1 Maize Seed Industry in Thailand WORKING PAPER 04 | NOVEMBER 2014 Orachos Napasintuwong and DEVELOPMENT, CURRENT SITUATION, AND PROSPECTS ABSTRACT The seed industry in Thailand is among the advanced and well-developed industries in Asia. Maize contributes to the larg- est share of seed production and trade. The government and international organizations contributed significantly to the success of the maize seed industry in Thailand by building infrastructure for research and promoting the role of the private sector in the industry during the early years. The private sector also added to the industry’s rapid expansion through con- stant and heavy investment in research and development. Thailand’s goal of becoming a seed hub center in this region is bolstered by its suitable geography and weather, numerous highly trained plant scientists, wide diversity of germplasm, and membership in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Economic Community (AEC), which will come into effect at the end of 2015. Despite promising motivations, domestic regulations could be prohibitive factors in Thailand’s becoming competitive in the regional seed market. This paper provides the history of development; an analysis of the cur- rent industry’s structure, conduct, and performance; and a review of related regulations of the maize seed industry in Thai- land. The lessons learned from the success of the maize seed industry in Thailand could provide implications for the devel- opment of the seed industry in other developing countries. Keywords: seed, privatization, intellectual property rights, IPR, genetically modified INTRODUCTION The seed industry in Thailand is among the advanced and well-developed industries in Asia. Thailand is the twenty-fourth largest seed exporter in the world, and is the third largest seed exporter in Asia following Japan and China. Among all seed commodities, maize has the highest share in total exports and imports in terms of value. Maize is also one of the most advanced seed industries in Thailand, and has integrated both public and private sectors in research, development, and marketing. After a few decades of privatization, private companies have played a significant role in the maize seed industry development through research and development. Due to several promoting factors, such as suitable geography and weather, availability of highly trained plant scientists, wide diversity of germplasm, good infrastructure, government support, and investments from foreign governments and multinational agencies and companies, Thai- land is in position to become the hub for seed production in Asia. As a member of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Economic Community (AEC), which will come into effect at the end of 2015, Thailand also has the goal of becoming an ASEAN seed hub center. The National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA), Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives (MOA), and Board of Investment (BOI) have several programs to promote seed hub policy. Despite promising motivations, the private sector has expressed concern over domestic regulations that could prohibit the industry’s competitiveness in the international seed market. This paper discusses the history of the maize seed industry development; Thailand’s current situation with regard to industry structure, con- duct, and performance; and related regulations of the seed industry in Thailand. A review of a success model of both public and private contributions to this rapidly maturing industry provides lessons learned for future development of the seed industry in developing countries.Maize Seed Industry Development The success of the maize seed industry in Thailand is significantly due to the government’s promotion of maize as an alternative crop through various programs, international organizations’ participation in building infrastructure for research and promoting the role of the private sector in the industry during the early years, and public and private sectors’ constant and heavy investment in research and development of improved varieties suitable for the local environment. Furthermore, the public-private partnership (PPP) and the 2 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 competition and cooperation among industry stakeholders make maize seed in Thailand one of the most developed seed industries in the developing world. The industry developed rapidly within a few decades after the government’s promotion of maize cultivation as an alternative crop to rice to diversify agricultural production in the mid-1950s. Although rice remains the most important crop for con- sumption and for the economy, maize has become the second most important field crop since the mid-1980s, and currently is one of the most important commodities for feed as the livestock industry became entrenched for exports. Prior to the 1950s, maize was only consumed for snacks in Thailand, and was not significant in the economy due to limited de- mand. It became an important commodity when the government promoted maize as an alternative crop to rice to diversify agricultural production. In the mid-1950s, the government promoted maize cultivation by subsidizing the opening of new land specifically for maize production, distributed improved maize seed, and agreed to buy maize grain at a predetermined price (Morris 1998). Even though the demand for maize exports contracted during the late 1980s, the declining demand for field maize seed was partially compensated by the promotion of baby corn for domestic consumption as a vegetable and for value-added export products. During the early development, the public sector played an important role in maize breeding through the investment of interna- tional organizations such as the Rockefeller Foundation and USAID. The Rockefeller Foundation established the headquarters of its Inter- Asian Corn Program in 1966, and to support its regional cooperative efforts, the National Corn and Sorghum Research Center (NCSRC, commonly known as “Suwan Farm”) was established as a student training station at Kasetsart University, the largest agricultural public university in Thailand, located in Nakhorn Ratchasima, north of Bangkok (Sriwatanapongse et al. 1993). NCSRC was the research station, featuring suitable field, laboratory, and irrigation facilities to handle three crops per year. The research at NCSRC was conducted by two public institutions, Kasetsart University and the Department of Agriculture (DOA), and also through a strong international collaboration, in terms of germplasm and research results, with the Rockefeller Foundation and the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Cen- ter (CIMMYT) (Ekasingh et al. 1999). In 1975, Suwan-1, the first significantly improved open-pollinated variety (OPV) of maize in Thailand, was released from NCSRC. Suwan-1 was rapidly adopted by farmers due to its superior characteristics, not only yielding more than existing local varieties, but also, most importantly, its resistance to downy mildew disease, the most devastating disease that could reduce yield as much as 80 percent in susceptible maize varieties in Thailand during that time (Sriwatanapongse et al. 1993). The production and distribution of Suwan-1 seed was initially led by the public sector; Kasetsart University and the DOA were responsible for producing breeder seed and the Depart- ment of Agricultural Extension (DOAE) for foundation seed, including certified or extension seed (Sriwatanapongse et al. 1993). How- ever, due to a high demand for Suwan-1 seed and the limited supply capacity of the public sector, the private sector participated in the production, distribution, and marketing of maize seed. Bangkok Seed Industry Co., Ltd. (currently Charoen Pokphand), incorporated with DeKalb AgResearch, initiated a joint research program in maize breeding, and concurrently Bangkok Seed Industry Co., Ltd. was the first to commercialize Suwan-1 seed in 1979. The Board of Investment (BOI) accelerated Thailand's private seed industry by providing investment incentives for domestic and foreign companies entering the seed industry, such as tax holidays for both and assured repatriation of profits for foreign companies (Brown et al. 1985). Subsequently, several other private companies, including Cargill Seeds (Thailand), Ltd., and Pacific Seeds (Thailand), Ltd., started to produce commercial maize seed. In the late 1970s, the hybrid maize development program was initiated. The national program of hybrid maize development continued to use Suwan-1 as a source for high-yielding and downy mildew–resistant crops. Three other initial OPV releases from NCSRC were Suwan-2 in 1979, Suwan-3 in 1987, and Suwan-5 in 1993, and Nakhon Sawan-1 (NS-1) was released by DOA in 1989. Suwan-2301, the first single cross hybrid, and Suwan-2602, the first three-way cross hybrid, were released from NCSRC in 1982 and 1986, respectively (Ekasingh et al. 1999). The public sector continued to be strong in research, training, and extension during that period in hopes that the private sector would share responsibility for the production and distribution of improved seed (Brown et al. 1985). NCSRC continued to produce foundation seeds, inbred lines, and hybrid seeds for distribution and multiplication by both public and private sectors. Materi- als developed by the public sector have been used extensively by private companies. For example, CP-1, a top-cross hybrid using Suwan- 1 as one parent, was released by Charoen Pokphand, a leading Thai multinational agro-company (Sriwatanapongse et al. 1993). The first-generation hybrid maize varieties were top-cross, double top-cross, and double-cross hybrid varieties that had unsta- ble characteristics and were not perceived by farmers to be superior because of their unsurpassed productivity over OPVs. The govern- ment was reluctant to support the hybrid seed industry because the seeds were expensive and did not perform better than the recom- mended OPVs. During this time, foreign multinational companies found the maize seed industry in Thailand an attractive business model for developing new hybrid varieties to meet high domestic demand, with Thai farmers potentially adopting modern technology. In 1981 private companies introduced the commercial trials of hybrid maize varieties, and this gave rise to the hybrid maize seed industry 3 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 (Pongsroypech 1994). The first large multinational companies to invest in the maize seed business in Thailand included Pacific, Ltd. (Aus- tralia-based), Cargill, Ltd. (U.S.-based), Pioneer Hi-Bred, Ltd. (U.S.