.2 8.2 9.3 9.4 DM = dry matter 2 CP = crude protein Source : Bello Sule, unpublished results, ILCA, Kaduna. - 190 Table 2. Composition of forage and browse available to sheep and goats in northern Kenya- Month JFMAMJJASOND available DM1 1.5 1.20 1.50 1.20 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.55 0.70 1.20 1.25 1.50 (kg/head) CP2(% of DM) 17 21 18 14 22 22 17 14 14 21 26 21 digesti bility (% DM) 64 68 64 60 62 55 35 30 40 68 71 67 DM = dry matter 2CP = crude protein Source : Smith et al (1982). Preliminary analysis of the availability and nutritive value of agro-industrial byproducts indicated that, though the oilseed cakes and meals were excellent supplements for the low-protein pastures, the quantities and reliability of supply were altogether inadequate for any widespread use in pastoral areas (Dicko, 1980b) . Emphasis was thus placed on better management of pastures and crop residues about which not enough was known, and. a detailed study was therefore carried out during 1979-80 of the grazing behaviour and feed intake of cattle in the agropastoral system illustrated in Figure 1. Traditional herders graze animals during the rainy season (July-October) on the natural vegetation of the Sahel, largely composed of annuals like Schoenfeldia graciliss Loudetia togoensis, and Zo'rnia glochidiata, with Pterocarpus luaens as the principal browse species (Hiernaux, 1978). From November until December, they graze the standing stalks and residues of the millet fields, combined with some grazing of the 191 - regrowth of surrounding fields in fallow. In December in the particu lar production system under study, they are moved to the residue of the rice fields, with also a substantial regrowth of weeds. If the rice straw and residues are completely graze,d the herd is moved about April back to the millet fields, to await the rain in July. Obser vations presented here were made over one complete year in a locally- owned herd of 90 cattle. During a five day period each month the grazing behaviour of four steers was recorded at 15-minute intervals day and night while simultaneously the total faecal production of other four steers was measured with a bagging technique specially developed for free-ranging animals (Dicko, 1980a). Composition and amount of feed eaten Forage intake was estimated by the 'indirect' method, in which the output of faeces was first measured (the indigestible part of the feed eaten) by means of a harness and collection bag and this then multiplied by a factor, ratio of total feed eaten to indigestible part, or feed: faeces ratio. This is numerically equal to the ratio 100/100 % digestibility and the digestibility was estimated in several ways. 1. By cutting or plucking by hand samples of forage eaten by the animals. The digestibility of these samples was estimated by chemical analysis. It is difficult to obtain a sample close to that eaten by free-grazing animals. By close observation of the grazing behaviour of each animal, samples could be taken in proportion to the number of bites seen to be taken from each grass or shrub forage type in the hope that the total sample thus obtained would be representa tive of the day's diet, 2. By allowing the animal itself to select its diet, then taking samples of the material grazed through a large cannula fitted surgically into the rumen. This means physically emptying the contents of the rumen by hand before the animal goes to graze, and then taking samples from the freshly ingested material in the rumen after 1-2 hours of grazing. - 192 - 3. A technique used in later work in Kenya involves col lecting samples of herbage grazed by means of a surgical fistula into oesophagus, which allows feed being swallowed to pass out into a suitable collection bag attached to the neck. This is less time- consuming than the rumen method, and yields a sample which has not been subjected to the fermenting effect of the rumen's active bacterial population. Two options exist for analysis - either in vitro digestion with rumen liquor or purified enzymes, or else analysis for fibrous fractions closely related to digestibility and the use of a predic tive equation such as that of van Soest (1976) . 4. In other pastoral countries it has been observed that a close relationship exists between forage digestibility and the com position of the faeces derived from that forage. Data from digestion trials have been analysed so as to predict forage digestibility from either faecal fibre components (which are related negatively to digestibility) or faecal nitrogen concentration (positively related to digestibility). For che Mali study two equations were used, based upon a wide range of native and introduced grasses and legumes grown in northern N.S.W., Australia. Results obtained Grazing behaviour Fig. 1 showed not only the weight changes but also the faecal output, digestibility and estimated feed intake of the cattle studied. The mean observed values are given in Table 3, while Fig. 2 gives grazing times and other details as monthly means. 93 - Table 3. Intake and performance measurements. Month Mean Lwt DDMI 2 DCP1 MEI Distance! (km/d) Lwt Gain kg/d kg/d MJ/d grazing walking (kg) (kg/d) A 237 0.75 3.91 .747 57.09 6.01 4.83 S 258 0.28 4.29 .631 60.37 7.84 5.09 0 266 -.14 2.62 .213 35.81 7.28 13.07 N 261 -.52 3.22 .240 42.98 9.44 5.10 D 248 0.13 3.83 .176 49.17 7.39 3.90 J 251 -.13 3.54 .299 43.39 7.77 2.32 F 248 0.08 3.28 .390 44.92 7.64 3.28 M 242 -.34 2.44 .176 29.95 6.93 3.94 A 236 -.32 2.87 .127 35.46 7.85 4.84 M 228 -.12 2.66 .253 34.04 8.03 3.38 J 224 -.15 3.74 .348 48.30 8.62 4.64 J 230 1.15 5.51 1.434 70.72 7.19 6.91 Digestible dry mat': -:_ intake. 2 . . . Digestible crude protein intake. 3 Metabolisable energy intake. Grazing time was lowest during and after the rainy season (August to October) when pasture is relatively abundant and of good quality. On millet residues and rice straw from November to December grazing time increased steadily until April to June when biomass was much reduced. Both in the rainy season and in the dry season signifi cant negative correlations (r = -0.85 and ~0.92 respectively) were found between standing biomass and grazing time. Covariance analysis showed that grazing time was significantly lower for a given biomass in the period July to October, when forage quality was high. This is shown in Fig. 3. - 194 - rainy season < >-*r dry season natural vegetation millet P 1 J A 1979 *H H«Istubbl^ rice stubble millet *K- 1 J F 1980 M 3 fields M 20- distance walked (km/d) 10- grazmg time (h/d) biomass (kg DM/ha) 1 pooo- ppp,. i f ^^ 0looo- n Fig 2. Relation between biomass availability and grazing behaviour. - 195 - Grazing time (h/d) A 10 8- 4- 2- November to June July to October i i 1 1 1 1 1 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400 2800 Forage biomass (kg DM/ha) Fig 3. Relationship between forage biomass and grazing time. Differences in grazing preference are shown in Table 4. The low amount of time spent on millet residues, compared to that on rice straw and fallow regrowth, points to the relative importance of these latter agricultural residue resources particularly for cattle. Sheep and goats spent far more time on fallow regrowth and on browse grazing respectively. The distance walked was about 6 to 9 km during grazing plus 3 to 12 km per day between camp, pasture and water. - 196 - Table 4. Estimation of annual grazing time of ruminants on different types of forage. Cattle Sheep Goats Hours % Hours % Hours % Total time 2 883 100 1 948 100 2 051 100 Time on browse plants 115 4 669 34 1 791 87 on pasture or fallows 1 519 53 1 142 59 215 11 on millet stems 179 6 135 7 45 2 on rice straw and regrowth 1 070 37 2 ■ - - - Intake The monthly mean dry matter (DM) intake figures for cattle are related to the time spent grazing (Fig. 4) in the rainy season, intake was approximately 1 kg D,M. per hour, in the early dry season approxi mately 0.8 kg DM per hour, whilst in the late dry season this was reduced to 0.5 - 0.6 kg DM per hour. The slightly higher values in December and June appear to be associated with the grazing of rice fallows. 0.5 kg/h grazing time (h/d) Fig 4. Relation between voluntary intake and grazing time in different months. - 197 - The N content of rumen samples was consistently higher than the plucked forage samples (Table 5) , perhaps indicating feed selectivity even in the dry season. In the month of July, in the main growth period, both were equally high. Both sets of values showed a similar trend during the year but the difficulties of copying the grazing selection of animals gives greater credibility of the analyses of rumen samples, though these may have been influenced by saliva contamination (Table 8) . Seasonal trends in protein content and digestibility (Table 5) were similar to corresponding data from Botswana (APRU, 1978) obtained by use of cattle with oesophageal f istualae. Table 5. Composition of forage eaten by grazing cattle; (a) Botswana (April, 1978), (b) Mali. Month FMAMJJASONDJ (a) CP1 (% of DM) 11. 2 9,4 7.1 6.4 6.2 5.8 5.3 6.2 8.3 - 11.6 10.5 DM2 56 54 51 48 45 39 46 44 53 - 63 55 (b)CP % (i)3 5.8 3.5 3.7 4.6 7.2 23.1 9.7 8.1 7.7 7.3 6.2 5.2 (ii) 10.6 7.8 6.3 8.6 8.3 23.6 16.6 14.6 8.8 8.7 7.6 7.6 DM % 51 53 53 48 53 62 66 62 48 52 55 55 CP = crude protein 2DM = dry matter percentage 3 (i)= samples plucked by hand (ii)= samples obtained from rumen Factors affecting intake Intake of DM averaged 6.32 kg DM, or 2.6% of the mean cow liveweight of 244 kg. Linear and multiple regression analyses showed that - 198 - forage protein (N x 6.25) content had much more influence on DM intake (r = 0.68) than had forage digestibility alone (r = 0.48), though the two were closely related. Weight changes of cattle and their relation to intake Regression analysis of liveweight changes showed a correlation of 0.68 with digestible dry matter intake (DDMI) , 0.89 with crude protein intake (CPI) and 0.89 also as multiple correlation with DDMI and CPI, indicating the major contribution of CP intake to the relation ship. Metabolisable energy (ME) intakes were estimated from a formula proposed for tropical grasses (INRA, 1978) . The linear AW = 0.034 ME, - 0.450 A+P R - 0.911 Liveweight gain AW (kg/d) Fig 5. 0.034ME - 1 .513 - 0.879 Metabolisable energy intake (MJ/d) Liveweight change as a function of total metabolisable energy intake (MEj) and of metabolisable energy intake available for activity and production (ME p) . - 199 - regression of liveweight change on ME intake (Fig. 5) gave: Liveweight change (kg/d) = 0.034 MEI (MJ/d) - 1.513 (r = 0.88) = 0.O34 (MEI - 44.5) indicating a total maintenance energy expenditure of 44.5 MJ/d. If the ME intakes are reduced by the estimated minimum maintenance 0.75 requirements of about 112 kcal/kg ' or about 31 MJ per day the regression becomes: Liveweight change (kg/d) = 0.034 (available ME - 13.2) (r = 0.91) indicating that in this environment the additional energy expenditure for grazing activities and walking amounted to 13.2 MJ/d, or an additional 42% of the minimum maintenance requirement. Evaluation of methods Some discrepancies were noted among the various methods of estimating digestibility, upon which this 'indirect' approach depends. Initial comparison of the estimates suggested that the rumen samples gave consistently lower values than the rest, and a mean value was used which excluded the rumen samples, in calculating the values shown in Table 3 earlier (Dicko et al, 1981). A later analysis showed that liveweight changes were most closely correlated with intake estimated via in vitro digestibility of rumen samples (r = 0.80), via in vitro digestibility of hand-plucked samples (r = 0.78) and via the digesti bilities calculated from faecal nitrogen content (r = 0.75 for equation 1; r = 0.68 for equation 2). Estimates are shown in Table 6. All estimates from the rumen samples were markedly lower perhaps because of some initial digestion, and faecal nitrogen regressions gave higher estimates than the rest. - 200 - Table 6. Estimates of digestibility by different methods. Faecal nitrogen Van Soest equation In vitro digestion Month Eq. 1 Eq. 2 hand rumen hand rumen (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) A 63 61 61 46 66 64 S 66 64 - - 54 51 0 56 56 47 42 40 39 N 53 58 53 43 52 38 D 54 57 60 44 53 56 J 54 57 62 47 54 52 F 54 57 58 53 54 49 M 54 57 60 57 51 44 A 57 57 60 58 54 56 M 54 57 47 51 50 50 J 55 57 55 50 56 46 J 77 58.2 77 59.6 63 56.7 61 50.3 71 54.7 68 Mean 51.2 In later work in Ethiopia and Kenya the oesophageal fistula method has been used. Although this method undoubtedly samples the feed actually selected by the animal, not all food eaten is collected. The proportion which comes out of the fistula depends somewhat on the exact position and size of the opening and therefore differs between cows. Table 7 shows fairly consistent and significant differences among four animals given test feeds in known amounts, but no differ ences between feeds of different physical types averaged over the four animals. This indicates the need to 'calibrate' animals from time to time, and to use a small group rather than rely on single animals. The total weight of forage collected per hour of grazing time cannot be simply multiplied by the number of hours of grazing per day to calculate total daily intake, unless the percentage feed recovery is known and is used to correct the weights collected. - 201 - Table 7. Percentage recovery of different feeds from oesophageal fistulae in four cattle (no. observations in brackets) . Feed given Percentage recove ry (%) 1 2 3 4 All hay 59 39 17 53 41 (19) grass 54 49 16 58 43 (20) concentrates 30 31 29 84 41 (20) mean 48 (18) 40 (11) 20 (18) 65 (12) 4. (59) Table 8. Composition of material collected from oesophageal fistula compared with composition of feed eaten. Material DM (%) Nitrogen (%) Phosphorus (%) hay feed 50 0.87 0.21 OF2- total 55 1.00 0.52 - squeezed 51 0.97 0.34 grass feed 56 1.20 0.24 OF - total 58 1.32 0.43 - squeezed 52 1.28 0.33 concentrates feed 61 3.45 1.01 OF - total 68 2.92 1.04 - squeezed 62 2.97 1.01 DM = dry matter 2 OF = oesophageal fistula Table 8 shows the effect of mastication and addition of saliva on chemical composition of samples. More saliva is added to hay than to grass or concentrate samples before swallowing, and the - 202 - effect of this on nitrogen and particularly on phosphorus content, is quite clear. The phosphorus content of hay and grass was more than doubled by the phosphorus contained in the saliva, which demon strates the effectiveness of the recycling process by which ruminants are able to thrive on poor quality feeds for many months. In current work in Kenya Semenye is using Maasai cattle with fistulae, and this is the method of choice where precise knowl edge of botanical, and with less confidence chemical, composition is needed, and where the large amount of work can be justified. For many purposes it is now felt that close observation of grazing behaviour may be sufficient, matched with analyses of forage samples carefully plucked to mimic grazing selectivity. Additional information may be obtained by analysis of faecal samples, which is closely related to the characteristics of the feed eaten, at least in terms of nitrogen, phosphorus and fibre contents. The collection of faeces by harness and bag, as used here, is much easier with animals which are accustomed to close herding and regular handling than with free-ranging cattle. The standard chromium oxide method would also be relatively easy with herded cattle, and would make it possible to work with larger numbers and with young growing cattle as well as with females. This is now being explored. An interesting development of this work is the finding that the average amount of forage taken in per 'bite' or per monthful, is fairly constant. This has been calculated from careful recording of the number of mouthfuls taken in a given time; che number of mouthfuls per unit time or the intensity of grazing, is closely related to the rate of walking while grazing. This is illustrated for several conditions in Fig. 6 (Dicko, pers. coram.). At maximum grazing inten sity an animal takes a number of monthful s per minute characteristic of the pasture and when its rate of walking is slowest. As grazing becomes less intense, the number of mouthfuls per minute declines linearly with increase in walking speed. It is hoped that the availability of fistulated cattle may make it possible to test this idea under a wider range of conditions. Number of monthfuls is also being recorded by a simple automatic device (Semenye, pers. coram.). - 203 - Conclusions This component research study amply verified the nutritional limi tation to cattle performance during the dry season, and showed that this had several aspects. The main initial' constraint appeared to be the low quality of the dry forage which caused the cattle to graze selectively for long periods and expend extra energy in doing so. Samples of forage obtained in various ways confirmed earlier findings that the protein content of the forage was more closely related to animal performance than was its digestibility. The close relationship of forage N content to other quality attributes makes it difficult to assert which one is of primary importance. In tropical pastures it is well known that animal performance depends on maintaining forage protein content above about 8% (Milford and Haydock, 1965). In the present work protein content of forage was below 7.5% for most of the period November to June during which liveweight losses occurred. These findings emphasize the particular value of protein or non-protein nitrogei supplements for grazing ruminants, and help to explain the bette astained production of animals which browse on high-protein legumii s plants during the dry season. If it is true that protein content is the most valuable single attribute, and is correlated with most other measures of quality, then improvement in protein content should be sought even at the cost of some reduction in gross DM production. Biomass protein content can be increased even within the constraints of climate and soil fertility by manage ment deliberately aimed at increasing the contribution of legumes, herbs and browse plants rather than of lower-quality grasses, however high their DM yield. Where pastoral systems rely on crop residues or stubble grazing in the dry season, as is common, the inclusion of a forage legume with the cereal crop combined with minimum fertilizer input, would both provide supplementary protein to livestock and enhance soil fertility so as to produce better crop yields and better fallow grazing in later years. Because of the great importance of nitrogen content and digestibility in determining intake and performance of ruminants, ILCA is collating these and other data on a wide range ol forage and - 204 - browse samples. The widespread practice in Africa of supplying salt in various forms to livestock, suggests that soils and plants may be deficient in particular mineral elements. ILCA has carried out a wide sampling of forage plants on various soils and throughout the year in northern Nigeria, and proposes to extend this survey into the Malian and Niger Sahel and into the Ethiopian and Kenyan range- lands. Analyses are, of course, most informative when they relate to the species and the plant parts actually eaten by grazing animals; this is why ILCA is interested in methods of sampling which mimic the animals' selectivity or, as in O.F. methods use the animal itself to obtain samples for analysis. Knowledge of the nutritional features for which animals select their forage intake has particular value for ILCA's simulation modelling work. Mathematical descriptions and predictive models have been developed for water use and plant growth (van Keulen et al, 1981) and for animal performance (Konandreas and Anderson, 1982) but a weak point in the sequence is the lack of knowledge about feed intake and selectivity of African livestock under African pastoral conditions. References APRU (Animal production Research Unit) . 1978. Ann. Rept. APRU. Botswana Min. Agric. Gaborone. Dicko, M.S. 1980a. Measuring the secondary production of pasture: An applied example in the study of an extensive production system in Mali. In Browse in Africa: The current state of knowledge. ILCA, Addis Ababa, p. 247. Dicko, M.S. 1980b. Les sous-produits agro-industriels au Mali. Paper presented at the AAASA/ILCA Workshop on the Utilisation of Agricultural, Forestry and Fisheries Waste Products, Douala, Nov. 1980. Dicko, M.S., Lambourne, L.J., de Leeuw, P.N. and de Haan, C. Voluntary intake and livestock productivity. Paper presented at the 32nd Annual Meeting of the European Association for Animal Production, Zagreb, Aug. - Sept. 1981. I.N.R.A. 1978. In Alimentation des ruminants. France, Institut National de Recherches Agronomiques . p. 579. - 205 - van Keulen,H., Seligman, N.G. and Benjamin, R.W. 1981. Agric. Symp. 6:159. Konandreas, P. A. and Anderson, F.M. 1982. Cattle herd dynamics: An integer and stochastic model for evaluating production alternatives. ILCA Research Report 2, Addis Ababa. Milford, R. and Haydock, K.P. 1965. Aust. J. Exp. Agric. Anim. Husb. 5 : 13. Smith, G., Carles, A., Schwarz, J. t Blackburn, H.,Ruvuna, F. and Cartwright, 1982. In Proc. Small Ruminant C.R.S.P. Workshop, Nairobi. van Soest, P.J. 1976. In Feed Energy Sources for livestock. Ed. Swan and Lewis, Butterworth, London, p. 83. Wilson, R.T. 1982. Livestock production in central Mali. ILCA Bulletin 15, Addis Ababa. - 206 - Nutrition animale Ré sumé Les pâturages arides et semi-arides caractérisés par des périodes pluvieuses courtes et irrégulières, assujettissent les animaux et leurs conducteurs à de longues périodes de contraintes nutritionnelles. Les travaux du CIPEA mettent en relief l'interaction de la nutrition et de la santé dans la productivité globale. Des efforts ont été déployés pour diagnostiquer les principales maladies, pour étudier leur épidémiologie et leur impact sur la production et pour tester les mesures de lutte disponibles. Les méthodes utilisées pour enregistrer les données sur la nutrition sont examinées. Elles incluent des méthodes relatives à l'enregistrement de la quantité et de la composition du disponible fourrager et du fourrage consommé. L'étude a confirmé les contraintes nutritionnelles qui font obstacle aux performances des bovins au cours de la saison sèche et a montré que celles-ci comportaient plusieurs aspects. La contrainte principale semb1e être la faible qualité du fourrage sec qui oblige les bovins à faire du pâturage sélectif pendant de longues périodes et à dépenser beaucoup d'énergie. Des échantillons de fourrage prélevés de diverses manières ont confirmé des découvertes antérieures selon lesquelles la teneur en protéines du fourrage était plus étroitement liée à la performance animale que ne l'était sa digestibilité. Ces découvertes mettent en relief la valeur particulière des compléments azotés protéiques ou non protéiques pour les ruminants et contribuent à expliquer la meilleure performance des animaux qui consomment les légumineuses à forte teneur en protéines au cours de la saison sèche. S'il est vrai que la teneur en protéines constitue le facteur déterminant et qu'elle intervient dans la plupart des mesures visant à améliorer la qualité de l'affouragement, alors l'accroissement de la teneur en protéines devrait être recherché, même au prix d'une certaine baisse de la production brute de matière sèche. . La teneur en protéines de la biomasse peut être augmentée,même malgré les contraintes relatives au climat et à la fertilité des sols, par une gestion visant délibéremment à accroître le rôle des légumineuses, des graminées et des ligneux plutôt que celui des graminées de qualité inférieure, quelle - 207 - que soit l'importance de la production de matière sèche. Etant donné le rôle que jouent la teneur en azote et la digestibilité dans la détermination de l'ingestion et de la performance des ruminants, le CIPEA a entrepris de recueillir des données sur celles-ci et sur une vaste gamme d'échantillons de fourrage et de ligneux. La pratique courante en Afrique de donner du sel sous diverses formes au bétail suggère que les sols et les plantes peuvent être déficients en certains éléments minéraux. Le CIPEA a procédé à l'échantillonnage d'une vaste gamme de fourrages sur divers sols pendant toute l'année dans le Nigéria du nord et propose d'étendre cette enquête aux pâturages sahéliens du Mali et du Niger et aux terrains de parcours de l'Ethiopie et du Kenya. La connaissance des caractéristiques nutritionnelles qui déterminent la sélection par les animaux du fourrage ingéré revêt une importance capitale dans les travaux de modélisation du CIPEA. Des descriptions mathématiques et des modèles de prévision ont été mis au point pour l'utilisation de l'eau et la croissance des plantes ainsi que pour la performance des animaux. Un point faible cependant dans cette série: le manque de connaissances sur l'ingestion fourragère et la sélectivité du bétail dans les conditions pastorales en Afrique. - 208 - Summary of Discussion Session 4. Chairman: Dr Assefa Giorgis (Ethiopia) Discussion led by Dr Samson Chema (Kenya) Dr Chema asked what efforts ILCA was making to ensure a systems research discipline by component researchers. He said there did not seem to be a defined role for each component. Dr de Haan pointed out that it was completely legitimate within the systems approach to focus on one of the most critical components in order to understand the basic processes. Animal nutrition was one such critical component. Dr Ngutter commented that the neglect of small ruminants by the authorities and development agencies stemmed from the condemnation by colonial agricultural officers of the goat as the worst culprit in ecological degradation. He asked what would be the cost of the methodology proposed by Drs Wilson and Semenye in their paper, if this was to be continued for at least three years. Dr Wilson said that this would depend on the salary and benefit levels per senior scientist, otherwise it could be calculated from the data given in the paper plus two observers salaries plus vehicle transport at 5000 km per year. Dr Diakite commented that many projects did not take sufficient account of small ruminants, donkeys and camels. These animals should be more closely considered in assessing pastoral management. Herdsmen were often ahead of researchers in terms of understanding pastoral systems - this too should be remembered. Dr Zulberti referred to the information in Wilson and Semenye' s paper comparing best vs worst for some of the variables. He thought that these comparisons could be extended to larger numbers of animals. Some other variables which could be included were- fertility, mortality, disease control, multiple birth, seasonal breeding control, watering interval and wealth. - 209 - Prof. Saka Nuru asked Dr Wilson if he had taken into account the effect of nutrition type and management factors on dental eruption and wear in aging the sheep and goats studied. Dr Wilson said that the main variable was the sheep or goat - the management system had a slight influence on the time of eruption but no other significant effects. . Dr Thomson asked if ILCA had now sufficient information from the descriptive/diagnostic phase in Mali to enable it to concentrate on the experimental/testing phase. Dr Wilson said that there was now enough information from Niger and Kenya as well as Mali to move on to the next phase. Dr Thompson asked Dr Lambourne if he was surprised that protein had a greater effect on intake than digestibility, or was he just confirming other work done in similar regions. Dr Lambourne said that of course he was not surprised, but there was a need to confirm that intake was affected by crude protein under local conditions. This information would allow one to say which forage species were valuable and which useless to the animal. In referring to Dr Wilson's paper, Dr Grandin stressed that one had to know a lot about an area, its important parameters and production units in order to be able to choose a representative unit. Dr Rhissa expressed his concern that the discussion on animal nutrition had neglected the contribution of browse to the feed balance of livestock in pastoral areas. - 210 - Résumé des débats de la quatrième seance Président: M. Assefa Giorgis (Ethiopie) Débats dirigés par le Dr Samson Chema (Kenya) Le Dr Chema s'est informé des efforts déployés par le CIPEA pour instituer une discipline de recherche sur les systèmes pour les chercheurs sur les composantes. Il a déclaré qu'il ne semblait pas y avoir un rôle défini pour chaque composante. M. de Haan a souligné qu'il était tout à fait légitime, dans le cadre de l'approche par système, de se concentrer sur l'une des composantes les plus importantes en vue de comprendre les mécanismes de base. La nutrition animale faisait partie de ces composantes importantes. Le Dr Ngutter a souligné que la négligence des responsables et des organismes de développement à l'égard des petits ruminants provenait de l'accusation par les agents de l'agriculture coloniale de la chèvre comme étant le principal responsable de la dégradation écologique. Il a demandé de préciser le coût de la méthodologie proposée par MM. Wilson et Semenye dans leur document, si celle-ci devait se poursuivre pendant au moins 3 ans. M. Wilson a déclaré que cela dépendrait des traitements et prestations dont bénéficierait chaque scientifique de haut niveau et que sinon on pourrait procéder à un calcul sur la base des données fournies dans le document, plus les salaires des deux observateurs et un véhicule parcourant 5000 km par an. Le Dr Diakité a souligné que plusieurs projets ne prenaient pas suffisamment en considération les petits ruminants, les ânes et les chameaux. Ces animaux devraient être étudiés de manière plus appropriée dans l'évaluation de la gestion pastorale. Les pasteurs dépassaient souvent les chercheurs en ce qui concerne la connaissance des systèmes pastoraux. Il fallait également se rappeler cela. Le Dr Zulberti a fait allusion aux données contehues dans le document de Wilson et de Semenye, comparant pour certaines variables les meilleures et les pires performances. Il a estimé que ces comparaisons pourraient être étendues à des nombres plus importants d'animaux. Certaines autres variables que l'on aurait pu inclure avaient pour noms, - 211 - la fertilité, la mortalité, la lutte contre les maladies, les naissances multiples, le contrôle de la reproduction saisonnière, les intervalles d'abreuvement et la richesse. Le Prof. Saka Nuru a demandé à M. Wilson s'il avait pris en considéra tion l'effet du type de la nutrition et des facteurs de la gestion sur l'éruption et la chute des dents dans la détermination de l'âge des moutons et des chèvres étudiés. M. Wilson a déclaré que la variable essentielle était le mouton ou la chèvre. Le système de gestion n'avait qu'une influence minime sur le moment de l'éruption et n'avait pas d'autres effets significatifs. Le Dr Thomson a demandé si le CIPEA disposait actuellement d'informa tions suffisantes sur la phase de diagnostic/description au Mali pour lui permettre de se concentrer sur la phase d'essai/expérimentation. M. Wilson a déclaré qu'il y avait maintenant suffisamment d'informations sur le Niger, le Kenya et le Mali pour que l'on puisse passer à la phase suivante. M. Thompson a demandé à M. Lambourne s'il était surpris que les protéines aient un effet plus grand sur la gestion que la digestibilité ou bien était-il juste en train de confirmer d'autres travaux effectués dans des régions similaires. M. Lambourne a déclaré qu'il n'était certainement pas surpris mais qu'il était nécessaire de confirmer que l'ingestion était affectée par les protéines brutes dans les conditions locales. Cette information permettra de dire quelles sont les espèces fourragères les plus valables et quelles sont celles qui sont inutiles pour l'animal. En se référant au document de M. Wilson, Mlle Grandin a déclaré qu'il fallait avoir des connaissances exhaustives sur une zone donnée, sur ses paramètres les plus importants et sur ses unités de production pour être en mesure de choisir une unité représentative. Le Dr Rhissa a souligné qu'il s'étonnait de constater que les débats sur la nutrition animale avaient négligé la contribution des ligneux à l'équilibre fourrager dans les zones pastorales. - 212 - Production strategies and pastoral man Noel Cossins Socio-economist and Ethiopia Team Leader, Arid Zones (Eastern and Southern Africa) Programme, ILCA, Ethiopia Pastoral Man in Africa One of the main differences between range livestock systems in countries such as America and Australia, and those in Africa, is that in Australia people derive a living from the range while in Africa people depend upon the range for life. In Australia if a grazier loses all his cattle he may go bankrupt, but in Africa if a pastoralist loses all his cattle he may also lose his life. An African pastoralist may equally lose the capacity to support the life of his family by losing only a portion of the pro ductive capacity of his livestock. Remembering what is at stake to the African pastoralist compared to the Australian grazier, is essential in understanding a pastoralist's reaction to the introduction of change and innovation. 2 In Africa about 13-16 million km , or nearly half of the continent south of the Sahara, is desert or arid grassland and savanna where cultivation is a high risk enterprise (Brown, 1971). It is in these areas that almos.t all of the 20 million or so sub- Saharan pastoralists live, subsisting wholly or almost wholly on the products of their livestock (Helland, 1980). Of all the secondary users of vegetation through animals, the pastoralist is the only one who depends on milk and not meat. All other secondary users including the advanced capitalist pastor alist or large-scale rancher depend on meat. No Australian rancher in his right mind in fact would attempt to produce milk commercially in the type of semi-arid area in which nomadic pastoralists live. - 213 And yet the African pastoralist has relied on milk and still attempts to do so, except where that system is under pressure or breaking down as is occurring with the Afar of the northeast rangelands of Ethiopia. There is logic behind this reliance on milk for it has created a system independent to an extent of farmer neighbours with whom the pastoral system may have been hostile at times, and which has the capacity to directly support, on a subsist ence basis, far more people per unit area than any other arid area production mode. Jahnke (1982) estimates for example that if arid countries like Mauritania and Somalia organised their land use in the form of modern ranching, their pastoral population would have to be reduced by a factor of 50. Measured in terms of survival, pastoral production systems in Africa have been remarkably effective (Dyson-Hudson, 1982) . They have in general achieved their major objective of providing a reliable source of food for the population that actually operated the system, a supply that has been able to be sustained at life support levels throughout the dry stress periods in most years. The number of people that any area is capable of supporting can be termed the 'human support capacity', and it is this factor that pastoralists seek to optimise. They do so through the production and consumption of milk. The objective is the optimisation of human numbers per unit area of arid land, while the strategy is milk pro duction. This objective is the primary one for all pastoral systems, with the second and equally important objective being to provide as much security as possible for the dependent human population. This is achieved by employing a number of specific strategies. These days under the stimulus of development and change, there is also an increasing interest in productivity and wealth in terms other than livestock numbers. General relationships between the natural productivity of the land and the human support capacity have been established by various workers for the agro-ecological zones of both East and West Africa. For example, for East Africa they are as follows (Pratt and Gwynne, 1977): - 214 - Agro-ecological zone Human support capacity Annual (ha/person) rainfall Type (mm) Very arid 189.0 200 300 400 Arid 48.0 500 600 Semi-arid 14.0 If the above criteria are applied to the semi-arid Borana area of the Ethiopian southern rangelands a figure of 17.2 ha/person results which indicates that the area has the capacity to support 21% n ore people than it presently does. The figure for the Afar who live in an arid to very arid area in the northeast rangelands of Ethiopia ranged from 11-50 ha/person which indicates that this pas toral system is under considerable pressure and has more people than it can reasonably support. Other data support these indications. In all pastoral systems the consumption of milk or blood seems to be steadily dropping, and there are few (if any) which rely almost totally on milk or milk products. In some the reliance is still fairly high. The Borana of the southern rangelands of Ethiopia for example, with some seasonal variations, still consume up to 59% of their diet as milk or milk products with the balance of the diet being increasingly made up of grain. For the Afar, milk now probably constitutes less than 20% of total energy requirements, and grain again is increasingly the main food substitute. This increase of grain and decrease of milk consumption is in fact more and more the pattern in pastoral Africa. Nevertheless the African pastoralist is - 215 - still firmly oriented towards a milk production mode as far as circumstances will allow and has not yet dramatically changed this in favour of selling meat or growing crops. In the 1960's, some ecologists (e.g. Brown, 1971) argued that the dependence on milk by pastoralists in arid areas was ecologi cally unsound, placing (as it does) the pastoralists in direct competition with their calves, and in creating a herd population structure where females make up 70% or more of the herd. In the inevitable cycle of good years and drought years this high breeding capacity led to rapid recovery after drought years and a very rapid increase in numbers which spiralled upwards, while environmental degredation increased with each drought period. In each drought, so the argument went, animals did their damage before they died, and as their numbers were great, so was the damage. This is compelling theory in these times of environmental consciousness but it does tend to simplify the rather complex set of inter-relationships which exist between the pastoralist, his animals and the resources available to these animals in terms of grass or browse and water. One of the functions of pastoral systems research is to observe and quantify entire pastoral production systems. Given this it is essential to consider pastoralists' objectives and the strat egies they employ to attain these objectives. There are many miscon ceptions about the reasons why pastoralists do the things they do. Almost every study of pastoral systems over the last 30 years has shown however that pastoralists follow observable behaviour patterns which are rational with respect to their objectives, and that these patterns can be described. It is sometimes easier to record the effect (e.g. low weaning weight) first, and then determine the behaviour (e.g. offtake of milk for humans as well as calves), but the two, behaviour and effect, are linked and must be seen as a whole. - 216 - Pastoral man and production strategies Almost everything a pastoralist does is the result of a deliberate decision, from his rain-chasing nomadism to the maximisation of females, which is an obvious strategy for a people one of whose main objectives- is to maximise milk production. A similar case exists for breeding practices where the wider the distribution of the calf drop the more chance there may be of high mortality or poor calf growth for those calves dropped in the dry season, and the more likely there is to be a year-round supply of milk. Nomadic pastoralism presupposes a high degree of organi sational and spatial flexibility (Dahl and Hjort, 1979) . Households constantly redistribute themselves over the terrain, and membership of households changes as labour is allocated and reallocated between different management units. In any pastoral system a pastoralist has to construct production strategies to cope with three series of constraints. These are as follows : 1. Normal - the constraints placed upon the system by nor mal, mostly seasonal, events. A pastoralist ' s year normally ranges from times of plenty (the rains and post rains period) to times of shortage (the dry seasons) . The year is punctuated by a series of high and low periods where disease, parasite burdens, available forage come and go as problems. 2. Disasters - at times some of the normal constraints may assume disastrous proportions. The main disasters are epidemic disease, range fires in the dry season, and drought. 