-based), and Ciba-Geigy (Switzerland-based). USAID also provided a significant contribution to the maize seed industry development. Seed Development Loan I was started in Thailand in 1975, and as a result, Thai farms using the improved seed experienced an increase in productivity and income. However, this program did not successfully develop a public marketing body for improved seed distribution. Subsequently, Seed Development Loan II started in 1981 with the aim to provide “a comprehensive seed program that efficiently and cost-effectively increases farmers’ use of higher quality seed while steadily increasing the role of the private sector to supply this seed” (Brown et al. 1985). This program recognized the role of the private sector in the production and marketing of improved seed and sought to enhance the private sector’s performance. It is worth mentioning that prior to the Seed Development Loan projects, USAID had already sponsored education and training in the United States for a significant number of Thai scientists. The skills and knowledge of theses scholars who were engaged in both public, including public universities, and private sectors were important to the development of the seed industry. At the same time, the DOAE initiated the pilot seed industry scheme in 1975 to provide technical knowledge and training in seed technology to contract growers and production staff at private seed companies. Private companies participated in this pilot scheme with their varietal demonstration and benefited from gaining knowledge and building a network with farmers, extension offic- ers, and public researchers through field trips arranged by provincial extension officers. During 1989/90 and 1993/94, the government implemented the Corn Production Development Program aimed at improving the production efficiency of high-quality maize to main- tain export levels and serve the increasing demand from feed and livestock industries. Several strategic plans were used, such as pro- moting the adoption of high-quality seed and good varieties, promoting appropriate postharvest technology, and inviting private com- panies to join the program by buying grain from farmers at a guarantee price or higher. Under this program for hybrid maize seed, maize production efficiency improved in medium- to high-productivity areas (>2,187 kg/ha), which include the majority of the corn belt in Thailand.1 Other projects included local yield trials of hybrid maize on farmers’ fields, field trials, yield contests, demonstrations of maize as a substitute for rice in irrigated areas during the dry season, and a national corn and sorghum symposium. Private hybrid seed compa- nies were welcome to participate in all of these projects, and particularly in a pilot project to substitute for rice in irrigated areas, where the companies were contracted to buy grain from farmers at a minimum price, while the DOAE supplied single-cross hybrid seed, chemi- cal fertilizers, and pesticides at no cost to farmers (Pongsroypech 1994). In addition to the pilot seed industry scheme and the corn pro- duction development program, the BOI of Thailand’s tax exemption for imported equipment has made private companies more en- gaged in the development of hybrid maize varieties and the maize seed industry. Unlike OPVs, Suwan hybrids require a large-scale seed production area, and the production of hybrid seed is more difficult and costly. During the 1990s, NCSRC and DOA faced a challenge with marketing problems. They sold inbred lines to private companies and were not involved in the private firms’ production and marketing activities. Because several companies produced Suwan hybrid seed, there was little incentive for the private sector to expand its production and sale of Suwan hybrids (Ekasingh et al. 1999). In 1998, Kaset- sart University used an exclusive licensing policy to sell a new hybrid to only one company in hopes of expanding the production and sale of the seed. However, because of the lack of legal protection for plant breeders’ rights and the lack of enforcement for violations, private companies remained hesitant to enter large-scale production of public sector hybrids. The adoption of maize hybrids increased rapidly during early 1990s. In 1989, the government provided support to maize farm- ers through the Seed Exchange Program’s high-yielding variety rather than through direct subsidies. Occasionally, a limited budget was used to buy grain at a subsidized price from small farmers in poor areas where the grain price was too low. In recognition of the low price of certain commodities, in 1993, MOA set the goal to reduce the planting area of crops with an oversupply, such as rice, cassava, and coffee, and replace them with other crops. Maize was one of the recommended commodities, and farmers requested hybrid maize seed from the Seed Exchange Program. Also contributing to the success of the hybrid seed was the DOAE’s single-cross Hybrid Maize Promotion Program, which provided farmers with good-quality hybrid seed. The program started in 1994, covering 39,000 hectares in 18 provinces, and continued to its peak in 1997, covering 144,480 hectares in 38 provinces and 1,165,000 hectares in 40 provinces in 2000 (Suwantaradon 2001). In addition, the Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives encouraged more hybrid maize diffusion through credits for hybrid maize seed and fertilizer. The adoption of maize hybrids increased rapidly after the release of single-cross CP- DK888 by Charoen Pokphand Seeds in 1991 (Suwantaradon 2001). Other hybrid seed companies started breeding their own single-cross hybrids, and the increase in competition among seed firms provided farmers with more alternatives. 1 The government provided hybrid maize seed to farmers in exchange for grain at the ratio of 2:1 by weight. Farmers were required to apply the recommended fertilizer. The prioritized areas were where hybrid maize was not widely adopted. 4 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Poolsawas and Napasintuwong (2013) found that the adoption of hybrid maize was low during its first introduction to the mar- ket, and only at the beginning of the 1990s, when private companies started commercializing hybrid maize seed, did the adoption of hybrid maize increase. This study revealed that farmers’ attitudes toward new hybrid maize properties, such as high yield, grain quality, drought tolerance, and rust resistance, influenced the timing of adoption. The private sector, particularly through promotion programs and by providing information on hybrid varieties, played an important role in hybrid maize adoption. The diffusion of hybrid maize was estimated to rise after the privatization of the seed industry in the early 1990s (Figure 1; Table 1). Figure 1—Rate of hybrid maize seed diffusion Source: Rate of diffusion is generated from Suwantaradon et al. 2012. - 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 1 9 8 1 1 9 8 2 1 9 8 3 1 9 8 4 1 9 8 5 1 9 8 6 1 9 8 7 1 9 8 8 1 9 8 9 1 9 9 0 1 9 9 1 1 9 9 2 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 R at e o f h yb ri d m ai ze s e e d d if fu si o n Year Release of Suwan-2301, first single- cross hybrid Commercialization of hybrid maize seed by private companies Establishment of Hybrid Maize Promotion Program by DOAE Corn Production Development Program, Seed Exchange Program Release of Suwan-2602, first double- cross hybrid 5 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Table 1—Hybrid maize seed diffusion in Thailand Year Maize planted area (1,000 ha) Total maize seed demand† (ton) Sales of hybrid maize seed Quantity (ton) Rate of hybrid seed diffusion (%) 1981 1,567.36 29,388 40 0.14 1982 1,679.04 31,482 145 0.46 1983 1,688.32 31,656 449 1.42 1984 1,816.96 34,068 897 2.63 1985 1,977.76 37,083 1,740 4.69 1986 1,951.20 36,585 1,810 4.95 1987 1,750.56 32,823 1,368 4.17 1988 1,835.36 34,413 1,700 4.94 1989 1,786.40 33,495 3,550 10.60 1990 1,745.60 32,730 5,625 17.19 1991 1,475.04 27,657 7,450 26.94 1992 1,351.36 25,338 8,940 35.28 1993 1,339.20 25,110 10,280 40.94 1994 1,412.64 22,073 12,040 54.55 1995 1,335.36 20,865 12,616 60.46 1996 1,386.40 21,663 13,290 61.35 1997 1,396.64 21,823 15,100 69.19 1998 1,441.28 22,520 17,200 76.38 1999 1,235.04 19,298 16,380 84.88 2000 1,251.68 19,558 17,800 91.01 2001 1,238.72 19,355 17,810 92.02 2002 1,195.84 22,422 20,350 90.76 2003 1,130.72 21,201 19,930 94.00 2004 1,163.52 21,816 20,500 93.97 2005 1,104.96 20,718 19,475 94.00 2006 1,024.80 19,215 18,060 93.99 2007 1,018.24 21,001 19,950 94.99 2008 1,070.72 22,084 20,975 94.98 2009 1,135.84 23,427 22,255 95.00 2010 1,196.96 24,687 23,700 96.00 2011 1,160.96 23,945 22,990 96.01 Source: Adapted from Suwantaradon et al. 2012. † Based on estimation of 18.75 kg/ha during 1981–1993 15.625 kg/ha during 1994–2001 18.75 kg/ha during 2002–2006 20.625 kg/ha during 2007–2011 In the past few decades, competing crops in dry areas, such as pararubber, sugarcane, and cassava, often have government promotion programs as well, resulting in a significant reduction in the maize cultivation area.2 However, thanks to high-yielding hybrid maize development, maize could stabilize its production level. About two decades after the privatization of the hybrid maize seed indus- try, the adoption of hybrid maize is greater than 90 percent, and has nearly completely replaced OPVs today. Like other seed industries, innovation of new, improved varieties has increased competition in the maize seed industry in Thai- land. At first, multinational companies, such as Pioneer Hi-Bred, Pacific Seeds (currently Advanta, and formerly ICI/Zeneca), Syngenta (formerly Ciba-Geigy and then Novartis), and Monsanto (acquired Cargill Seeds and DeKalb Seeds), depended on germplasm from 2 Average 2013 farm gate prices of cassava sugarcane, non-glutinous rice and maize were 2.13, 965.9, 12,483.63 and 7.9 baht/kg, respec- tively. 