3. Long-term changes - these are often irreversible and consist of such events as the loss of dry-season grazing areas to cultivation, the relative advantages which may accrue to richer pas- toralists because of government policies, or loss of revenues from caravans, raiding etc. Not everything that a pastoralist does can be termed a strategy, and some actions can better be described as tactical decisions. In general, strategies are far less responsive to inter - 217 - ventions than are tactical decisions which can be changed and adjusted fairly readily. In this paper I am using the term 'strategy' to denote the conduct of a campaign or the response to a set of circum stances in its long term and large scale aspects, while 'tactics' are taken to mean the use of resources to the best advantage and with respect to an immediate and short-term solution, generally at the production unit level. In the pastoral context we can define a strategy as the consumption of milk, or the communal ownership of land, while a tactical decision may concern the movement of animals to specific areas at specific times, or a response to price differentials for different stock types. For example, it generally pays a pastoralist to retain a male animal in his herd until maturity. The reasons are simply economic. The labour expended in herding male stock is small compared Co that required for cows and calves, which has to be done in any case, and the returns on keeping a male to maturity are usually worthwhile (Dahl and Hjort, 1979). In Borana, for example, the average price of an immature male was Birr 198 compared to an average mature male price of Birr 313 (Negussie, 1983). The main labour bottleneck is at the wells in the dry season but there, with a livestock to labour ratio of 50:1, 10% more or less males do not make a great deal of difference. A change of relative immature /mature price ratios might bring about a change of tactics however. Steers are also preferentially retained to full maturity in systems which use blood as a milk substitute, as in the case in the Borana 'dry herds', and a replacement food may also have to be found before immature steers are readily sold. Perhaps the most important strategy that pastoralists have evolved is the response to the threat of drought. Drought or very dry years are inescapable in most African pastoral systems. In the southern rangelands of Ethiopia, for example, the main rains fail one year in ten and the secondary rains one year in three in the Dolo area. Similar figures can be produced for any rangeland or pastoral system, and as there is no evidence to show that regular cycles of drought occur (Bille, 1983), a pastoralist has to be ready at any time for drought. - 218 - Knowing this, a pastoralist adopts several or all of a number of strategies, or traditional forms of insurance against loss. The most important of these (in East Africa) are as follows: - maintain more than one species of livestock. Camels and goats are for example more resistant to drought than cattle and sheep» - divide livestock holdings into spatially separate units to minimise the effects of localised drought. This requires a high labour input or more than one household. - establish and maintain social systems for resource sharing, or for borrowing, lending and gifting. - maintain large herds, or as large as possible, to maximise the chances of having some left when the drought is over. - during the drought or disaster minimise the reliant human population by sending away all able-bodied people not required to work the system. People have been most often sent to adjacent agricultural areas (e.g. the Maasai to the Kikuyu areas in the smallpox/rinderpest epidemics of the 1890' s), and contrary again to previous opinion, contacts between farmers and pastoralists in East Africa seem to be long established (Hjort, 1981). Again these are reasonable strategies given the limitations of the system and the fact that there has never been access to or any reason to trust a formal banking system to build up reserves against bad times, or an insurance policy which will sustain a pastoralist through drought. Drought effects do not always relate directly to rainfall (Dahl, 1979). The same amount of rain may produce very different subsistence conditions depending not only on the availability of dry season pasture, but also on the number of people needed to make the necessary movements, or raise water, and on the amount of milk, meat or blood needed to feed them, or the amount of grain available for purchase. Drought effects are thus not solely an ecological phenomenon, and socio-political aspects or market supplies are secondary but important functions. The Afar, for example, are still responding to - 219 - the great Wollo drought of 1972-74 by switching from cattle to selling smallstock. Our market figures show however that they bring to market twice as many smallstock as the various markets can absorb, and this inability to sell certainly affects the viability of the system. The Afar response also reflects the fact that mortality rates are markedly differentiated by age during a drought (Dahl, 1979). Among the Afar Arapta clan during the beginning of the Wollo drought of 1972-74 (Cossins, 1972) there were marked age group gaps in the cattle herd particularly for older cows and heifers. When these gaps were superimposed on the herd composition figures the graph shown in Fig. 1 resulted. Relative Nos . as % ^ milking age cow numbers. \ Cumulative effect of maturing calves born after 1972 986 Fig. 1. Projection of future native milking age con numbers for the Arapta clan. - 220 Dahl (1979) found for the Isiolo Boran that there were particular years after a drought that were bad from a reproductive point of view. Fig. 1 shows that while there was likely to be a marked recovery within five years, the worst was still to come for the Arapta clan. Experience in the Afar system has vindicated this prediction, and the Afar are still largely dependent on selling small- stock for their subsistence. Provided another drought does not occur, the Afar could be expected to move back into an increased reliance on cattle from 1983 onwards. There is a contradiction here, for smallstock are more ef ficient at converting pasture into consumable meat and milk, and are more easily marketed, so why should the Afar attempt to move back into cattle? There are probably two main reasons. While goats in particular are more resistant to drought and the recovery rate of smallstock is rapid, smallstock are much more susceptible to disease than cattle, and an epizootic can claim high death tolls. Secondly, the present market system is not able to buy all the smallstock that the Afar need or want to sell at reasonable prices, nor dees it provide all the grain the Afar need to buy for subsistence. Unless this is changed, it is a logical production strategy for the Afar to move back, as far as is feasible into milk production from cattle, even though this may not be an ecologically or economically sensible strategy, Probably the most emotive and contentious issue concerning pastoralists is the numbers game. Range managers and ecologists continually promote the need to destock African rangelands. The pas toralists resist. Why they resist is the root cause of the problem and one that tends to be overlooked. Brown (1971) was among the first to identify the problem as being one of human numbers rather than livestock numbers, and it is important to recognise this dis tinction for it answers the question of what can be done about this problem and why pastoralists will not destock. It has nothing to do with the 'tragedy of the commons' argument (Harbin, 1968), and has everything to do with common sense. 221 - Let us look at the Borana for example. The Borana live in a 600 mm rainfall rangelands areas, are still oriented to the pastoral mode of production, and seem to be relatively well-off as a people, in that hunger does not feature highly on their list of problems. We know that the average family consists of about 3.5 adult equivalents (it is actually slightly less than this from our household studies) and we can estimate that their total energy requirement per day will be about 33.7 KJ. We know such a family owns or has access to about 18 head of cattle which, using the herd structures derived from the well studies, means about six lactating cows at any one time. We know also that the average offtake per cow for human consumption over an average ten-to eleven-in month lactation period is 312 litres or 2050 litres per year. In terms of energy this is equivalent to about 7175 KJ. Our market and household data show that the unit family also sells two mature animals a year, and consumes slighty less than one cull female or an animal about to die (fallen meat) . They also keep six sheep and seven goats and the production from these is also sold or consumed. The data also indicates that they consume about 150 kg of smallstock and fallen meat per year, and that part of the income from all livestock sales is used to buy grain, coffee, sugar etc., and that there is also a supplement of bush foods and blood for the boys herding the dry herds. From these sources a total of about 6 982 KJ of energy is potentially available 6075 KJ, if no meat is consumed). Putting the milk, meat, grain, coffee, sugar etc., together gives a total available energy intake of about 14,157 KJ of which milk constitutes about 51%- Based on the combination of adult equivalents and estimated daily energy requirement, the average Borana family requires 12,132 KJ per year. The difference between these two figures suggests that we have either over-estimated the contribution to the diet of other food, particularly meat and grain, or the Borana eat well occasionally. Whatever the case, the above exercise shows that the Borana generally have enough to eat, although - 222 - Rainfall 600 mm. / Solar Energy 2 750 kj cm V LAND 81 hectares wet season 48 hectares dry season 1 150 Ton DM. J(excluding browse) (actual requirements are about 100 T DM, so there is unused potential). I CATTLE (18) 9 Adult F- 4-5 Immat. 3 Immat. M 1 Bull 1 Castrate WATER 1000 1 every 3 days \ 400 1/day 011a Plot Grain \ (Milk subs. & increasing) (could provide upwards of 30% requirements and replace 2/3 cows) S SMALLST0CK (13 - 18) 6-10 sheep 7-8 goats (provide 20-30% food energy requ. by sale for grain or cons.) A N OTHER Horse 3 Camels (camels provide? of energy intake. May be important in dry season. May substitute for cows/ small stock/ cash) Zl 5 to 6 cows in milk (plus 'fallen meat' or cull cows and animals which die also contribute 5% require ments) Offtake for family av. 2050 1/year (or 59% of required energy intake) Rest of milk into calves Minimal sales Sales offtake 2 males a year 2 matures or near mats . (minimum of 'l 6% spent on basic ener gy requirements) / Birr 626.00 Income (equivalent to cash requirements - coffee, tea, sugar, tobacco etc.) Fig. 2. Family resource diagram for the Borana livestock system. - 223 there may be seasonal shortages, with about 200-300 Birr per year left over for clothes, tobacco, talla etc.; but the margins are not great, and even one cow would be missed. The above information is interesting in its own right, but what we can also conclude from it is that there is no way that the 'average Borana family' can destock without substantially reducing its standard of living, (e.g. no tobacco or talla or clothes etc.), and that stock reductions of over 15% would put that family on the subsistence borderline. Now the Borana are amongst the more fortunate of East Africa's pastoralists, so that ic is quite clear that the pastoralists ' resistance to destocking is based on a strategy of survival, no matter how foolish it looks to the conservationist. Jahnke (1982) describes the difference between the human support capacity of African pastoral areas and the actual numbers as about 1:2, or 12 million versus an actual figure of some 20-29 million people. What is required to precede any destocking policy is not an educational campaign which shows the pastoralist the damage his animals may be doing to the range, but a change of pastoral mode. If the 'average Borana family' as described in the above example were to convert to a mainly grain/bean diet with some milk, and were to maximise sales from all livestock, then that family's net income from the same number of animals would at least double. Conversely, the number of livestock could be reduced by half and the same standard of living maintained. This applies to most pastoral systems. Jahnke (1982) suggests that the prevailing terms of trade for African pastoral systems in general are 1,7 kg of grain for 1 kg of milk, and 4 kg of grain for 1 kg of meat, so that a pastoralist significantly im proves his subsistence basis by trading. Many examples of this can be found in West Africa among the Fulani who trade milk particularly for grain, while in East Africa the volume of this trade is rapidly increasing. Encampment food grain plots also provide an alternative. A plot which yielded only 4 quintals per year would provide more than - 224 - 30% of yearly food requirements for that same Borana family, would allow at least a 15% reduction in the average herd size (from 18 to 15 cattle) , or would allow an increase in the offtake rate of at least 6% (an increase to 18%) or add an additional 20,000 cattle to the 40,000 presently sold out of the system. All these figures are very tantalising to the planner and developer, but there are substantial problems of pastoralists ' confi dence and conservatism to overcome, just as there are for any farmer anywhere when you want him to make a very considerable change in his mode of production. There is also an equally large problem of pro viding an assured and regular grain supply in a continent where grain deficits prevail, and to provide an assured and regular market outlet for livestock at acceptable prices. My argument however, is not really about these aspects, but merely uses the above to point out that overstocking is a problem of human numbers, and that the pastoralist knows this and so resists any pressures to destock unless alternative means of supporting his family are available. And he has to have confidence in such alternatives. The communal use of land is another pastoral strategy, and it makes sense considering the variability and unreliability of rainfall in African rangelands areas. In any one year rainfall may vary within a pastoral system by as much as 200% from the mean, as it may between years. As there also appears to be no cyclical effect involved (Bille, 1983) so that a planned rotational system is not feasible, it pays a pastoralist to have access to as large an area as possible. Individual or group ownership of specific areas of land precludes this strategy, and just so long as a pastoralist continues to have his life at risk rather than his livelihood, and maintains his bankable reserves as livestock, subdivision of land will be counter to the ability of a pastoralist to survive. Perhaps the last example to consider ig that of organisation and cooperation. Pastoral systems generally require a high degree of both if they are to function well. Where neither occurs, and small units compete for resources instead of cooperating in their use, the system begins to break down as is probably happening in the Afar system. 225 - In the Borana system, organisation and cooperation is still high and the system works well. Imagine for example, the degree of organisation and cooperation that is required to work, say, the wells at Bor Bor. There, in 1982 over three days, some 47,000 head of cattle, 22,000 sheep and goats, and 2,000 other stock were watered in groups of 50 to 100 at nearly 300 groups per day, in the same or nearly the same sequence every third day, and some 780 people were organised to work in one of 17 wells also every third day. This was no mean feat under any circumstances. Thus a society which stresses community over the individual, and which stresses common but organised rights to resources, is more likely to succeed in a pastoral context than one which stresses individual rights. Production strategies and decisions affect almost every part of any pastoral system. The decisions and strategy alternatives facing a pastoralist are no less complex than those facing a western rancher, and because he may have less control over his resources, and the use of these resources involves far more human labour, the organ isation and decisions required of a pastoralist may be even more complex. The idea of the pastoralist as a simple fellow pursuing a simple mode of life is thus a false one. Outwardly, a milk-drinking, cattle-owning pastoralist may appear so, but his system is highly complex and the strategies he has devised to cope with it are equally complex. Unless an intervention is aimed at the cause of the strategy it may not succeed or be adopted, except where the intervention affects a tactical decision rather than a strategy. It is important to understand this when designing a research programme or deciding on research priorities. Determining management strategies In the above I have discussed pastoral management strategies and tactical decisions. In the past, pastoral management strategies were relatively uniform with respect to a particular climatic zone, and centred on a mobile human population, dispersed in small groups at low overall densities, with an introverted milk-oriented subsistence. - 226 - This population experienced major fluctuations in numbers over time, because of the unreliable distribution of rainfall over time and space (Dyson-Hudson, 1982). Livestock numbers were also often limited by the uneven distribution of water resources with respect to grass and browse. In general, multi-species herding was the norm as a response to the probability of drought and to fully exploit the often mixed grass land-shrubland-woodland of the environment (Dyson-Hudson, 1982) . Modifications of the environment or essential resources included the use of fire to control bush, stimulate the regrowth of grass, or to control ticks, and the development of sometimes quite complex wells and ponds. The major strategies however, concerned the dispersal of small production groups over large commonly held areas, and a live stock composite design which included a mix of species and a structure where females predominated. This structure was remarkably uniform for all species and even included horses in Borana. Pastoral systems are under pressure. Their populations are no longer allowed to adjust naturally to phenomena such as drought or to expand in a traditional territorial sense through force. They are increasingly being brought into the mainstream of development by forces beyond their control, and into situations where traditional pastoral strategies may become less efficient. These strategies then become less useful to pursue, as Dyson-Hudson (1982) writes, and pastoralism then becomes less likely to persist as a plausible pattern of land use. The strategies pursued by pastoralists are thus changing as pastoral populations respond increasingly to development inputs, political and administrative pressures, and to changing aspirations. The main question to answer for any pastoral system and, by extension, the importance of this question to any pastoral systems research pro gramme, is what strategies are being pursued by the pastoralists under study, and why, and how does one differentiate production strategies from tactical decisions. - 227 - Seasonal movements reflect both strategy and tactics. Access to as large a piece of communal land as possible in order to exploit rainfall whenever and wherever it occurs is the strategy, but the tactical decision is the determination of where and when to move for a specific herd or herd group at a specific time. Given the correct intervention, e.g. improved pastures in a specific area, it is relatively easy to induce a change in the tactical decision. It is not so easy to bring about a change in the strategy which is based on the unreliability of rainfall in the arid areas, and the maximisation of opportunity. If a change from the traditional norm has occured, it will tell us a great deal about the system and its possible future. The Maasai for example are beginning to countenance individual ranch holdings, which probably signals the beginning of the end for Maasai as traditional pastoralists. The Borana on the other hand still strictly observe the strategy of communal rights to all land in their production sphere, and are still well within the traditional pastoral orbit . Mode of pro .action is also a strategy and can be determined for example from herd structures. Borana herds consist of 74% females which almost certainly means that the Borana follow a milk production/consumption mode. However the herds also contain about 6% castrated male animals which indicates that animal sales are a secondary strategy. Pastoralists' drought response strategies can be determined in a variety of ways. Species mix is one indication, and the extent of this is also an indication of the frequency and severity of drought in any area. In the southern rangelands, an area with a relatively good and reliable rainfall (600 mm), the cattle/smallstock/camel ratio is about 3.6/1.3/1, whereas in the much more arid northeast rangelands area, the species ratio is 4.3/11.25/1. Both systems have a species mix, but the Afar's reliance on smallstock indicates a greater and more frequent drought risk. - 228 - In general terms the phenomena surrounding a tactical decision respond readily to research inputs, whereas the response to research relating to production strategies is another question. While it is theoretically possible to change the whole production strategy of pastoral reliance on milk for example, and so in the Borana case convert a self-sufficient medium animal offtake (10-12%) system into a self-sufficient higher offtake system (18-20%), this would require considerable organisation and inputs on a supra-system scale, and would also require a national net grain surplus. Some general rules of thumb regarding pastoralists and the strategies they have evolved to cope with their environment are as follows. If the main national objective remains to use arid areas to support the maximum number of people (maximum human support capacity) , then the subdivision of land into discreet units to be owned either by individuals or groups will inevitably reduce the long-term human support capacity of the area; social systems are best left to evolve and look after themselves; removal of land at the fringes of pastoral systems reduces the capacity of the system to survive, as this is usually land whose value to the system far outweighs its physical size (dry-season grazing or strategic area grazing retreats) ; and it is worth rethinking the ideas of the past which have tended to empha sise the superiority as a production mode of various modified forms of ranching. Ranching cannot compete with pastoralism in terms of human support capacity, and pastoralists can often produce meat nearly as well as any ranch, and much cheaper in the context of the system they already operate. This paper has addressed strategies and tactical decisions in terms of overall pastoral systems, but the individual producer unit also operates a number of alternative strategies and is responsible for almost all the tactical decisions that have to be made. Dyson-Hudson (1982) has described East African pastoral systems in terms of a two-tiered structure. The first tier is the division of a region's natural resources into a small number of large units and the second tier being a large number of small units which control and manage the livestock resource in terms of defined herds and flocks. The size of the first tier of units is posed as being - 229 - sufficient to accommodate most normal variations in seasonal rainfall, and also to mitigate the effects of all but the most severe disasters. The second tier of many thousand of small producer units is essentially autonomous in terms of management decisions, and although there is cooperation between these units, this does not, and in fact cannot, extend to guarantees of survival. These small groups may be linked, or controlled and governed to an extent through other bodies which have been evolved as a mechanism to arrange security on a system scale, solve disputes between units, distribute information, and allocate resources. Such bodies may be based on kinship, locality, age sets or other related aspects, but the basic structure remains the two interdependent units which 'put humans into association with livestock and with natural resources' (Dyson-Hudson, 1982). Strategies and decisions are influenced by a variety of factors at the producer unit level, and it is important to understand what these factors are in terms of identifying constraints, and why there are differences not only between systems and between seasons, but also within a system between producers. For example we have found in Mali marked differences in productivity between herds which can only be attributed to management (Wilson, 1982), and in Kenya we have found that richer Maasai pastoralists have different responses to phenomena and management alternatives than do poor people (Grandin, 1982) . The richer pastoralists also have a greater ability to respond tT opportunity, and in fact every parameter studied to date in the Kenya programme has had a wealth rank strata. The strategies and decisions which fall within the realm of the individual producer deserve at least as much attention as those of the pastoral system as a whole, and these are the subject of the following papers. References Bille, J.C. 1983. The climatic risks to livestock production in the Ethiopian rangelands. JEPSS Research Report No. 4. ILCA Internal Document, Addis Ababa. - 230 - Brown, L.H. 1971. The biology of pastoral man as a factor in conservation. Biological Conservation, 3(2) Cossins, N.J. 1972. No way to live: A study of the Afar clans of the northeast rangelands of Ethiopia. Report prepared for the Ethiopian Government Meat and Livestock Board. Dahl, G. and Hjort, A. 1979. Pastoral change and the role of drought. SAREC Report No. 2. Dyson-Hudson, N. 1982. Changing production strategies in East African range livestock systems: An overview. Informal paper, ILCA, Nairobi. Grandin, B.E. 1982. The importance of wealth in pastoral production: A rapid method for wealth ranking. Proceedings of the workshop on Pastoral Systems Research. Sponsored by IDRC/ ILCA. Held at ILCA, Addis Ababa, 21-24 March, 1983. ILCA, Addis Ababa. Harbin, G. 1968. The tragedy of the commons. Science, 162: 1243-1248. Helland, J. 1980. Pastoral map of tropical Africa. ILCA, Addis Ababa. Hjort, A. 1981. Ethnic transformation, dependency and change. Journal of Asian and African Studies 26 (1-2) . Jahnke, H.E. 1982. Livestock production systems and livestock development in tropical Africa. Kieler Wissenschaftsverlag Vauk, Kiel. Negussie Tilahun 1983. Livestock marketing in northeast Ethiopia. JEPSS Research Report. ILCA Internal Document, Addis Ababa. Pratt, D. and Gwynne, M.D. 1977. Rangeland management and ecology in East Africa. Hodder and Stoughton, London. Wilson, R.T. (ed) . 1982. Livestock production in central Mali. ILCA Bulletin 15. ILCA, Addis Ababa. - 231 - Les stratégies de production et l'éleveur Résumé Parmi tous les utilisateurs secondaires de la végétation, l'éleveur est le seul dont la subsistance est assurée par le lait plutôt que pai la viande. Le nombre de personnes qu'une zone peut accueillir peut être appelé la "capacité de charge humaine" et c'est ce facteur que les éleveurs cherchent à optimiser. Ils le font par le biais de la production et de la consommation de lait. L'objectif est l'optimi sation de la population humaine par unité de surface de zone aride et la stratégie utilisée est la production laitière. L'une des fonctions de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux consiste à observer et à quantifier les systèmes de production pastorale. Il devient donc vital d'examiner les objectifs des éleveurs et les stratégies qu'ils emploient pour atteindre ces objectifs. Dans tout système pastoral, l'éleveur doit mettre au point des stratégies de production pour faire face à trois séries de contraintes: - les contraintes normales. Il s'agit des contraintes qui pèsent sur le système du fait d'événements normaux, saisonniers la plupart du temps; - les catastrophes. Quelquefois, certaines des contraintes normales peuvent revêtir des proportions catastrophiques. Les principales catastrophes sont les épidémies, les feux de brousse en saison sèche et la sécheresse; - les évolutions à long terme. Celles-ci sont souvent irréversibles et se caractérisent par des événements tels que perte de pâturage de saison sèche du fait de l'empié tement de l'agriculture ou perte de revenus du fait de pillage par les caravaniers, etc. . Dans le contexte pastoral, nous pouvons définir la consommation de lait ou la propriété collective de terres comme étant une stratégie alors que les mouvements des animaux dans des zones spécifiques à des moments spécifiques ou en réponse à des variations de prix pour - 233 - différents types de bétail peuvent constituer des décisions tactiques. Signalons à cet égard qu'il est possible que la stratégie la plus importante parmi toutes celles que les éleveurs ont mises ^u point soit la réponse à la menace de sécheresse. La sécheresse est inévitable dans la plupart des systèmes pastoraux africains. Fort de cette connaissance, l'éleveur adopte tout ou partie d'un ensemble de stratégies ou de formes traditionnelles de prévention contre les pertes telles que : - l'élevage de plusieurs espèces de bétail; - la division du troupeau en unités spatialement distinctes pour minimiser les effets des sécheresses localisées; - la mise en place et le maintien de systèmes sociaux de partage des ressources, d'emprunt, de prêts et de dons; - l'élevage de grands troupeaux pour maximiser les possibi lités de survie des individus après la sécheresse; - la minimisation des risques pour la population humaine au cours de la sécheresse ou pendant la catastrophe en organisant l'exode de tous les bras valides dont la présence dans le système n'est pas indispensable. Les systèmes pastoraux sont soumis à de fortes pressions. Leurs populations n'ont plus la possibilité de s'adapter à des phénomènes naturels tels que la sécheresse ou d'assurer l'expansion de leur territoire par la force. Elles participent de plus en plus au processus général du développement du fait de l'action de forces qui échappent à leur contrôle et sont plongées dans des situations où les stratégies traditonnelles d'élevage peuvent devenir moins efficaces. Ces stratégies deviennent alors moins utiles à poursuivre et la survie du pastoralisme conçu en tant que mode praticable d'utilisation des terres devient hypothétique. Les stratégies adoptées par les éleveurs changent donc à mesure que s'accroît la sensibilité des populations pastorales aux facteurs de développement, aux pressions politiques et administratives et à de nouvelles aspirations. - 234 - Les stratégies et les décisions sont influencées par une variété de facteurs au niveau de l'unité de production et il est important de comprendre ces facteurs en vue de l'identification des contraintes au système ainsi que les différences non seulement entre les systèmes et entre les saisons mais également, au sein d'un système, entre les producteurs. Les stratégies et les décisions adoptées à l'échelon du producteur individuel méritent au moins autant d'intérêt que celles de l'ensemble du système pastoral. - 235 - The importance of wealth effects on pastoral production: A rapid method for wealth ranking Barbara E. Grandin AntJiropologist, Arid Zones (Eastern and Southern Africa) Programme, ILCA, Kenya This paper discusses the importance of wealth differences between producers in traditional pastoral production systems. It argues that significant wealth differences exist, that these have a profound effect on production strategies and that pastoral systems research must pay attention to them at several stages from defining a target population or recommendation domain to developing and testing inter ventions. The paper then describes a rapid method for determining the wealth rank of producers within a given community. Such a ranking is an important tool to stratify a population of producers before sampling to ensure the representativeness of the sample along this important dimension. Alternatively, it may be used post facto for assessing the representativeness of pastoralists already interviewed. Wealth differences in pastoral production systems For many years studies of traditional agricultural production systems emphasised the essential homogeneity of producers. While it was recognized that some differences existed, they were though, on the whole, not to be significant, but purely a matter of scale. In agricultural economics, for example, earlier research results tended to be reported in terms of the average farmer, with his average family, average cropping pattern and average yields. In anthropology, to the extent that economic heterogeneity was researched, emphasis was placed on "levelling mechanisms", which by definition, functioned to counteract trends towards inequality. For example, polygamy has been discussed as having a levelling function, as more wives would mean more children and consequently the eventual fragmen tation of the wealthy producers' assets. - 237 - In studies of peasant agriculture, there has been in creasing recognition of the extent of wealth differences within communities and their effects on production parameters. As Hill (1972) noted in her pioneering work on inequality in a Hausa village in Northern Nigeria, "it is not merely that a few farmers operate on a much larger scale than others... but that there are many rich farmers who have entirely different economic aims from many poorer farmers." She observed that the tendency of scholars to ignore wealth differences among African peasants had hampered our ability to under stand their systems of production. Today, researchers are paying far more attention to intra-community differences between farmers. It is recognized that wealthy farmers have differential access to land, labour, animal inputs (traction and manure) and credit, to name a few important production parameters. In addition with differential savings and investment possibilities, wealthier farmers have different attitudes to risk and innovation (Cancian, 1978) than their poorer counterparts on the survival fringe. For pastoral systems, recognition of the importance of wealth inequality within communities has lagged behind. Much of the household level research in pastoral production systems has been done (and continues to be done) by anthropologists who have paid insuf ficient attention to the issue of economic inequality in traditional production systems. The ideology of equality which tends to predomi nate in pastoral societies as well as the apparent similarites in consumption levels of different households, (coupled with a theor etical tradition which emphasised the homogeneity of traditional communities) , have all contributed to this apparent bias of early anthropologists in studying both peasant and pastoral societies. Unfortunately, as Konezacki (1978) noted in his book entitled The economicsof pastoralism: A case study of sub-Saharan Africa, there are few data available on the distribution of livestock ownership within pastoral communities; the little data which are available however indicate that "the prevailing pattern of wealth, and consequently income distribution among African societies dependent on animal husbandry, is one of inequality." - 238 - Table 1 presents data from several African pastoral societies on the distribution of livestock holdings between households. These cases were chosen not because they represent extremes of inequality, but rather because they are the few cases for which data were readily available. In each instance there is a marked inequality of livestock holdings, which can be taken as a close approximation of wealth especially in a purely pastoral system where land is communally held. Table 1. Inequality in livestock distribution: a few African examples. Place Unit No. of HH Mean Median Range Date 1. Tuareg - A L.U 14 30 34e 0-58 1979 2. Tuareg - B Camels 31 21 17e 2-83 1982 3. Wodaabe Cattle 75 16 18e 5-45 1982 4. Somali L.U 36 132 70 4-660 1950 5. Sebei Cattle 42 21 12 0-100+ 1960 6. Maasai Cattle 41 109 58 4-499 1980 estimated Sources : 1. Swift (1979) 2.3. Wilson and Wagenaar (1982) 4. Lewis (1961) 5. Goldschmidt (1976) While there are some indications in the literature of the extent of intra-community wealth differences in pastoral societies, there are few, if any, systematic explorations of the effect of wealth differences on production parameters. Intuitively, we would expect differences in wealth to affect production in important ways in a pastoral system. Wealth in the form of animal numbers both enables (and necessitates) a large family which can be garnered through polygamy, adoption, and the incorporation of poor relations as depen dents. Greater wealth also means fewer cash flow problems, and - 239 - increased possibilities of access to purchased inputs, including drugs and mineral supplements. Clearly a producer with 400 animals will have different management strategies and possibilities than a producer with only 4 animals. Wealthier pastoralists, particularly those with sufficient labour within the household, have more management options in terms of herd-splitting and lending of animals (both for risk avoidance and to maintain useful social networks) . They would be likely to have more control over grazing and watering than poorer producers who are not able to herd independently. We would expect breeding to be affected as poor producers might not have sufficient access to a male for servicing whereas wealthy producers might have difficulty with seasonal and other control of breeding in large herds and flocks. ILCA's research in several rangeland systems, particu larly in Kenya, has focused on the effects of wealth on livestock production. Table 2 presents preliminary findings from ILCA's on going research in Kenya Maasailand. It shows that virtually every important production parameter varies considerably with the wealth rank of the producer. For ease of presentation, the data refer only to the rich and poor (leaving out the middle stratum), and only to one of the three group ranches under study. Section A of Table 2 provides background information. Of forty households on the ranch, 13 were classed as poor and 12 were classed as rich. Of these, the ILCA sample included seven poor and seven rich households. The poor households owned only 5% of the livestock units on the ranch whereas the rich households owned 48% of them. - 240 - Table 2. Production unit heterogeneity : example from a Maasai group ranch. A. Background HH on ranch HH in sample % of ranches L.U. (total sample) per household B. Livestock holdings 1. Value of livestock holdings 2. No. of cattle 3. No. of smallstock 4. SS to cattle ratio Poor Rich 13 12 7 7 4.9 % 48 % 0.7 6.5 Mean Mean 24,154 234,050 31 302 42 213 1.3 0.7 C. Livestock: offtake 1. Cattle: net offtake % 2. SS : net offtake % 3. Slaughter per capita, Kshs . 20 23 33 7 6 200 D. Livestock herding 1. cattle herd alone (%) 2. SS herd alone (%) 3. Cattle herding group size 0 29 160 57 57 372 E. Labour inputs 1. Total workers 6.3 2. No. of adult men 0.9 3. No. of adult women 1.7 4. Children in school: % 38 5. Ratio of cattle/worker 5 6. HR/day to LS per worker 3.9 7. HR/day per livestock unit per work 1.29 9.8 1.5 3.4 15 31 5.2 0.29 Income 1 . Income from LS/capita (Kshs) 2. Mean value of cattle sold 657/= 577/= 1420/= 971/= 241 - Table 2 cont. 3. % value of commercial trans actions in smallstock 18% 7% G. Expenditure 1. Per cap. food/drink 195/= 465/= 2. Per cap. HH 165/= 238/= Section B presents information on the livestock holdings of the sample households. The figures are all means for the households in that stratum. It shows that rich households have approximately ten times the value of animals, largely accounted for by their having ten times the number of cattle of poorer households. Poorer house holds have proportionally more smallstock, with a smallstock to cattle ratio of 1.3 as opposed to 0.7 in rich households. The offtake lata presented in Section C continue to show clear wealth differences. (de Haan has already mentioned the finding of Wilson and Wagenaur in Niger that offtake rates are negatively correlated with herd size). The same is true in Maasailand. The rich stratum has net offtake rates of 7% for cattle and 6% for sheep; for poorer households the figures are 20% for cattle and 25% for sheep. Poor Maasai (as poor pastoralists in many areas of Africa) (Wilson, 1980; Little, 1982) place far more emphasis on smallstock than wealthier producers. They own proportionately more smallstock and derive more of their income from smallstock (18% of livestock sales rather than 7%). As we would expect, there is far more slaughter per capita in rich households. Section D shows that more rich households are able to herd alone, thus having complete autonomy in decision-making with regard to grazing. In addition, whether they herd alone or with others, they benefit from an economy of scale by having very large herd sizes for grazing, watering and dipping. Section E presents a few data on labour. Again a clear difference emerges; rich households have more members, but because - 242 - they have far more animals per worker (25 cattle per worker as opposed to 5 in poor households), they send fewer children to school and work longer hours on livestock management. Looked at from a different perspective, however, we see that they benefit both from economies of scale and also from their ability to marshall non-household labour. Whereas each worker in poor households devotes over an hour a day per livestock unit to livestock work, workers in rich households spend only one quarter of an hour. Section F shows that rich households have a per capita income from animal sales which is more than twice that of poor house holds. As rich households do not suffer the same cash flow problems of poor households, they are able to keep steers to maturity, thus fetching higher prices per animal. Again we see that poorer house holds engage in more smallstock sales and purchases than rich households . Finally, Section G of Table 2 shows that higher income is reflected in higher per capita expenditures on food, drink, and general domestic goods. Clearly, as we would expect, producers of different wealth ranks differ considerably in a variety of ways; from their access to the essential elements of production, to their herd/flock structures, offtake rates, and management strategies . Wealth ranking in pastoral systems research There are several points in pastoral systems research at which it would be important to take account of the wealth hetorogeneity in the area under study. It would be useful in the early stages as part of the identification of the recommendation domain. Interventions which are useful to large herd owners might be unadoptable by poorer producers; in fact, they could intensify and even solidify otherwise transient economic inequalities by, for example, providing differen tial access to credit. Secondly, during the verification survey, it is important to be sure that the producers interviewed represent a reasonable cross-section of the population for whom interventions are to be designed. 243 As de Haan mentioned in his introduction, and as I have tried to demonstrate, evidence suggests that the single most important parameter for stratifying within a community is wealth rank. However, among pastoralists wealth is a very difficult parameter on which to obtain accurate data. For pure pastoralists, livestock holdings represent a close approximation of wealth. While livestock holdings can be used as a proxy for wealth in a pastoral production system, animal censuses are often difficult, if not impossible, to carry out. Producers are afraid to have their animals counted, due to fear of taxation, other government interference, or solely on the basis of a cultural taboo on the counting of animals. Even if the pastoralist can be persuaded to have his animals counted, the logistic difficulties of such an operation may be overwhelming. Animals may be scattered into different management units, animals owned and animals kept are not isomorphic categories, frequent movements and large distances add to the costs of such censuses. Some of these logistic problems may be overcome by counting animals at watering points, but young and ill animals are likely to be missed. (For agro-pastoralists or pastor alists, with significant non-pastoral occupational and investment opportunities, the situation can be far more complex). This paper contends that livestock censuses or other objective measurements are not necessary to establish the wealth rank of producers within a ..ommunity. The technique of having local informants who rank members of their community according to wealth can yield similar results at a fraction of the time and expense. The technique of informant wealth ranking Informant ranking was first used by Silverman in 1966 in a socio logical study of prestige hierarchies. It has subsequently been used by myself and several other anthropologists to elicit wealth ranks. Informant ranking uses a card sorting technique in which the name of each producer is written on a small card and several informants are asked to place the cards in piles according to the wealth of each producer. It has three basic requirements which will be discussed in turn: 1. a list of producers to be ranked; 2. a few reliable informants; - 244 - 3. The elicitation of the word or phrase in the local language according to which the producers are to be ranked (in this case wealth) . List of producers The technique is dependent upon ranking producers in relationship to each other; obviously the ranking will reflect true wealth differences in the population only to the extent that all producers are included. This is not as overwhelming a task as it might first appear. Ways of eliciting the list of producers within the community under study include using censuses, tax roles, and/or voter registration, which can be cross-checked with chiefs, elders or other community members. If there is a known watering regime, names can be elicited at dry- season watering points. With more sedentary populations, air photo graphs can be used by "walking" informants through them. If, as in Maasailand, producers have an area that they consider "home", whether or not they are present, their names can be elicited on a neighborhood by neighborhood basis. In one of the group ranches under study in Kenya, for which there was no accurate list of resident households, a neighborhood by neighborhood interview elicited the names of 206 household heads who normally use the ranch. This was done in an area 2 of 1350 km in less than a week. The necessity of having as complete a list as possible and having all the producers ranked, cannot be overstressed. One recent study in Kenya (White and Meadows, 1981) proposed to examine wealth differences in group and individual ranches in Kenya. The chairman of each group ranch was asked to suggest 12 members for study: four with few livestock, four with an average number of livestock and four with more than average. The researchers were pleased to find signifi cant differences between their wealth cohorts; they assumed that their sampling technique had tapped wealth differences on the ranches. Unfortunately that was not so. One of the ranches they studied is a ranch on which ILCA has been working for two years. In checking the sample households against the population (for which we had complete livestock censuses), it was discovered that the three strata used by White and Meadows represented the middle class, upper middle class and very rich respectively. Poor households were entirely excluded. - 245 - This was not through the ignorance of the chairman as we shall see later, but perhaps was due to his assuming that researchers studying animal and especially cattle production would have no interest in households with very few cattle. Table 3 shows the differences between White and Meadows strata and those derived from a census of all ranch households. Whereas their "poor" households owned a mean of 51 cattle, the true population mean is 15. For the "average" households, they show a mean of 218 cattle whereas the population mean is 58. For the "rich" households the Meadows and White mean is 378 cattle while the true mean is 249. For the ranch, they calculate a household mean of 215 cattle, whereas the true mean is only 109. Had White and Meadows used the technique suggested here in which a complete list of households were obtained, and ranked, a much more representa tive sample and hence a better study would have followed. Reliable informants As the degree of inter-informant reliability on wealth ranking tends to be quite high, only a few informants are required. For a small community (i.e. up to 100 producers), where it is likely that everyone kno,7.q everyone else fairly well, four or five informants (preferably of different ages) should suffice. Larger communities may need to be u voided into smaller sub-areas (defined by the local social structure). Although I have not yet had the opportunity to do this myself, I see no a priori reason why the results from different sub-areas should not be merged, as long as there is sufficient overlap between the rankers. For example if each of three groups of informants rank 250 producers of whom each knows 100, the overlap should be sufficient to make a composite rank. Despite ideologies of equality, most pastoral producers recognize that there are at least temporary differences in wealth status of the members of their community. They also recognize that people in dir "erent wealth strata are in qualitatively different positions -;ir • regard to management possibilities. In the two com munities wheri" I have done informant wealth ranking, I have had no difficulty in finding a few informants willing to do the task, probably because no precise information (e.g. how many cattle, how many wives) is required. - 246 - Table 3. Distortion through poor sampling. Mean household cattle ownershiLP in a Maasai group ranch Poor Average Rich Ranch mean Sample Population 51 15 218 378 249 215 10958 Table 4. Scoring an informant's ranks. Rank group No. of men Men plus dummy case Final score 1 (high) 13 13 6.5 2 15 16 21 3 9 9 33.5 4 (low) 13 13 44.5 Unknown 1 Local concept for wealth In order to ensure the comparability of the data obtained through the various informants, as well as to ensure that they are ranked according to the criteria the researcher desires, it is important to spend some time, preferably with one or two good interpreters, eliciting the exact local cultural concept to be tapped during the ranking. Most cultures have a clear concept of wealth. Once the word or phrase is elicited it is useful for the researcher to spend some time determining the various elements that are considered in deter mining the wealth rank of a producer. Having done this with interpreters, it is also useful to elicit this information from informants after they have completed the ranking. This ensures that - 247 - the informant has understood what was required; it also can provide valuable insight into sources of wealth and differential access to local resources. In Maasailand, the concept used was "emali" a word meaning "property" but most commonly used with specific reference to livestock holdings. Both interpreters and informants felt that the primary indication of a man's wealth was his livestock holding; subsidiary points were smallstock to cattle ratio and family size. I was told that the few Maasai who have been given individual title deeds to land would have had that property included should they have been included among the producers to be ranked. Computation of the wealth rank As noted, several informants are asked to rank the producers according to wealth by putting the cards on which their names are written into piles. The informant is allowed to choose the number of piles he wants. Frequently in the course of sorting, the number of piles will be increased as names appear of producers who don't quite fit into existing piles. Informants need not be literate; the names can be read to them after which they will just point to the pile where it belongs. The cards of producers whom the informant is not able to rauif are just placed to one side. When the ranking is finished, the names in each pile are read to the informant. This allows for the d tection of any errors; it also gives the informant a chance to review the groups he has compiled and make any necessary changes. On the basis of the sortings, a score is constructed for each producer for each informant. Each producer is assigned a score which is the equivalent of the midpoint value of the category in which he fell. As the number of unknown producers varies between informants a number of dummy cases equal to those of unknown producers are inserted at equidistant intervals. Table 4 shows how the scores for one informant were calculated on a Maasai population of 51 producers. In order to arrive at a composite score for each producer, the scores for that producer are simply averaged together. - 248 - Informant wealth ranking in Maasailand: A case example In order to test the use of informant ranking in a pastoral population (I had previously only used it with mixed farmers) , I had four inform ants rank the 51 producers who live on a single group ranch in Kenya Maasailand. The results of that exercise are reviewed here briefly as a case study. Table 5 shows the inter-informant rank correlations. The ranking of each informant is compared to the rank of every other informant. Informants 1 and 2 are young men of middle wealth. In formant 3 is an older, poorer man who happens also to be the chairman of the group ranch who had suggested the White and Meadows sample. Informant 4 is middle aged and the richest man in the population. The informants represented the four different neighborhoods on the ranch. Despite the differences in the informants' backgrounds, the inter-informant reliability is quite high (the Spearman's rho corre lation coefficients range from 0.87 to 0.91). When the rank of each informant is compared to the composite or average rank, the corre lations are even higher 0.95 to 0.98). These are all Spearman's rho and all are significant at P = 001). Clearly, despite age, wealth and neighborhood differences between the informants they were in high agreement about the relative wealth of the members of the ranch. In the Maasai ranking, scores ranged from a high of 3.7 (the richest) to a low of 49.5 (the poorest). Table 5. Maasai wealth ranks. Inter-informant rank correlation 12 3 4 Average 1 - 0.88 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - N = 52 0.87 0.91 0.96 0.88 0.91 0.95 - 0.90 0.96 - - 0.98 - 249 - Table 6. Informant-livestock unit correlation. Livestock INFORMANT unit 1 2 3 4 Average A. B. 0.92 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.99 N = 22 N = 20 All correlations are significant at P = 0.001. Table 6 shows the results of a correlation between the informant wealth rank and a ranking of producers based on an ILCA census about six months previously. It refers to the subset of 22 producers with whom the census had been undertaken. The Spearman's rho is 0.97 (Table 6A) . If the two cases for which it is known that there were censusing problems (counting of more than one producer's animals), the correlation rises to 0.99 (Table 6 B) (again both with a significance level f P = 0.001). Clearly the informant results gave an almost identical ranking of producers as the census. Fig. 1 plots the producers along two axes: livestock units censused and informant wealth rank. It presents graphically what the correlation coefficient has already indicated. The high correlations are not an artifact of a small size. Fig- 2 depicts the relationship between the wealth ranks (done in late 1982) with livestock units censused in mid-1980 for the 41 households which were then resident on the ranch. Again the relationship is quite clear, although there has not been time to correlate the coef ficients. Had the Kenya team stratified it's sample by informant wealth ranks, the results would have been identical to stratifying on the basis of a complete animal census. In fact, in a certain respect the stratification would have been better, as the initial census contained a number of significant errors as one would expect given pastoral resistance to censuses. Census errors are circled in Fig 2. Some of these are minor (e.g. counting a poor relation's animals with a rich man's herd) but others are significant. - 250 - J2 U 1 1-1 CO o u o o 10 Livestock units i 99 ILCA census 514 Fig 1. Informant vs. census rank. - 251 - o 00 ON 60 G c u en 3 to c toTera,Nia.ey 'IN7/ YZZ8\/ 9™/ ri.portandtransitrekoutes _^.exporttrekroutes .+do.estictrekroutes «£pri.arycollection.arkets □secondaryredistributio1.arke s Qter.i1al.arkets C1A1T N.Majoroattlem rketsandflowsiUppVolta 1ource:8riza-Ninoetal( -10). The price of livestock transacted should be recorded by breed, sex and age either on a census or sampling basis depending on the volume and the number of enumerators available. For large markets where there are more than 200 animals sold per species a 25-30% sample is desirable. In a market where one expects two breeds and their crosses this yields a minimum of three to six observations per class of animal by breed, sex and age. A survey of prices producers receive should be made period ically to establish their relationships with market prices. The weight of traded animals in the sample if possible, should be recorded. However, it may be difficult to weigh livestock in unorganised markets, where there is no auctioning on a weight and grade basis. In such cases visual assessment of body size (large, medium, small) and body condition (good, fair, poor) coupled with the age category of the animal can give a good indication. Weight correlations with body size and body condition can be established from the nearest abbatoirs. The destination and purpose of traded animals should be recorded as such information will give a good picture of the direction and magnitude of flow and the purpose for which animals are purchased. The mode of transport should be recorded as it will show the importance of trekking, railing and trucking over time. All of the above information should be recorded by field officers or enumerators from the selected markets on the market days predetermined by the market research officers. In addition to this they should comment on conditions that influence the supply and demand situation for that market day. Frequency of data collection Once the livestock markets from which data will be regularly collected are determined, the next question is at what frequency should the data be collected? This depends on the type of livestock market in question and the frequency of market days. In primary livestock - 335 - markets livestock are usually traded once or twice a week. Market days of secondary or regional livestock markets do occur more frequently. The frequency of a terminal market-day may be as much as six times a week. It is desirable for time series analysis to have weekly data but it is not necessary to collect data at each market day. It can be collected on a sampling basis after establishing the represen tativeness of the market days with respect to the week. Are all market days held during the week similar or are some market days more important than others in terms of volume offered and volume traded? For instance if in a secondary livestock market both Wednesdays and Fridays are market days and Fridays tend to be more important, one can establish the factor (X) by which the volume supplied and the volume traded is greater than on Wednesdays by conducting an initial survey of the market as well as crosschecking the information by interviewing buyers and sellers in the market. This factor can then be used to estimate the market parameters that pertain to the Wednesday markets from data collected on Friday markets. In livestock markets where there is only one market day per week a similar approach can be taken in sampling one week or two weeks per month. However, one has to be cautious and take into account that seasonal changes will be captured by such sampling. In many African countries (e.g. Ethiopia and Nigeria) the occurrence of major religious (Christian and Muslim) holidays has a market effect on supply, demand and prices of livestock, especially those of smallstock. Demand is high during these holidays and prices can be 80% more than the annual average price (Okali and Obi, 1982) . It is therefore essential to intensify livestock market data collec tion during such holidays in order to accurately assess their impact on the various market parameters. - 336 - Studies of market performance and efficiency Studies of the performance and efficiency of the livestock marketing system at the various links of the chain as livestock move from producers to consumers (including the wholesale and retail trade of meat) have to be conducted by a senior livestock market analyst who is in charge of the entire livestock market data collection and analysis with assistance in the field by his colleagues at head quarters and the provincial livestock marketing officers (see Section 6) . The reason for this is two-fold. First the observations and probings necessary to get the information require a high degree of skill and experience. Secondly, the senior market analyst has to acquire a first-hand insight into how the livestock market operates in order to properly analyse and interpret the time series data being collected by the field officers. Studies of market performance and efficiency include two major aspects of the livestock marketing system. The first is an assessment of the degree of buyer concentration in the markets selected for time series data collection and how livestock prices are arrived at and purchasing is financed. Although the number of buyers and how many animals they bought in the market can be recorded by field enumerators, assessing the manner in which they operate, whom they represent, in how many other livestock markets they trade, and how they finance their purchase requires a considerable degree of skill and market knowledge to elicit. The second study involves establishing the cost of livestock and meat marketing as animals change hands from the producer to the primary markets, to the secondary markets and finally to the terminal markets, where they are slaughtered for domestic consumption and/or are exported live. These marketing costs can be distinguished as costs of:- (i) transporting (trekking, trucking and/or railing); (ii) feeding (including grazing); (iii) marketing levies and taxes imposed by local and national authorities; - 337 - (iv) mortality or loss (some animals die during transit because of diseases or other physical stress; some might stray and not be recovered) ; (v) slaughtering and processing costs; (vi) capital as represented by the interest on the money tied up by the livestock from the point of purchase to the point of sale; and (vii) the opportunity cost or salary of the operator (trader, butcher etc.). The above information can be established by interviewing livestock traders and managers of slaughterhouses and spot checking the information by actual observation on their operations. Livestock marketing margins can be defined as the difference between the sales price of the animal (meat) and the costs incurred by the seller including the acquisition price of the animal (meat) . The less the margins the more efficient the marketing system. Analysis of livestock market data The types of analysis of livestock market data are categorised under four major headings :- (i) supply of livestock; (ii) destination of livestock; (iii) price movements; and (iv) market performance and efficiency Supply of livestock The sources of livestock supplying the particular market can be analysed using frequencies of traded animals by area of origin by breed, sex, age and total volume. This indicates what types of animals are supplied by each area and the frequencies can be used to estimate marketed offtake from the hinterland of the market. A problem which frequently arises in such analysis is to what detail origins of livestock need to be specified. One can a priori section the hinterland by a functional criterion (geographic, type of producer or source) and instruct enumerators to categorise - 338 - origins of livestock into the specified sections. Alternatively, one can instruct them to record place names of the origins of livestock and decide later how to categorise them. Table 2 shows an example of such an analysis by type of producers. Table 2. Source of cattle supply to the Emali market- Source No. of cattle Group ranches in Kajiado district 1143 Trading centres serving group ranches in Kajiado district 292 Individual, ranches Kajiado district 23 Farms in Machakos district 9 77.9 19.9 1.6 0.6 TOTAL 1467 100 Source: Bekure et al (1982). Destination of traded livestock The frequencies of traded livestock by breed, sex, age and purpose of purchase for major destinations reveals the relationships between various livestock markets as well as the trade in livestock between pastoralists, agro-pastoralists and agriculturalists. Tables 3 and 4 show such an analysis for selected destinations. - 339 - Table 3. Destination of cattle trade at Emali. Purpose Destination No. % of slaughter % of production % Total Slaughter Ong'ata Rongai 510 32 n.a. 20 Dagoretti 214 13 n.a. 8 KMC - Athi River 242 15 n.a. 9 - Mombasa 9 1 n.a. 0 Mariakani 211 13 n.a. 8 Emali 25 2 n.a. 1 Others 380 24 n.a. 15 Subtotal slaughter 1 591 100 n.a. 61 Production Machakos district 612 n.a. 62 24 Group ranches Kaj iado 341 n.a. 34 13 Individual " 40 n.a. 4 2 Subtotal production 993 n.a. 100 39 TOTAL 2 584 100 100 100 Source: Bekure et al (1982) The total volume and fluctuation of livestock supply are of major interest as they show the degree of seasonality of supply. This can be easily seen by plotting weekly or monthly supplies (e.g. see Fig. 3). For long-term determination of seasonality several years' time series data is essential. A standard statistical technique for estalishing seasonality is the method of moving averages (Yamane , 1967; Croxton et al, 1969) . - 340 - Table4.Char cteristicsofc ttboughtEmafordestinationM ch k sa dKaj adog up individualranches' Total N- 166 '5 1 1 2 6 6 A3 female -0 10 25 1 1 - - 26 Kajiadogroupnd individualranches castrate 24- N N6 1 1 - - N- 3N male 61 A N - - - - N female 2 35 ?7 - - - - N castrate Machakos A A 13- - - 6 6 145 612 male 404 26 430 - - - - 430 Breed Sahiwalcross Maasaizebu Borancross NRAATOTAL Immature Adult Subtotal Immature Adult Subtotal Immature Adult Subtotal TOTAL 1800- "~ — — Price of cattle Head of cattle 60CH 0+ s -I 0 1981 M A M 1982 Fig 3. Mean monthly supply and price per head at Emali market. Source; Bekure et al (1982) - 342 - Livestock prices The most important single parameter in collecting time series data on livestock marketing is livestock price. For a given market and a given period (week, month, year) mean livestock prices per head and liveweight can be analysed by breed, sex and age. Table 5 gives an example of such analysis. The next analysis is that of determining whether there are seasonalities in livestock prices. Seasonality of prices can be determined by type of animals sold. The methodology is similar to that of determining seasonality in supply of livestock. Fig. 3 illustrates an example. However, several years' data are required to establish long-term seasonality. Finally, a stepwise multiple regression analysis can be used to fit a demand model for a given market relating price to breed, sex, age, season, volume of supply and number of buyers in the market as well as the interactions between these independent variables (Drapper and Smith, 1966). The longer the time series data the better the specification of the demand function. The value of the demand func tion does not lie so much in its ability to predict future prices but in its usefulness in quantifying the relationships between livestock prices and breed, sex, age, season of the year, type of market and other variables one may specify. Shapiro (1979) analysed price of cattle in Upper Volta as a function of age, sex, season of the year, region of the market, type of seller etc. The results of the regression are summarised as follows: - Prices for males increase at an increasing rate with age, up to 5.7 years (average 5,000 CFA F per year overall); they increase at a decreasing rate to age 11.4, where they begin to fall. - No strong age-price relation was found for females. - A premium of 1,500 CFA F was paid for steers over bulls at all ages. - Only slight evidence of higher prices was found for sales closer to major consumption and export centres. - 343 - - No difference was found between ethnic groups as sellers. - Higher prices occur during the rainy season, lowest during the dry season; males hold their prices better than females during the dry season. - The amount of seller market information had no significant effect on prices. - Higher prices were paid for males when they were sold to butchers and traders; females brought higher prices when sold to herders and farmers. - The type of market had no significant effect on prices. The foregoing analysis on time series data of livestock markets can be done on district, province and national levels to give information at various levels of aggregation. Market performance and efficiency Analysis of the studies of the operations of livestock markets yield in the first instance qualitative and quantitative information on the operations of the markets that is useful in analysing and interpreting the time series data generated. There is no set way of analysing such data. Market analysts have their own approach which is acquired through experience. Two examples of calculations of marketing margins are given in Tables 6 and 7. Studies of the well established tra ditional marketing systems in West Africa, which also deal with exporting live cattle from the northern pastoral areas to the coastal zone, show that they perform efficiently (with gross margins of 15- 20%) despite their traditional base and complexity (Herman, 1979; Staatz, 1979). Our own work (Bekure et al , 1982) and that of Matthes (1979) in Kenya show that marketing margins are much higher (25-35%). - 344 - Table 5. Mean prices of cattle at Email by breed, sex and age - September 1981 to September 1982. Breed Sex Immature Adult All ages per per per head per per per kghead kg kg(LWT) head Small E.A. zebu male KSh 645 3.70 1 478 4.91 914 4.16 (N) (761) (15) (364) (9) (1125) (24) castrate: KSh 866 4.76 1 603 5.70 1249 5.52 (N) (660) (26) (714) (112) (1374) (138) female: KSh 886 4.83 998 4.87 984 4.87 (N) (62) (2) (446) (31) (508) (33) All sexes: KSh 753 4.39 1 396 5.48 1 079 5.24 (N) (1483) (43) (1524) (152) (3007) (195) % Grand total 48.5% 50% 98.5% Sahiwal cross male: KSh 1284 - 2150 4.42 1284 4.42 (N) (5) - (2) (2) (7) (2) castrate: KSh 1378 - 2159 6.08 1908 6.08 (N) (9) - (19) (9) (28) (9) female: KSh - - 1683 5.0 1683 5.0 (N) - - (3) (1) (3) (1) all sexes: KSh 1337 - 2099 5.71 1776 5.72 (N) (14) - (24) (12) (33) (12) % Grand total - 1% 1.2% Boran cross castrate: KSh 600 - - - 600 - (N) (6) - - - (6) - % Grand total - - - - - - all breeds males : KSh 649 3.70 1482 4.82 916 4.18 (N) (766) (15) (366) (11) (1132) (26) % Grand total 25,2 12% 37% castrates : KSh 870 4.76 1617 5.73 1259 5.55 (N) (675) (26) (733) (121) (1408) (147) % Grand total 22% 24% 46% - 345 - Table 5 cont . females: KSh 886 4.83 1 002 4.87 908 4.87 (N) (62) (2) (449) (32) (511) (34) % Grand total 2% 15% 17% Grand total: KSh 758 4.39 1 407 5.50 1 087 5.27 (N) (1503) (43) (1548) (164) (3051) (207) % Grand total 49% 51% 100% Table 6. Wholesale butchers' margins in Ouagadougou (in CFA F per head). CFA F per head Costs Intermediary's commission 250 Holding fee 100 Slaughter tax Condemnation loss Apprentices' salaries 1,000 150 200 Purchase price 31,250 32,950 Revenues Sale of meat 31,250 Sale of fifth quarter 5,250 36,500 Margin 3,550 Source : Ariza-Nino et al (1980) One half percent of meat was condemned in Ouagadougou in 1976. Average apprentice's salary 8,000 CFA F per month. CCarcass weight 125 kg, 250 CFA per kg. Meat sold at purchase price of animal. eSales value of fith quarter is 42 CFA F per kg carcass weight. - 346 - Table 7. Cattle marketing costs at Email and, Ongx' ata Rongai- KShs Kshs per per head kg liveweight Source: Bekure et al (1982) Mean purchase price from producers 1 012 3.97 65 0.26 Market costs up to Email - trekking KSh 20.00 - watering fee KSh 2.00 - food and lodging KSh 12.00 - transport KSh 4.00 - loss - trading KSh 10.00 - death (1/60) KSh 17.00 Mean sales price at Emali 1 396 5.48 Trader's mean gross margin at Emali 319 1.29 Mean purchase price at Emali 1 396 5.48 Markeing costs up to Ong'ata Rongai 119 0.47 - County Council fees KSh 7.00 - trekking fee KSh 20.00 - watering fee KSh 2.00 - food & lodging KSh 20.00 - transport KSh 12.00 - miscellaneous costs KSh 12.00 - loss - trading KSh 14.00 - death(l/60) KSh 32.00 Mean sales price at Ong'ata Rongai 1 919 7.6 Trader's mean gross margin at Ong'ata Rongai 394 1.55 - 347 - Organisation for collection and analysis of livestock market data There cannot be a set way of organising a national livestock marketing data collection and analysis. One can only make a general suggestion which elaborates the main features. In the end the organisation to be adopted in a given country will have to take into account the prevailing conditions. What is suggested here is a flexible organ isational framework which can be easily adopted with modification. Figure 4 presents a schematic representation of a general organisational framework for the collection and analysis of livestock market data. It is based on the hierarchial structure most common to ministries of livestock, or agriculture in many African countries. Their field offices are usually hierarchially organized in conformity with administrative units of their respective countries. Thus, the ministries have field offices at provincial, district and occasionaly at locational levels, where field officers with secondary school education are posted. It is suggested that the organisation for the collection and supervision of livestock market data follows the same structure. At the headquarters of the ministry a Livestock Marketing Analysis Section should be responsible for organising the collection, super vising and analysing all data on the livestock market system of the country. This section should be located within the Livestock Marketing Department so that it falls under the responsibility of a department with a functional commitment to the task. In ministries where there is no such department it may be placed under the Planning Unit. The section should be headed by a competent senior livestock market analyst with access to a statistician and data processing facilities. How big and permanent the staffing of the section should be is a function of the size and the importance of the livestock sector in the country. It should therefore be tailored to the needs of the country in question. At the provincial level, it is suggested that a full-time junior market analyst be made responsible for supervising and partially analysing the data collected in the province. This will enable prompt supervision of data collection as well as facilitate - 348 - c c/> c s c/ls Ph rJ Q 1 1 1 PlanningUnit or LivestockMarketing Department Livestockmarketing Analysissection 1 m c/> S ►J CO S rJ PL, o CN CN S 3 Q CN 1-1 i—i a r-i rJ 5 Pm o CO ►j M p oj> u w u ►J CO 3 r-l cr 3 T3z CO o 0) M pa H < >% tN u H ■U 3 CD•r-l o d oi •H o 2 co 0J CJ •H CM CJ C •H > O rJ Pw CO 0) CJ •H U-l M-l O o •r-l r-l ■M CO■r-l Q r* o o ■u en 0) > co l-i o co •i-l > l-l 01 /-> P- Cfl C/> 3 Q co 01 CJ 0) r* M • i-i CO co o cd cj o ►J -' co > •r-l rJ to E <3> +i (35 co c/> to 60 •r-l .H - 349 - feed-back of market data to market participants at the local level. For instance average weekly prices of important categories of live stock in major district markets can be compiled at the provincial office and promptly reported to the public by the mass media. This in itself may increase the efficiency of the livestock marketing system. In addition to supervising and ensuring good quality data collection at the district level, the provincial livestock market analyst will be responsible for conducting in-depth livestock market studies under the direction and supervision of the senior livestock market analyst at the headquarters of the ministry. At the district level, it is suggested that one of the already existing personnel of the ministry be made responsible for supervising data collection and passing the information to the provin cial livestock market analyst. In many African countries district level personnel are university graduates with sufficient background to handle the task provided they are given adequate orientation and on the job training. In cases where the district is located in a major livestock trading region a full-time supervisor may be warranted. At the market level it is our contention that most of the time series data collection on livestock markets can be conducted and supervised by existing personnel, who in many instances have offices a few yards from these markets. In case livestock markets, where no ministry officers are posted, are selected, other enumerators (e.g. teachers, bussinessmen etc.) may be contracted on a part-time basis, provided they are adequately supervised with unannounced spot checking. We have used this approach at Ong'ata Rongai, Kenya with good success. In conclusion, we would like to reiterate that the above organisation is suggested only as a framework for consideration. In small countries or in countries where the network of livestock markets is small and caters for only one terminal market, as in Botswana, the whole organisation may mean one senior and two junior analysts being assisted by field enumerators. - 350 - References Abott, J.C. 1979. Marketing issues in agricultural development planning. In: R. Moyer and S. Hollander (eds) . Markets and marketing in developing economics pp 87-116, Richard D. Irwin, Publishers. Ariza-Nino, E.J., Herman L., Makinen, M. and Steedman C. 1980. Livestock and meat marketing in West Africa: Vol 1: Synthesis Upper Volta. CRED, University of Michigan. Bekure, S., Evangelou, P. and Chabari, F. 1982. Livestock marketing in eastern Kajiado, Kenya. ILCA/Kenya Working Document No. 23, Nairobi. Carlisle, K.R.M. and Randag, A.G. 19/0. Analysis of factors affect ing meat packaging developments. In: A H Bunting (ed) . Change in agriculture. Gerald Duckworth & Co Ltd., London. Croxton, F.E., Cowden, D.J. and Klein S. 1967. Applied general statistics. Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Clifts, New Jersey. Herman, L. 1979. The livestock and meat marketing system in Upper Volta: Summary of an evaluation of economic efficiency. In: Kenneth H. Shapiro, (ed.). The summary report from the livestock production and marketing in the Entente States of West Africa Project, CRED, University of Michigan, USA. Hill, P. 1970. Studies in rural capitalism in West Africa. Cambridge University Press. Jarvis, L.S. 1980. Cattle as a store of wealth in Swaziland: Comment. Amer. J. Agric. Econ. 62(3): 606-613. Khalifa, A.H. and Simpson, M.C. 1972. Perverse supply in nomadic societies. Oxford Agrar. Stud. 1: 47-56. Low, A.R.C., Kemp, R.L. and Doran, M.H. 1980. Cattle as a store of wealth: Reply. Amer. J. Agric. Econ. 62(3): 613-617. Matthes, M.C. 1979. Livestock marketing in Kenya: Field draft document. FAO/UNDP Marketing Development Project Ken 75-005, Nairobi. - 351 - Okali, C. and Obi, A. 1982. A preliminary report on the supply and price of ruminants in selected markets, Oyo State, Nigeria. (Unedited draft) . Staatz, J. 1979. The economies of cattle and meat marketing in Ivory Coast. Monograph II from the livestock production and marketing in the Entente States of West Africa project. CRED, University of Michigan. Swift, J. 1979. The development of livestock trading in a nomad pastoral economy: The Somali case. In: Proceedings of international meeting on nomadic pastoralism. Pastoral production and society. Cambridge University Press. Yamane, T. 1967. Statistics: An introductory analysis. Harper & Row, Publishers, New York. - 352 - Etudes sur la commercialisation du bétail Résumé L'un des principaux objectifs de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux consiste à accroître la productivité et à améliorer le niveau de vie des éleveurs. L'adoption d'interventions engendrées par la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux en vue de l'accroissement de la productivité implique à la fois des coûts et des gains. Il est par conséquent essentiel que ces interventions soient non seulement techniquement réalisables et socialement acceptables, mais aussi économiquement rentables. L'objectif du présent document est de souligner la nécessité d'étudier les marchés de bétail et de procéder à la collecte systématique de données chronologiques sur les prix du bétail, sur les marchés locaux, régionaux et finals. Dans la plupart des pays africains sévit une grave carence de données chronologiques sur les prix du bétail de même que su: la performance et sur l'efficacité du système de commercialisation du bétail. Une représentation schématique d'un tel système qui montre le flux de bétail du producteur au marché secondaire (régional) et final (national) à travers un ou plusieurs marchés primaires est donnée. Les marchés de bétail peuvent être facilement différenciés par le type de vendeurs et d'acheteurs opérant sur le marché et par l'objectif de l'achat du bétail. La recherche sur les systèmes de commercialisation du bétail implique une approche bi-directionnelle. La première fait appel à la collecte régulière de données chronologiques sur un réseau de marchés de bétail sélectionnés. La deuxième a trait à une étude approfondie de la performance et de l'efficacité du système de commercialisation du bétail aux diverses étapes de la chaîne qui conduit le bétail du stade de la production à celui de la consommation. Dans la collecte de données chronologiques, la première chose à faire est de procéder à la mise en place d'un réseau de recueil de l'information sur les marchés de l'élevage qui permette d'identifier les marchés de bétail et de sélectionner les marchés à inclure dans - 353 - les réseaux. Les types de données des marchés de bétail à collecter incluent le volume du bétail disponible, le nombre de vendeurs et d'acheteurs, le poids des animaux échangés, la destination des .r : ux échangés et le mode de transport utilisé. La fréquence de la -jxiecte des données dépend du type de marché de bétail en question et de la fréquence des jours de marché. Dans les marchés de bétail primaires, le bétail est généralement échangé une ou deux fois par semaine. Les jours de marché sont beaucoup plus fréquents sur les marchés secondaires ou régionaux de bétail. Sur les marchés finals, la fréquence des jours de marché peut atteindre six par semaine . Les études sur la performance et l'efficacité du système de commercialisation du bétail aux diverses étapes de la chaine production-consommation doivent être effectuées par un expert-analyste des marchés de bétail chargé de la totalité des opérations de collecte et d'analyse de données sur les marchés de bétail avec l'assistance sur le terrain de ses collègues du siège et d'agents provinciaux chargés de la commercialisation du bétail. Les études sur la performance et l'efficacité des marchés portent sur deux aspects essentiels du système de commercialisation du bétail. Le premier a trait à une évaluation du degré de concentration des acheteurs dans les marchés sélectionnés en vue de la collecte de données chronologiques ainsi que sur la manière dont les prix du bétail sont déterminés et sur le mode de financement des achats. La deuxième étude fait appel à l'établissement des coûts de la commercialisation du bétail et de la viande à mesure que les animaux passent des mains du producteur au marché final, où ils sont abattus pour la consommation locale et/ou exportés sur pied, après avoir transité par les marchés primaires et secondaires. Les types d'analyse des données sur les marchés de bétail sont catégorisés comme suit: offre de bétail; destination du bétail; fluctuation des prix; et performance et efficacité des marchés. Le paramètre le plus important dans la collecte de données chronologiques sur la commercialisation du bétail est le prix du bétail. Pour une période et pour un marché donnés, le prix par tête et par poids vif - 354 - peut être analysé par race, sexe et âge. Un cadre organisationnel souple pour la collecte et l'analyse des données du marché est suggéré. Il se fonde sur la structure hiérarchisée qui est si commune aux ministères de l'élevage ou de l'agriculture dans plusieurs pays africains. - 355 - Summary of Discussion Session 7. Chairman: Dr Jackson Kategile (IDRC, Kenya) Discussion led by Mr Larry Ngutter (Kenya) Dr Barry observed that marketing channels had developed since 1979 due to Nigeria's decision to supplement its meat imports from outside Africa by purchasing Sahel meat. However, to get to Nigeria, animals had to go through Niger or Upper Volta. In 1975 a national organisation was set up in Upper Volta - ONERA (Office national d' exploitation des ressources animales) . ONERA' s headquarters in Ouagadougou regularly gathered information on prices and numbers of animals. This had resulted in a map of stock movements in 1980. In reference to Dr Bekure's paper, Dr Chema pointed out that although it was true that there was government control of meat prices in Kenya, there was no government monopoly on the export of livestock, provided that such exports were sanctioned by the government. Prof. Saka Nuru suggested to Dr Bekure that the threat of epidemic diseases (e.g. rinderpest) could be added to the list of factors inducing the sale of livestock. Dr Bekure agreed, but said that epidemics could not be considered a permanent feature of the system. The model referred to was a simple one and was not expected to incor porate everything. Dr Tilahun referred to the ILCA/RDP livestock marketing study carried out in Ethiopia in which the degree of responsiveness of buyers and suppliers to price changes was measured. This could give an indication of the market potential for additional livestock. The study revealed that for cows the percentage change in quantity demand was 1.7 times larger than the percentage change in price that brought it about. The change in the price of female sheep and goats on the other hand had little effect on the quantity demanded. For male goats and sheep the quantity demanded was more responsive to change in price. For small ruminants increases in price resulted in decreases in supply, but for cows a 1% increase in price resulted in a 0.8% increase in quantity supplied. The study also illustrated the effects of religious - 357 - festivals on livestock sales. Both Moslem and Christian festivals influenced the sale of small ruminants in most of the studied markets and Christian festivals influenced the sale of cattle. - 358 - Résumé des débats de la septième seance Président: M. Jackson Kategile (CRDI, Kenya) Débats dirigés par M. Larry Ngutter (Kenya) Le Dr Barry a souligné que les circuits de commercialisation s'étaient développés depuis 1979, notamment en raison de la décision du Nigéria de compléter ses importations de viande en provenance de pays non africains par l'achat de viande dans les pays sahéliens. Toutefois, pour arriver au Nigéria, les animaux doivent traverser soit le Niger, soit la Haute-Volta. En 1975, une organisation nationale, l'ONERA (Office national d'exploitation des ressources nationales) avait été mise en place en Haute-Volta. Le siège de l'ONERA à Ouagadougou rassemble généralement les données sur les prix et sur les nombres des animaux. Ces activités de collecte ont donné lieu à une carte des mouvements du bétail en 1980. Se référant au document de M. Bekuré, le Dr Chema a souligné que certes le Gouvernement contrôlait le prix de la viande au Kenya, mais il n'exerçait pas de monopole sur l'exportation du bétail qui était toutefois soumise à son autorisation. Le Prof. Saka Nuru a suggéré à M. Bekuré d'ajouter la menace de maladies épidémiques (par exemple la peste bovine) à la liste des facteurs à la base des ventes de bétail. M. Bekuré a accepté ce point de vue mais a déclaré que les épidémies ne pouvaient pas être considérées comme une caractéristique permanente du système. Le modèle auquel il avait été fait référence était très simple et ne pouvait donc pas tout inclure. M. Tilahun a fait allusion à l'étude CIPEA/RDP sur la commercialisation du bétail effectuée en Ethiopie, dans laquelle l'impact du changement de prix sur les acheteurs et les producteurs avait été évalué. Cela pouvait donner une idée de la capacifé du marché d'accueillir de nouvelles têtes. L'étude a révélé que pour les vaches, l'évolution du pourcentage de la demande quantitative était de 1,7 fois plus importante que le changement de pourcentage du prix qui en avait été à la base. Le changement du prix des ovins et caprins femelles, d'autre part, avait eu très peu d'effet sur la demande - 359 - "V quantitative. Pour les caprins et pour les ovins mâles, la quantité demandée avait été beaucoup plus influencée par le changement du prix. Pour les petits ruminants, l'accroissement du prix s'était traduit par une baisse de la production mais pour les vaches, un accroissement du prix de 1% a donné lieu à un accroissement de 0,3 de la quantité offerte. L'étude illustre également les effets des fêtes religieuses sur les ventes de bétail. Les fêtes musulmanes, tout comme les fêtes chrétiennes, ont influencé la vente des petits ruminants sur la plupart des marchés étudiés et les fêtes chrétiennes ont influencé les ventes de bovins . - 360 - FEATURES AND CONSTRAINTS IDENTIFIED IN PSR AT ILCA Summary of Discussion Session 8. Chairman and discussion leader: Dr Barry Nestel (U.K.) Dr Rhissa said that in PSR he felt it was not only a question of identifying constraints but it was also necessary to put forward a package of solutions to governments. It was up to the governments to analyse and adopt solutions relevant to their aspirations and potential . Dr Nestel asked Dr Cossins what were the time factors in a program of work needed to reach the diagnostic phase. Dr Cossins said that this would vary from system to system. In the case of the Ethiopian rangelands study, an initial survey took three weeks in the field, and an additional month and a half to prepare a research proposal. Descriptive and diagnostic study programmes were then initiated and only eighteen months later were the team at the point where they were initiating some specific or component research programmes. Dr Wilson said that his team produced systems studies in 3^ years in Mali and then initiated component research on identified constraints. Some component research on agronomy was however carried out from the beginning. He felt it should be possible to identify some constraints more quickly in zones of similar ecology and social organisation. Prof. Saka Nuru thought that such a time-frame would very much depend on the availability of the required information from the national institutions and the government. With such information available, the descriptive phase should not take more than a year to confirm or amend what was known. Where such information was lacking then the descriptive/diagnostic phase would take much longer. He felt that the active co-operation of the national institutions, the government and the pastoralists themselves was essential. Dr Diakite, in referring to the situation in Mali, said that researchers should not just leave the results of research to be applied - one had also to ensure against poor use and interpretation of data. - 361 - Dr Barry felt that the discussion was disturbing - surely the main aim was to be useful to pastoral people? One constraint was that the state did not help the pastoralist by instituting systems or technologies which allowed the pastoralist to be exploited. National priotities usually concentrated on grain production rather than pastoral production. - 362 - Résumé des débats de la huitième séance Président et directeur des débats: M. Barry Nestel (R.-U.) Le Dr Rhissa a déclaré que dans la RSP, il pensait qu'il ne s'agissait pas seulement de l'identification des contraintes et qu'il fallait également proposer des solutions aux gouvernements. Il incombait aux gouvernements d'analyser et d'adopter les solutions conformes à leurs aspirations et adaptées à leurs capacités. M. Nestel a demandé à M. Cossins quels étaient les facteurs temps nécessaires dans un programme de travail pour atteindre la phase de diagnostic. M. Cossins a répondu que cela variait d'un système à l'autre. Dans le cas de l'étude sur les parcours éthiopiens, une enquête initiale avait duré trois semaines sur le terrain et il avait fallu 45 jours supplémentaires pour préparer une proposition de recher che. Les programmes d'étude de diagnostic et de description avaient ensuite été lancés et ce n'est que 18 mois plus tard que l'équipe a pu démarrer certains programmes spécifiques de recherche sur les composantes. M. Wilson a déclaré que son équipe avait produit des études sur les systèmes en 3 ans et demi au Mali et qu'elle avait ensuite commencé des recherches sur les composantes sur des contraintes identifiées. Des activités de recherche sur les compo santes dans le domaine de l'agronomie avaient toutefois été entreprises dès le début. Il pensait qu'il devrait être possible d'identifier certaines contraintes plus rapidement dans des zones où l'écologie et l'organisation sociale étaient similaires. Le Prof. Saka Nuru estimait qu'un tel cadre temporel devrait être fortement tributaire de la disponibilité des données requises dans les institutions nationales et gouvernementales. Avec de telles informations, la base descriptive ne devrait pas prendre plus d'un an pour confirmer ou infirmer ce qui était connu. Là où une telle information faisait défaut, la phase description/diagnostic prendrait beaucoup de temps. Il estimait que la coopération des instituts nationaux, du Gouvernement et des éleveurs eux-mêmes revêtait une importance capitale. - 363 Se référant à la situation qui prévaut au Mali, le Dr Diakité a déclaré que les chercheurs ne devraient pas simplement se contenter de donner les résultats de leur recherche pour application. Il fallait également veiller à se prémunir contre l'utilisation et l'interpréta tion inadéquates des données. Pour le Dr Barry, ce débat était génant. L'objectif essentiel était certainement d'être utile aux populations pastorales. L'une des contraintes était que l'Etat n'aidait pas l'éleveur en mettant en place des systèmes ou des techniques qui favorisaient l'exploitation de celui- ci. En général, la priorité nationale était la production de céréales plutôt que la production pastorale. - 364 IDENTIFYING THE SCOPE FOR IMPROVEMENT IN PASTORAL PRODUCTION The scope for improvement 12 1 Stephen Sandford , Frank Anderson and Addis Anteneh 1Economists, Livestock Policy Unit, ILCA, Ethiopia Agricultural Economist and Programme, ILCA, Ethiopia 2" Team Leader, Highlands Introduction This paper takes as its starting point that in the cycle of pastoral systems research (PSR) the existing system has been adequately inves tigated, described, and analysed and that the constraints on the further development of the existing system have been identified. The next stage in the cycle is to identify the scope for improvement. Identifying the scope for improvement may imply different things. To some people in some situations, there seems to be almost no scope for improvement. Although the present system is one of low productivity, it seems that nothing can be done to improve it except at a cost which is far in excess of potential benefits. In such circumstances identifying a possible improvement is a most challenging task and enormous effort is spent in designing and redesigning re search and development work in order to try to reduce costs and increase benefits. To other people in other situations there seems to be a wide range of improvements, each of which offers promise. Identifying the scope for improvement then appears to be more a case of selecting from among the many alternatives those options which offer the greatest promise. In such cases the main task is estimating the likely consequences of alternatives. Although this paper is relevant to both sets of circumstances, it has a number of different alternatives primarily in mind. In both cases decisions in principle are made on possibilities for improvement and the ideas about the improvements are refined to the point where they can be the subject of on-farm/range, on-research station, 365 •V component research, or the subject of further study of some other appropriate kind. This paper is concerned with the social and economic aspects of the identification and assessment of improvements. In particular situations potential improvements are likely to induce some combination of changes in technology (technological change) and in organisations, institutions, or in other economic, administrative or social conditions (hereinafter collectively termed "social change"). One extreme example, involving no change in technology but substantial social change, would be the expropriation of individually-owned and managed water points (on communally grazed land) and the substitution of group-ownership and management by an elected committee of pastoralists. Such a change could lead to improvement both in overall productivity, through the establishment of a mechanism to control the number of livestock permitted to graze an area of land, and in the equity of distribution (between members of a pastoral society) of access to water and so to grazing. At the other extreme there may be a potential for substantial changes in technology, e.g. by the introduction of an effective vaccination against contagious bovine pleuropneumonia conferring immunity for life, which will require no direct social change but which can be applied through, for example, existing arrangements for anti-rinder pest vaccinations. Most potential improvements will require some combination of substantial amounts of both new technology and social change. Both the technological and the social changes required will usually be of two sorts; firstly the direct intended change, which is a funda mental part of the improvement, and secondly the indirect changes, often unintended, unforseen and, sometimes, unwanted, which are brought about by the direct changes. Direct technological changes may lead to indirect social (as well as technological) changes, and vice veicsa. The indirect changes may be as important, in both their costs and benefits, as the direct. - 366 - Tasks in identifying the scope for improvement This paper will discuss the tasks to be done principally from the point of view of ILCA. However other organisations carrying out PSR are faced with essentially the same obligations and constraints and so, with minor amendments, what is written here about ILCA is appli cable to other organisations. In order to fulfill its mandate, ILCA needs not only to identify potential improvements but also to make some assessment of ILCA's mandate states that it should seek to increase livestock production and to improve the quality of life in sub-Saharan tropical Africa. In assessing potential improvements it needs to look at their likely impact in terms of these two criteria. It also, in order to prevent resources being wasted on research whose results are not implemented, needs to assess the ohances of adoption of potential improvements. Partly this is a matter of looking at the objectives of the other parties involved in development, e.g. of the host government or of the pastoralists of the area concerned, to see whether what seem to be improvements in terms of ILCA's criteria will also seem to these other parties to be improvements that they should encourage rather than frustrate. Partly it is a question of assessing whether, with the best will in the world, the parties and institutions concerned are capable of introducing the improvements within a reason able period of time. Finally ILCA needs to ensure that at least some of the improvements that it develops will bear fruit rapidly. Host governments, pastoralists and donors will all need early reassurance of the capacity of PSR to yield useful results if their initial enthusiasm and support is not to wane. Some improvements are not only important but also, because of their very nature, have very long pay-off periods. They need to be complemented by others which even if not inherently so important can serve to sustain interest. There are, then, four things to be done: to identify potential improvements, to assess the probable impact of each, to assess the probability that an improvement will be adopted and to estimate how rapidly an improvement will bear fruit. It is convenient for analytical purposes to classify them as separate activities - 367 - although in practice they will often be carried out more or less simultaneously and by a single person, sometimes through a series of iterations that modify initial ideas into something more appropri ate and feasible. In some cases the next step in the development of improvements lies with ILCA (or other organisations carrying out PSR) alone, e.g. where a new technology has to be devised or adapted for a specific location and where ILCA can itself carry out the necessary technical component research. In other cases some specific social change, which can only be brought about by someone else, normally a part of the host government, is required, either on its own or as a necessary concomitant to an ILCA derived change in technology. Even where someone else must take the next step ILCA needs to assess the likely impact and chances of adoption of the improvement, and the probable rapidity of its fruition so as to provide that someone with adequate information on which to base their own decision. In some cases what is required is research by someone else; in other cases further research will not be useful and what is needed is the implementation of development forthwith. Identifying potential improvements If, for example, an initial analysis of the system indicates that marketing is a constraint then this signposts the need for an improvement in marketing. "Identifying a potential improvement" is the process of looking at the critical stage or steps in the marketing process and tentatively selecting things which could be done, in the way for example that Bekure, Evangelou and Chabari (1982) have identified supply of credit, weighing and grading, and sale by auction, as potential improvements in livestock marketing in Kajiado, Kenya. Assessing the impact of potential improvements The assessment of impact of an improvement merits some further con sideration. Essentially this is a predictive activity, or an attempt to forecast something which may follow on from research; it is not - 368 - monitoring or evaluating something which is already taking place. Assessment of impact has so far been described in terms of the likely direct and derived technological and social changes which will be associated with an improvement, but at this stage it is necessary to go further and evaluate the changes according to ILCA's criteria, i.e. in terms of their consequences on production and on the quality of life. ILCA will not be interested, of course, in improvements which simply maximize output regardless of cost. ILCA's mandate to increase output implies the rider "at reasonable cost". On the other hand at this stage in the PSR cycle precise prediction of costs of improve ments in relation to benefits is impossible. The same is true of other kinds of impacts. Since research has not yet taken place the quantity of the potential benefits (yields) is not yet known and the volume of costs (inputs) is equally obscure. Moreover, since the improvement is still some way off in time from introduction to pastoralists, the relative prices of outputs and inputs will probably be subject to considerable changes, but ones which are largely unpre dictable in direction or size. Analyses of various degrees of sophistication and complexity can, and should, be done to explore the combinations of yields, inputs, prices and other factors which give rise to impacts which are on balance favourable or unfavourable. These should permit an assessment of the probable long-term average overall impact. Another element in the assessment of the increased production is the extent to which increases in average (over different sites or different periods) production is matched by increased risk (variation) . ILCA's mandate also requires it to improve the "quality of life" - an expression which is in some ILCA documents rephrased as "standard of living", although in common usage there are important differences between the way the terms are used. The latter usually implies much more emphasis on material welfare, particularly on the consumption of goods and services, whereas the former embraces not only material welfare (clean air, low infant mortality) but also satisfaction of a less material kind, e.g. harmonious social re lations. - 369 - In practical terms, ILCA can assess the probable impact of potential improvements on the quality of life in a number of important ways. The impact on the natural environment is one of these; a second is to assess to what extent the potential improvements proposed will benefit all sections of the community, i.e. all kinds of households - "kinds" in terms, for example, of wealth and power, occupation or ethnicity. Certain kinds of both technological and social changes, even if their benefits are not intended to be restrict ed to particular socio-economic classes, are in practice more likely to benefit or be adopted by some classes and this may positively injure others. ILCA, both out of a proper concern for social equity, and from a need to avoid the resentment against itself which will arise if it is thought to favour only certain groups, should aim to avoid developing improvements which are likely to benefit only certain ethnic groups in an ethnically mixed region, or the strong at the expense of the weak. Thus, as far as is practicable, ILCA should develop a package of improvements at least some of which should offer benefit to every kind of household. An early assessment is required of the likely impact on relative welfare of different groups, since once research has been sucessfully carried out it will not be possible to suppress its results even if their impact is inequitable. A third important respect in which the impact of a potential improvement on the quality of life can be assessed is in terms of the way it affects the distribution of benefits and burdens within households - in particular its effect on the nutrition of children and on the work pattern of women. There are, of course, a number of other aspects to the quality of life which may be relevant to particular potential improvements, but those mentioned here deserve consideration in respect of every improvement. Assessing the chances of adoption of potential improvements ILCA needs not only to assess the probable impact of improvements if adopted, but also to assess the chances of desirable improvements being adopted. It is not a sufficient condition for an improvement to be adopted that it has desirable impacts in terms of output and quality of life. There may be difficulties involved, for example - 370 - difficulties in the procurement and distribution of high technology inputs, which are unlikely to be solved even if ILCA convinces everyone concerned about the urgency of their solution. Social constraints, in the form of traditional institutions and value systems, have often been cited as causes of the failure to adopt new technological improvements. The possibility of such social con straints can not be denied, possibly in the form of fundamental divergencies in values between, for example, ILCA and a progressive government on the one hand and a traditionally-oriented pastoral society on the other. But in many cases in the past where agricul tural researchers and extension personnel have blamed such social factors, the real problem has subsequently been found to be that the researchers were advocating unprofitable technology or had failed to grasp the full complexity, e.g. in respect of risk, of their clients' decision-making process. Assessing the rapidity of fruition As already noted, ILCA needs to include in its package of improvements some which will yield early evidence of the usefulness of PSR, even if these are of only modest importance. Otherwise there is a danger that essential support by other parties, i.e. host governments, pastoralists and donors, will be withdrawn prematurely from more important improvements which can be developed and yield results only over a longer term. The early development and introduction of some improvements, even if only modest ones, can help to sustain interest and support while the more long-term, and possibly more important, improvements are still being worked on. Who should identify the scope for improvement? The techniques for assessing the impact, probability of adoption, and speed of fruition of potential improvements are overviewed in a later section. This section examines who should do the identification and assessment. A "natural" solution appears to be that as far as improvements implying primarily technological change are concerned the first task of identifying the potential improvements should be by the natural scientist in that specialist field (e.g. soil science, - 371 - forage agronomy, genetics) most concerned, and that in the subsequent task of predicting the indirect changes and the impact on production and the quality of life, social scientists (including economists) should also play a substantial part. The implication of this approach is that it is primarily the staff and consultants of the PSR organisation itself (e.g. ILCA) who will be involved. However there are two shortcomings in this point of view. Firstly the probability that a host government will take the necessary steps that will allow a successfully tested improvement to be adopted subsequently will be directly proportional to the degree of its own involvement early in the process of decision making that led to the development of the improvement. Such early involvement by the host government will not only lead to its greater sense of commitment to the introduction of the improvement and to an earlier awareness of the institutional changes it may subsequently have to make, but also to its providing ILCA earlier with information about the host govern ment's own intentions that may affect the chances of adoption. That is the positive aspect. The negative aspect is that unless the host government's involvement in decision making on the improvements to be designed and tested is to be merely token window-dressing, then ILCA risks being prevented from developing improvements, which could be highly beneficial, by host government officials who may not have the training or time to be able to appreciate an improvement's real potential. Host government involvement may be either a help or a hindrance . The other shortcoming is that an important argument raised in favour of a systems research (FSR/PSR) approach is that it more closely considers small farmers' /pastoralists ' point of views and is more influenced by their values and opinions than are other research approaches. Clearly this "advantage" is in danger of being lost if, at a critical stage when decisions are being made about the improvements to be tested or studied, farmers' /pastoralists ' opinions are not directly canvassed but are only "represented" by what natural or social scientists think farmers ought or are likely to think. Consideration needs to be given as to how the opinion of pastoralists might be incorporated into the selection of improvements for testing. - 372 - The "literature" on FSR is somewhat silent or opaque on this subject. Most of the discussion in the literature about farmer's par ticipation in FSR is about their involvement in identifying con straints, in carrying out on-farm trials, and in subsequent adoption of innovations. Literature dealing specifically with the issues of the institutional devices required to incorporate farmers '/ pas to- ralists ' opinions into the process of identifying improvements cannot be identified. Three points are worth making here. First the staff of many government services for implementing development are unlikely to represent farmers ' /pastoralists ' opinions any better than research scientists. In many countries, indeed, especially where FSR/PSR has been willingly adopted as an approach by the research services, the researchers are more likely than are the agents of the often 'top-down' oriented extension services to be able to understand farmers' points of view. Secondly, in seeking pastoralists' opinions care has to be taken to obtain an adequate cross-section. It is not enough to consult political leaders, or leaders of pastoralists' associations, or "prominent" or "progressive" pastoralists. Such people are likely to be drawn from among the better-off and are likely neither to understand well the problems of the less well-off, nor, if they understand them, to represent them if such views are contrary to their own interests. Nor is it enough just to call a public meeting to discuss selection of improvements. At such public meetings the interests of the less well-off, even though they attend, are unlikely to be strongly defended. The third main point is that if pastoralists are to make the contribution to identification of improvements that is needed of them, then time and care has to be devoted to discussing with them what the different improvements may involve. Of course, if asked "would you like a new kind of livestock feed which will make your animals give more milk? the response will be affirmative. That sort of consul tation is mere window-dressing. what needs to be done is to thrash out in some detail what the innovation may mean (including any alternative options) in respect of, for example, cash cost, labour-use profiles, risk, land tenure, loss of pastoralists' independence etc. - 373 This is inevitably time-consuming and will not lead to published articles in internationally referreed journals in the way that conventional disciplinary research (even if subsequently ignored by pastoralists) will yield. But it is more likely to lead to the design and testing of innovations which will subsequently be adopted. The point is that pastoralists cannot be expected to grasp immediately all the implications for their pastoral system of a potential tech nological change. Little in their own experience will have fitted them to know what sort of questions one needs to ask about new tech nology. But if scientists and pastoralists will sit down together to thrash some of the issues out, from the union of their past, separately inadequate, experience something useful may emerge. In the case of the participation in decision making by both pastoralists and officials of the host government's service for implementing devel opment, care has to be taken to establish a proper institutional framework for that participation and to ensure that participants are adequately oriented and briefed so that their participation is both genuine and has positive results. Techniques for assessing potential improvements This section of the paper deals briefly with the kind of techniques available for assessing the relative merits of different potential improvements once these have been identified. Early on in the preparation of this paper the idea was discussed that it ought to be possible to make generalisations, about impact, about probability of adoption, about rapidity of fruition, based on broad categorisations of, on the one hand, "types of impro vement" and on the other "kinds of situations" in which the improve ments are to be introduced: for example, "individual land tenure" areas would be one kind of situation, "communal tenure" areas would be another. Categorisation of improvements could be by a number of different criteria. One of these would be in terms of western concepts of disciplinary boundaries, and would lead to a categori sation as follows. - 374 - 1. Improvements to the primary productivity of the natural vegetation leading to better animal nutrition. 2. The growing of introduced grass, browse and other forage. 3. The supply of supplementary feed (minerals, protein, energy etc. ) from non-rangeland sources. 4. Improvements in animal health. 5. Genetic improvements (whether from imported genes or by intra-area selection) . 6. Improvement in water supplies - leading to more frequent watering, with higher quality water at less energy cost in watering. 7. Improvement in animal husbandry (e.g. breeding seasons, weaning practices, housing etc.); i.e. improvements in the care of individual livestock kept not subsumed under 1 to 5 above. 8. Improvements in marketing that lead to greater market efficiency, convenience and equity. Categorisation by disciplinary boundaries did not lead to many useful generalisations. Possibly the only important one was about rapidity of fruition. In many pastoral areas the full scope of available animal health technology has not yet been exploited and quite short periods of survey, followed by short trials on pastoral- ists' herds, can lead to rapid results on a wide scale. Although improvements on the health side may not substantially affect the overall productivity of the pastoral system unless the nutrition constraint is also overcome, they can provide early and dramatic evidence of the efficacy of PSR as far as the productivity of indi vidual animals is concerned. A possible categorisation of improvements in terms of those which are susceptible to testing by standard experimental techniques and those which are not was also considered. The distinction is not absolute but one of degree (more or less) . Most technological changes are susceptible to standard experimental techniques when tested on a research station, and some of these, for example, forage crop trials on individually owned fields, weight gains of individual animals due - 375 - to supplementary feeding, can also be tested in this way "on-farm" ("on-range") . In other cases, however, because of difficulty of measurement, e.g. in the case of milk yields of cows with calves at foot, or because of difficulty of experimental control, e.g. with different range management techniques on communally grazed land, even technological improvements are barely testable in "on-farm" experimentation. Most social changes are not susceptible to standard experimental techniques of the kind applied to technological inno vations because it is simply not possible to conduct a controlled experiment with them. However, it should not be concluded that experimentally testable improvements are legitimate and important and that untestable ones are not. On the contrary, many experimen tally testable improvements may offer only trivial advantages whereas the major scope for improvement may be through untestable innovation. Although it cannot be concluded that improvements which are experimentally testable are, ipso facto, likely to be more or less important than those which are not, they have some advantages when it comes to reducing the risk of failure in large-scale implemen tation. With improvements that are experimentally testable there will be some points, short of full-scale implementation, at which the impact of an improvement on increased production can be verified. Of course, even in this case what will be measured, when doing experiments, are changes in output under conditions of experimental control or of supervision or guidance by scientists. These may comprise rather different conditions than would be the case in the event of large-scale adoption by pastoralists at a later time. On- farm testing, if done for long enough and on a large enough scale, can also in theory involve assessments of risk and the inter-class and inter-household distribution of costs and benefits. In practice it seldom can be done for long enough or on a large enough scale to achieve this. However the scope for success in the introduction of improve ments will be determined more by the characteristics of the particular situation (in time and space) on which PSR and development are focused rather than by the category of improvement. Particular situations differ from each other in so many different ways (environ- - 376 mental, economic, social, political etc.) that useful categorisations and generalisations are not possible here. Categorisation by one criterion (e.g. rainfall) cuts across categorisations by another (e.g. social structure) in a way that yields a myriad of sub-cat egories. In other words, the assessment of potential improvements cannot be done simply by reference to simple rules of thumb (gener alisations applied to broad categories of improvements and situations) but will require specific analysis in each instance. Thus, in assessing potential improvements, broad generalisa tions based on categories of improvements and of situations cannot be relied upon to predict likely impact and probability of adoption. Rather reliance will need to be wholly on case-specific predictive models. In a few cases, if it is decided to select that improvement for subsequent component research, some experimental evidence will subsequently become available to shed light on the validity of the original models. The models can be of varying degrees of complexity depending on the time and resources available to construct and test them and on the input data available. At one extreme of simplicity, the model may be no more than a "back-of-the-envelope" calculation (simple "partial budgeting") to decide whether the average cash cost of, say, a mineral block is likely to be exceeded by the average value of extra liveweight gained as a result of using it. A first step improvement on the "back-of-the-enveloppe calculations model would be one which: 1. estimated probabilities of different values of net cash returns, thereby taking at least partial account of the substantial impact of variability in pastoral, systems on the pay-off from an improvement. 