6 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 NCSRC, which produced several private hybrids from inbreds. The importance of NCSRC gradually faded, however, when multinational companies relied more on their own germplasm from their mother companies for their breeding programs. Within each company, re- search results and seed production are shared among regional branches (Ekasingh et al. 1999). The engagement of Thai personnel, in- cluding scientists, in these multinational companies has made their breeding program successful, while also marketing with farmers’ participation. Thailand’s seed industry developed considerably due to healthy competition yet collusion among multinational compa- nies. Until the late 1990s, there were only a few leading Thai seed companies engaged in maize research: Charoen Pokphand, Uni- seeds, and Thai Seed Industry. The first was much larger than the latter ones. Charoen Pokphand has broad access to maize germplasm through collaborative research with DeKalb Seeds. In 1991, Charoen Pokphand released the single-cross hybrid CP-DK888, which domi- nated the maize hybrid seed in the 1990s (Ekasingh et al. 1999). It still remains on the market today. In contrast, due to their limited resources, Uniseeds and Thai Seed Industry were dependent on germplasm and research from NCSRC and CIMMYT. Other smaller Thai companies did not engage in research and only produced public varieties or varieties owned by other seed companies, or conducted distribution and sales activities. Nevertheless, Thai companies contributed to the seed industry by creating competition and providing alternatives for farmers, as the companies are more interested in OPVs and public sector hybrids. Table 2 shows maize seed developed by private companies sold in Thailand during 1997–1998. After about two decades of privatization of the maize seed market, there was a considerable number of producers and choices of varieties. Table 3 shows the timeline of the maize seed industry development in Thailand. Table 2—Maize varieties developed by private companies sold in Thailand, 1997–1998 Company Field maize Baby corn Sweet corn Three-way cross Double- cross Single- cross Modified single- cross Three-way cross Single- cross Single-cross Charoen Pok- phand CP-DK822 CP-DK818 CP-DK888 CP-DK999 Cargill Seeds C 922 BIG 717 C 501 BIG 919 BIG 727 BIG 929 Pacific Seeds Pacific 11 Pacific 328 Pacific 421 Hibrix 5 Pacific 700 Pacific 116 Hibrix 10 Pacific 626 Pacific 129 Pacific 848 Novartis Seeds Hercules 31 Red Iron 45 G 5414 Convoy 93 Venus 49 G 5406 G 5384 G 5407 Pioneer Seeds 3248 3011 3006 3012 30A10 3013 3014 Uniseeds Uniseeds 38 Uniseeds 89 Uniseeds B- 50 Uniseeds SW- 1 Uniseeds 90 Royal Seeds Royal I Royal III Source: Ekasingh et al. 1999 and personal interview. 7 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Table 3—Maize seed industry development in Thailand Year Major Event Mid-1950s  Maize was promoted as alternative for rice (for export).  Government subsidized opening of new land for maize cultivation.  Government distributed improved maize seed and other inputs and agreed to buy grain at prede- termined price. 1966  Rockefeller Foundation established National Corn and Sorghum Research Center (NCSRC) and headquarters of its Inter-Asian Corn Program. 1975  Suwan-1 OPV, resistant to downy mildew, was released from NCSRC.  Public sector started the production of Suwan-1 OPV seed.  USAID provided Seed Development Loan I targeting to increase productivity and farm income.  Pilot Seed Industry Scheme: Department of Agricultural Extension (DOAE) provided technical knowledge and training in seed technology to private seed companies. Private companies partici- pated through varietal demonstration. 1977  Development of maize hybrids by public and private sector. 1979  Private sector (Bangkok Seed Industry with DeKalb) started producing and selling Suwan-1 seed. 1981  USDA provided Seed Development Loan II targeting to increase usage of higher quality seed and increase private sector’s role.  Private companies started commercial trials of hybrids. 1982  Suwan-2301, first single-cross hybrid, was released by NCSRC. 1986  Suwan-2602, the first three-way cross hybrid, was released by NCSRC. Late 1980s  Private companies developed hybrids specific to local conditions. 1987  Public-Private Cooperative Yield Trials Program was initiated. 1990  Private companies successfully developed new hybrid seeds, giving more than 50% higher yield than OPV. 1991  Charoen Pokphand Seeds released single-cross CP-DK888.  Adoption of maize hybrids started to soar. 1989–1994  Corn Production Development Program targeting to improve production efficiency, promote adop- tion of high-quality seed and good varieties, and promote appropriate postharvest technology.  Seed Exchange Program for hybrid maize: Government provided hybrid seed to farmers in ex- change for grains at the ratio of 2:1 by weight.  Private companies joined the program by buying maize grains at a guaranteed price or higher. 1993  MOA set the goal of reducing the planting area of crops with oversupply, such as rice, cassava, and coffee, and replacing them with other crops, such as maize.  Hybrid maize seeds were highly requested. 1994  DOAE’s Hybrid Maize Promotion Program provided farmers with good-quality hybrid seed. 1998  Kasetsart University employed an exclusive licensing policy under which a new hybrid is sold to only one company in hopes of expanding the production and sale of Suwan hybrids. THAILAND’S MAIZE SEED TRADE The modern seed business in Thailand started in 1921 when Chia Tai Seeds Co., Ltd. (currently an affiliated company of Charoen Pok- phand, commonly known as C.P., Group), started importing improved vegetable seed from China. Although the modern seed market of vegetables in Thailand started much earlier than that of field crops, currently maize is the largest exported and imported seed commod- ity in terms of value. Maize seed exports alone accounted for nearly 35 percent of the total seed export value, and collectively 42 per- cent when including sweet corn seed (Appendix A). Evidently, there is no seed export of other field crops, except for maize and sweet corn; the rest of exported seed are vegetables and flowers. The production and export of fruit seed is miniscule; it has not made it to the export market. Similarly, maize is the largest imported seed commodity (Appendix B). Although Thailand exports maize seed, the majority of maize seed is imported during off-peak season, when domestic production is insufficient. Maize seed imported by multina- tional companies is used as germplasm for breeding and as parent seed for commercial seed production. Furthermore, to prevent hy- brid seed piracy, some hybrid seeds are produced in other countries and then imported to Thailand. Table 4 and Table 5 show that Thailand is the net exporter of field maize seed and sweet corn seed, and the trend of trade bal- ance is increasing. Although the imports of field maize seed have fluctuated during recent years, the exports have been continually in- creasing, in terms of both total export quantity and value. The unit value has also been increasing over time, and it is higher than that of imports. The quantity and value of imports and exports of sweet corn seed are much smaller than that of field maize seed. However, the unit value of sweet corn seed is relatively higher than that of field maize seed, particularly the unit value of sweet corn seed imports. 8 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 This is probably because the imports of sweet corn seed are high-quality hybrids, which generally are high-valued products. The rate of seed used per area of sweet corn is also lower than those of field maize and baby corn, so its unit price is generally higher. Similar to field maize seed, the unit value of exports of sweet corn seed has also been increasing over time, but not always higher than that of imports, especially in the past few years, when the unit value of sweet corn seed imports was considerably high. Table 4—Thailand’s import and export quantity and value of maize seed, 2005–2012 Year Import Export Balance of Trade (mil- lion USD) Quantity Value Unit value Quantity Value Unit value (ton) (million USD) (USD/kg) (ton) (million USD) (USD/kg) 2005 3,125.97 3.119 0.998 9,730.66 15.166 1.559 12.047 2006 2,688.27 3.174 1.181 10,259.77 17.577 1.713 14.403 2007 1,968.26 2.590 1.316 13,423.64 24.237 1.806 21.647 2008 2,414.48 3.304 1.368 15,573.12 32.930 2.115 29.626 2009 5,263.81 9.187 1.745 13,292.29 33.894 2.550 24.707 2010 2,992.01 5.354 1.789 13,595.91 36.928 2.716 31.574 2011 1,216.88 2.667 2.192 19,971.80 45.009 2.254 42.342 2012 3,190.68 7.222 2.264 15,443.98 43.831 2.838 36.609 Source: Calculated from Thai Seed Trade Association 2013b using Bank of Thailand annual average exchange rate. Table 5—Thailand’s import and export quantity and value of sweet corn seed, 2005–2012 Year Import Export Balance of Trade (million USD) Quantity Value Unit value Quantity Value Unit value (ton) (million USD) (USD/kg) (ton) (million USD) (USD/kg) 2005 18.65 0.060 3.216 191.52 1.418 7.406 1.358 2006 2.61 0.033 12.691 248.75 1.821 7.319 1.788 2007 29.91 0.118 3.949 319.53 2.642 8.269 2.524 2008 62.09 0.194 3.123 315.03 2.937 9.324 2.744 2009 40.37 0.129 3.196 337.56 3.010 8.917 2.881 2010 0.75 0.015 19.955 456.58 3.427 7.506 3.412 2011 1.53 0.043 28.311 931.06 7.597 8.159 7.553 2012 0.58 0.010 17.149 845.43 8.847 10.465 8.837 Source: Calculated from Thai Seed Trade Association 2013b using Bank of Thailand annual average exchange rate. Figure 2 and Figure 3 show the suppliers and export markets of Thailand’s maize seed. Vietnam, India, and Indone- sia account for nearly all maize seed importation to Thailand. Vietnam alone supplies more than 60 percent of the maize seed, followed by India and Indonesia, respectively. Similarly, Vietnam is also the major importing country of maize seed from Thailand, accounting for more than half of the total maize seed export from Thailand in 2012. Pakistan, Sri Lanka, In- donesia, and Cambodia are also major markets of maize seed export from Thailand. Multinational companies typically de- velop maize varieties that are suitable for broad countries of similar climate and production environments, and thus their seed can be produced in several locations. Major trade partners of maize seed with Thailand, such as Vietnam, India, and Indonesia, are also production bases of multinational maize seed companies. 9 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Figure 2—Share of countries of origin maize seed imports to Thailand, by quantity, 2012 Source: Thai Seed Trade Association, 2013b. Figure 3—Share of maize seed export market from Thailand, by quantity, 2012 Source: Thai Seed Trade Association 2013b. The domestic market of sweet corn seed is much less significant than that of maize, as seen from trade volume. New Zealand and Taiwan are two countries that export sweet corn seed to Thailand (Figure 4). Sweet corn seed imports from New Zealand account for nearly 90 percent of the total sweet corn seed imported to Thailand in 2012. New Zealand and Taiwan notably produce quality sweet corn seed, and the unit value of this seed from these countries is significantly higher than the unit value of sweet corn seed exports. Malaysia is the largest market for sweet corn seed from Thailand, followed by Indonesia, Vietnam, and Philippines, respectively (Figure 5). Again, these markets have similar climatic and production environment to Thailand. Vietnam 61.97% India 20.08% Indonesia 17.91% Others 0.04% Vietnam 56.82% Pakistan 10.34% Sri Lanka 9.23% Indonesia 7.70% Cambodia 6.38% Bangladesh 1.81% Myanmar 1.74% Ecuador 1.42% Philippines 0.96% Japan 0.80% Taiwan 0.72% Others 2.08% 10 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Figure 4—Countries of origin of sweet corn seed imports to Thailand, 2012 Source: Thai Seed Trade Association 2013b. Figure 5—Export markets of sweet corn seed from Thailand, 2012 Source: Thai Seed Trade Association 2013b. CURRENT MAIZE SEED INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Today maize is an important economic crop that supplies the feed industry. The extraordinary growth of Thailand’s feed and livestock industry over the past few decades is largely attributed to the success of the hybrid maize seed industry. Table 6 and Table 7 show re- cent production of maize and sweet corn in Thailand. Major production areas are in the north and northeast of Thailand (Appendix C). Recently, the domestic demand for maize seed has increased slightly as the cultivation area of maize expands, except for the last year due to drought problems. In some areas of the northeast region, maize is grown on pararubber plantations; as rubber trees become larger, the cultivation of maize is reduced, hence the contraction of the cultivated area. Sweet corn production, on the other hand, is much smaller than that of field maize, and the cultivation area fluctuated somewhat over recent years though the expansion of the cultivated area did not change much. Sweet corn is consumed fresh in the domestic market, and there is a substantial demand from the canned industry, largely for exports. New Zealand 86.21% Taiwan 13.79% Malaysia 41.40% Indonesia 22.91% Vietnam 11.01% Philippines 8.93% Taiwan 4.78% India 3.76% Hong Kong 2.25% Myanmar 1.92% Others 3.05% 11 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Table 6—Cultivated area of maize in Thailand by region, 2008–2012 Region Planted area (ha) Average an- nual growth rate 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Whole kingdom 1,070,689 1,135,820 1,159,741 1,186,498 1,178,719 2.52 Northern 669,116 709,529 735,599 757,318 754,549 3.19 Northeastern 248,336 268,492 278,903 302,239 299,070 5.11 Central plain 153,237 157,799 145,240 126,941 125,100 -4.59 Source: Office of Agricultural Economics 2013a. Table 7—Cultivated area of sweet corn in Thailand by region, 2009–2012 Region Planted area (ha) Average an- nual growth rate 2009 2010 2011 2012 Whole kingdom 35,949 36,466 37,402 36,392 0.41 Northern 12,657 13,760 13,535 13,928 3.35 Northeastern 6,684 7,080 7,605 6,604 -0.40 Central plain 13,452 12,472 12,846 12,624 -2.05 Southern 3,156 3,153 3,415 3,236 0.85 Source: Office of Agricultural Economics 2013a. There was no rigorous information on the demand for maize seed, but it can be calculated by the cultivated areas. The inter- view with private sectors revealed that farmers generally used about 18.75 kg/hectare of field maize seed, 9.375 kg/hectare of sweet corn seed, and 31.25–37.5 kg/hectare of baby corn seed. In 2012, it was estimated that domestic demand for field maize seed was about 22,000 tons, and about 340 and 1,000 tons for sweet corn seed and baby corn seed, respectively. Compared to the trade quantity of seed, assuming that the demand for field maize seed includes both baby corn seed and field maize production (Table 8), the total demand for domestic use of field maize seed is about 65 percent of its net export volume demand (Table 8). However, the domestic demand for sweet corn seed is less than 30 percent of its net export volume. Thus the demand for maize seed and sweet corn seed esti- mated in Table 8 is slightly different than the estimation of Suwantaradon et al. (2010). Table 8—Estimation of maize seed demand in Thailand, 2012 Type of maize Planted area (ha) Seed use per area (kg/ha) Seed demand (ton) Field maize 1,178,719 18.75 22,100.99 Sweet corn 36,392 9.375 341.17 Baby corn 30,072* 34.375 1,033.73 Source: Author’s calculation Figure 6 shows that the domestic demand for field maize seed in 2008 was about 21,565 tons, slightly lower than that of 2012. The production of maize was primarily for the feed industry. This estimation does not include the production of seed for export. The by- product of seed production could be supplied to the fuel industry. 12 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Figure 6—Estimation of quantity and added value in maize-related industries, 2008 Source: Suwantaradon et al. 2010. Figure 7 shows the demand for sweet corn seed. In the Suwantaradon et al. (2010) estimation, production of sweet corn re- quired about 500 tons of seed, about 1.46 times that required in 2012. Sweet corn is used for human consumption, to produce canned and frozen corn for export and also as a fresh product for the domestic market. The by-product of sweet corn production is used for feed as well. Figure 7—Estimation of quantity and added value in sweet corn–related industries, 2008 Source: Suwantaradon et al. 2010. 13 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 CURRENT MAIZE SEED INDUSTRY STRUCTURE Figure 8 illustrates the value chain of the maize seed industry in Thailand. This figure shows the links among stakeholders at different levels along the value chain. Large multinational companies generally integrate at all levels of the value chain, including importing and exporting of seed and germplasm. Local companies are mainly seed producers contracted by farmers. Farmers themselves are the buy- ers of seed and at the same time can also be producers through contracts with private companies or as local producers themselves using public varieties. There are three main categories of maize seed suppliers: developers, producers, and distributors. i. Developers are generally those who invest in varietal improvement research and new varieties development. They not only sell licenses but also engage in production and marketing along the value chain. Most of the large multinational com- panies that have advantages in accessing a broad spectrum of germplasm and long-term investment in research and de- velopment are in this category. The developers have exclusive rights to their own registered varieties and have their own brand name products. ii. Producers are companies that import or buy inbred varieties (or parental lines) from other seed companies or from public institutions to produce hybrid seeds. They engage in seed multiplication, seed conditioning, and seed storage, but are not involved in research and development of new varieties. For public hybrid varieties developed by DOA, such as Nakhon Sawan-3, the producers can buy inbred lines from DOA without paying a royalty fee, and they do not own exclusive rights to produce public hybrid seed. These producers include small farmers, members of agricultural cooperatives, and small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Public hybrid seed can be registered under their own brand names, and the DOA certifies the commercial seed. Most suppliers in this category are small local companies. iii. Distributors are those who collect seed from authorized producers, from either domestic suppliers or importers. A signifi- cant amount of them are retailers who generally buy and sell seed, using marketing and promotion activities, under their own brand names, and they also need to be registered with DOA. Figure 8—Maize seed industry in Thailand Importers Breeders/ Developers Seed growers • Contracted farm- ers • Local farmers • Member of coop- eratives / farmer groups • DOA • Private compa- nies • Public university • Public research institutes Seed condi- tioners • Registered seed establishments • DOA Distributors Retailers • Registered seed collec- tors Farmers Exporters • Registered seed importers • Registered seed collectors • DOA • Registered seed exporters 14 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Number of Suppliers At present, there are five leading multinational companies in the maize seed industry. Four of them, Monsanto, Syngenta, Pacific Seeds, and Pioneer Hi-Bred, are foreign companies that have operated in the global seed market for a substantial amount of time; only one of them, Charoen Pokphand, is a Thai multinational. Monsanto, Charoen Pokphand, Syngenta, and Pacific Seeds cover about 76 percent of the field maize seed market in Thailand (Figure 9). The concentration and competition in the maize seed industry could be represented by the four firms’ concentration ratio (CR4)3 and the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI).4 From the market shares presented in Figure 9, the CR4 equals 76 percent while the HHI is approximately 1,700, suggesting that the market is oligopoly and moderately concentrated. These few large companies have integrated businesses and constantly do research and development for new hybrid varieties. In addi- tion to large private companies, there are numerous small enterprises that do not engage in research and development. Many of them produce public variety hybrid seed, and some may have reproduced hybrid seed illegally from the inbred seed of large companies. A small share of maize seed is also sold by the public sector, namely DOA and NCSRC. Figure 9 Sales (ton/year) and market shares of top five field maize seed companies in Thailand, 2011 Source: Aungsuratana et al. 2012, cited by Department of Business Development. Only a few private companies contribute significant shares in the market. Because maize contributes to the highest share of exports and imports of total seed, and the data on maize seed alone are not available, Appendix D and Appendix E provide a rough pic- ture of the major exporting and importing seed companies of controlled seed.5 Obviously, major multinational maize seed companies— such as Monsanto Thailand, Ltd.; Pacific Seeds, Ltd.; Pioneer Hi-Bred Co., Ltd.; and Syngenta Seeds, Ltd.—also play a major role in seed trade. Furthermore, Thai companies, particularly the large multinational Charoen Pokphand Group (which includes Charoen Pokphand Produce Co., Ltd.; C.P. Intertrade Co., Ltd.; and Chia Tai Seeds Co., Ltd.) are engaged in the seed trade. Barriers to Entry Seed companies engaging in research and development of new varieties require a large initial investment; thus, the competitiveness of small companies remains limited. By comparing the initial investment of the first seven companies entering the maize seed industry in Thailand during the 1980s, Table 9 explains why the entry into the maize seed industry has been cumbersome for small Thai companies. The interviews with large multinational companies revealed that recently the annual research budget is approximately 10 to 15 percent 3 CR4 measures total market share of the four largest companies; CR4 = Σ4 i=1 si, where si is the market share of company i. 4 HHI measures the size of the firms in relation to the industry; HHI = ΣN i=1 si 2, where si is the market share of company i in the market, and N is the number of companies. 