2. included a cash flow exercise which estimated how the period and financial deficit between the time at which cash costs are incurred and cash returns are received might be bridged by different classes of pastoralists. - 377 - 3. showed the impact of a potential improvement on the labour-use profile of different classes of pastoralists. In many pastoral (and farm) systems, labour is as critical a limiting resource as cash. It is, therefore, important to calculate whether the extra labour demand generated by an improvement can be accommo dated solely by sacrificing leisure (and if so whether the net returns per extra man hour are comparable to those obtained by other activities currently carried on) , or whether it will require the displacement of some other productive activity, and if so with what result. Such calculations are equivalent to the "gross margin" kind of calculations carried out for conventional cropping enterprises which show which activity is likely to yield the highest margin per hectare and which activities are likely to be displaced by the more profitable new one. Models that deal with labour-use are more complex than "gross margin per hectare" analyses. For example in the case of irrigated land whereas land can be allocated at most to three different crops in succession each year, i.e. once every four months, competition between activities for labour occurs on a much more frequent basis. The types of models discussed so far are extremely simple and for the most part are economic models. If time and data allow far more complex models can be used. In agropastoral enterprises, linear programming maximizing models have already been used (e.g. by Eddy (1979) and Delgado (1979)) but not yet for purely pastoral enterprises except at an excessively aggregate scale, e.g. it has been done for the Sahel as a whole (Picardi, 1974). Konandreas and Anderson (1982), building on work by others, have devised a simulation model which can be used to forecast some of the changes in livestock systems which will spring from changes in technical parameters. Both these kinds of models are essentially economic ones, are expressed in mathematical terms, can be computerised, and deal with rather few relations and variables at a time (the Konandreas and Anderson model contains some 25 key equations) . On the whole, the economic models developed so far are best at predicting the impact of improvements on net output (production less costs) and are not directly concerned with the probability of adoption or the effect on the quality of life as spelt - 378 - out in this paper. Most anthropological models are verbal, not math ematical, and are much more complex but correspondingly less precise. They are much more concerned with questions of adoption and of inter personal equity. A feature of all complex models is that they require considerable time and effort not only to collect data but also to manipulate the model and consider its results. Concluding summary There are four main tasks to be carried out when identifying the scope for improvement: identification of potential improvements and then, in respect of each of those identified, prediction of the likely impact in terms of at least two criteria (increase in net production, change in the quality of life), prediction of the probability of adoption and of the rapidity with which the improvement will bear fruit if adopted. These are not very radical suggestions but they are seldom practised. Furthermore it has been suggested that when identifying scope for improvement not only should the natural and social scientists of the organisation practising PSR itself be involved, but also pastoralists and officials of the implementing agencies of the host government should participate as well. For such participation to be fruitful, however, thought, trouble and time have to be devoted to ensure that their participation is genuine and properly structured and informed. In making predictions, generalisations based on categories of improve ments and categories of situations in which the improvements are to be introduced are of very limited use. Case-specific analysis will be required which will use predictive models of varying complexity and from different professional disciplines. Because the predictions are being made in advance even of on-station research, they cannot be precise but can only be estimates of probabilities concerning the balance between benefits and costs or between positive and negative factors . - 379 - References Bekure, S., Evangelou, P., and Chabari, F. 1982. Livestock marketing in Eastern Kajiado, Kenya. ILCA/Kenya Working Document 26, Nairobi . Delgado, C.L. 1979. The Southern Fulani system in Upper Volta. A model for the integration of crop and livestock production in the West African savannah. Michigan State University African Rural Economy Paper No. 20, East Lansing. Eddy, E.D. 1979. Labour and land use on mixed farms in the pastoral zone of Niger. Centre for Research on Economic Development, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Konandreas, A. and Anderson, M. 1982. Cattle herd dynamics', an integer and stochastic model for evaluating production alternatives. ILCA Research Report 2, Addis Ababa. Picardia, A.C. 1974. A systems analysis of nomadic herding in the West African Sahel. Massachusetts Institute for Technology, Center for Policy Alternatives. - 380 - Envergure des innovations Résumé Cette étude prend comme point de départ que le système existant à été étudié, décrit et analysé de manière adéquate dans le cadre de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux et que les contraintes relatives au développement futur du système ont été identifiées. La phase suivante dans le cycle consiste à identifier l'envergure des innovations. Il y a quatre tâches essentielles à effectuer dans l'identification de l'envergure des innovations: l'identification des améliorations potentielles et ensuite, par rapport à chacune des innovations identifiées, la prévision des effets potentiels, compte tenu tout au moins de deux critères (accroissement de la production nette, changement de la qualité de la vie), la prévision de l'adaptabilité de l'innovation et de la rapidité avec laquelle celle-ci portera des fruits si elle est adoptée. Le CIPEA peut évaluer l'impact probable des améliorations potentielles sur la qualité de la vie de plusieurs manières. L'impact sur l'environnement fait partie de celles-ci. Le CIPEA peut également évaluer la mesure dans laquelle les améliorations potentielles profiteront à toutes les composantes de la collectivité. Troisième aspect non moins important: la manière dont une amélioration influe sur la distribution des avantages et des inconvénients au sein des ménages. En identifiant l'envergure de l'amélioration, il faudrait faire appel non seulement aux chercheurs spécialisés en sciences sociales et naturelles participant à la RSP mais également aux éleveurs et aux responsables des organismes d'exécution du Gouvernement du pays hôte. Pour qu'une telle contribution soit fructueuse cependant, il faudra faire en sorte qu'elle soit bien structurée et que les participants à cette recherche concertée disposent des informations requises . Dans les prévisions, les généralisations basées sur des catégories d'innovations et des catégories de situations dans lesquelles les - 381 - améliorations doivent être introduites sont d'une portée limitée. Des analyses de cas spécifiques, fondées sur des modèles de prévision de complexité diverse , effectuées dans diverses disciplines seront nécessaires . Les modèles peuvent être de complexité diverse, compte tenu du temps et des ressources disponibles pour les mettre au point et les tester et compte tenu des données disponibles. Il peut être très simple mais il peut également être assez complexe et estimer par exemple les probabilités de différentes valeurs de revenus monétaires nets, inclure des calculs sur la marge brute d'auto-financement déterminant la manière dont le déficit financier qui intervient entre le moment auquel les dépenses monétaires sont effectuées et celui où les revenus monétaires sont perçus peut être comblé par les différentes classes d'éleveurs et montrant l'impact d'une amélioration potentielle et le profil de l'utilisation de la main-d'oeuvre de différentes classes d'éleveurs. Si le temps et les données le permettent, des modèles beaucoup plus complexes peuvent être utilisés. Etant donné que les prévisions de tels modèles se font à l'avance (même avant d'entreprendre la recherche au niveau de la station), elles ne peuvent être précises. Toutefois, elles peuvent constituer des estimations plausibles sur l'équilibre entre les coûts et les bénéfices ou entre les facteurs positifs et négatifs. - 382 - Biotechnical options 1 2 L.J. Lambourne and M. Butterworth ix Director of Research, ILCA, Ethiopia 2Senior Animal Nutritionist, ILCA, Ethiopia Introduction Let me begin by reminding you that ILCA is one of the International Agricultural Research Centres with a mandate to carry out a programme of research supported and extended by documentation and training "to assist national efforts which aim to effect a change in production and marketing systems in tropical Africa ..." Let me quote also Baker (1977)'s selection from the ILCA prospectus (1974). "The system approach is valuable in research planning not so much in identifying problems, which are often self- evident, as in selecting what are likely to be the most profitable approaches to problem solving. This is especially relevant to livestock production in Africa where improvement in yield or output is as likely to come from social change or from range improvement as it is from genetic change in the animals themselves." The truth of this has been shown in the constraints to pro duction and opportunities for improvement identified by the leaders of our pastoral research teams in their papers to this workshop. One might well argue that most, if not all, of the problems they have specified could have been listed before ILCA's systems research pro grammes began - indeed most of these problems were already identified or identifiable from the large amount of research information then available. What was lacking was knowledge of the best ways of solving the evident problems, given that many optimistic attemps to introduce new methods based on improved Western models had been dismal failures. It was not clear whether the technology had been wrong, and just did not work in the different physical environments of Africa, or whether the social and economic conditions in which the technology had been - 383 - used had prevented it from being applied in such a way as to effect the improvements of which it was potentially capable. Sandford has outlined the considerations which seem to be most important from the social and economic view points in identifying the scope for improvement in pastoral production. We must also consider the biological or technical possibilities which are available for pastoral systems, and try to sort these into some ranking of applicability considering not only the likelihood of technical success but also their relevance and feasibility. Technical features of pastoral systems African pastoral systems are subsistence-oriented, and based on milk production - milk, not only to rear the calves which will ensure long- term continuity of the system, but also to form the mainstay of human nutrition. These systems are not easily forced into the mould of conventional Western beef production and many earlier attempts to develop such enterprises have failed. The zebu-type cow in these extensive grazing areas may appear unproductive, indeed the milk yields recorded in ILCA pastoral studies are quite modest. Consider a cow giving an offtake of 1 1/day; in term:; of human nutrition she is producing as much as a castrate gaining 1 kg/day*. Her biological effeciency is high judged by the value of her output of high quality food in relation to the amount and value of the forage she has eaten. * 1 000 ml milk at 14% total solids = 140 g nutrients 1 000 Lwt gain = 600 g bodywt (30% skin, bone, inedible tissues) = 600 x 0.70 edible tissues (70% water) = 600 x 0.70 x 0.30 g edible DM = 126 g nutrients - 384 Table 1. Estimated yield (ml/day) of cows in ILCA pastoral programmes. Milk offtake for human use (measured) (ml /day) Milk intake by calf f stimated from weight gains) (ml /day) Total Country (ml/day) Ethiopia 1140 720 730 2560 (2500) 3700 Kenya (3220) Mali 1620 2350 Considering the harsh conditions under which they live small ruminants too reach high levels of individual production. Even though individual production may be high, cattle herd productivity could be raised substantially if: - fewer calves died, and more were reared to sell or to milk; - calves grew faster and matured earlier; - cows calved first at an earlier age; and/or - cows calved more frequently thereafter. Table 2. Reproductive performance of sheep and goats in semi-arid Africa . Age at 1st parturition(d) Parturition interval (d) Litter size No. of f email young/ B/yr Country Goats Sheep Goats Sheep Goats Sheep Mali 470 550 270 250 320 320 230 280 1.21 1.05 1.25 1.04 1.52 1.13 1.63 1.42 2.37 1.51 1.19 1.49 Kenya Sudan If more calves were reared better and either sold earlier or calved earlier, lactating cows could form a higher proportion of the herd, giving higher efficiency of production per unit of forage eaten, or per unit area of grazing land used. - 385 - Milk yield is the key to most improvements since increases in yield would make it possible to reduce calf losses, improve growth rate of calves and thus to meet the implicit objectives of the pastoralist while also making possible an increase in the turnoff of surplus male cattle to meet national development needs. The results of ILCA's systems analysis have shown the importance also of smallstock - particularly their role as a rapidly renewable liquid asset, easily converted into cash or exchanged to meet short-term needs, and of a convenient size to provide meat for domestic, religious or social celebrations. Their shorter gestation and high fecundity provides valuable flexibility and their behaviour makes it possible to exploit types of pasture or browse not eaten by cattle. The almost universal use of young males for slaughter sale or exchange has shown up clearly in ILCA surveys. Table 3. Age and sex structure of flocks in Sahel transhumant systems. Age Sheep (a) Sheep (b) Goats (months) Males Females Males Females Males Females 0-6 11 13 6 10 22 ) 23 7-14 6 12 9 19 15 - 21 4 11 3 8 6 ) 49 over 21 7 36 7 38 TOTAL 28 72 25 75 28 72 Just as the type of livestock kept and their role has strong common features, so too the constraints identified can be grouped into those which are common to most pastoral systems and some more specific to a particular region or system. This distinction depends largely on the overriding influence of climate, mainly rainfall and its seasonal distribution; we shall examine how this dominates the husbandry of cattle and small ruminants and contributes, directly and indirectly, to many of our problems. 386 The effect of climate on nutrition The ILCA team in Mali has recorded the amount and quality of forage available, and the liveweight changes of cattle and small ruminants in the systems relying on the Niger delta (Dicko et al, 1981) . -X- Liveweight (kg) 300 200- - 100- wet season dry season millet field of pre-irrigated stubble rice stubble rice and millet pastures natural >k >k ^ *£ =* -J—I—i—i—.—i—«—.—> » ND J FM AMJ Metabolizable energy (MJ/d) 20 n® i_ld Lop _LT ja_M _i_' M ¥" J_ + I.0-' +0.5- -0.5-- I.O- Daily ga (kg/d) 0 Fig 1. Seasonal trends in liveweight (1) and metabolisable energy intake (2). - 387 - Fig. 1 shews the seasonal pattern of changes in liveweight in cattle in Mali. Similar patterns have been found in many other tropical climates, and it is evident that the annual weight increase made during the short wet season when feed is abundant and of good quality is partly lost over the following months of the dry season, particularly in the few weeks immediately preceding the following season's green growth. This means that yearly net gains are low, maturity is delayed, and first calving is at four or five years of age. Cows, which usually conceive towards the end of the wet season, calve after a long period of under-nutrition during the following dry season. It means also that cows which calve a little late and do not conceive again before the dry season begins are likely to enter a long period of lactational/nutritional anoestrus and will not conceive until their calf has been weaned or until the following year's wet season. Thus the herd will include too many cows which calve only every second or even third year. The classical solution to this predictable yearly problem of feed shortage is to move, either between wet and dry-season grazing areas where land is stiil plentiful, or to arable areas where crop residues are available. Lack of water means that grazing areas within reach of dry-season wells or ponds soon become overgrazed; the high concentrations of livestock may help the spread of diseases, and poor nutrition is made worse by the need to walk long distances each day or two. Options available for improvements Problems arising from aridity Not only mean annual rainfall and its variation, but also its distri bution, greatly influences pasture growth and therefore secondary productivity of livestock. Unreliable early rains can cause repeated sequences of germination and seedling death; very heavy rains cause massive runoff and fill surface ponds and streams, but poor infil tration into the soil means that pasture growth is poorly sustained. Rainfall distribution may be so unreliable that there is no possibility of permanent use of land by livestock - Bille (1983) has suggested - 388 - that a monthly rainfall of less than 60 mm gives very little or no grass growth (in the Ethiopian rangelands) and the probability that rainfall will reach this minimum figure in any one month is the best biological distinction between wet and dry months. Judged by this criterion some areas of the northeastern Ethiopian rangelands, for example, will have no effective primary production at least one year out of ten except in natural hollows. Baker (1975) pointed out that the Karamoja area of Uganda could expect one year in four to be so dry as to seriously reduce crop and pasture growth and cause losses of animals. This problem cannot be solved by the creation of more watering points, and such areas can be exploited in the long term only under a nomadic system permitting emergency access to areas which have more reliable pasture growth. If this becomes impossible, it will be necessary for governments to organise emergency drought relief in the form of livestock or human food, or emergency purchase of excess stock. Areas with a well-defined but erratic bimodal rainfall are betr.er suited to livestock grazing than to introduction of cropping. Loss of browse through land clearing might even harm livestock production more than it would benefit from the dry-season crop residue grazing. Rainfall cannot be controlled, but by systematic recording over the pastoral area it is possible to arrive at valuable estimates of reliability of monthly rainfall. This, in the long run, may make it possible to plan more stable systems of utilisation and development. This is clearly an option requiring governmental or regional projects' initiative, and might well be linked to modern methods of satellite remote sensing, to give advanced warning of failure of rainfall, and to provide long-term and large-scale monitoring of rangeland con ditions. Problems of undernutrition Inadequate nutrition in the dry season may occur as a long-term problem because of progresive loss of dry-season grazing areas, associated with increasing pressure of populations or with ethnic or political rivalries. For such cases the options lie with govern - 389 - ments, through development planning or market and pricing structures aimed at increasing the sale of surplus stock and thus reducing the pressure on grazing resources. Undernutrition occurs in normal years in most pastoral areas, and many options are available to pastoralists for reducing or avoiding its effects. 1. If it is not too serious, its effects can be minimized as far as possible by sale of stock and by careful management, relying upon the following wet season's gains to restore livestock to normal weight and productivity. This depends on the reliability of the compensatory growth phase and is the laissez-faire strategy adopted in many areas in Africa and overseas. It fails if the rains fail, particu larly in areas where lack of marketing facilities makes it difficult or financially catastrophic to sell animals in a period of widespread feed shortage. 2. Provide additional feed by improvement of grazing re sources. Pasture improvement by fertilizing and oversowing legumes is a well proven technique. Success depends on selection of suitable seeds and provision, by pelleting or otherwise, of any necessary plant nutrients and rhizobial inocula. Technically it is an attrative option, but success depnds also on restricting first-season grazing so that seedlings can establish, grow to maturity and set seed. This v-annot be done on communally grazed land and this option, while techni cally feasible, is therefore not applicable in most African pastoral areas. It has been shown, however, that some systems recognize the right of a person to reserve an area for his own use - as the olepolole reserved for calves or milking cows in the, Kenyan Maasailand. In northern Nigeria it has been found that pastoralist Fulani may fence off an area of several hectares by agreement with landholding sedentary farmers and that productive pastures of Stylosanthes species can be grown on this to provide good quality forage for the dry season. While this will not be possible for truly nomadic pastoralists it may become possible for transhumant herders with a recognized main camp, particularly under some form of herders' association or similar form of regulation of grazing rights. 390 - 3. Supplementary feeding. The technology of using protein concentrates (peanut or cotton-seed meal) or a cheaper non-protein nitrogen source (urea) is well established in developed pastoral countries. Compounded grain/molasses/urea supplements are easily made by appropriately simple village or small-scale industry. These are used in northern Nigeria, and the widespread practise of giving salt to animals in the Sahel suggests that, after a brief research study to define the nutrients most needed, herders might quickly adopt an improved type of nutrient supplement particularly if its cost of production or transport were subsidized by the government, as is the case with fertilizers in many countries. In Mali considerable use is made of cowpea and groundnut haulms as supplementary feed, and ILCA has active programmes in both Mali and northern Nigeria developing improved methods and testing new varieties of legumes for use as an intercrop or in rotation with the traditional sorghum or millet. Whatever supplement proves to be best, economics require that it should be given to the animals most likely to benefit and not wasted where no response is to be had. This means that young females mating, calving or lactating for the first time should be given preference, as also cows whose poor condition might prevent their conceiving or rearing a vigorous calf. Newly weaned calves may well repay extra feeding. This is an intervention available to the individ ual herder when supplementary feed is available. 4. Modify grazing management. ILCA has shown that heavier grazing in the early wet season will make more feed available in the early dry season. This requires agreement or control over livestock numbers and some right of exclusive use of the extra pasture thus produced. The revival of earlier forms of social/territorial organ isations, or the creation of new herders' associations may make this option possible. In many areas valuable browse species could be encouraged by selective clearing of others. Browse could be used more efficiently by careful selective cut t ing of branches to encourage regrowth, or by judicious use of fruit in the dry season (Cisse, 1982). This, too, might require some form of agreement among herders using a particular area - there are precedents for such rational utilisation methods. 391 - 5. Modify livestock management. Where pasture is inadequate, particularly if this is associated with bush encroachment it may be better to reduce numbers of sheep or cattle and increase camels or goats, which are better able to subsist on browse. The association of goats with degenerated pasture land does not necessarily mean that goats cause degeneration. Their selectivity in browsing enables them to produce on land where sheep and cattle, mainly grazers, cannot thrive. Their higher quality intake is obtained only at the cost of lower quantity - Schwarz and Said (1981) found that nutrient intake of goats in the dry season was only 1/4 to 1/9 their nutrient intake in the wet season, but protein intake was 1/3 of the wet-season level. Further research is needed to study grazing and browsing habits and the effects of different methods of stocking on browse production and regeneration. More dry-season forage could be made available by the estab lishment of more water points, ponds or wells to extend the pastoral area available for grazing in the dry season. This requires government or regional action, combined with careful assessment of the probable effects on the vegetation of increased or more prolonged grazing pressure. Where no great harm is to be expected and where some commu nal control of livestock numbers can be assured this is perhaps one of the most attractive options. In agropastoral areas sedentary farmers have available new short-cycle varieties of cereals which generally require reasonable soil fertility. This can be maintained best by animal manuring, and farmers are putting in extra wells in order to attract pastoralists to bring their cattle to the farmers' fields in the dry season (Fulton and Toulmin, 1982) . This interdependence between farmers and herders will become more and more important in the future. Within the power of individual pastoralists is the possi bility of better matching feed requirements to feed supply by controlling the times of mating and of weaning. To some degree conception in cows is dependent on their response to improved nutrition during the two to three months of the wet season and calvings tend to cluster in the late dry season following. The need of pastoralists for a year-round supply of milk probably accounts - 392 - for a more even spread of calvings seen for example in Wilson (1982) . Whether it is possible to reduce neonatal and later deaths, and to improve overall productivity by control of mating times or by sup plementary feeding of bulls or of cows calving out-of-season needs study in different systems. Stock numbers could certainly be reduced by large-scale sale of surplus animals in the late wet or early dry seasons. This is a common feature of "stratified" or more highly developed pastoral industries but depends on the existence of marketing, transport and either abattoir or fattening facilities commensurate with the annual surplus cattle turnoff. This needs attention by government or devel opment project planners but in the long run is essential to a rational exploitation of extensive pastoral regions. The individual pastoralist could well be encouraged to cull the least productive of his stock, rather than keep cows indefinitely in the hope of getting a calf some day. This is logical if keeping extra cattle is felt to be at no cost to the individual since the land is communally owned but, in the longer term, pastoralists must be persuaded that a chronically diseased cow or one of genetically poor productivity is a liability and not an asset. Separate management of different classes of cattle is already widely practised and has some advantages in both nutritional and health terms. It facilitates the gathering and holding for vaccination or sampling of large numbers of stock, particularly if combined with government establishment of dipping and similar facilities in the vicinity of the wells near which animals congregate in the early dry season. Dry stock could be grazed far from water in this season, allowing pregnant and lactating cows and calves to be given closer attention. Developments such as this call for some organisation of pastoralists as well as government policy initiatives. Specific problems of particular systems Young stock mortality Young stock mortality is a problem in Ethiopia and in the Sahel with a two-year average of 28% deaths in calves. Research is needed to 393 - establish to what extent this is due to undernutrition because of high milk offtake for human consumption, particularly from cows rearing male calves which are considered to be less valuable than female calves. In small ruminants mortality was 32% before weaning. The extent to which this was the result of disease or of other causes is not known. This represents an important field of potential improvement but requires further research. Losses in smallstock are similarly high in Kenya, but losses of calves are much lower. In Ethiopia and Mali the death rate in male calves is higher than in females, substantially because of competition with humans for limited milk supplies and preferential treatment of heifer calves. Improved nutrition and milk production would lead to a substantial increase in the number of surplus male calves reared for sale. Bush encroachment on grazing lands Research is needed into the long-term stability of grazing resources in relation to grazing pressure, stocking rate and type of stock used. Growth of productive browse shrubs and trees does not mean a reduction in total primary production, and the spread of browse species that may be used in the dry season should help to correct the lack of feed that usually occurs then. Again, the fact that land is common-owned means that no pastoralist is prepared to spend his time and effort to selec tively clear undesirable species, or to safeguard young browse seedlings during their vulnerable years by reduced grazing pressure. Creation of pastoralists ' associations is a very necessary first step in the better husbandry of grazing resources. Epidemic diseases Vaccines are available for some of the infectious or tick-borne diseases that have in the past wiped out herds and flocks. Research is continuing at ILRAD and there may one day be vaccines for East Coast fever and trypanosomiasis. There is an urgent need for more dipping or spraying and injection yards, better distributed over major pastoral areas. In the absence of any regulation or control of grazing, the development of rotational systems to reduce the number of tick or helminth larvae is impossible. In other countries it has been possible to introduce more resistant breeds of livestock, but 394 - zebu-based cattle and local breeds of smallstock are probably the most resistant livestock available. Apart from manual removal of ticks no management or genetic means seem to be available, and pastoralists must rely on veterinary and chemical methods of control, which in turn depend on active, well motivated extension, advisory and veterinary services in the zone affected. Good versus poor herdsmen Apart from identifiable single causes of production losses, evidence from ILCA's studies in Mali and in Kenya shows that there are large differences between herds and flocks, within the same general type of husbandry. Table 4. Production indices* for (a) Mbirikani group ranch, Kenya and (b) two agropastoral systems in Mali (goats and sheep combined) . Production index (a) (b) Goats Sheep Millet Rice Best flock Worst flock 676 101 692 257 816 312 1 200 226 * Average litter size x survival to weaning x 150 day weight Ewe weight postpartum Research is needed to identify the features of individual herd or flock management responsible for these large differences. In Kenya Grandin has shown that productivity is associated with the wealth of the "owner" or with herd or flock size, but it is claimed that great skill is involved in grazing management in the early wet season and that this has great influence on yearly productivity (Swift, 1982). If these special skills can be described and under stood, it might be possible to raise poorer managers to near the - 395 - level of the best, without introduction of any alien technology. Wilson (1982) proposed an intervention pathway for small ruminants combining many of these ideas. The series of improvements proposed merits careful study, since it is based on many years' experience in several countries. r* T Identify best flocks in both subsystems and determine management factors governing output t * Preach and practise improved management in all flocks Isolate local strains of epidemic diseases (e.g. pasteurella) , prepare autovaccines and conduct mass campaigns Study possibilities of transfer of rice subsystem benefits (water, crop residues, and by-products) to millet subsystem Selection within flocks of best individual males (growth rate) and twins for breeding ^ * Further improvements in manage ment (flock stratification) to delay age at first parturition and to prevent parturitions occuring at intervals of less than 240 dayc -c^> Institute seasonal breeding if worthwile advantage can be demonstrated from this practice at this stage Veterinary treatment against internal (and external) parasites <^ Individual veterinary treatment Manipulation of flock structures (cullinq of old females and sale of surplus young females) to obtain maximum production of young (parturition interval + litter size) <^7 i. «J Supplementary feeding of out-of-season breeders and/or fattening for special purposes Fig 2. Intervention pathways for small ruminants in the agropastoral system. - 396 - Conclusions The argument that a systems approach is valuable, not just in iden tifying problems but in deciding the most effective means of problem- solving, is amply borne out by ILCA's experience. The examples quoted here all show the value of understanding the interrelationships among the causes of lowered livestock productivity. This makes it possible to direct attention to the root of the trouble, rather than to be misled by superficial symptoms. Thus, calf deaths result from the interplay of human needs and milk production, determined by level of nutrition, which is itself the complex result of primary forage production and its exploitation by individually managed herds and flocks . Increased numbers of water sources may solve an immediate feed problem by making large areas available for dry-season grazing, but this may be harmful in the long run to the stability of some fragile plant associations. Improvement of grazing resources by proven technology of legume oversowing depends on the prior creation of some form of associations of herders with an interest in regulation of livestock numbers and grazing pressures on the area of land for which they are responsible. Because of the overriding influence of aridity, and the communal use of land not many of the options of technology are applicable in purely pastoral systems. Those that are relevant often depend on prior government initiative or some form of social-territorial organisation, but there are some ways in which pastoralists could help themselves. More possibilities exist in agropastoral systems, and in forms of transhumance which allow pastoralists to become responsible for, and to benefit from, a defined area of land. References Baker, R. 1975. Development and the pastoral people of Karamoja, NE Uganda. An example of the treatment of symptoms. In: Pastoralism in tropical Africa. Ed. Monod, Oxford University Press, Oxford, p. 187. - 397 - Baker, R. 1977. The administrative trap. In: East African pastoralism. Proceedings of the conference, Nairobi, August 1977. ILCA, Addis Ababa, p. 55. Bille, J.C. 1982. Joint ILCA/RDP Ethiopian pastoral systems study. Research Report 4. ILCA, Addis Ababa. Cisse, M.I. 1982. Disponibilités en gousses d' Acacia tortilis pour la nutrition des petits ruminants dans les ranches Maasai de Mbirikani et Kimana. Programme Document no. A7 78, ILCA, Addis Ababa. Dicko, M.S., Lambourne, L.J. de Leeuw, P.N. and de Haan, C. Voluntary intake and livestock productivity in the Sahel zone of Mali. Proc. 32nd meeting EEAP August 1981, Zagreb. Fulton, D. and Toulmin, C. 1982. Socio-economic study of an agropastoral system in central Mali. Draft report, ILCA, Addis Ababa. Schwarz, H.J. and Said, A.N. 1981. Nutrition and systems of goat feeding. ITOVIC - INRA International Symposium, Tours, 12-15 May 1981. Swift, J. 1982. Internal Document, ILCA, Addis Ababa. Wilson, R.T. ed. 1982. Livestock production in central Mali. ILCA Bulletin 15, Addis Ababa. - 398 - Options bio-techniques Résumé Dans le document précédent, il a été procédé à l'examen des questions les plus importantes aux plans social et économique en ce qui concerne l'identification de l'envergure des améliorations de la production pastorale. Il est également important de considérer les possibilités biologiques ou techniques d'amélioration des systèmes pastoraux et d'essayer de classer celles-ci par ordre d'applicabilité, en tenant compte non seulement des possibilités de succès au plan technique mais aussi de l'opportunité et de la factibilité des techniques en question. Le document passe en revue certains des aspects techniques des systèmes pastoraux d'Afrique. Ces systèmes visent à assurer la subsistance des éleveurs et se fondent sur la production de lait. La productivité du troupeau bovin pourrait être augmentée de manière substantielle si la mortalité chez les veaux régressait, si on élevait plus de veaux et de génisses pour la vente que pour la production de lait, si la croissance des veaux était plus rapide et s'ils atteignaient la maturité plus tôt, si le premier vêlage des vaches intervenait à un âge plus précoce et si les vêlages subséquents étaient plus fréquents. L'équipe du CIPEA au Mali a enregistré la quantité et la qualité du fourrage disponible et les changements de poids vif des bovins et des petits ruminants du système du delta du Niger. Il est évident que l'accroissement pondéral annuel enregistré au cours de la petite saison des pluies lorsque le fourrage est abondant et de bonne qualité se perd partiellement lors des mois de la saison sèche suivante, particulièrement pendant les semaines qui précèdent immédiatement la prochaine saison de croissance. La solution classique de ce problème prévisible chaque année consiste à effectuer des déplacements soit entre les zones de pâturage de saison sèche et de saison des pluies, dans des zones où les ressources en pâturages sont abondantes, soit dans des zones de culture où des sous-produits agricoles sont disponibles. - 399 - Les variations et la distribution de la pluviosité moyenne annuelle influencent considérablement la croissance des ressources pastorales et partant, la production secondaire de bétail. Des pluies précoces irréguliëres peuvent être à la base de séquences répétées de germi nation de courte durée; les grosses averses peuvent entraîner un ruissellement abondant et remplir les mares et les cours d'eau de surface; mais une infiltration insuffisante dans le sol signifie une croissance inadéquate des pâturages. Les zones à pluviomé trie clairement définie mais irrégulière sont plus adaptées aux pâturages qu'à l'introduction de cultures. La perte de ligneux par le défrichage pourrait causer au bétail un préjudice que ne pourrait compenser le pâturage des sous-produits agricoles en saison sècbe. Une nutrition inadéquate pendant la saison sèche peut constituer un problème à long terme à cause de la perte progressive de zones de pâturage de saison sèche associée à l'accroissement de la pression de la population ou aux rivalités ethniques et politiques. La malnutri tion sévit dans les années normales dans la plupart des zones pastorales et les éleveurs disposent de plusieurs solutions pour en réduire ou éviter les effets. Ceux-ci peuvent être minimisés par la vente de bétail et par une gestion appropriée, basée sur les gains de la saison des pluies suivante pour restaurer la productivité du bétail et améliorer ses performances pondérales. Du fourrage supplémentaire peut être fourni par l'amélioration des ressources pâturables - fertilisation et ensemencement de légumineuses par exemple. La complémentation fourragère peut être pratiquée: la technique qui consiste à utiliser des concentrés de protéines ou une source non protéique d'azote moins coûteuse est bien établie dans les pays à élevage développé. Le CIPEA a également démontré que l'intensification du pâturage au début de la saison des pluies produit plus de fourrage au début de la saison sèche. Lorsque les pâturages sont inadéquats, en particulier lorsque cette insuffisance est liée à l'empiétement des broussailles, il serait peut être plus approprié de réduire le nombre des ovins et des bovins et d'augmenter ceux des chameaux ou des chèvres qui supportent mieux un régime basé sur la consommation de ligneux. On pourrait développer la quantité de fourrage en mettant en place beaucoup plus de points d'eau, de mares - 400 - ou de puits en vue de l'extension de la zone pastorale disponible pour les pâturages de saison sèche. La mortalité des jeunes animaux constitue un problème en Ethiopie et au Sahel ou,en deux ans, on a enregistré 28% des décès chez les veaux. Il conviendrait d'entreprendre des recherches en vue de déterminer le rôle joué par la malnutrition du fait des taux élevés de prélèvement de lait pour la consommation humaine, en particulier pour ce qui est des vaches ayant mis bas des veaux auxquels on attribue une valeur inférieure à celle des génisses. Il est nécessaire d'entreprendre des recherches sur la stabilité à long terme des ressources pâturables, eu égard aux pressions sur les pâturages, aux taux de charge et aux types de bétail utilisé?. La nécessité d'aménager des périmètres où pourraient s'effectuer des bains détiqueurs, des pulvérisations et des injections devient urgente, de même que celle d'une meilleure distribution de ces périmètres dans les zones pastorales. Il est nécessaire d'entreprendre des recherches pour identifier les caractéristiques de la gestion des troupeaux de bovins ou de petits ruminants qui expliquent les grandes différences entre les troupeaux de bovins et les troupeaux de petits ruminants élevés dans la même zone. - 401 - Summary of Discussion Session 9. Chairman: Dr Samson Chema (Kenya) Dr Rhissa felt that the discussion on the identification of possibili ties for improving pastoral production had neglected the fundamental point - the organisation of the pastoralists themselves. The herdsmen were the principal agents of improvement and their contribution could be better secured through training, information and meetings. Dr