5 There is a list of 37 controlled species under Notification of Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives on Types and Varieties of Controlled Seeds B.E. 2549, including 9 field crops and 28 vegetable crops. Monsanto, 4,718.8, 23% Charoen Pokphand, 4,216.8, 21%Syngenta, 3,202.8, 16% Pacific Seeds, 3,182.7, 16% Pioneer Hi-Bred, 2,841.3, 14% Others, 1,917.6, 10% 15 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 of their global sales. The research investment of a company in Thailand alone ranges from 20 to 50 million bahts, or about US$0.6 to 1.5 million. For multinational companies, this research budget implies developing varieties that could be adapted in other similar climatic markets. Furthermore, large multinational companies have a long history of breeding research and multilocation branches in several countries. This implies that they have more access to a broad spectrum of germplasm from which to develop new varieties, and they are also more advantageous in their testing capacity of pre-commercial lines. Research capacity requires not only a large investment in facilities but also skilled researchers. At present, the number of skilled scientists, including plant breeders, plant pathologists, and soil scientists, is very scarce. Given current available technology, industry experts tend to agree that the future of Thailand’s seed industry rests in the application of increasingly sophisticated research and development tools for trait identification, breeding, and multiplica- tion. This includes tools of biotechnology and bioinformatics, though not at the exclusion of conventional breeding approaches. The research and development of new varieties require a large initial investment for cutting-edge innovation; thus, small seed companies with financial constraints have a limited capacity for product improvement and competitiveness. 16 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Table 9—Initial investment of maize seed companies in Thailand Company Year of R&D establishment Research sta- tion invest- ment (million baht) Annual budget† (million baht) R&D staff (person) Other perma- nent staff (person) Hired labor (person/day) Research coverage Ph.D. Master’s Bachelor’s Below college Pacific Seeds 1978 20.0 3.5 0 3 0 1 3 12 maize, sorghum, sun- flowers, feed crops Charoen Pok- phand 1978 30.0 9 2 1 6 3 5 60 maize, sorghum, sun- flowers, feed crops, soybeans, rice Cargill Seeds 1979 10.0 6 1 3 2 8 4 24 maize, sorghum, soy- beans, rice Pioneer Hi-Bred 1980 10.0 7 1 4 0 5 10 20 maize, sorghum Ciba-Geigy 1981 20.0 8 1 2 5 1 8 60 maize, sorghum Thai Seed In- dustry 1982 3.7 2 0 1 1 4 0 10 maize, sorghum Uniseeds 1984 n/a 4 1 1 2 2 2 10 maize, sorghum, soy- beans, mung beans, vegetables Source: Suwantaradon 1989. † including cost of breeder seeds and foundation seeds production 17 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Product Differentiation/Similarity The majority of field maize and sweet corn seeds available in Thailand’s market are hybrid varieties; OPVs are still being sold in the market, but much less. Table 10 summarizes the number of registered dealers, the number of registered varieties, and their sources of seed. There are a significant number of sellers of hybrid and OPV seeds; however, the majority of them are collectors and distributors, and only some are developers of new varieties. Based on this information, farmers have a wide range of product selections under different brand names and trademarks, but the range of product differentiation is much narrower, principally due to the marketing of the same or similar products under different brand names (some are also unlicensed seed) by small merchants. In Thailand, where the Plant Variety Protection Law (PVP) protects varieties that have been developed only after the law came into effect in 1999 (Office of the Council of State, 1999) and which is not fully enforced, pirate hybrid seed is unavoidable. It is estimated that about 10 percent of hybrid maize seed in the market are reproduced from non-licensed inbred seed and some are from public varieties that do not protect their proprietary rights. Large companies, namely Charoen Pokphand, Monstanto, Pacific Seeds, and Syngenta, diversify their products to various types of maize, except for Pioneer Hi-Bred Co., Ltd., which only engages in field maize, and Chia Tai Seeds Co., Ltd. (a subsidiary of Charoen Pokphand Group), and East-West Seed International, Ltd., which emphasize their products in sweet and waxy corn (Appendix F). Compared to Table 6 about two decades later, available commercial seed vari- eties have been drastically multiplicative. Table 10—Registered maize and sweet corn seed varieties in Thailand, 2013 Field maize Type of variety Number of supplier Number of va- riety Number of trademark Source of seed Hybrid 74 354 143 Thailand, India, Indonesia, Vietnam, Philip- pines, China, Pakistan, Myanmar Inbred 5 33 8 Thailand, Indonesia, India, United States, Brazil, Pakistan, Philippines, Mexico, Egypt OPV 41 56 59 Thailand Total 120* 443 210 Sweet corn Type of variety Number of trader Number of va- riety Number of trademark Source of seed Hybrid 36 122 43 Thailand, United States, Taiwan, Indonesia, India, New Zealand, Philippines OPV 23 23 30 Thailand Total 59* 145 73 Source: Thai Seed Trade Association 2013a. * Multiple counting because traders have activity more than once Table 11 and Table 12 compare characteristics of pre-commercial and commercial varieties in multilocation hybrid maize yield trials. These varieties are selected by participating companies as the best hybrids nearly ready to be released to the market, and will eventually be registered under the Plant Variety Protection Law. The variations in yield and performance of each variety will definitely affect farmers’ adoption. Furthermore, each variety has special characteristics that are suitable to specific locations, such as drought-tolerant, downy mildew–tolerant (most private varieties are vulnerable to this diseases), and maturity period, while size of seed also affect farmers’ choices when planting machinery is used. Generally, private varieties perform better than the public varieties; however, the public varieties are more resistant to downy mildew disease. 18 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Table 11—Yield and performance comparison of pre-commercial and commercial hybrid maize varieties from DOA’s trials, 2010 Origin Name of variety Yield (kg/ha) Yield/average yield (%) Damaged stalk (%) Ear/stalk (%) Harvested ears (%) Fallen Broken Full Damaged Private Charoen Pokphand TSM0704 9292 112.91 6.25 7.07 115.18 58.63 9.75 TSM0702 9168 111.41 5.19 6.26 111.91 57.25 10.50 CP-DK 888 7350 89.32 8.34 4.46 116.57 58.88 16.77 Fertiliser and Bioseeds Co. Narai 5 8224 99.94 3.50 2.77 98.68 44.13 9.11 Narai 3- plus 7230 87.86 3.49 1.18 97.82 46.69 9.95 Monsanto Big 919 7310 88.84 10.43 7.12 98.77 49.63 14.31 Pacific Pac.999 9264 112.57 2.08 1.22 96.35 47.50 7.07 Pac.339 9206 111.87 1.88 2.04 96.07 47.06 5.33 Seed Asia SH0907 8244 100.18 6.14 4.38 99.83 49.25 12.37 SH1001 8030 97.59 9.64 9.68 104.59 52.44 19.43 Syngenta NT 7328 9222 112.07 0.87 1.33 101.48 50.63 13.05 NT 6346 8892 108.05 3.22 6.08 97.59 49.38 9.39 NK 48 8763 106.49 7.74 1.47 99.01 50.25 7.37 Uniseeds Uni H 5108 8107 98.52 0.61 1.44 103.13 51.81 5.79 Max 08 7980 96.97 0.00 0.36 98.82 49.31 5.26 Private varieties’ average 8419 102.31 4.63 3.79 102.39 50.85 10.36 Public Department of Agriculture Nakhon Sawan-2 7998 97.19 5.44 1.96 94.75 48.19 7.02 Nakhon Sawan-3 7820 95.03 1.09 5.68 102.49 51.94 5.57 NSX 042013 7936 96.44 1.09 1.93 112.34 56.94 10.79 NSX 062006 7463 90.69 2.94 11.92 101.39 51.44 7.52 NSX 042022 7567 91.96 0.72 8.19 102.45 52.63 6.90 NSX 052014 7985 97.04 7.15 10.82 100.02 50.94 10.13 Kasetsart Uni- versity Suwan 4452 8274 100.55 10.50 4.67 96.66 48.88 12.26 KSX 5318 8099 98.42 7.34 3.29 93.90 46.19 11.60 KSX 5319 8077 98.15 2.78 2.53 97.82 50.25 19.08 Public varieties’ average 7913 96.16 4.34 5.67 100.20 50.82 10.10 Overall average 8229 99.98 4.52 4.49 101.57 51.00 10.26 Note: Results are from DOA’s yield trials in 4 public research centers: Nakhon Sawan Field Crop Research Center, Phetchabun Field Crop Re- search Center, Lop Buri Agricultural R&D Center, and National Corn and Sorghum Research Center. Source: Department of Agriculture 2013a. Table 12—Yield and performance comparison of pre-commercial and commercial hybrid maize varieties from Public-Private Yield Trial (PPYT) program, 2013 Origin Name of Variety Grain yield (kg/ha) Yield/average yield (%) Lodging Poor husk cover Rotten ear Ear/stalk (%) Root Stalk Private Bioseed SB65 10150 106.87 3.71 1.77 9.11 2.60 98.77 SB81163 9469 99.71 1.06 0.40 8.10 2.81 97.87 Charoen Pokphand TSF1203 10417 109.69 3.86 2.81 9.26 4.38 98.08 TSF1103 10352 109.01 0.58 0.87 8.12 2.93 97.78 TSF1261 9683 101.96 0.46 2.10 8.09 2.65 96.99 CP888 8719 91.80 9.63 6.57 9.14 2.68 113.89 Monsanto DK6818 10264 108.08 3.81 2.34 11.25 2.35 104.82 DK9955 10153 106.91 3.36 2.46 11.00 3.87 101.92 Northern Seed NTSX632 7395 77.87 7.91 2.31 12.66 4.87 98.43 NTSX321 6079 64.00 22.10 7.04 16.15 17.14 96.59 Pacific PAC022 11002 115.85 0.82 1.22 8.00 1.62 97.75 PAC339 10806 113.79 1.29 0.85 8.40 2.13 96.83 PAC403 10426 109.78 0.25 0.45 9.01 1.25 97.19 Pioneer P4181 10604 111.66 1.21 1.61 14.89 5.64 109.56 P4546 10561 111.21 0.64 0.85 8.03 3.22 101.71 19 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Table 12—Continued. Origin Name of Variety Grain yield (kg/ha) Yield/average yield (%) Lodging Poor husk cover Rotten ear Ear/stalk (%) Root Stalk Private Seed Asia SH121208 9766 102.83 1.93 1.68 10.81 2.33 102.09 SH111212 9718 102.33 0.99 0.93 9.00 2.54 99.15 Syngenta ST6181 10662 112.26 2.65 0.72 8.32 2.63 107.49 S6248 10548 111.06 3.78 0.66 8.41 1.28 98.84 Thai Seed Research TS2620 9317 98.11 2.16 1.35 8.12 2.64 98.04 TS2401 7979 84.02 0.86 0.95 8.48 6.27 96.02 Private varieties’ average 9718 102.32 3.48 1.90 9.73 3.71 100.47 Public Department of Agricul- ture NSX052014 9861 103.84 4.47 5.26 8.05 2.55 99.57 NSX112011 9237 97.26 6.21 7.04 8.92 2.24 99.66 Nakhon Sawan- 3 8902 93.74 0.92 2.40 8.47 1.61 98.65 Kasetsart University KSX5612 9450 99.51 0.65 1.10 12.71 4.99 96.66 KSX5602 8750 92.13 1.29 2.30 12.28 3.16 92.89 Suwan1(S)C15 6305 66.39 5.40 3.81 11.41 5.78 89.62 Suwan 4452 9340 98.35 7.48 4.76 8.00 3.00 96.30 Public varieties’ average 8835 93.03 3.77 3.81 9.98 3.33 96.19 Overall average 9497 100.00 3.55 2.38 9.79 3.61 99.40 Note: Results are from PPYT’s yield trials in 13 locations: Wang Thong, Phitsanulok province, Monsanto; Wang Muang, Saraburi province, Charoen Pokphand; Takhli, Nakhon Sawan province, Syn- genta; Phraphutthabat, Saraburi province, Pacific; Pattananikom, Lopburi province, Pioneer Hi-Bred Seeds; Sanpatong, Chiang Mai prov- ince, Northern Seed; Phraphutthabat, Saraburi province, Thai Seed Research; Phraphutthabat, Saraburi province, Thai Seed Research; Chatujak, Bangkok province, Shriram Bioseed; Muang Chiang Mai, Chiang Mai province, Chiang Mai University; San Sai, Chiang Mai prov- ince, Maejo University; Pak Chong, Nakhon Ratchasima province, NCSRC; Takfa, Nakhon Sawan province, Nakhon Sawan Field Crops Research Center. Table 13 shows the development of varieties over time. It can be observed that maize production using local and OPVs has nearly vanished within the past 15 years. The use of public hybrid seed dramatically declined while the use of private seed remains about the same. The yields of public hybrid varieties have been much lower than that of private ones, but the difference has be- come smaller in recent years. It may suggest that the majority of hybrid maize seeds sold in the market are differentiated in terms of traits, and not much by yield. 20 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Table 13—Maize harvested area, output, and yield comparison in farmers’ fields, 1996–2010 Varieties 1996 2000 2005 2010 Harvested area Total output Yield Harvested area Total output Yield Harvested area Total output Yield Harvested area Total out- put Yield (thousand ha) (ton) (ton/ha) (thousand ha) (ton) (ton/ha) (thousand ha) (ton) (ton/ha) (thousand ha) (ton) (ton/ha) Local 3.88 8,445 2.17 0.13 378 2.90 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Nakhon Sawan 5.70 13,623 2.39 0.74 2,579 3.51 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a OPVs 178.66 435,875 2.44 16.16 37,614 2.33 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Public hybrids 60.65 199,329 3.29 6.59 19,444 2.95 8.71 28,470 3.27 6 23,678 3.71 Private hybrids 1,065.77 3,875,338 3.64 1,191.40 4,401,701 3.69 1,020.98 3,914,721 3.83 1,157 4,837,068 4.18 Total/average 1,314.66 4,532,610 3.45 1,215.01 4,461,716 3.67 1,029.69 3,943,191 3.83 1,163 4,860,746 4.18 Source: Office of Agricultural Economics 2013b. 21 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 BUSINESS CONDUCT Product Research and Development At present, public research institutes play a small role in the development of new varieties and produce a very small amount of seed for sale. They include public universities, public research institutions such as the National Center for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology (BIOTEC) under the National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA), and various field crop research centers under DOA. Figure 10 illustrates the locations of organizations involved in maize research in 2013, except for BIOTEC, which mainly does research in Pathum Thani laboratory, north of Bangkok. Figure 10—Locations of maize research and experimental stations in Thailand Large multinational companies, namely Charoen Pokphand, Monsanto, Pacific Seeds, Pioneer Hi-Bred, and Syngenta, con- tribute to a great deal of progressive development in hybrid maize and sweet corn research. In conventional breeding programs, the process of screening germplasm, making selections, combining materials, and evaluating progeny is labor-intensive; a concentrated seed industry may not benefit much from economies of scale and scope. However, large multinational companies are increasingly dependent on having access to a wide range of superior germplasm and on being able to test experimental materials in various loca- tions (Morris 2002). Multinational companies that engage in international networks of research stations and testing facilities have an advantage over small national and local companies in accessing wider genetic materials and evaluating them in different locales. 22 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 This constraint on small national and local companies explains the decreasing number of public institutes engaging in maize breed- ing research and the increasing size of existing private breeding programs. Despite much less capital and resources, small local and regional companies do conduct research and development, includ- ing Seed Asia Co. and Bio Seeds Co. These small companies are greatly dependent on public germplasm. Table 14 shows the number of inbred lines sold to private companies by NCSRC. This implies that even though public research institutes may not be actively in- volved in research and development as much as the private sector is, public genetic materials that have been developed over time are still valuable for current maize breeding in Thailand, particularly for small companies. To develop new varieties using public in- bred varieties owned by NCSRC, and under Kasetsart University’s material transfer agreement, developers essentially buy inbred lines; if the inbred lines are used for commercial production of hybrid varieties, they must pay a small royalty fee. Large companies also buy licenses from other developers to produce hybrid seed and to broaden their germplasm already developed by other com- panies. Large companies with smaller capital and limited global trial stations still depend on licensed hybrids for much of their sales. More than 70 percent of Charoen Pokphand’s commercial varieties, for example, are bought from other large multinational compa- nies. Furthermore, Sweet Seeds Co., an affiliated company of Thai Seed Research Co., is one significant developer that focuses on the research and development of sweet corn and its licensing. At present, Sweet Seeds Co. is the major supplier of genetic materials of sweet corn in the tropics. Table 14—Material transfers from National Corn and Sorghum Research Center, 1999–2012 Year Number of inbreds Number of companies Large multinational foreign companies† Foreign companies Domestic companies 1999 2 - - 1 2000 - - - - 2001 - - - - 2002 - - - - 2003 - - - - 2004 28 - 2 - 2005 2 - 1 - 2006 - - - - 2007 10 - 3 1 2008 34 - 4 6 2009 19 - 3 10 2010 24 - 2 - 2011 10 1 5 9 2012 79 1 7 7 Source: National Corn and Sorghum Research Center 2013. † Pacific, Pioneer Hi-Bred, Monsanto, Syngenta Table 15 shows the number of new maize variety petitions filed for protection under the Plant Variety Protection Law from 2003 to 2013. These include field maize, baby corn, sweet corn, and waxy corn, yet the majority of them are field maize varieties. Monsanto has the largest number of new varieties, followed by Pacific Seeds. With respect to the market share of field maize in Figure 9, Monsanto and Pacific Seeds are the first and fourth largest companies. Perhaps their capacity to innovate and provide farmers with diverse new products is one of the main reasons these two large multinational companies can take up large market shares. Although Charoen Pokphand Group (including Bangkok Seed Industry) and Syngenta (previously Novartis Crop Protection) are also leading companies in the field maize market, their capacity to innovate appears to be much less than the first two compa- nies. However, the market share and market power of firms also depend on other factors, such as the ability to access unprotected varieties (i.e., public varieties) at a lower cost of production, particularly when exclusive licensing of all commercial varieties is not fully realized. Other factors include marginal costs of production, the production pipeline, and marketing and sales strategies. The protection of new plant varieties that are not native to Thailand, such as maize, can be complicated under the PVP law because the benefit sharing of germplasm that has been developed over time by various parties is not easily achieved. The example of the maize seed market may also suggest that despite their dependence on the technology invented by other large companies, small compa- nies can still perform well in the market when the exclusive licensing of public varieties is not fully protected. Table 15—Number of corn varieties† petitions filed for Plant Varieties Protection, 2003–2013 Name Approved Pending Trial stage Withdrew Total Monsanto (Thailand) Co., Ltd. 19 0 28 1 48 Pacific Seeds Co., Ltd. 12 13 7 3 35 23 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Khon Kaen University 0 10 4 0 14 Khon Kaen University and NSTDA 0 0 7 0 7 East-West Seed Co., Ltd. 6 1 0 0 7 Seed Asia Co., Ltd.* 1 4 0 2 7 Novartis Crop Protection Co., Ltd. 0 5 2 0 7 Bangkok Seeds Industry Co., Ltd. 0 1 2 0 3 Charoen Pokphand Produce Co., Ltd. 0 0 2 0 2 Chia Tai Seeds Co., Ltd. 0 0 3 0 3 Sweet Seed Co., Ltd. 0 0 1 0 1 Total 38 34 56 6 134 Source: Extracted from Plant Varieties Protection Division, Department of Agriculture 2013b. † including field maize, baby corn, sweet corn, and waxy corn * including corporate-owner registration Furthermore, some research collaborations exist among international organizations, mainly CIMMYT, and public and pri- vate sectors. For instance, the DOA and CIMMYT continue to collaborate in terms of germplasm exchange, field trials, and personnel training; the Chinese and South Korean governments collaborate with DOA in terms of training and seed villages mentioned above; NCSRC and DOA collaborate with BIOTEC on molecular research; and DOA collaborates on research projects with two private com- panies, Charoen Pokphand and Sweet Seeds Co., to develop disease- and drought-resistant varieties of field maize and sweet corn, respectively. After the establishment of private maize seed companies in the early 1980s, several plant breeders who previously worked at NCSRC have joined the private sector. The majority of them were friends during the time when NCSRC was very active in maize research or during their study program at Kasetsart University. This relationship among plant breeders in the maize industry is extraordinary. An example of collaborative management and technical support is the Public-Private Cooperative Yield Trials Program of maize varieties (PPYT) that has been carried out by NSCRC since 1987. Each year private companies in Thailand and those from abroad that have research facilities in Thailand are in- vited to send their pre-commercial and commercial elite hybrids for yield trials at multiple geographical locations. The purpose of this program is to provide a low-cost, voluntary, and unbiased method for evaluating and comparing maize seed hybrids available in Thailand (Richmond 2013). The trials are conducted mainly at research stations of the NSCRC, at collaborative public universities such as Chiang Mai University and Maejo University, at DOA’s Nakhon Sawan field crop research centers, and at each participating company. This collaborative research is partly due to a strong bond among senior plant breeders who work in the public and private sectors. The genetic resources pooled from NCSRC and the private sector have contributed to better hybrids that are better adapted to geographical areas over the years. In addition, DOA has been conducting field trials of public and private maize varieties at its various field crop research centers throughout the country at no cost. Each year, private companies may send two of their pre-com- mercial and commercial hybrids for yield trials. The results are shared among research units of participating companies. The investment in biotechnology research is also a key factor in developing new varieties. The initial investment in biotech- nology, such as the cost of equipping laboratories and training scientists, can be prohibitively high for small and medium-size com- panies. Only large multinational companies with large capital are capable of reaping benefits from cutting-edge technologies, such as genetically modified (GM) hybrid seed. Prior to 2001, there were 10 approved importations of GM maize seed for trials (Table 16). However, on April 3, 2001, the government cabinet prohibited farm-scale trials of GM crops in response to a request made by anti-GM NGOs concerned with the environmental impact of GM crops. On December 25, 2007, the Thai government reinstituted permission for