Abel said that Mr Sandford was not encouraging about the possibility of communicating effectively with pastoralists over the introduction of new technology. He asked was there not scope for using traditional pastoral institutions for this purpose. Mr Sandford said that some traditional organisations were not well structured for* carrying out this kind of dialogue - in most traditional organisations it was an elite class who carried on the dialogue. They were probably not representative of all groups e.g. the poor, women, subordinate ethnic groups etc. In discussing new technological improvements they would need to be adequately briefed on what the new technology implied. They did not have adequate experience of introducing technology to be able to spot the critical issues unless they were adequately briefed. Dr Abel suggested that technology assessment ought to include an appraisal of the ability of a new technology to survive a drought, and the contribution it could make to a recovery from drought. Mr Sandford agreed. Dr von Kaufmann said that maximising milk production was not always the pastoralist' s objective. If there were many people to feed with few cattle then milk production was vital. But as herd size grew or milk production increased then the percentage of milk off-take decreased. Prof. Saka Nuru said that the meeting had been informed that pastoralists disposed of young male animals, particularly goats and sheep, in favour of female ones. Yet the previous day the meeting had been told that pastoralists sold male cattle at a later age to get higher financial returns. There appeared to be a contradiction. - 403 - Dr Lambourne said that the decision by smallstock owners in the Sahel to sell young males early was based on the fact that their growth rate slowed down after 9 to 12 months. It was therefore good business to sell them before this. On the other hand, the main cost of rearing a small calf was the milk it had consumed. To keep a few males an extra year cost little. Prof. Saka Nuru pointed out that ILCA researchers in the field seemed to neglect goat's milk - a vital livestock product. Dr Lambourne said that goat's milk was used in the Sahel for family use by small- stock herders, but this was not generally the case if cow's milk was available. ILCA has considered the possibility of encouraging studies of goat milk production, but lacked the staff to do it. Dr Kalusa said that there seemed to be very little attention paid to the role of donkeys in regions of e.g. Ethiopia. Yet the donkey clearly affected the lives of the indigenous people. Dr Lambourne replied that ILCA had a research programme on animal traction, including cultivation and transport. Dr Wilson had worked on donkeys in the past, and it was hoped that ILCA would do some more research on this subject as resources permitted. Dr Thomson illustrated the dangers of introducing supplementary feeding policies into a livestock system with an example from Syria. This was one of the reasons why she.p numbers in Syria were today about double the number in the late 1950s, with consequent deleterious effects on the natural grazing lands. - 404 - Résumé des débats de la neuvième séance Président: Dr Samson Chema (Kenya) Le Dr Rhissa a souligné que les débats sur l'identification des possibilités d'amélioration de la production pastorale avaient négligé un point fondamental: l'organisation des éleveurs eux-mêmes. Les éleveurs étaient les principaux agents de l'amélioration du système et leur contribution pouvait être plus positive par le biais de la formation, de l'information et de réunions. Le Dr Abel a déclaré que M. Sandford n'était pas optimiste en ce qui concerne la possibilité de communiquer de manière efficace avec les éleveurs sur l'introduction de nouvelles techniques. Il a demandé s'il n'était pas possibile d'utiliser les institutions pastorales traditionnelles à cet effet. M. Sandford a déclaré que certaines organisations traditionnelles n'étaient pas assez bien structurées pour servir de cadre à ce type de dialogue. Dans la plupart des organisations traditionnelles, c'était à une élite que s'adressait ce dialogue. Celle-ci n'était certainement pas représentative de tous les groupes, par exemple, les pauvres, les femmes, les groupes ethniques de caste inférieure, etc. Dans l'examen des innovations technologiques, il faudrait que ces éleveurs soient correctement informés sur les conséquences de l'introduction des nouvelles techniques. Ils ne disposaient pas de l'expérience adéquate en matière d'introduction de techniques nouvelles pour être à même de détecter, sans être correcte ment informés, les questions cruciales. Le Dr Abel a suggéré que l'évaluation technologique devrait inclure une évaluation de la capacité d'une nouvelle technique de survivre à la sécheresse et de sa contribution éventuelle à l'élimination des effets de la sécheresse. M. Sandford a exprimé son accord. M. von Kauffman a déclaré que la maximisation de la production laitière n'était pas toujours l'objectif de l'éleveur. Lorsqu'il y avait beaucoup de personnes à nourrir avec peu de bovins, la production laitière était vitale. Mais a mesure que la taille du troupeau ou la production laitière augmentait, le pourcentage de prélèvement de lait diminuait. - 405 - Le Prof. Saka Nuru a déclaré que les participants à la réunion avaient été informés que les éleveurs disposaient des jeunes animaux mâles, en particulier des chèvres et des moutons pour garder les femelles. Toutefois, le jour précédent, les mêmes participants s'étaient entendu dire que les éleveurs vendaient les bovins mâles à un âge plus avancé pour avoir des rentrées de fonds plus importantes. Il semble y avoir ici une contradiction. M. Lambourne a déclaré que la décision des propriétaires de petit bétail du Sahel de vendre tôt les jeunes mâles était basée sur le fait que leur taux de croissance se ralentissait après 9 à 12 mois. Il était par conséquent rentable de les vendre avant cela. D'autre part, le coût essentiel de l'élevage d'un petit veau était le lait qu'il consommait. Garder quelques mâles une année de plus n'était pas coûteux du tout. Le Prof. Saka Nuru a souligné que les chercheurs du CIPEA sur le terrain semblaient négliger le lait de chèvre qui est portant un produit animal vital. M. Lambourne a déclaré que le lait de chèvre était consommé dans le Sahel par les familles des éleveurs de petit bétail mais que ce n'était pas le cas en général lorsque le lait de vache était disponible. Le CIPEA a envisagé la possibilité d'encourager des études sur la production de lait de chèvre mais ne disposait pas du personnel requis pour le faire. La Dr Kalusa a déclaré qu'il semble y avoir très peu d'intérêt pour le rôle joué par l'âne dans les provinces de l'Ethiopie par exemple. Pourtant, il ne faisait aucun doute que l'âne contribuait à la vie des populations locales. M. Lambourne a répondu que le CIPEA avait un programme sur la traction animale, y compris le labour et le transport. M. Wilson avait travaillé sur les ânes auparavant et l'on espérait que le CIPEA entreprendrait d'autres activités de recherche sur le thème lorsque les moyens le permettraient. M. Thompson a souligné les dangers inhérents à l'introduction de politiques de complémentation dans un système d'élevage sur la base d'un exemple syrien. C'était là l'une des raisons pour lesquelles le nombre des ovins était aujourd'hui sur le point d'atteindre le double de son niveau vers la fin des années 50 avec comme conséquence, la dégradation des pâturages naturels. - 406 - CASE STUDIES IN PSR Design and testing procedures in livestock systems research: An agro-pastoral example R. von Kaufmann Agricultural Economist and Team Leader, Subhumid Zone Programme, ILCA, Nigeria Introduction Farming systems research (FSR) seeks to employ the skills of scientists most directly in the service of improving the welfare of small farmers. Livestock systems research (LSR) is no different except that livestock systems are two stage systems that necessarily demand different approaches to some of the problems of research in the field. Rohrbach (1980) introduced a paper on FSR by stating that 'farming systems research is a philosophy and methodology of agricul tural research for the development of improved technologies appro priate to small farmer needs and circumstances'. He claimed that there ore very few controversial issues in farming systems research (due to a degree of agreement over the basic value and character of this type of research. Those issues which remain most significant to practitioners cannot he resolved in the process of debate per se. These issues, which primarily relate to questions of methodology, organisation and implementation, are in the process of being resolved by experience.' In concurrence with that opinion, and in view of the innumerable texts on farming systems research that already exist, this paper will avoid repetition of argument and rather concentrate on lessons drawn from the experience of the ILCA Subhumid Programme in the practice of LSR. In order to keep the paper to a manageable length it will concentrate on issues on which FSR and LSR differ. Another author who is particularly appropriate to dis cussions of ILCA's work is John Dillon because he reviewed systems research for the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) . He has stated 'that man, not cations or nodules or rumen flora of crop varieties or livestock species or dollars, - 407 - consumates the system must be a basic text1 (Dillon, 1973) . He stresses the need 'to take a teological view that effects may be due to the purposes they serve and only a holistic approach, with openness and teamness through interdisciplinary endeavour, can lead to the capturing of adequate understanding of a system for purposes of improving performance.' He points out 'the need for a structure which will facilitate a synthesising, integrative, team-oriented outlook rather than one that is analytical, compartmentalising and disciplinary and that the agricultural system is a purposive one involving physical, biological and social parts and that it operates within an environment having significant purposive components.' He also notes that 'adoption in the real world is a crucial factor and hence implies consideration of communication and extension.' Background to source of the case examples ILCA subhumid programme The subhumid programme is charged with a responsibility for re searching ways and means of enhancing the welfare of sedentary livestock producers through increased cattle and small ruminant production. The programme is based in Kaduna in northern Nigeria in an ecological zone delineated by the 1 000 mm and 1 500 mm isohyets. With its good rainfall and radiation (180 - 270 growing days) it is an area of high potential production. However it is relatively under utilised because of tsetse-borne sleeping sickness and trypanosomiasis, though this situation is changing at a rapid pace. Farmers are moving in, extending arable cultivation and at the same time reducing tsetse habitats. Hard on their heels the formerly nomadic Fulani cattle-men are settling and becoming mixed crop-livestock producers. Whilst the settled agropastoral Fulani are the prime clients of the LSR they are so closely interlinked with the arable farmers that both communities have to be included in the research. The 'pre-research model1 adapted by Kaufmann (ILCA, 1979) from Johnson et al (1971), indicated that malnutrition is the single most important constraint to range livestock production. It is also the factor that is most sensitive to correction with available tech- - 408 - nology. Thus improving the nutritional status of the herds is the paramount objective of the programme. Since there is an inadequate supply of purchasable feedstuffs, the improved nutrition must come from forage production. Livestock systems research The differences between LSR and FSR are brought about by practical problems in conducting research rather than by differences in intent and scope. The following schematic outline of an integrated research programme drawn up by Harrington (1980) fits as well to LSR as it does to FSR and is a suitable framework on which to hang the particular aspects of LSR discussed in this paper. ON-FARM RESEARCH choice of target farmers and research >>>>>>>»>» priorities • <<<<<<<<«< POLICY CONTEXT national goals input supply, credit, markets, etc. 1 . Plan obtain a knowledge and understanding of farmer circumstances —F and problems to plan experiments . 2. Experiment conduct experiments in farmers' fields to formulate improved— technologies under farmers conditions. D 3. Recommend analyze experimental B results in light of farmers circumstances— to formulate farmer recommendations . 4. Assess determine farmers' experience with technologies. K new components incorporated' into on-farm research EXPERIMENT STATION developing and screening new technological components eg. varieties Fig. Promote Demonstrate improved technologies to farmers.>>>>> Overview of an integrated research programme.1 identify problems for station research - 409 - Considerations in designing improved technology Complementarity LSR should freely use the research results and experiences of other research and development organisations. LSR should also call on these other institutions to carry out back-up work. The research institutes can help overcome problems that require detailed on-station experimentation. That does not, however, preclude LSR teams from doing their own experiments which can not be done elsewhere for, say, ecological or cultural reseaons. The development agencies are essential to LSR as vehicles for testing the proposed interventions and procedures in the real world. There is no other way for LSR to test the adoptability of its products . Case example ILCA's subhumid programme is closely associated with the National Animal Production Research Institue (NAPRI) of Ahmadu Bello Univer sity. NAPRI has been conducting research on animal production in Nigeria for about 30 years and has a wealth of results, information and scientific expertise on which ILCA has relied very heavily. The programme is also linked to the Livestock Project Unit (LPU) of the Federal Livestock Department. The LPU is responsible for implementing a World Bank-assisted livestock development project. The staff of the LPU provide an ever-present audience from the development community which is necessary in the selection of priorities and for the quick uptake of interventions. The association with LPU will enable ILCA to assess the uptake, effectiveness and persistence of its innovations in 'real life1. An example of this three-way cooperation can be taken from the nutrition trials conducted in the LSR programme. On station. The rations were developed from data on feed requirements, and forage and agro-industrial by-product nutritional values determined by NAPRI scientists. - 410 - Researcher managed trials. Carefully controlled trials confirmed the predictions and the Fulani appeared to accept the principle of feeding certain animals certain amounts at certain times. Farmer managed trials. The LPU then incorporated ILCA's findings into a pilot smallholder dairy scheme that is now being actively promoted. ILCA is continuing to obtain all the necessary records to assess the uptake, success and persistence of the innovation through its close association with LPU field staff. Policy oriented Being complementary also means that FSR must be policy oriented 'with decisions relative to national research goals being fed downwards' (Dillon, 1973). This is essential to the cohesiveness of the above three steps. Case example The Director of the Federal Livestock Department, who is also on the Board of ILCA, has appointed a technical advisory committee of dis tinguished Nigerian agriculturalists to assist the team with advice and guidance on both technical and policy matters. This committee is chaired by the Director of NAPRI and has other members from federal, state and University circles. Their input, both formal and informal, is essential to keeping the team's work consistent with national policy. If the team did not have this advice it not only could lose vital support but it would also be much less likely to come up with adoptable interventions. Social responsibility In most basic research the purposes and advantages to the end users are not a major concern of the scientist. LSR, however, has a social responsibility. For example technologies that may aid larger farmers to the disadvantage of smaller farmers should be avoided lest they defeat the prime objective of LSR, which is to conduct research for development that does not exacerbate inequalities. That is not meant to exclude interventions that may help both rich and poor alike or even help rich without any effect on poorer farmers, since production and paid employment are usually within government objectives. - 411 - Case example Despite accusations of being patronising and attempting to keep farmers backward ILCA has assiduously avoided the use of tractors in the preparation of fodder banks because the extent of cultivation is limited by the amount of available family labour, and tractors could drastically alter the status quo to the disadvantage of the poor. Reviewing priority problems and opportunities Once the objective of the LSR effort has been defined the LSR pro grammes still need to be carefully focused or else the scientists will tend to take on too much and, as a result, individuals may work hard at appropriate but inadequately co-ordinated tasks. Each discipline must be clear as to the contribution expected of it. If, for example, livestock nutrition is the focus of the programme only those disci plines necessary for resolving the nutritional constraints should be employed. However, this will inevitably require a multi-disciplinary team because the economic and social factors are likely to be as problematic as the agronomic ones. Case example As indicated above the subhumid programme has focussed on the allevi ation of malnutrition in domestic ruminants with forage agronomy at the hub. The social scientists helped make it possible to grow forages by determining how pastoralists could obtain the right to use and fence fallow land belonging to arable farmers. There are a myriad of other possible examples from all disciplines. For instance, of all the possible diseases the veterinarian first concentrated on internal parasites in young stock because it was reasoned that with seden- tarisation and cattle continuously returning to the same spot the worm burden in calves was likely to build up. This is likely to be even more of a problem with the establishment of more or less permanent fodder banks and, if true, will tend to negate the advantages of better feeding. Later it was argued that the establishment of fodder banks might be more profitable if they were used by more productive animals - 412 - such as dairy crosses, but these animals are known to be more prone to diseases. Thus the veterinarian is now studying the disease patterns in a small number of experimental crossbred animals attached to Fulani herds with fodder banks. Appraising present techniques This subject is possibly more difficult in livestock research because there is typically even less contact between research stations and pastoralists than with their farming counterparts. However, the LSR scientists should still try and discover all the approaches that have been attempted and how they fared. Then when considering alternative ideas generated from within the team they should go back to the local scientists and extension workers for advice. More often than not there will be good reason why these ideas have not been tried success fully before. Ultimately, however, the interventions will have to be proven in the prevailing ecological and socio-economic environments. Case example The subhumid programme took all available advice before commencing trials with undersown legumes but even then the results were somewhat embarrassing; the seeds were washed out of the ridges, drowned in the ridge bottoms, were weeded out in a 'surprise' third weeding and soon. Ultimately it was found that the time of undersowing relative to the planting of the main crop is very critical. If this is done too early the crop is damaged if too late the yield of stylosanthes is also supressed. Similarly when crossbreds were first introduced they were not tame enough for the traditional manual de-ticking and they con tracted a range of diseases not prevalent in local Fulani cattle but which are endemic to the area. Appropriate chemo-imunisation and acracide spraying regimes had to be instituted. Setting assumptions about near-term conditions The team must take into account not only the present circumstances but both recent past and immediate future trends. If it does not it is likely that it will test interventions that will no longer be relevant by the time they are proven. - 413 - Case example The subhumid programme is aware of the trend towards increased areas under cultivation and increased stock numbers. Both these factors weaken the relative bargaining position of the pastoralists . There will be more competition between them for less grazing. In these circumstances it would be unwise to concentrate wholly on forage production and the team is devoting considerable resources towards crop-livestock interactions. This involves research into crop residue production, storage and utilisation as well as growing food crops in fodder banks by judicious rotation or by transplanting into rows hoe- cut through the stylo. Testing improved technology The testing of improved technology is difficult to write up in the form of an overview because so many of the details vary according to the particular techniques employed by the different disciplines. For instance the veterinarian will use quite different methods from the agronomist. This section will, therefore, concentrate on discussing problems of technology testing for improving livestock production. The normal sequence used in explaining the phases of FSR work is from researcher managed, researcher executed, through research managed, farmer executed, to farmer managed, farmer executed trials. In effect this means that the scientists first conduct their own experiments to prove and explain scientifically how the technology actually works. Then they run the experiment with the farmers' participation to see if farmers have the technological resources to cope with the inno vation and that it can work in their circumstances. Finally the researcher takes a back seat and observes whether or not the farmers actually adopt the innovation. If ultimately the farmers do not adopt the innovation, or only with drastic alterations, the innovation must be dropped or returned to the drawing board for further adaptation. In pratice this is a somewhat simplified scheme of things because there is constant feedback at all stages, whenever problems arise the whole or part of the trial can be returned to an earlier phase or occasionally leap-frogged forward. Generally speaking the earlier the phase the greater the control and detail and the more - 414 - certain the science. The later the phase the greater the influence of the 'real world' and the greater the assurance of relevance to the system in question. This tidy format is by no means automatic. For instance the unwary scientist can very easily enter a farmer managed, researcher executed phase when the farmers apply their considerable ethnoscience in dealing with intruders with the objective of getting all they can out of the researchers without any real commitment to the researchers' objectives. Researcher managed, researcher executed trials When innovations are too uncertain and risky to try on farmers' fields or they require examination under strictly controlled conditions they should be tested in fields and herds wholly controlled by scientists. These trials are usually carried out at national research institutes or on sites controlled by the LSR teams in their case study areas. The research at the national research centres will usually have been done in the past and not specially for the LSR programme. Great care must, therefore, be taken in extrapolating the results. The difference between the circumstances of the original research and of LSR must be identified and their effects determined. Occasionally they will have to be repeated in the case study area. Case example NAPRI had considerable data on the productivity of Bunaji (White Fulani) cattle. In view of the long generation inverval it was extremely valuable to the team to find the data already existent. However the data had been gathered from government livestock improve ment and breeding centres and not from traditional pastoralists' herds. It provided potential production parameters rather than base line data. NAPRI also had data on natural forage quality but it related to the semi-arid border of the subhumid zone. The extrapolations have to be validated with local data. NAPRI has data on legume cultivation and Friesian-Bunaji crossbred productivity but both were supported by mechanised farming which is not replicable in pastoral livestock situations . - 415 - Researcher managed, farmer executed trials Once the LSR team has designed an intervention and completed success ful on-station trials it can set an hypothesis that it will be beneficial for livestock, production in the selected district or region. The next phase in the LSR cycle is to let the pastoralists try out the intervention under the guidance of the LSR team: re searcher managed, farmer executed. Sample size This is where LSR starts to diverge most sharply from normal research station experimentation. It is the point where data collection becomes extremely problematic because of the mobility of the stock, their large unit sizes and the owners' emotional involvement with their animals. Moreover, because of the long generation intervals it is absolutely essential that records are kept of the same animals for a number of years. The sample size has, therefore, to be large enough to cope with losses and drop-outs over a long period. Sample size is also determined by the need to have enough farmers involved to eliminate effects of differences between individ ual farmers. The effect of individual abilities, ambitions and circumstances is likely to be stronger on livestock production than on crop production because of the daily need for decisions over the herd and the competition between herders for favourable grazing. At the same time LSR can easily become too unwieldy and costly. For instance a sample of only 20 herds may involve over 1 000 animals. Sampling is also constrained by the need to work with pastoralists who are willing to cooperate almost on a first come, first served basis. There are too few herds within serviceable areas and too much communication between pastoralists for the team to pick and choose between them. The subhumid programme was able to get over these conflict ing demands in the early researcher managed phase by keeping control animals in every herd. For instance only half the eligible animals from any one herd would be included in any trial. The owners were amenable to this because they preferred to have half the animals better off rather than none at all. This technique could not, - 416 - however, be continued into later trials because once the farmers saw the benefits, there was no way of preventing them employing the innovation on the control animals at their own expense. The question of cost effectiveness is dealt with below. As for unwieldiness, it is true that all the catalysts for Murphy's Law (remoteness, poor communications, almost illiterate enumerators and huge amounts of data) are present in force. If it can go wrong it surely will. This can, however, be considerably alleviated by integrating the LSR programme so that, as far as possible, a single pool of data is used. This optimises the use of available staff since, for example, a calf is only weighed once, be it for the breeder, feeder, vet, economist or whoever else needs calf weight data. It also means that the various disciplines have to bargain with each other and justify their use of resources in terms of the team's overall objectives. The sample size is then determined by the purposes of the survey. Household economic studies are perhaps the most contentious. Some economists argue for large random samples in order to achieve statistical reliability but there appears to be a growing school of thought, very evident in the criticism of earlier drafts of this paper, that, in view of all the problem in supervising enumerators and processing data in field programmes, small select samples may be preferable. Innovations will only be adopted by herd owners if they have marked effects on their welfare so it should be sufficient to just know the major items of income, expenditure and time budgets of a small representative selection of the various categories of producers in the target population. Another advantage of the small sample is that it can be done at the same time as the in-depth study of household decision making processes that is an essential part of most LSR studies. Frequency of data collection The frequency of data collection is perhaps most contentious in this phase of the LSR cycle. In the previous researcher managed phase the fact that the researchers are 'in charge' allows for smaller sample size and greater reliability and fewer hidden factors. In the - 417 - next phase of farmer managed- farmer executed trials the technical possibilities have already been determined and explained. The LSR team is by then more concerned in determining to what degree the farmers can cope with the innovations and what benefits they obtain from following the recommendations. In the researcher managed, farmer executed phase scientific technical understanding and explanation is still required but the researcher must allow for the farmer's independence. That means the frequency of recording must take into account such factors as the farmers natural reluctance to reveal sensitive information such as sales prices. The farmers also have, deliberately and unavoidably, very variable powers of memory recall. The more sensitive the topic or the more aware the farmer is of the official, correct or expected answer the less accurate his memory. To combat these factors it is often better to observe the event rather than to ask about it. Some degree of apparent over-kill in data collection may be necessary. For instance since sales, purchases, deaths, births, slaughters and losses can occur on any day it is probably as well to have an enumer ator visit the herd daily. To avoid irritation at his presence and because firm routines are essential to the management of staff who are not expected to fully understand the reason or importance of diligence, it may be as well for the enumerators to record milk offtake daily. This gives them defendable purposes to be in the herd whilst recording all the other activities. Case example The subhumid programme adopted all the above principles reasonably effectively. Local school children were employed as enumerators to record milk offtake, deaths, sales etc. on a daily basis. However, difficulties did arise in data processing because the team had no in-house computer and attempted to run all its data once a year on the central computer at head office. This meant that the scientists had the greatest difficulty in ensuring adequate supervision. Nor did they have any way of doing preliminary or interim analysis to test the reliability or suitability of the data. When finally processing the data the remoteness of the computer meant that they had no access to original records even for simple items like checking - 418 - eartag numbers. These problems led ultimately to an inefficient use of computer and staff time. There is little doubt that systems research teams ought to have their own micro-computer facilities from the outset. Duration of data collection There can not be any hard fast rule about the duration of data collec tion except that data collection should always be for a purpose and once that purpose has been accomplished the data collection should stop . Case example. The subhumid programme found it necessary to study the grazing behaviour of pastoral herds as a means of determining the type and quantity of feed available to the cattle throughout the year. This was intended as a one year study but the extent of burning and time spent on burn-regrowth had not been anticipated and was only appreciated after regrowth had been a significant part of the diet for a few weeks. The study had, therefore, to be continued for a second year. The basic herd productivity recording started at the outset of the programme yet it is still continuing because after three years there are too few data on calving intervals and age at first calving. More time is, therefore, needed for the team to acquire data on such basic parameters as age and weight at first calving in traditionally managed herds, let alone what effect improved nutrition may have on those parameters. Farmer managed, farmer executed trials Once farmers have successfully executed the procedures, or implemented the interventions under LSR guidance, and the indications are that they are happy with the design and wish to adopt it as part of their normal husbandry practices, then the trials can move into the final phase of the LSR cycle. The LSR team members must then stand back and become passive observers so that they can test whether their brain child can survive without them. The team needs to know if the inter vention is adopted at all and at what rate (i.e. what is its acceptability index) , how closely the farmers adhere to the original - 419 - design, what modifications they introduce, how successful the inter vention is in terms of the goals it was designed to achieve, how persistent it is and what side effects it has. This phase of the cycle can only be accomplished in coop eration with the extension and development agencies. It cannot be done very convincingly by the team trying to simulate extension officers. They can not be that uncommitted to their own concept. It is essential, therefore, that the team develop a sufficiently close relationship with an agency that will allow them access to the necessary data both of extension inputs and from the participating farmers. The frequency of data collection can be very much less than in earlier phases because it is no longer necessary to try and explain what is happening at a micro-level. It is the macro-effect on farm output and profitability that is important. The duration of the experiment should be at least five to seven years in trials involving large ruminants such as cattle but may be less for smaller species with shorter generation intervals. Case example The cordial relationship ILCA has with the Federal Livestock Depart ment and the Kaduna State Ministry of Animal and Forest Resources provides ideal facilities for this phase of the LSR cycle. Indeed the only problem is that some innovations are being adopted before ILCA would normally be ready to move on from the researcher managed phase. By working through the livestock service centres ILCA hopes in 1984 to have, in effect, a network of testing sites spread throughout the zone in Nigeria. These will provide ideal conditions because they will be created under differing circumstances and well away from the present sites in Kaduna State where ILCA's own influence cannot be eliminated. Applicability of LSR to national authorities The advantage of the international teams, which must always include a number of nationals and have close links with local institutions, is that there can always be injections of fresh ideas and cross ferti- - 420 - lization from innumerable sources. There is no way, however, that the tiny teams from international agricultural research centres (IARC's) such as ILCA can do much more than scratch the surface of the problems of livestock production, though they may help significantly in developing new research methodologies, and in assisting the establish ment of national LSR teams and possibly in setting goals and standards for LSR. National LSR teams should be established at all the major research stations where they would help orientate their research programmes towards existing field problems and speed the transference of research results to the producers. The teams may be comprised of scientists wholly engaged in LSR or it may form just part of research scientists' duties. CIMMYT tried attaching one FSR economist per research station to lead the FSR work and encourage the participation of other scientists. It was hoped that this would improve the problem solving relevance of the work of the stations. However, this was not effective as it might have been because not all the resident scientists had been persuaded of the advantages to them of FSR. Case example Having actively encouraged the ILCA subhumid programme for a number of years NAPRI is now setting up its own LSR team that will be able to capitalise on ILCA's experience and move into different ecological zones. It will be able to focus more directly on Nigerian problems and with access to the substantial research capability at NAPRI and other departments of Ahmadu Bello University it is potentially a very effective unit. Cost effectiveness LSR has the immediate appeal of not requiring the massive investments in land, buildings, stock or equipment that is necessary for estab lishing a research station. LSR is also adept at exploiting past on- station research without further cost. LSR also has the advantage that, with an appropriate inclusion of rapid 'down-stream' elements, there is an almost immediate response in productivity. In other words the benefit stream can be turned on certainly earlier than from on- - 421 - station research and even earlier than from most development projects that tend to concentrate on infra-structural developments in the first years. Nevertheless, the outline of the problems connected with livestock systems given above gives plenty of scope for very expensive research. If each discipline expects to work with the same support it would command in specialised research departments the costs of LSR would be quite unreasonable. However, provided that those problems that require very detailed research with, for example, expensive laboratory equipment are referred to the appropriate institutions and the LSR scientists are prepared to adhere to the goals of the LSR programme and make the necessary compromises, LSR is not overly ex pensive. In the ILCA subhumid programme it is estimated that it will require only 120 herd-owners to adopt the proposed packages in order to justify US $ 1 m of research. With a recommendation domain of several hundred thousand livestock owners it should not be difficult to defend the expenditure on LSR in social cost benefit terms provided that the innovations really do catch on. It is of course very rewarding when, as with the fodder banks, producers in the vicinity of the LSR adopt the innovations for themselves. It is also encouraging when pastoral organisations such as the Myetti Allah Cattle Fulani Society follow the LSR and spread the word. These actions will go a long way to justify the expenditure on LSR but, especially for an IARC like ILCA, the prime clients for the research results must be the extension and development agencies in the host countries across the zone. It is their function to take the innovations to the producers. If the LSR programmes can improve the rate of return on the investments in development and extension schemes there will be no question of the cost effectiveness of LSR. Apart from the obvious need for thorough technical accounts of the success and failures of interventions under test, the extension workers require critical reviews of the circumstances and the back-up support necessary to the success of the innovation. With this addition the recommendations will be very much more useful than the jargon- loaded reports in scientific journals or the limited instructions presented in typical appraisal reports. - 422 - Case example The LPU Smallholder Dairy Scheme grew out of the ILCA nutrition trials where the Fulani had demonstrated that, with adequate guidance and assurance of supplies, they would selectively ration their cows. By doing so they improved the returns to the scarce resource of purchas able feedstuff s. ILCA did not just hand over reports on the trials but worked closely with the LPU staff in the design of a Livestock Service Centre which could deliver the necessary advice, credit and material provisions necessary to the success of the scheme. The pilot Livestock Service Centre and its successors will serve as vehicles for the dissemination of future proven innovations and research findings as well. This will hopefully ensure that: 1. the producers get the proper advice; 2. the producers can obtain the necessary inputs as and when they require them; 3. ILCA will have access to the records and the contact with the Droducers that it needs to determine the uptake, adoptability and persistence of its innovations in the final farmer managed, farmer executed phase of the LSR cycle. This is particularly important in range livestock work because, as noted above, there is tendency for innovations to be picked up before they are proven. Thus it is essen tial that a watchful eye be kept on them so that faults can be detected quickly and timely corrective action taken. Extension into development projects As indicated earlier LSR can help bridge the gap between research institutions and development projects firstly by establishing that the innovations are acceptable to the producers and then by carefully detailing when, where and how best to encourage the uptake of the innovations. For instance, varieties, planting dates, seed and fertiliser rates etc. are only part of what an extension officer needs to know in order to encourage farmers to produce forages. He also needs to know which category of farmer is most likely to respond, which arguments are most effective in eliciting the response of the farmer (i.e. those that are most closely allied to the needs and - 423 - interests of the farmer) and what back-up services the farmer will require. The planners and decision-makers would also like to have some idea about the likely rate of up-take, the optimum extension officer to farmer ratios, the availability of inputs and the market ability of the increased production. Obviously LSR can not provide such a service to each and every project but a thorough analysis of these factors in the process of conducting the trials will be of immense benefit to those carrying out feasibility studies in other areas. Instead of using blind hunches, project preparation teams can look for similarities and variances and assess the consequences of those factors that have been shown to be important to the success of the innovations. Naturally the closer the link between the LSR teams and development project staff the smoother will be the transference of innovations from research to development. This will apply to all development projects, not just the ones physically associated with the research, because of the establishment of an empathy with the problems of development. As indicated above this can best be promoted by cooperation at the farmer managed, farmer executed phase of LSR. References Dillon, J.L. 1973. The economics of systems research. Agric. Systems Research Conference, Massey Univ., Massey, New Zealand. Harrington, L.H. 1980. Initiating applied farming systems research in developing countries. AID-USDA Symposium on Farming Systems Research, Washington, D.C. ILCA, 1979. Livestock production in the subhumid zone of West Africa. ILCA Systems Study 2, Addis Ababa. Johnson, G.L.,Dean, R., Halter, A.N., Marvin, L.H.,Kellog, B.,Manesch, T.J. and Kioumars, P. 1971. A generalised simulation approach to agriculture sector analysis, with special refer ence to Nigeria. East Lansing, Michigan State University. - 424 - Rohrbach D.D. 1980. A discussion of issues relevant to the develop ment and implementation of a farming systems research program. U.S. Dept. of Agric, Office of International Coop, and Dev., Washington, D.C. - 425 - Conception et essais en matière de recherche sur les systèmes d'élevage: un exemple agro-pastoral Résumé La recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux devrait s'inspirer largement des résultats et des expériences des autres organisations de recher che et de développement. La recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux devrait également faire appel à de telles institutions pour effectuer des travaux d'appui. Les institutions de recherche peuvent contribuer à résoudre des problèmes qui requièrent une expérimentation poussée au niveau de la station. Les organismes de développement sont essentiels à la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux en ce sens qu'ils représentent des moyens de tester dans les conditions de l'exploitation les interventions et les méthodes proposées. La recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux doit s'inspirer de politiques clairement définies qui tiennnent compte des implications sociales de ses résultats. Par exemple, des techniques susceptibles d'aider les grands exploitants agricoles au détriment des petits exploitants agricoles devraient être écartées pour ne pas contrecarrer l'objectif primordial de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux qui est de mener à bien des travaux de recherche en vue d'un développement qui n'entraîne pas l'aggravation des inégalités. Dès que l'objectif des activités de recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux d'élevage aura été défini, des programmes de recherche sur les systèmes d'élevage devront alors être clairement définis pour éviter de disperser les efforts des chercheurs par manque de coordinatioTi . En examinant les idées nouvelles proposées par un ou plusieurs membres de l'équipe, les scientifiques participant à la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux devraient retourner auprès des chercheurs locaux et des vulgarisateurs en vue de recueillir leur opinion. L'équipe doit non seulement prendre en considération la situation actuelle mais également l'évolution récente et les tendances futures immédiates, faute de quoi il est vraisemblable qu'elle sera amenée à tester des innovations qui ne seront plus appropriées au moment où leur validité sera confirmée. - 426 - La chronologie normale utilisée pour décrire les diverses phases de la recherche sur les systèmes se présente comme suit : a) essai dirigé et exécuté par les chercheurs; b) essai dirigé par le chercheur mais exécuté par l'exploitant; c) essai dirigé et exécuté par l'exploitant. Cela signifie que le scientifique effectue d'abord ses propres expériences pour prouver et expliquer scientifiquement le mode de fonctionnement de la technique. Puis il effectue l'expérience avec la participation de l'exploitant pour voir si celui- ci dispose des ressources techniques nécessaires pour assimiler l'innovation et si celle-ci peut s'adapter à la situation. Pour terminer, le chercheur se retire et observe l'exploitant pour voir si celui-ci adopte oui ou non l'innovation. Lorsque les innovations ne sont pas du tout sûres et qu'il s avère risqué de les essayer sur les champs des exploitants agricoles ou qu'elles requièrent un examen dans des conditions soumises à un contrôle strict, elles doivent être testées dans des champs et dans des troupeaux entièrement contrôlés par les chercheurs. Ces essais sont en général effectués par les équipes de la RSP dans la zone d'étude. Une fois que l'équipe de la RSP a conçu une intervention et effectué des essais fructueux au niveau de la station, elle peut poser comme hypothèse qu'elle sera profitable à la production animale dans le district ou la région sélectionnés. La phase suivante de la RSP consiste à laisser les éleveurs tester l'intervention sous la direction de l'équipe de la RSP dans le cadre d'essais dirigés par les chercheurs et exécutés par l'exploitant agricole. La fréquence de la collecte de données est peut-être très aléatoire lors de cette phase du cycle de la RSP. Dans la phase précédente gérée par le chercheur, le fait que les chercheurs soient responsables permet d'avoir un échantillonnage plus petit, une fiabilité accrue et un nombre plus limité de facteurs cachés. Dans la phase suivante gérée et exécutée par l'exploitant, les possibilités techniques ont déjà été déterminées et expliquées. L'équipe de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux se préoccupe alors de déterminer le degré auquel - 427 - les éleveurs peuvent assimiler les innovations et les avantages qu'ils peuvent tirer de la mise en oeuvre des recommandations. Dans la phase gérée par les chercheurs et exécutée par l'exploitant, la compréhension et l'explication techniques sont encore requises. Mais le chercheur doit donner à l'exploitant une certaine indépendance. La fréquence de l'enregistrement des données doit donc tenir compte de facteurs tels que la réticence naturelle de l'exploitant lorsqu'il s'agit de révéler des informations aussi névralgiques que le prix de vente. Une fois que lès exploitants ont suivi les recommandations comme il se doit ou mis en oeuvre les interventions sous la direction d'éléments de la RSP, qu'ils sont satisfaits des innovations et qu'ils souhaitent Ses adopter comme éléments de leur pratique quotidienne en matière d'élevage, on peut passer à la phase finale du cycle de la RSP. Le cycle gestion et exécution des essais par l'exploitant ne peut être accompli sans la coopération des organismes de vulgarisation et de développement. Les activités de collecte de données peuvent être nettement moins fréquentes que lors des phases précédentes parce qu'il n'est plus nécessaire d'expliquer les paramètres de manière intensive. La RSP est intéressante parce qu'elle ne fait pas appel à des investissements importants pour l'acquisition des terres, des bâtiments, du bétail ou du matériel nécessaires pour la mise en place d'une station de recherche. La RSP fait également appel à l'exploitation de la recherche passée au niveau de la station, ce qui n'implique pas des coûts supplémentaires. La RSP a également l'avantage de contribuer à un accroissement immédiat de la producti vité en cas d'inclusion appropriée d'éléments rapides en aval. La RSP peut contribuer à combler le fossé entre les institutions de recherche et les projets de développement, tout d'abord en établissant que les innovations sont acceptables pour les producteurs puis en déterminant clairement la manière, le lieu et le moment les plus appropriés pour encourager l'adoption des innovations. - 428 - Des exemples qui s'inspirent des travaux du programme du CIPEA/zone sub-humide basé à Kaduna dans le nord du Nigeria ont été donnés. - 429 - Summary of Discussion Session 10. Chairman: Dr Samson Chema (Kenya) Discussion led by Prof. Saka Nuru (Nigeria) Prof. Saka Nuru questioned the use of the term 'agro-pastoral' by Dr von Kaufmann as applied to people deriving most of their revenue from livestock. Dr von Kaufmann said that the term suited his purposes in the paper because it indicated the crop-livestock interaction that existed. Prof. Saka Nuru asked how could the ILCA team continue to record performance (five to seven years had been suggested), and did this include researcher managed, farmer executed trials? Dr von Kaufmann said that the various research activities ran concurrently - there was no need to wait for the study of basic production parameters to finish before testing interventions. Dr von Kaufmann agreed with Prof. Saka Nuru when he said that LSR was not to be regarded as a 'water-tight' concept that had to be executed as it had been thought of initially. It was a dynamic process and one corrected one's mistakes as one went along. Prof. Saka Nuru then suggested that the terms 'researcher postulated/proposed' and 'farmer initiated' could be used to replace 'researcher managed' and 'farmer managed'. Dr Kaufmann said that the term 'farmer initiated' appealed to him, but explained that ILCA was relatively new to the field of systems research, and had suffered in the past from trying to develop its own terminology. Only by understanding terminology use could one influence the development of definitions. Prof. Saka Nuru said that it was difficult to compare the cost-effectiveness of LSR and traditional research findings. Dr von Kaufmann agreed and said that he had only wished to point out that LSR could be very cost-effective - in fact each form of research could help to increase the cost-effectiveness of the other. Dr Bekure stressed that case studies could not take the place of extensive surveys. Without extensive surveys, case studies remained unique without wide applicability to the population. Dr von Kaufmann agreed in principle with this and explained that he had only been commenting on the situation in his own area of work, where he had - 431 - found oral data to be very unreliable - he therefore preferred to record actual observations. Dr Okali said that the categorisation of producers in the areas the meeting was concerned with was not important. Regardless of the terms used there was a continuum along which producers lay, and it was not essential to have strictly defined categories. Dr Diakite, commenting on Dr von Kaufmann's paper, said that the exchange of information between ILCA's team in Nigeria and ODEM was worthwhile and could be strengthened. - 432 - Résumé des débats de la dixième séance Président: M. Samson Chema (Kenya) Débats dirigés par le Prof. Saka Nuru (Nigeria) Le Prof. Saka Nuru s'est interrogé sur le bien-fondé de l'utilisation de l'expression "agro-pastoral" par M. von Kauffman en référence à des populations dont la majeure partie du revenu provient de l'élevage. M. von Kauffmann a déclaré que le terme était utilisé de manière appropriée dans le document parce qu'il indiquait l'interaction élevage- agriculture qui existait. Le Prof. Saka Nuru a demandé comment l'équipe du CIPEA entendait continuer à enregistrer les performances (5 à 7 ans ont été suggérés) et si cela incluait les essais dirigés par les chercheurs et exécutés par l'exploitant. M. von Kauffmann a déclaré que les diverses activités de recherche s'effectuaient simultanément et qu'il n'était pas nécessaire d'attendre la fin des études sur les paramètres de production de base avant de tester les interventions. M. von Kauffmann a reconnu avec le Prof. Saka Nuru que la RSP ne devait pas être considérée comme un concept rigide. Elle ne devait pas nécessairement être exécutée comme elle avait été initialement conçue. Il s'agissait d'un processus dynamique et l'on corrigeait ses erreurs au fur et à mesure qu'on les commettait. Le Prof. Saka Nuru a alors suggéré que l'expression "proposée/avancée par le chercheur et démarrée par l'exploitant" soit utilisée pour remplacer les expressions "dirigée par les chercheurs" et "dirigée par l'exploitant". M. von Kauffmann a déclaré que l'expression "démarrée par l'exploitant" lui plaisait mais que le CIPEA était, toutes proportions gardées, un nouveau venu dans le domaine dp la recherche sur les systèmes et qu'en outre.il avait souffert par le passé de la tentative de mise au point de sa propre terminologie. Ce n'est qu'en comprenant l'utilisation de la terminologie qu'on pourra influer sur la conception de définitions .Le Prof. Saka Nuru a déclaré qu'il était difficile de comparer 1' efficacité-coût de la RSP et les découvertes de la recherche traditionnelle. M. von Kauffmann a exprimé son accord et a déclaré qu'il souhaitait simplement indiquer que la RSP pouvait avoir un caractère efficacité-coût et qu'en fait, toute forme de recherche pouvait contribuer à accroître l'efficacité des autres formes de recherche. - 433 - M. Bekuré a souligné que les études de cas ne pouvaient pas remplacer les enquêtes à grande échelle. Sans les enquêtes à grande échelle, les études de cas n'étaient pas tellement applicables à la population. M. von Kauffmann a exprimé son accord de principe avec cette idée et a fait savoir qu'il n'avait fait que formuler des observations sur la situation dans sa propre zone d'étude, où il s'est rendu compte que les données orales n'étaient pas fiables. Il a par conséquent préféré enregistrer des observations ou bien des faits réellement observés. Le Dr Okali a déclaré que la catégorisation des producteurs dans les zones qui préoccupait tant les participants à la réunion n'était pas importante. Quels que soient les termes utilisés, il y avait une continuité qui s'imposait aux producteurs et il n'était pas essentiel d'avoir des catégories strictement définies. Dans ses réflexions sur le document de M. von Kauffmann, le Dr Diakité a déclaré que l'échange d'informations entre l'équipe du CIPEA au Nigéria et l'ODEM revêtait une grande importance et qu'il pourrait être renforcé. - 434 - A proposal for pastoral development in the Republic of Niger 1 2 P.N. de Leeuw and C. de Haan Ecologist, Arid Zones (Eastern and Southern Africa) Programme, ILCA, Kenya 2Deputy Director General, ILCA, Ethiopia Introduction For several years there has been a growing tendency to consider a pastoral production system as one of the least rewarding targets for development. Although many pastoral development projects have been launched, they appear to have failed to come to grips with the intri cate problems posed by this mode of production: the end results of such efforts have been frustrating and the final returns of input have been usually low or negative. Several analyses of the reasons behind the high failure rate of pastoral development projects have been published (Ferguson, 1976; Horowitch, 1979; Goldschmidt, 1980) and their conclusions need not be repeated here. However, some positive thinking to offset the negative balance sheet of ex post pastoral project appraisal may be worthwhile. Thus, it may be useful to focus on a defined area, e.g. the pastoral zone of the Niger Republic, for which a well thought-out development programme has been formulated and proposed for funding. USAID-supported research and preliminary development work in the pastoral zone started in 1979. The first phase of the Niger Range and Livestock (NRL) Project will be completed in June 1983 and be followed by a development project termed the Niger Integrated Live stock Production (NILP) Project. The contract for the design and implementation of NILP was awarded to Tufts University as the prime contractor, with ILCA, North Carolina A & T University, New Mexico State University as sub-contractors. The design team (also called the joint enterprise group) assembled in Niamey in early January 1983 and submitted their first - 435 - draft in early February. Several design sub-teams were created to write the various components for the project paper. C. de Haan (ILCA) and A. E. Sollod (Tufts School of Veterinary Medicine) were respon sible for the animal production component, including animal nutrition and health, while P. N. de Leeuw (ILCA) and G. Greenwood were charged with ecology, range and water resources and their management. G. Greenwood was a consultant representing New Mexico State University. This paper presents a summary of the design team's findings and proposals in the fields of range management and animal production. However, it should be realized that the development of these technical components are part of an integrated developmental strategy aimed at increased food production, income and security for Niger herders. Thus the project will promote the participation of pastoralists in the development process by interweaving the activities of herders, herders' associations and the services provided by the Government. The primary objective of creating local "institutions" is that devel opment should serve human needs and must therefore be defined in terms of human objectives. The goals in the technical sector are inter mediary objectives, by which the primary objectives can be attained. At the time of writing, the authors had not yet received the final project papers on the other components of the design (on "institution building" and associated socio-economic research, human health and education and training) . However, for an overview of the integrated approach that underlies the proposed development strategy, reference can be made to a draft discussion paper on strategy by Swift (1982), who is the coordinator of the socio-economic unit of the NRL phase, and to a summary of this paper (de Leeuw and Swift, 1983). The authors wish to acknowledge the contributions of their colleagues A.E. Sollod and G. Greenwood without which this paper could not have been written and wish to thank J. Swift for providing the necessary background on the NRL project. Description of the production systems 2The target area is 80,000 km in size and lies within the pastoral zone of the Niger Republic. It has a population of some 170,000 pastoralists, the majority of which are Tuareg, the minority tribes - 436 - being WoDaaBe and Arabs. The area supports about 330,000 cattle, 930,000 sheep and goats and 100,000 camels (Table 4) . Mean annual rainfall varies from 200 mm in the north to 400 mm in the south, most of which falls in the two- t» three-month long rains between July and September. Inter-annual variations in total amount, distribution and length of the growing season are great (Table 1) . Table 1. Annual rainfall (mm) distribution over 60 years (1920 - 1981) for Agadez (16°40,NJ 8'OO'E) and Tahoua (14°40'N, 5°30'E). Annual rainfall distribution (as % of 60 years) Region 100 mm 100-200 mm 200-300 mm 300-400 mm 400-500 mm 500 mm Agadez Tahoua 22 57 22 17 37 34 12 Source : Milligan (1982a) . Range resources vary with annual rainfall and its distri bution. End-of-season standing biomass ranges from 200 to 500 kg DM/ha in the north to 500 - 1 500 kg DM/ha in the south and consists mainly of shortlived annual grasses and herbs (Table 2) . Woody cover is variable but on average is low (Milligan, 1982a) . Herbage crude content rises to 10 - 15% in August, dropping to low values of 3 to 5% towards the end of the dry season. The greatest variation in herbage quality occurs during the transition period (from late May to early August, its duration varying between years), when there is a mixture of scattered new growth and old standing forage and litter. The same seasonal trends occur for herbage digestibility (Fig. 1). - 437 - 14 12- 10- 8 —r— s T- 0 —I— N -i— D -1- M -T- MJ ASO DJFMA Figure la. Range of crude protein content (%, DM) -in annual grass herbage. 80 -i 70 60- 50 40 t ~T 1 I 1- A S 0 N -r- F M -r- M Figure lb. Range of digestibility (1 DM) in annual grass herbage. - 438 - Table 2. Total annual rainfall and maximum standing biomass on four sites in the pastoral zone of the Niger Republic Total annual Maximum Ratio Site Year rainfall (mm) standing (kg/ha) kg/ha/mm Aderbissanat / 1980 108 660 6.1 (15o40'N,7050'E) J 1981 153 500 3.3 ( 1982 151 730 4.9 Gadabeji / 1980 - - - (15°N, 17°10'E) <1981 159 190 1.2 U982 150 1130 7.5 Ibeceten / 1980 192 970 5.1 (15°20'N, 6°88'E) J 1981 210 640 3.0 ' 1982 160 590 3.7 Dakoro / 1980 238 1 500 6.3 (14°30IN,6°40IE) 5 1981 236 750 3.2 V 1982 240 1 200 5.0 Source: Wylie et al (1982). The question arises whether range resources within the area are adequate to sustain the 500,000 TLU (1 TLU = 250 kg) in particular during periods of drought. To answer this question, theoretical carrying capacity calculations have been made based on the assumed relationship that 1 mm rainfall produces 2.5 kg of dry matter. From Table 2, it is clear that this relationship is poor and actually ranges from 1.2 to 7.5 kg DM/mm rain, because of differences in rainfall distribution and intensity, and soil characteristics. Depending on rainfall, the estimated carrying capacity ranges from 400,000 to 700,000 TLU (Table 3), which demonstrates that in average years the existing population can be sustained, but a serious fodder shortage may develop when in the north the rains are below 100 mm and in the south below 300 mm, events that occur during one year out of five (Table 1) . - 439 - Table 3. Carrying capacity (CC) estimates of the NBL zone in relation to rainfall and biomass production. Northern part (40,000 km ) Southern part (40,000 km ) Rainfall Biomass CC Total Rainfall Biomass CC Total (mm) (kg/ha) (ha/TLU) (TLU) (mm) (kg/ha) (ha/TLU) (TLU) 100 250 36 111 250 625 15 267 150 375 24 167 350 875 10 400 250 625 15 267 400 1 000 9 444 Source: Penning, Vries and Djiteye (1982). Livestock density increases from north to south in line with 2 2 range productivity, from about 4 TLU/km to 7.5 TLU/km (Table 5). During the rainy season there is an influx of cattle and camels into the northern part of the area, which return to the south from late September onwards (Table 4). Although the Tuareg have a much more diverse species mix (Wilson and Wagenaar, 1982), they appear less mobile than the cattle-owning WoDaaBe. The greater mobility of the latter is reflected in the much greater seasonal fluctuation in WoDaabe herds (Table 3). Within this general context of movement, differing goals and constraints lead to different production strat egies which involve different breeds and species of animals maintained in herds, reliance on different types of dry-season water sources, attachments to particular dry-season geographic zones, and the use of different salt cure zones. - 440 - Table 4. Livestock populations in the NRL zone. Livestock population (x 1000) May 1981 Sept 1982 Oct. 1982 Mean TLU (%) Cattle 289 331 376 332 249 (50) Bororo (153) (192) (247) (198) (148) (30) Azawak (136) (139) (130) (133) (101) (20) Small stock 780 831 1 148 930 140 (28) Came 1 s 70 156 89 98 99 (20) Donkeys 13 23 20 18 9 (2) TOTAL TLU 410 540 554 497 497 (100. 0^ Weighted annual mean. 2 Cattle = 0.75, smallstock 0.15, camel 1.0, donkeys = 0.50, TLU (250 kg LW) . Compiled from Milligan 1982a, 1982b. Table 5. Seasonal livestock densities (no. /km ) in the NRL zone (1981-82). Livestock density (no. /km ) cattle smallstock zamels donkeys Total TLU ha/TLU Northern part Wet season 1.5 6.5 2.5 0.4 4.8 20 Dry season 1.1 6.7 1.2 0.2 3.2 31 Southern part Wet season 6.4 10.2 0.6 0.3 7.1 14 Dry season 5.5 13.6 1.3 0.4 7.7 13 Source : Milligan (1982a) - 441 - Constraint diagnosis Range resources The single major constraint to which all producers within the zone are subject is that of a unimodal range resource base. This implies that the productivity of the system hinges on a two- to four-month rainy season during which nutrient supply is sufficient for maintenance and production in terms of incremental herd growth (liveweight gain plus reproduction) . Once the growing season is over, the range resource may remain adequate in quantity but it deteriorates gradually in quality over the nine-month long dry season. This situation is in contrast to many other West African production systems that are capable of breaking the deteriorating fodder situation through short or long distance movement to perennial floodplain grasslands (e.g. the inner delta of the Niger River, the shores of Lake Tchad, the floodplains of Benin or Nigeria), to crop residue resources or to burned savanna woodlands. None of these options are available to the WoDaaBe and Tuareg pastoralists in the ILP zone, at least not for those with cattle herds, while for small flocks and camels, the options are some what greater through the exploitation of browse. Animal nutrition Protein It appears that protein deficiency is the most limiting dry-reason factor in grazing animals (cattle and sheep) . Early in the rainy season the protein level (nitrogen) of grasses is at its highest (8 - 12% digestible protein) . As the rainy season ends and the dry season progresses, this level drops steadily until the end of the dry season when it averages 1% (Louis, 1982). Selective grazing may result in an actual intake slightly higher than this, but the protein intake would still be well below maintenance requirements for cattle and sheep. In cases of severe protein deficiency subcutaneous edema (bottle jaw) develops due to hypo-proteinemia; this has been observed in sheep in the project zone (Glazier, pers. comm.). - 442 - Microminerals, vitamin A and phosphorus Research completed late in the NRL project has demonstrated the soil to be severely deficient in cobalt (Co), copper (Cu) , and selenium (Se) . Critical points of soil mineral concentrations where deficiency starts in pastured ruminants are four times that found in the NRL soil for Co, 22 times that for Cu, and ten times the critical soil concen tration for Se. Local salts from Bilma and Tigguidan Tessoum do not contain adequate concentrations of these elements to be useful as supplemental sources. Striking clinical features of these deficiencies have been observed in animals in the zone. The deficiencies appear to be significant constraints to animal production and health, but the production responses to supplementation must still be tested since the zone's slow-growing animals may respond only minimally; however, as general nutrition is improved through other project interventions, the animals' requirements for microminerals will increase. Empirical observations of clinical signs and responses to treatment, both in the project zone and elsewhere in the Sahel, have demonstrated severe vitamin A deficiencies at the end of the dry season; therefore, dry season vitamin A supplementation will be one of the first large-scale interventions in the ILP project. Forage analysis for phosphorus is presently unreported, but it is anticipated that some deficiencies do exist. Water points Uneven water point distribution may result in underutilisation of some areas while there is overgrazing in other areas which have an abun dance of water points. Dry-season water points with very high output, such as bore holes, may attract more herds than the localised biomass might be expected to support; however, the degree to which these negative effects may occur in the project zone has not been adequately quantified. In an intensive study on a single WoDaaBe herd, Glazier (1983) found evidence that the time required to draw water from a well detracted from the potential foraging time for the herd, and it may have adversely affected the animals' feed intake. - 443 - Water quality varies considerably throughout the zone. Herders appreciate the value of clean, fresh water, and they will go to great lengths to obtain it. They are quite aware of the human and animal health problems that are associated with some forms of water poiuts, such as ponds and some types of cement troughs (Sollod, 1981; Knight, 1981; Loutan, 1982). Herders are also quite concerned with the mineral quality of the available water (Maliki, 1982). They commonly seek water sources which are believed to have a positive effect on human and animal health, and they avoid other water points which are known to have undesirable qualities. Infectious diseases In the past, the single most important infectious disease hindering increases in animal production was rinderpest. The JP-15 rinderpest campaign conducted in the 1960s failed to eradicate this disease but greatly reduced its incidence, and today it continues to be controlled by widespread vaccination. However, knowledge of other important animal diseases prevalent in the region is limited and, except for contagious bovine pleuropneumonia, no efforts have been undertaken to systematically control them. The NRL project conducted two forms of animal health re search. A veterinary consultant made several trips into the project zone and through extensive interviews, herd examinations, and necropsies was able to assess the f imal health status of the herds and to formulate a tentative list of disease constraints based on their relative economic importance (Sollod, 1981). Field research on animal health was also done by some members of the socio-economic team. Their work emphasised herder perceptions of diseases, specific causes, approaches to treatment and control, and their relative economic importance. It was found that the herders had a fairly sophisticated understanding of diseases and epidemiological relationships (Maliki, 1982). Production indices Sahelian pastoral systems generally utilise their range resources as efficiently as other production systems in similar arid environments; however, because of the constraints described above, production is - 444 - very slow as reflected in low growth, maturation and reproductive rates. There are also high young stock mortality rates and low offtake rates which reflect both the selective use of milk for human consumption and uncontrolled infectious diseases. Table 6 gives the main production parameters of the existing systems. Table 6. Estimates of important production parameters in the zone. Net animal Mortality Age at first parturition (years) reproduction birth to weaning weaning to first par turition (%) adults (%) Species rate (%) (%) Cattle 50 100 110 25 30 35 20 4 8 7 7 10 5 8 7 4 4 Sheep 1.25 Goats 1.25 Camels 40 40 5 Donkeys 20 4 3 Source- Wilson and Wagenaar (1982). Project output Testing and extension of range management strategies The programme involves three phases: - the technical and economic evaluation of proposed strat egies under controlled conditions; - on-herd trials of strategies shown to be effective under controlled conditions (contingent upon the removal of watering constraints and the formation of experimental herding units); - the extension of proven strategies through the herders' association (HA) network through trained HA range management auxili aries chosen on the basis of their traditional range skills. - 445 - Deferred dry-season grazing Deferred dry-season use trials will be conducted at two ranches during the 1982-83 and 1983-84 dry seasons. Every day and every other day watering regimes will be investigated, in part to simulate local conditions. The animal performance will be followed after the end of the experiments until the end of the following rainy season to investi gate compensatory gain. Centripetal grazing Experimental work on the Ekrafane ranch has shown that centripetal herd management can reduce weight losses in immature steers (Klein, 1981) . Centripetal grazing is in fact a more elaborate system of deferred dry-season use, coupled to a variable watering regime. The advantages of the outside-in system are thought to be 1. maintenance of higher quality feed through deferred use, 2. reduction of animal energy expenditures in walking at the moment of greatest stress, and 3. higher intake and digestibility due to more frequent late dry- season watering. As with deferred dry-season use, this technique could result in better animal condition and lower calf mortality in the late dry season. Under the project it is proposed that : 1. A modelling exercise be performed in order to estimate the effect of centripetal grazing on cattle. 2. One on-ranch trial of the centripetal system be estab lished during the dry season 1983-84. The trial will include two stocking rates plus a control herd with a total of 60 cattle. Daily and alternate day watering during the hot season will be superimposed on the stocking rates. The question of watering frequency and the allocation of labour to animal herding versus watering is considerably more complex. According to the only animal behaviour survey conducted by NRL (Glazier, pers. comm.), such a system may be precluded by a lack of labour to simultaneously water the animals and herd them away from forage that is to be conserved for later use. Furthermore, given the present watering technology, the imposition of daily watering would so 446 - reduce the time available to the animals for grazing that herd productivity would fall rapidly. Thus, the feasibility of applying centripetal grazing in the project depends on: - a reasonable degree of control of a water point; - the allocation of a certain amount of additional labour to herding the animals to the desired ranges; - a reduction in the time spent watering the animals; - the effects of increased water frequency on animal performance, on the rate of forage disappearance, and on the stocking and movement strategies of the herder. Watering technology studies That the provision of water during the dry season is an important component in the production system has been recognized early during the NRL phase. Several studies have been conducted but have not been, or have been only partially, published. Data from the waterpoint survey are currently being analysed, while labour inputs on a house hold basis are incorporated in socio-economic studies, the report on which is in preparation. For the quantification of the effects of current watering technology on herd and labour productivity, the sample used is the same as for the animal production studies (see below) and is strat ified to distinguish between Tuareg and WoDaaBe ard between households with low and high ratios of animals to people. Particular attention will be paid to the relationship between the amount of time spent watering, the quantity of water consumed per head, the time and resources available for grazing, and herd productivity. With this information, a better prediction can be made of the effects of changing the watering regimes in the project zone. This project consists of a follow-up to the NRL water point survey (Knight, 1981) that aimed to carry out the following within selected HA areas: - 447 - - the preparation of accurate water point maps; - the delineation of water deficit and surplus zones through measuring water point outputs and requirements by season;- and - labour inputs and efficiency for water extraction. During the survey, the constraints and limitations of existing technology will become evident, while more efficient inno vations and techniques will be identified. Potential innovations include: - well mouth reinforcement (already tested by NRL) ; - better harnesses for draft animals; - installation of concrete screens in the aquifer to prevent slumping of aquifer material, to increase the volume of water present at any moment and to facilitate recharge; - development of well covers to permit temporary closure of wells; - methods of directing water into traditional watering basins without detaching the tire d'eau; and - development of water-trapping structures in sandy areas. Animal production and health Introduction Objectives. The objectives of the animal production and health component of the ILP project will be: 1. to identify economically feasible and socially acceptable production increases in the cattle, sheep, camel and goat production systems of the pastoral zone through: - improvements in per animal productivity by increasing milk production and by reducing mortality with strategic feeding practices; - improvements in production efficiency with herd health programmes . - 448 - 2. to develop, with the assistance of the government of Niger, animal production and health input delivery systems to the herders' associations and Veterinary centres through: - the training and continuing education of one veterinary auxiliary for each herders' association; - support to the annual livestock service vaccination campaigns; - the construction of veterinary posts at pastoral centres and the provision of animal restraint facilities in the zone; and - introduction of a process approach to field research in the livestock service. It is expected that the ILP project will have its greatest impact on animal production by introducing strategic inputs of protein and animal health commodities. Institutional framework Animal production and health activities will be undertaken within the institutional framework of the HA and the government livestock service with the support of private markets and the national veteri nary pharmacy. In an effort to extend animal health care to a grass roots level, training of veterinary auxiliaries was initiated by the livestock service and the NRL project in 1981. The animal health study of NRL (Sollod, 1981) pointed out that herders were often not using the optimal combination of commodi ties in animal care. Under ILP it is anticipated that a more cost- effective population approach to animal health may be carried out by utilising a better selection of animal care commodities and by working through veterinary auxiliaries who are members of the HA. Animal production inputs, mainly protein supplements and nutritional counselling will also be introduced through the system of auxiliaries. The ILP project will begin to develop a process approach, or an "evolutionary operational programme", to field research whereby the results of research are rapidly tested through field trials and socio-economic evaluation, and they are then extended and monitored under the supervision of the researchers themselves. It will be a - 449 - major objective of the ILP project to introduce and begin to institutionalise the evolutionary operational programme in the livestock service. Output The project will produce three major outputs, all of which will focus on improving per animal production in the production systems of the zone. Emphasis will be placed on solving the most severe, and the most easily addressed of the constraints described in the previous section, namely, seasonal protein deficiency, vitamin/mineral de ficiencies and infectious diseases. Improvements will also be made in environmental hygiene (such as water point decontamination) and animal reproduction (through early pregnancy diagnosis and the identification and treatment of causes of infertility in cattle and goats . The first output, the evolutionary operational programme, is a management system in which new technology is gradually introduced through a logical sequence of research and implementation activities. New inputs are carefully evaluated for their technical, economic and social impact before being extended on a broader scale. The evolutionary operational programme has five stages which will carry the project activities through a logical sequence. These stages include field research, field trials, socio-economic evaluation (under partial implementation), full implementation and monitoring. . Field research. Interdisciplinary research will be carried out to provide base-line data on herd productivity, animal nutrition, habitat utilisation, epidemiology and reproduction. The frequency of data collection, which can be accomplished by single visits to each herd, will be limited to four times per year in order to reduce costs and to minimize disruption to herders and their livestock. Visits will coincide with the key seasons which modulate pastoral production, that is early wet, full wet, early dry and late dry. Herd productivity. Except for a retrospective survey (Wilson and Wagenaar, 1982) no animal production data are available from the traditional systems of the project zone. The project will therefore - 450 - implement a data collection system for the two production systems: WoDaaBe and Tuareg. The following parameters will be collected: 1. herd/flock composition, covering the main categories by species, age, and sex. Through interviews, information will be col lected on animal births, deaths, sales, gifts and transfers; 2. milk offtake per individual animal; 3. calf growth (long bone growth and body weight) up to approximately 50 kg liveweight and small ruminants up to approxi mately one year of age; 4. condition of all cattle in the herd, through the establishment of a simple system of condition scoring. Animal nutrition. The methodology in determining feed quality will be to select from one herd in each of the sub-samples two to four matched sentinel animals and observe at regular intervals the composition of vegetation being eaten. Samples will be collected for food analysis. This method of grab sampling or simulated grazing has given good representative results of the quality of ingested feed (Dicko et al, 1981). Habitat utilisation. Habitat utilisation by sample households and their herds will be monitored in a seasonal time-frame through periodic recall enquiries on herd movement, grazing and watering strategies and labour force. Behaviour recording will be done on the same sub-sample as mentioned in animal nutrition to determine the 24- hour activity profiles and grazing conditions of the diurnal cycle. These habitat utilisation observations and measurements will be made within the same sample framework as the productivity and nutrition studies described above- Epidemiological studies. Rigorous epidemiological data collection and analysis system will be integrated with the studies described above and will therefore have an ecological perspective which takes full cognisance of environmental and socio-economic factors as determinants of disease. Animal health monitoring will be done on: - 451 - 1. the herd productivity groups; 2. geographically selected samples throughout the project zone - retrospective studies will combine animal production data and case-control methodology; 3. site-specific investigative field epidemiology where problems occur, including water point and environmental contamination. Livestock reproduction. Research will be directed to identify and determine the relative significance of factors which cause such high infertility and reproductive failure. Particular emphasis will be on the non-nutritional causes of lowered reproductivity. By utilizing retrospective herd studies and prospective cohort studies, a detailed herd reproductive history will be obtained in an on-going manner with the present and continuing herd reproductive status being assessed. This data base will be used to determine reproductive indicators. Determination of the infectious causes of infertility and reproductive failure will also be done. This will be accomplished largely by the epidemiological disease determination surveys. The application of the techniques of early pregnancy diagnosis will be examined in cattle, camels, sheep and goats. Inter nal palpation and external ballotment will be performed on the various species. This knowledge may be used to assist herders to make more informed decisions concerning the sale and/or selective feed sup plementation of their animals. Field trials. These trials will be carried out in simple with/without comparisons of matched paires of animals of similar characteristics in order to reduce numbers and costs. They will be conducted in the same production units as the field research, with the control animals providing the data for the parameters of the existing system. Field trials on individual vitamin or mineral inputs and certain combinations will be carried out on 10 to 20 pairs of animals for each input. Two classes of sheep and cattle (newborn animals and reproductive females) will be tested for two years. The ILP project will gradually test the technical and economic feasibility, and the social acceptability, of limited - 452 - concentrated feeding (1 kg of cottonseed or 0.5 kg of groundnut cake) to one or two lactating cows from each of 10 herds for two months in the late dry/early wet season. Their performance will be compared to 10 to 20 control animals of similar characteristics through bi weekly milk recording (offtake) and measurements of calf growth; the technical and economic coefficients will be estimated. The ILP project will also establish the feasibility of calf supplementation using locally produced groundnut cake/maizemeal and a vitamin/mineral mixture. On the basis of differences in calf mortality and daily gain, a cost-benefit ratio will be calculated in order to make a decision on possible extension. Socio-economic evaluation Results from the field trials will be evaluated to determine whether full implementation is warranted. Evaluations will be made of costs and benefits, feasibility, sustainability, social acceptability and environmental impact. Pilot interventions will be carried out at the level of the total production unit and will comprise two categories: 1. Those interventions which need to be tested on a herding unit (e.g. grazing management, protection from flies in the late rainy season, vaccinations against contagious diseases) , and are not yet sufficiently tested to establish economic viability. 