field trials of GM crops, but restricted it to public fields. The request of GM field trials has to be approved by the gov- ernment cabinet on a case-by-case basis with no objection from the local community. At present, Thailand does not deregulate any commercialization of GM crops, and the research on GM crops remains in confinement. The main reason for slowing down the re- search and development of GM crops is due to a new Biosafety Law that was enacted, although the draft of biosafety guidelines for laboratory and field tests was released in 1992. The importation of GM seed is also prohibited except for research purposes, and it needs to be approved by the DOA. Table 16—Approved GM maize seed importation to Thailand, 1996–1999 Date Company Variety of GM maize seed Area of requested trials October 8, 1996 Novartis (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Bt-maize confined greenhouse May 27, 1997 Pioneer (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Bt-maize confined greenhouse February 19, 1998 Monsanto (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Roundup-Ready maize confined greenhouse May 1, 1998 Monsanto (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Bt-maize confined greenhouse August 24, 1998 Cargill Co., Ltd. Bt-maize confined greenhouse 24 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 August 24, 1998 Novartis (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Bt-maize confined greenhouse August 24, 1998 Novartis (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Bt-hybrid maize small experimental field (isolated area) January 28, 1999 Cargill Co., Ltd. Roundup-Ready maize confined greenhouse January 29, 1999 Monsanto (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Roundup-Ready maize confined greenhouse June 10, 1999 Monsanto (Thailand) Co., Ltd. Bt-maize (Mon-810) small experimental field (isolated area) Source: Biosafety Committee, Department of Agriculture 2007. Still, there is a strong demand by the private sector, particularly multinational companies, to legalize GM crops. However, to date the only request for GM maize field trials was made by Monsanto for the Roundup-Ready NK603 variety in early 2013. The DOA is reviewing the request. The project is proposed in cooperation with Naresuan University, a public university in northern Thai- land. The field trials are expected to start in late 2013 or 2014. In addition, Syngenta and Pioneer also requested to import GM maize seed for greenhouse trials in 2013 (Preechajarn 2013). Both are still being reviewed the DOA. The survey of 24 seed (including maize) companies by Suwantaradon et al. (2010) shows that several large companies have already used molecular marker technol- ogy, DNA fingerprinting, dihaploid/double haploid technology, and cell and tissue cultures; none is using recombinant DNA or genet- ically engineered technology. This does not mean that large multinational companies, including Charoen Pokphand, do not conduct GM maize research, but they have instead conducted their GM research in other countries. The research and development of maize varieties in Thailand has several advantages for the region. The firm foundation of multinational companies in establishing research facilities and access to genetic materials, the well-known reputation of NCSRC for corn research, and the investment promotion of biotechnology research have made Thailand attractive for potential future breeding programs. However, there are some prohibitive regulations for advanced development, such as the stringent regulations of GM field research, particularly in open field trials, and the prohibition of GM maize seed imports except for research purposes. Such im- ported maize seed generally has to be tested for contamination of Cry 9 C DNA sequence or materials of Starlink Corn, which will incur some cost and time for researchers. The current more stringent Plant Quarantine Act that requires Pest Risk Analysis from country of origin further burdens the importation of maize seed. Furthermore, the protection of new varieties under plant variety property rights and plant breeder rights is complicated because maize is not native to Thailand, and the agreement on benefit shar- ing of germplasm that has been mutually developed in the past by public and international organizations can be cumbersome. Advertisement/Product Promotion There are several promotion campaigns used by large private companies. Common practices are demonstration plots in local com- munities where sales and extension staff of private companies rent small farm plots to demonstrate their new varieties with their input and technical supports. Some large companies also provide technical training programs to disseminate their technology to local communities. Others provide exhibitions to demonstrate their products at agricultural fairs and local farmer trade shows. The most common marketing strategy among large companies is a large-volume discount or sales incentives by organized annual gratis tours to wholesalers and distributors who sell at their target volume. Large companies generally benefit from capturing economies of scale and scope in seed distribution, particularly those with diversified products and services. As large companies establish brand loyalty and farmers recognize their brand and products (seed products of the same company are usually named similarly, see Appendix F), more profits from investment in advertising and mar- keting campaigns can be expected. Evidently, marketing activities are prominently observed among large companies. Collusion The maize seed industry in Thailand has distinguished cooperative oligopolistic behavior. Without much government regulation, the profit-driven seed companies have well-established efforts to collude. The collusion is observed by cooperative pricing, which has observed a similar continual increasing trend at comparable rates in the past decade. Morris (1998) explained that two factors con- tribute to a laissez-faire attitude of the maize seed industry. First is that the industry is small and most industry participants, partic- ularly senior maize breeders, know each other personally. These relationships provide a close personal network wherein opportun- istic or unethical behavior, such as stealing inbred lines from competitors, comes at a prohibitive cost, because such behavior would be severely punished through formal and informal sanctions. Second, most large, well-established multinational companies have invested considerably in building reputations for quality and service. The unethical behaviors that jeopardize their reputations are too risky. Furthermore, the Thai Seed Trade Association (THASTA) established in 2002 plays a significant role in collaborative activi- ties of the seed industry. At present, most maize seed developers, producers, and distributers are members of THASTA. THASTA actively and successfully engages in core industry activities, such as promoting breeding activities among members, coordinating the promotion of quality seed use and seed dissemination, coordinating with public institutes on seed evaluation and recommendation, 25 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 cooperating with international organizations in seed trade, facilitating seed registration and a standardization database, and provid- ing seed industry information. This actuality creates the necessary conditions for successful collusion, so that the industry shares information among its members and follows the moves of other companies. The association of maize seed companies agreeing to coordinate its activities, although pricing is not a formal agreement, behaves like a cartel, and raising the market price is possible. Despite a potential loss of profit, commercial maize seed is differentiated and farmers appear to be somewhat brand loyalty; thus, the demand for maize seed is relatively inelastic. The role of THASTA as a trade association, in addition to a small number of large companies and a concentrated market, keeps organizational costs low, thus making cooperative activities possible. It is also worth mentioning the Seed Association of Thailand (SAT), established under the name Crop Seed Association of Thailand in 1990. Prior to that, in a joint effort the government and the private sector established the Seed Club in 1982 to serve as an official center for the coordination of various government agencies, the private sector, and international organizations for seed industry development and quality seed supply. The main differences between the roles of SAT and THASTA are that SAT serves as a center for the exchange of information, expertise, and experience in seed technology and related fields; provides technical assis- tance on seed technology; and provides managerial advice on the seed business and services related to the government’s rules and regulations (Seed Association of Thailand 2013), while THASTA engages more in business-oriented activities. Pricing A survey of prices of hybrid maize seed in Thailand shows that large companies sell at a much higher price than small local compa- nies, and the public sector’s varieties (Nakhon Sawan-3, in particular) are sold at only half the price of the private sector’s varieties (Table 17). Excluding the cost of research and development and other management and marketing costs, it is estimated that the cost of DOA seed production is about 60 baht/kg. This is consistent with the gross profit margin indicated by large private compa- nies at about 50 percent of the selling price. Evidently, new varieties that are better adapted to local and current environments are generally sold at a higher price. Some old varieties that remain popular in the market, such as CP-DK888, are sold at a slightly lower price. The lower quality varieties produced by small companies, such as Fertiliser and Bioseeds Co., are usually much cheaper. Note that the farm gate price of maize is 7.9 baht/kg while the average private maize seed is about 149 baht/kg, nearly 19 times greater. The survey of maize seed retailers suggests that farmers are generally willing to pay for superior quality seeds that are suitable to their production environment because the cost of seed is only about 10 to 20 percent of the cost of maize production,6 while the output depends heavily on the varieties. Price competitiveness of seed, therefore, is not a good market strategy. The development of varieties with high-quality traits is much more important. 