2. Those interventions which have already proven their economic viability, but for which it is necessary to establish their social acceptability. In such cases, consumer demand for products - those paid for by the herders themselves - will be the basis of evaluation. References : Dicko, M.S., Lambourne, J.B., de Leeuw, P.N. and de Haan, C. 1981. Voluntary intake and livestock productivity in the Sahel zone of Mali. Proc. 32nd meeting EAAP., August 1981, Zagreb. Ferguson, D.S. 1976. A conceptual framework for the evaluation of livestock production development projects and programs in sub-Saharan Africa. CRED, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Harbor. - 453 - Glazier, D. 1983. Herding Dynamics. USAID/NRL, Niamey. Goldschmidt, W. 1980. The failure of pastoral economic development programs in Africa. In: Galaty, G.J., D. Aronson and P.C. Salzman. The future of pastoral people. IDRC 17e, Ottawa. Horowitz, M.N. 1979. The sociology of pastoralism and African livestock projects. AID, Program Evaluation Discussion Paper 6, Washington. Klein, H.D. 1981. Contribution a l'estimation de la production sur paturage sahelien au Niger. Rev. Elev. Med. Vet Pays Trop. 34 : 211-20. Knight, J. NRL water point survey. USAID, Niamey. Louis, S. 1982. Rapport technique sur la production animale dans la zone pastorale du Niger-proposition d'amelioration. USAID/ NRL, Niamey. Loutan, L. 1982. Health and nutrition in a group of WoDaaBe (Bororo) herders in central Niger. USAID /NRL, Niamey. De Leeuw, P.N. and Swift, J. 1983. Opportunites de developpement pastoral. Economic Dev. Inst. / ILCA (In press). Maliki, A.B. 1982. NGAYNAAKA: Herding according to the WoDaaBe. USAID/NRL, Niamey. Milligan, K. 1982a. Aerial survey of human, livestock and environ mental conditions in a central region of the pastoral zone of Niger. Final Report, USAID, Niamey. Milligan, K. 1982b. Wet-season aerial survey of the human and live stock populations and environmental conditions in a central region of the pastoral zone in Niger. Final report, USAID, Niamey. Sollod, A.E. 1981. Patterns of disease in syvopastoral herds of central Niger. USAID/NRL, Niamey. Swift, J. 1982. NRL final report, first discussion draft. NRL rep., USAID, Niamey. Wilson, R.T. and Wagenaar 1982. An introduction survey of livestock population demography and reproductive performance in the 454 - area of the Niger Range and Livestock Project. USAID/NRL, Niamey. Wylie, B., Senock, R. , Snyder, L., Roettgen, R.and Porter, B. 1982. Range research and results. USAID/NRL, Niamey. - 455 - Proposition de développement pastoral en République du Niger Résumé La région-cible qui s'étend dans la zone pastorale de la République 2 du Niger a une superficie de 80 000 km . Sa population est de quelque 170 000 éleveurs composés pour la majorité de Touaregs et d'autres ethnies minoritaires, à savoir les Wodaabes et les Arabes. On trouve dans la zone environ 330 000 bovins, 930 000 ovins et caprins et 100 000 camélidés. La pluviométrie annuelle varie de 200 mm dans le nord a 400 mm dans le sud et la plupart des précipitations se produisent lors des deux a trois mois de saison des pluies entre juillet et septembre. La contrainte essentielle à laquelle les producteurs de la zone ont à faire face a trait au caractère unimodal de la base des ressources pastorales. Cela implique que la productivité du système est tribu taire des deux à quatre mois de saisons des pluies au cours desquelles la production d'éléments nutritifs est suffisante pour l'entretien de la production en termes de croissance du troupeau. Il apparaît que le manque de protéines soit le facteur limitant de saison sèche le plus important pour les ruminants. La recherche a démontré que le sol est très pauvre en cobalt, en cuivre et en sélénium. La distribution inadéquate des points d'eau peut se traduire par une sous-utilisation de certaines zones et par le surpâturage d'autres zones où l'eau est abondante. La qualité de l'eau varie considérablement à l'intérieur de la zone. Dans le passé, la maladie infectieuse qui constituait l'obstacle le plus sérieux à la production animale était la peste bovine. Toutefois, on ne dispose que de connaissances limitées sur d'autres maladies animales graves dans la région et peu d'efforts ont été déployés pour lutter systématiquement contre celles-ci. A cause de ces contraintes, la production est insuffisante. Cette situation se reflète dans la faiblesse des taux de croissance et de reproduction ou dans le caractère tardif de la maturité. La phase d'expérimentation et de vulgarisation du projet proposé fait appel à l'évaluation technique et économique de stratégies proposées dans des situations contrôlées, à des essais au niveau du troupeau, à des - 456 - stratégies dont l'efficacité a été prouvée dans des situations contrôlées, et à la vulgarisation de stratégies confirmées au niveau de l'association des éleveurs. Au cours de l'exécution du projet proposé, les contraintes et les limites relatives aux techniques disponibles de mise en valeur des ressources en eau deviendront plus évidentes, alors que des innovations plus efficaces seront identifiées. Les innovations potentielles portent notamment sur : - le renforcement de la margelle des puits; - l'amélioration des harnais des animaux de trait; - l'installation de panneaux de béton dans la couche aquifère pour éviter l'effondrement de portions de celle-ci en vue d'accroître le volume d'eau disponible à n'importe quel moment et de faciliter la reconstitution de la nappe; - la construction de couvercles de puits pour permettre la fermeture temporaire des puits; - la mise au point de méthodes de canalisation de l'eau en direction de bassins d' abreuvement traditionnels sans réduire le tirant d'eau; - la mise au point de procédés de captage des eaux dans les zones sableuses . Les objectifs de la composante production et santé animales sont les suivants : - identification d'accroissements économiquement réalisables et socialement acceptables de la production de bovins, d'ovins, de camélidés et de caprins dans les systèmes de la zone pastorale, par le biais de l'amélioration de la productivité par animal et de l'efficacité de la production grâce à des programmes vétérinaires destinés au troupeau; - développement avec l'aide du Gouvernement du Niger des systèmes de production et de santé animales, des associations d'éleveurs et de centres vétérinaires notamment par: - 457 la formation suivie d'un auxiliaire vétérinaire pour chaque association d'éleveurs; l'appui aux campagnes de vaccination annuelle du service de l'élevage; la construction de postes vétérinaires dans les zones pastorales et l'installation de matériel de contention dans la zone; l'introduction d'une approche à la recherche de terrain dans le service de l'élevage. - 458 - Summary of Discussion Session 11. Chairman: Dr Samson Chema (Kenya) Discussion led by Dr Rhissa (Niger) In response to a question by Dr Wilson on the importance of Vitamin A, Dr de Haan said that Vit. A had been identified by the pastoralists as a major constraint to night grazing in the late dry season. This was subsequently confirmed by a consultant veterinarian who identified between 10 and 20% of the herd in question with night-blindness. The main cause was the very low proportion of browse trees in the region, especially following drought. When asked by Dr Wilson why donkeys had not been included in the studies described, Dr de Haan said that donkeys were not an obvious constraint in the system, and therefore did not command a high priority at the stage. Dr Akilu commented that there were also problems of Vitamin A deficiency which had been diagnosed and described by herdsmen and vets. As regards camels, discussions were taking place with IEMVT to identify constraints, the most important being parasites (helminthesises) and Salmonella diseases. Dr Suleiman observed that the discussion had concentrated on animal management - why were not range monitoring studies, such as biomass production, composition changes and vigour, not incorporated into the plan for trend analysis described by Dr de Leeuw? Dr de Leeuw explained that such parameters would indeed be monitored in Niger. Ground truth would be collected on species composition, biomass growth during the rainy season and during the dry season in specific areas of the zone. These areas would be repeatedly visited during each ground survey. This was part of an integrated space (satellite), aircraft and ground inventory of grazing resources in time and space for the zone . Dr Diakite stressed the importance of quantity and quality of water, and felt it was important to continue with the chemical and bacterio logical analysis of water. A problem was that of tapping deep water resources without spending too much money. Yet no development was possible in these areas of Niger without water. - 459 Résumé des débats de la onzième séance Président: Dr Samson Chema (Kenya) Débats dirigés par le Dr Rhissa (Niger) En réponse à la question de M. Wilson sur l'importance de la vitamine A, M. de Haan a déclaré que la vitamine A avait été identifiée par les éleveurs comme la contrainte essentielle au pâturage de nuit à la fin de la saison sèche. Cela avait été par la suite confirmée par un vétérinaire consultant qui a identifié entre 10 et 20% des animaux du troupeau en question frappés de cécité nocturne. La cause essentielle en était la très faible proportion de ligneux dans la région en particulier après la sécheresse. Lorsque M. Wilson a demandé pourquoi les ânes n'avaient pas été inclus dans les études décrites, M. de Haan a déclaré que les ânes ne constituaient pas une contrainte évidente dans le système et que par conséquent on ne leur avait pas accordé un rang élevé de priorité à ce niveau. M. Aklilu a déclaré qu'il y avait également d'autres problèmes de carence de vitamine A qui avaient été démontrés et décrits par les éleveurs et par les vétérinaires. En ce qui concerne les chameaux, des discussions étaient en cours avec l'iEMVT pour identifier les contraintes, les plus importantes de celles-ci étant les maladies parasitaires (l'helminthiase et la salmonellose). M. Suleiman a fait remarquer que les débats avaient été axés sur la gestion des animaux et s'est posé la question de savoir pourquoi les études de suivi continu sur des thèmes tels que la production, la composition, l'évolution et la vigueur de la biomasse des terrains de parcours n'avaient pas été incorporées dans le plan utilisé pour l'analyse de l'évolution décrite par M. de Leeuw. M. de Leeuw a expliqué que de tels paramètres seraient étudiés au Niger. Des données seraient recueillies au sol sur la composition des espèces et la croissance de la biomasse pendant les saisons pluvieuse et sèche dans des zones spécifiques de la région. Ces zones feraient l'objet de plusieurs visites pendant chaque enquête au sol. Ces activités s'inscrivaient dans le cadre d'un recensement aérien (par satellite et par avion) et terrestre des pâturages de la zone échelonné dans le temps et dans l'espace. - 460 - Le Dr Diakité a souligné l'importance de l'eau aux plans qualitatif et quantitatif et a déclaré qu'il était important de poursuivre son analyse chimique et bactériologique. L'un des problèmes à résoudre était celui de l'exploitation des eaux souterraines sans dépenser trop d'argent. Et pourtant, aucun type de développement n'était possible dans ces régions du Niger sans l'eau. - 461 - STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF PSR Summary of Discussion Session 12. The strengths and weaknesses of pastoral systems research with particular reference to ILCA's programmes. Chairman: Mr Stephen Sandford (ILCA) Discussion Panel: Mr Larry Ngutter (Kenya) Dr Noumou Diakite (Mali) Dr Jackson Kategile (IDRC, Kenya) Dr Zakari Rhissa (Niger) Prof. Saka Nuru (Nigeria) Dr Assefa W. Giorgis (Ethiopia) Mr Ngutter felt that the following should be ILCA's priorities in the future: 1 . ILCA should continue its present efforts and programmes in - micro-economic household level data collection; - marketing studies; - resource inventory, including livestock census; - insistence on cost-effectiveness of proposed intervention packages; - aiming to influence traditional research from research stations to the field in pastoral systems research, and produce usable results at the earliest possible time. 2. ILCA should modify its present approaches to - dovetail with national policies, objectives and strategies; - integrate its work with national and international research, policy, extension, training and other institutions; - expand the scope and area coverage of its on-going programmes. 3. ILCA should explore new horizons in the areas of - public policy formulation/analysis, particularly as policy is affected by or affects research efforts; - land issues in PSR, specifically - 463 - - impact of land individualisation on pastoralism; - impact of cultivation in arid areas on pastoralism; - ways and means of preserving land resources; - drought prediction. Dr Diakite referred to ILCA's work in Mali and said that ILCA's co-operation there in the future could focus on : - support for training; - support for the initiation of extension methodology or pre- extension work ; - financial support for costs of offices, garages, accommodation, etc. ILCA could have an important role in the negotiations for obtaining finance. ILCA's image was in general good. But there was a Fulani proverb which said that 'the kid licks whoever licks the kid'. ILCA's good image required that those responsible for ILCA keep 'licking' it in order to maintain it. Dr Kategile said that in view of the fact that ILCA was not in a position to cover all African countries directly in its PSR activities due to financial constraints and that PSR results were applicable within only one socio-economic situation, ILCA should adopt a different strategy. He felt that ILCA could play a leading role in PSR in Africa. This could be done by co-operating with other research institutions in Africa. ILCA's roles could be: 1. popularisation of PSR among research institutions in Africa; 2. development of research methodology in PSR. Methodologies should preferably be applicable to African institutions. Methods should continue to be reviewed; 3. if methods were agreed upon, data collection and analysis could be centralised where necessary; 4. ILCA should form cohesive PSR teams that can set an example; 5. the training of African research scientists in PSR; 6. to visit and advise PSR teams in Africa; - 464 - 7. to collect and disseminate PSR activities in Africa - to foster exchange of information; 8. to act as a source of germplasm, specifically for pastures; 9. to co-operate directly with PSR teams in African institutions. Dr Kategile also questioned whether or not ILCA should get involved into agroforestry and intensive livestock systems, rather than concen trate solely on pastoral systems. Dr Rhissa said that it was important that any collaboration between ILCA and other organisations should pass through the correct administrative channels. Once collaboration had been set up with national institutions this should be open and sincere. Agreement must first be reached on the objectives of the work and there should be joint effective exploration of the existing potential in terms of documentation, technical methods etc. Subsequently ILCA should regularly inform the national institutions of the results of its activities. ILCA should encourage the training of technical staff by organising seminars on pertinent subjects. ILCA should also hold meetings at the request of national governments. Prof. Saka Nuru said that co-operation with national research and development agencies was a top priority for ILCA. Such co-operation involving universities, state, local and federal government etc. had several advantages: - pooling of technical expertise towards a common goal; - the determination of national priorities relevant to national needs ; - use of local knowledge to shorten the descriptive/diagnostic phase; - financial benefits from national governments; and - easier dissemination of results. He advocated the siting of ILCA team offices in national research institutions. Prof. Saka Nuru said he thought that ILCA's techniques - 465 - were in general good, but stressed that local pastoralists should be actively involved in the planning and execution of the research work. He felt that the failure of many national and international projects had been due to the lack of such a grass-roots involvement. He thought that ILCA could have achieved more if its research had been extended beyond the 'case study area' concept and had involved local development agencies to a greater extent. - 466 - Résumé des débats de la douzième seance Forces et faiblesses de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux à la lumière des programmes du CIPEA. Président: M. Stephen Sandford (CIPEA) Participants: M. Larry Ngutter (Kenya) Dr Nounou Diakité (Mali) M. Jackson Kategile (CRDI, Kenya) Dr Zakari Rhis6a(Niger) Prof. Saka Nuru (Nigeria) M. Assefa W. Giorgis (Ethiopie) M. Ngutter a déclaré qu'il estimait que les futures priorités du CIPEA devraient se présenter comme suit : 1. Le CIPEA devrait poursuivre ses efforts et programmes actuels dans: - la collecte des données micro-économiques au niveau du ménage; - les études de marché; - l'inventaire des ressources, y compris le recensement du bétail; - la proposition de programmes d'intervention économiquement efficaces et susceptibles d'inciter la recherche traditionnelle sur les systèmes pastoraux à quitter la station de recherche pour aller sur le terrain ainsi que la production de résultats utilisables, le plus tôt possible. 2. Le CIPEA devrait modifier sa philosophie actuelle pour : - harmoniser ses politiques, objectifs et stratégies avec ceux des pays africains; - intégrer ses travaux à ceux des institutions nationales et internationales de recherche, de planification, de vulgarisa tion, de formation et autres; - élargir ses programmes en cours et ses zones d'étude. 3. Le CIPEA devrait explorer de nouvelles perspectives dans les domaines suivants: - 467 - - formulation/analyse de politiques gouvernementales, notamment lorsque les activités de recherche influent sur la politique ou vice-versa; v - questions foncières dans la RSP et notamment: - l'impact de l'individualisation de la propriété foncière sur le pastoralisme; - l'impact des cultures des zones arides sur le pasto ralisme; - les voies et moyens à mettre en oeuvre pour conserver les ressources foncières; - la prévision des sécheresses. Parlant des travaux du CIPEA au Mali, le Dr Diakité a déclaré que la coopération du CIPEA avec son pays devrait à l'avenir être axée sur: - l'assistance en matière de formation; - l'assistance en matière de mise au point de méthodologies de vulgarisation ou de pré-vulgarisation; - l'assistance financière par la prise en charge des coûts de bureaux, de garages, de logements etc... Le CIPEA pourrait jouer un rôle important dans les négociations en vue de l'obtention de financements. L'image du CIPEA était en général bonne. Mais il y a un proverbe peul qui dit que le "petit lèche celui qui le lèche". Pour les besoins de la cause, il fallait que les responsables du CIPEA continuent à lécher le Centre. M. Kategile a déclaré qu'étant donné que le CIPEA n'était pas en mesure de couvrir directement tous les pays africains dans ses activités de RSP, notamment en raison des restrictions budgétaires, et que les résultats de la RSP n'étaient applicables que dans un contexte socio-économique seulement, le CIPEA devrait adopter une stratégie différente. Il estimait que le CIPEA pourrait jouer un rôle de premier plan dans la RSP en Afrique. Cela pouvait se faire grâce à la coopération avec d'autres institutions de recherche en Afrique. Le CIPEA pourrait avoir pour rôle : - 468 - 1 . La vulgarisation de la RSP au niveau des institutions de recherche de l'Afrique. 2. La mise au point de méthodologies de recherche dans le domaine de la RSP. Les méthodologies devraient de préférence être utilisables par les institutions africaines, et les méthodes devraient faire l'objet d'une révision permanente. 3. La centralisation de la collecte et de l'analyse des données là où cela s'avérera nécessaire, si des méthodes sont conjointement adoptées. A. La formation par le CIPEA d'équipes homogènes de RSP susceptibles de servir de modèles. 5. La formation de chercheurs africains spécialisés dans la RSP. 6. La fourniture de services consultatifs aux équipes de RSP en Afrique, dans le cadre de visites périodiques. 7. La collecte et la diffusion de données sur la RSP en Afrique et l'intensification des échanges d'informations. 8. La fourniture de matériel génétique, notamment pour les pâturages. 9. La coopération directe avec les équipes de RSP dans les institutions africaines. M. Kategile s'est également demandé si oui ou non le CIPEA devait toucher à 1' agro-foresterie et au système d'élevage intensif au lieu de se limiter aux systèmes pastoraux. Le Dr Rhissa a déclaré qu'il était important que toute collaboration entre le CIPEA et d'autres organisations passe par les circuits administratifs appropriés. Dès la mise en place des mécanismes de coopération avec les institutions nationales, la collaboration devrait être franche et sincère. Un accord doit d'abord être conclu sur les objectifs des travaux et il devrait y avoir une exploration commune du potentiel existant en termes de documentation, de méthodes, - 469 - techniques, etc. Par la suite, le CIPEA devra régulièrement informer les institutions nationales des résultats de ses activités. Le CIPEA devra encourager la formation du personnel technique en organisant des séminaires sur des sujets pertinents. Le CIPEA devrait également tenir des réunions à la demande des gouvernements nationaux. Le Prof. Saka Nuru a déclaré que la coopération avec les organismes nationaux de recherche et de développement était une priorité essentielle pour le CIPEA. Une telle coopération avec les universités, les administrations nationales, municipales et fédérales comportait plusieurs avantages : - la mise en commun des connaissances techniques vers la réalisation d'un objectif commun; - la détermination de priorités nationales conformes aux besoins nationaux; - l'utilisation des connaissances locales pour raccourcir la phase diagnostic/description; - des gains financiers pour les gouvernements; et - une diffusion plus facile des résultats. Il a préconisé l'installation des bureaux des équipes du CIPEA au sein des institutions nationales de recherche. Le Prof. Saka Nuru a déclaré qu'il pensait que les techniques du CIPEA étaient généralement bonnes. Mais il a souligné que les éleveurs locaux devraient participer plus activement a la planification et à l'exécution des travaux de recherche. Il a déclaré que l'échec de plusieurs projets nationaux et internationaux était dû à la non-participation de ces éleveurs à ces entreprises. Il estimait que le CIPEA aurait pu avoir des résultats plus probants si sa recherche avait été poursuivie au-delà de sa zone d'étude et s'il avait collaboré de manière plus suivie avec les organismes locaux de développement. - 470 - FINAL DISCUSSION ON PSR Summary of Discussion Session 13. Pastoral Systems Research Chairman: Mr Stephen Sandford (ILCA) Dr Chema suggested that in order to sell the systems approach further, ILCA might make a systems film, describing the kind of personnel involved in such work and what methodologies they follow. Sets of slides might also be helpful in supplementing specific areas of research. He also cautioned that ILCA's Programme Committee would need to consider national commitments to joint activities when consi dering changes in ILCA's in-country research programmes. Dr de Haan pointed out to the meeting that there was no pastoral systems research methodology available when ILCA started its operations. He felt that ILCA was getting near to developing that capability now. He cited the examples of the joint projects under negotiation in Mali and in the Cameroons, both of which would be housed with national programmes. Dr El Kaluba stated that in any livestock production system there were two factors, namely genetic material and the environment, that influenced the productivity and efficiency of the system. He felt that most of the presentations in the workshop had dealt extensively with environmental effects, but had paid little attention to genetic material. He felt there had been a tendency by most development agencies to overlook the importance of local livestock breeds in favour of exotic breeds, often very unsuited to African conditions. ILCA should consider the importance of the local breeds in the areas in which it is working. Dr Zulberti noted that the comments of participants, particularly those of national representatives, indicated the broad acceptance of the concepts of pastoral systems research. As Prof. Saka Nuru had put it, this represented a major shift from the traditional approach to research. However, Dr Zulberti felt that some of the workshop presentations did not follow the lines of PSR too closely. But he said that a workshop such as this one could not have taken place 10 years ago. The systems research concept was not a crazy idea any more. - 471 - He proposed that the philosophy of systems research imposed the following conditions on those pursuing such an approach: - a commitment to development; - a commitment to recognise one's mistakes, from which one can learn; - a commitment to a well-defined purpose; - a commitment of ILCA professionals to work with local professionals and vice versa; - a commitment to multi-disciplinarity ; - a commitment to work with pastoralists ; - a commitment to be useful to pastoralists, to generate action programmes to serve pastoralists as mentioned in de Haan's paper. Dr Abel referred to the adverse effects on pastoralists of rural- urban and arable-pastoral terms of trade, and thus felt that if technical research was to have any relevance it must incorporate policy analysis into a systems approach. He also thought that a historical analysis of the origins of the present pastoral problems was lacking from the systems framework of the workshop. It was necessary to search for historical explanations of why, how and when people once politically and economically strong and ecologically secure had become dependant, impoverished and devastated by droughts. Dr Grandin agreed with Mr Sandford that systems analysis was a continuing process. She felt that ILCA needed to develop a data base from their research which could be made available to other African researchers. The raw data should be made available in this way. Dr Barry took the opportunity to thank ILCA's Director General and his colleagues for having made the participants' stay possible. The problems of livestock production formed a major part of the preoccu pations of he and his colleagues from the Sahel. The desire to improve the income of pastoralists and to maintain the Sahel countries as exporters of livestock and meat had shown itself soon after - 472 - independence. This was the reason the economic community of meat and livestock was set up in 1971 as part of the development programme in the member countries concerned with this agreement. For the same reasons the member countries of CILSS had set up a unit responsible for the problems of livestock production following the great drought. In the Sahel sub-region there were several organisations such as CEBV, CILSS, CEAO and ECOWAS working in a co-ordinated way. The information provided during the workshop would certainly complement the data already possessed by the countries of the Sahel. However, the problem was to succeed in implementing concrete measures to improve the lives of the herdsmen and their communities. These measures should include all types of production system. Research should not be carried out for research's sake. There was not much time to spare - development had to be rapid. In this respect ILCA had a very important role to play. ,•; -,i •*i\Mi 'y - 473 - Résumé des débats de J.a treizième séance sur la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux Président: M. Stephen Sandford (CIPEA) Le Dr Chema a suggéré que pour mieux promouvoir l'approche par système, le CIPEA pourrait faire un film sur le système décrivant le type d'agents participant à de tels travaux et les méthodologies appliquées. Des séries de diapositives pourraient également être utilisées pour expliciter certains domaines spécifiques de recherche. Il a également souligné qu'en examinant les modifications à apporter aux programmes de recherches zonaux du CIPEA, le Comité de programme du CIPEA devrait envisager la participation du Centre à des activités nationales dans un cadre coopératif. M. de Haan a signalé aux participants que lorsque le CIPEA démarrait ses activités, il n'y avait pas de méthodologie de recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux disponible. Il estimait que le CIPEA était sur le point d'acquérir une telle méthodologie. Il a cité l'exemple de projets en cours de négociation au Mali et au Cameroun qui auront pour siège des programmes nationaux. Le Dr El Kaluba a déclaré que dans tout système de production animale, il y avait deux facteurs, notamment le matériel génétique et l'environ nement qui influençaient la productivité et l'efficacité du système. Il pensait que la plupart des documents présentés au cours du séminaire avaient traité de manière extensive des effets de l'environnement, mais avaient négligé le matériel génétique. Il pensait que la plupart des organismes de développement avaient tendance à négliger les races locales et à privilégier les races exotiques souvent mal adaptées aux conditions de l'Afrique. Le CIPEA devait tenir compte des races locales dans les zones dans lesquelles il travaillait. M. Zulberti a noté que les observations des participants, particulière ment celles des représentants des pays, indiquaient qu'ils acceptaient en général les concepts de la recherche sur les systèmes pastoraux. Comme l'avait souligné le Prof. Saka Nuru,cela représentait une évolution majeure par rapport à l'approche traditionnelle en matière de recherche. Toutefois, M. Zulberti estimait que certains des exposés - 474 - ne suivaient pas de très près les lignes de la RSP. Mais il a déclaré qu'un séminaire tel que celui-ci ne pouvait pas avoir lieu dix ans auparavant. Le concept de la recherche sur les systèmes n'était plus une idée absurde. Il a soutenu que la philosophie de la recherche sur les systèmes imposait les contraintes suivantes à ceux qui l'adoptaient: - une volonté de développement; - l'engagement de reconnaître ses erreurs, démarche qui permet d'aller de l'avant; - l'engagement de bien définir les objectifs; - l'engagement des scientifiques du CIPEA à travailler avec les scientifiques locaux et vice-versa; - l'engagement à travailler dans un cadre multidisciplinaire; - l'engagement à travailler avec les éleveurs; - l'engagement à servir les éleveurs et à mettre au point des programmes d'action au service des éleveurs comme 1 a mentionné M. de Haan dans son étude. Le Dr Abel a fait allusion aux effets négatifs de la détérioration des termes de l'échange rural/urbain et agricole/pastoral sur l'éleveur et a estimé que pour être applicable, la recherche technique doit incorporer l'analyse des politiques dans l'approche par système. Il pensait également que dans le cadre du séminaire, on avait omis de procéder à l'analyse historique des origines des problèmes pastoraux. Il était nécessaire de rechercher les explications historiques qui permettraient de savoir pourquoi, comment et quand des peuples jadis politiquement et économiquement forts, vivant dans un cadre écologique sûr, ont été appauvris et affaiblis par la sécheresse. Mlle Grandin a reconnu avec M. Sandford que l'analyse des systèmes était un processus continu. Elle pensait que le CIPEA devait développer une base de données à partir de sa recherche, base qui pourrait être mise a la disposition des autres chercheurs africains. Les données brutes devraient être mises à la disposition des utilisateurs éventuels de cette manière. - 475 - Le Dr Barry a saisi cette occasion pour remercier le Directeur général du CIPEA et ses collègues pour avoir rendu possible le séjour des participants à Addis. Les problèmes de production animale consti tuaient une partie importante de ses préoccupations et de celles de ses collègues du Sahel. Le désir d'améliorer le revenu des éleveurs et de permettre aux pays du Sahel de continuer à exporter du bétail et de la viande s'est manifesté dès le lendemain des indépendances. C'était là la justification de la Communauté économique du bétail et de la viande qui a été mise sur pied en 1971 en tant que partie intégrante des programmes de développement des pays membres signataires de cet accord. Pour les mêmes raisons, les pays membres de CILSS avaient mis en place un service chargé des problèmes de production animale à la suite de la grande sécheresse. Dans la sous-région du Sahel, il y avait plusieurs organisations telles que la CEBV, le CILSS, la CEAO, et la CEDEAO qui travaillaient de concert. Les informations fournies au cours du séminaire compléteraient certainement les données déjà disponibles dans les pays du Sahel. Toutefois, le problème était de réussir à mettre en oeuvre des mesures concrètes pour améliorer la qualité de la vie du pasteur et de sa collectivité. Ces mesures devraient porter sur tous les types de systèmes de production. La recherche ne devrait pas être entreprise simplement pour l'amour de la recherche. Il n'y avait pas de temps à perdre. Le développement devait être rapide. A cet égard, le CIPEA avait un rôle très important à jouer. - 476 - LIST OF WORKSHOP PARTICIPANTS Workshop participants BOTSWANA Mr Mbakiso Godfrey Lebani Senior Animal Production Officer Ministry of Agriculture Private Bag 003 Gaborone ENGLAND Dr Barry Nestel 38 Hatchlands Road Redhill Surrey ETHIOPIA Dr Befekadu Degefe Institute of Development Research P 0 Box 1176 Addis Ababa ETHIOPIA Dr Assefa W Giorgis Head Animal Resources Development Dept. Ministry of Agriculture P 0 Box 1052 Addis Ababa KENYA Dr Samson Chema Director of Livestock Research Ministry of Livestock Development P 0 Box 63228 Nairobi KENYA Mr Larry Ngutter Head Development Planning Division Ministry of Livestock Development P 0 Box 63228 Nairobi MALI Dr Noumou Diakite Directeur General ODEM Mofti - 477 - MALI Dr Gagny Timbo Chef Division de Projets et Programmes Direction National de l'Elevage Bamako NIGER Dr Habou Akilu Directeur Projet de l'Elevage Zinder-Est Zinder NIGER Dr Zakari Rhissa Coord inateur Projet de Developpement Pastoral Niamey NIGERIA Professor Saka Nuru Director National Animal Production Research Institute (NAPRI) P M B 1096 - Shika Zaria NORWAY Professor Gunnar Sorbo Department of Social Anthropology N-5014 Bergen University Bergen SENEGAL Dr Ibrahim Sory Gueye Directeur General SODESP B P 10282 Dakar ZAMBIA Mr Eric Kuluba Mochipaga Regional Research Station P 0 Box 90 Choma CILSS Dr Sitta Barry Directeur de Projets et Programmes Comite Permanent Interetats de Lutte Contre la Secheresse dans le Sahel Ouagadougou Haute Volta - 478 - HIID Mr Carlos Zulberti Harvard Institute for International Development P 0 Box 47098 Nairobi Kenya ICARDA Dr Euan Thomson International Centre for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas P 0 Box 5466 Aleppo Syria IDRC Dr Jackson A Kategile International Development Research Centre Nairobi Kenya ILCA Participants ILCA Ethiopia Ato Addis Anteneh Dr Jean-Claude Bille Dr Peter Brumby Mr Noel Cossins Dr Maimouna S Dicko Dr Jim Lamboume Dr Kevin Milligan (Consultant) Ato Negussie Tilahun Mr Stephen Sandford ILCA P 0 Box 5689 Addis Ababa ILCA Botswana Mr Nick Abel ILCA P 0 Box 20604 Gaborone ILCA Kenya Dr Peter de Leeuw Dr Barbara E Grandin Mr Patterson Semenye Dr Solomon Bekure ILCA P 0 Box 46847 Nairobi - 479 - ILCA Mali Dr Pierre Hiemaux Dr Trevor Wilson ILCA B P 60 Bamako ILCA Nigeria Dr Christine Okali ILCA P M B 5320 Ibadan Dr Ralph von Kaufmann Al Haji Habibu Sulaiman ILCA P M B 2248 Kaduna !