6 Approximated from the Office of Agricultural Economics 2013 survey of maize production cost based on current maize seed market prices and seed use. 26 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Table 17—Hybrid field maize seed price in Thailand, 2013 Company Variety Price (baht/kg) Charoen Pokphand CP KKK Super 144.0 CP888 122.5 CP888 New 146.0 CP888 Super 138.5 CP801 154.0 CP101 154.0 CP301 152.0 Monsanto DK979 150.0 DK9901 146.0 DK9955 151.3 DK6919 149.0 DK7979 153.3 Pacific Seeds Pacific 777 160.0 Pacific 339 163.8 Pacific 999 158.3 Pioneer B80 159.0 Y87 148.0 T60 153.0 P4181 153.0 P4296 148.0 P4546 159.0 P4311 153.0 P4199 145.0 P4196 150.0 Syngenta NK48 152.7 S7328 156.8 NK58 147.0 NK20 136.3 S6248 154.0 Fertiliser and Bioseeds Co. Narai 3- plus 125.0 Narai 5 125.0 Average price of private maize seed 148.6 DOA Nakhon Sawan-2 70.0 Nakhon Sawan-3 70.0 Average price of public maize seed 70.0 Note: Not all varieties are available in all selected stores. Inbred lines for hybrid seed production sold by DOA is 200 baht/kg Average farm gate price of maize at 14.5% humidity is 7.9 baht/kg. Source: Average from corporate website and retail stores in Saraburi, Nakhon Ratchasima, and Nan provinces Industry Performance The performance of industry as a consequence of market structure and its conduct may be measured by the profitability of the firms. It may be assumed that the smaller the number of firms and the less competitive the industry, the higher market power and profitability of the firms. And vice versa, the performance of the industry also could lead to a change in conduct and structure. In- terviews with large private companies reveal that most of them have a similar gross profit margin at about 50 percent of the selling price. Although the Lerner index is a measure of monopoly power, it is not possible to obtain marginal cost data from financial re- ports. Alternatively, price-cost margin and accounting rates of profit can be used to measure profitability of the companies (Lip- czynski and Wilson 2001), and current asset turnover ratio implies the efficiency, or how well a company generates sales revenue from its current assets. The current asset turnover ratio is calculated by revenue over current assets. 27 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Price-Cost Margin To measure monopoly power, the Lerner index, specified as 𝐿 = 𝑃−𝑀𝐶 𝑃 , is commonly used. When the average costs are constant, the price-cost margin (PCM) is equal to the Lerner index. The price-cost margin is defined as the ratio of profit to sales revenue and can be expressed as (Lipczynski and Wilson 2001) (1)𝑃𝐶𝑀 = 𝑃 − 𝐴𝐶 𝑃 = 𝑃 ∙ 𝑄 − 𝐴𝐶 ∙ 𝑄 𝑃 ∙ 𝑄 where P denotes price, Q quantity ,and AC average cost. The larger the price-cost margin, the greater the company’s ability to raise prices above average costs, which implies higher monopoly power. Accounting Rate of Profit When the data to calculate the economic rates of return are limited, despite some limitations of the methods used in accounting measures, the accounting rate of profit may be used as a proxy for profitability. The accounting rate of profit is defined follows (Scherer and Ross 1990):  Accounting rate of profit on capital = (𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 + 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠)/𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠  Accounting rate of profit on equity = 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠/𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠′𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦  Accounting rate of profit on sales = 𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠/𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑟𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒 Table 18 shows the profit to sales, accounting rate of profit, and current asset turnover of selected maize seed companies, including the five largest field maize seed producers (Charoen Pokphand Seed, Monsanto, Pacific, Pioneer Hi-Bred, and Syngenta) and four SMEs (C.M. Seed Asia Co., Ltd.; Fertiliser and Bioseeds Co., Ltd.; Sweet Seed Co., Ltd.; and Thai Seed Research Co., Ltd.). Novartis Crop Protection and Sweet Seed Co., Ltd., are primarily developers that focus on breeding and licensing. Table 18—Thailand’s maize seed industry performance, 2012 Company Price-cost margin Accounting rate of profit on capi- tal Accounting rate of profit on eq- uity Accounting rate of profit on sales Current asset turnover Sweet Seed Co., Ltd. 0.5631 0.1880 0.2034 0.5631 0.3948 Monsanto Thailand 0.1502 0.1935 1.4633 0.1502 1.6191 Syngenta 0.1447 0.1644 0.2530 0.1447 1.2114 Pacific Seed 0.1264 0.1281 0.1650 0.1264 1.1746 Novartis Crop Protection 0.0752 0.0952 0.1279 0.0752 2.2214 Thai Seed Research Co., Ltd. 0.0714 0.1217 0.4952 0.0714 2.0686 Pioneer Hi-Bred 0.0586 0.0603 0.2875 0.0586 1.2620 C.M. Seed Asia 0.0313 0.0701 0.5195 0.0313 2.2307 Charoen Pokphand Seed -0.2645 -0.0292 0.2613 -0.2645 0.5501 Bangkok Industry Seed -1.9340 -0.4194 -2.1088 -1.9340 0.2976 Fertiliser and Bioseeds -2.1837 -1.1864 0.0414 -2.1837 n/a Source: Calculated from Department of Business Development 2012. In 2012, three companies, Charoen Pokphand Seed, Bangkok Industry Seed (a subsidiary of Charoen Pokphand Company), and Fertiliser and Bioseeds had negative PCMs. All three are Thai-owned companies. Sweet Seeds Co., Ltd., had the highest PMC, while Novartis Crop Protection ranked fifth for PCM. Both are primarily developers. This implies that licensing and innovative firms appear to have relatively high profitability and high market power. Similarly, based on three indices of the accounting rate of profit, Sweet Seed Co., Ltd., appeared to perform well while Charoen Pokphand Seed, Bangkok Industry Seed, and Fertiliser and Bioseeds also showed negative profitability. Monsanto has the highest accounting rate of profit on capital and accounting rate of profit on equity. This may imply that it has the highest profitability based on its asset. Other multinational large companies, namely Syngenta, Pioneer Hi-Bred, and Pacific Seed, also have moderate profitability based on three indices of the accounting rate of profit. C.M. Seed Asia is a relatively new company started in 2009. It is an SME that separated from Chiangmai Seed Industries Co., Ltd., a seed producer that does not de- velop its own varieties. C.M. Seed Asia Co., Ltd., is an example of an SME that benefits from BOI promotions and at present depends on parental lines from the DOA to produce Narai-3, the public variety that appears to be competitive with CP-DK888 in several ar- eas. It is not surprising that Charoen Pokphand Seed did not perform well, although it has a large market share. This could be be- cause Charoen Pokphand Seed depends on much of its sales from well-known varieties licensed from DeKalb Seed and Monsanto, such as CP-DK888, but its profit from these varieties may be deteriorating, as can be observed from a price lower than that of new 28 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 competitive varieties; SMEs like C.M. Seed Asia Co., Ltd., are becoming more price competitive and gaining a larger market share. Based on current asset turnover, C.M. Seed Asia Co., Ltd., is most effective in generating sales from its current assets compared to other large multinational companies. Except for Sweet Seed Co., Ltd., which is the sweet corn developer, Thai Seed Research Co., Ltd., the only SME sweet corn seed producer in this group, also has high current asset turnover. Figure 11 compares the PCM and accounting rate of profit on capital among field maize seed companies in Thailand. Evi- dently, large multinational companies, except for Charoen Pokphand Seed, which is a Thai-owned company, have higher profitability given that Monsanto has the largest profitability, followed by Syngenta, Pacific Seed, and Pioneer Hi-Bred. C.M. Seed Asia, the only SME in this figure, also has comparable profitability to Pioneer Hi-Bred, but has the largest current asset turnover. This may suggest that although SMEs may not have as great a market power as other large companies, they may be effective in generating sales reve- nue. At present, BOI promotion and support of parental lines from public institutions may be important in promoting new entries and young businesses, but for them to remain competitive in the long run, investment in research and development to generate innovative varieties is necessary. As we can see from the example of Charoen Pokphand Seed, when compared to other large multi- national companies such as Monsanto, profitability and capacity to utilize market power is not as great as expected, even though the company has a large market share. This may be due to Charoen Pokphand Seed’s lower and later development of new competi- tive varieties compared to large multinational companies. Figure 11—Field maize seed companies’ profitability Note: Size of circle represents relative current asset turnover. REGULATIONS AND SEED HUB POLICY Plant Variety Protection Act (PVP) In Thailand, the PVP, which aims to protect newly developed varieties, came into effect in 1999 (Office of the Council of State 1999). The PVP gives the rights-holders of new plant varieties the sole right to produce, sell or distribute, import, export, or possess them for the abovementioned purposes; however, it only protects varieties that have been developed after 1999 and has not been fully enforced. Thus, pirate seed problems are unavoidable. It is estimated that about 10 percent of hybrid maize seed in the mar- ket is reproduced from non-licensed inbreds and some from public varieties that do not have proprietary right protection. The prin- ciples of new plant variety protection follow the distinctness, uniformity, and stability or DUS testing under the International Union for the Protection of New Varieties of Plants (UPOV). The PVP requires the applicants to actually grow the subject plant variety in Thailand for the purposes of examination. This implies that foreign companies will face difficulty in importing seed because in order to be granted protection, not only must the subject plant fulfill the requirements under the PVP, but for a foreign applicant devel- oping or breeding the variety outside Thailand, the subject variety must also meet the requirements of the Plant Variety Act and the Plant Quarantine Act (Naboriboon 2007). The import of seed for the purposes of registering a new plant variety, however, is not considered research and development. Importation of seeds for trials still requires a permit, and due to the bureaucratic admin- istration and the lack of close cooperation between the authorities, obtaining the permit has been a major obstacle. -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 P ri ce -c o st m ar gi n Accounting rate of profit on capital C.M. Seed Asia Charoen Pokphand Seed Monsanto Thailand Pacific Seed Pioneer Hi-Bred Syngenta 29 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Plant Variety Act (PVA) The PVA was enacted in 1975. Its first goal was to protect farmers from low-quality seed resulting in low-yielding production. Prior to 1975, seed was subject to controlled commercialization, production, and international trade, even though there was a significant quantity of seed imports. To ensure the quality of seed production, MOA controls nearly all stages of the production, sales, and distribution, including imports and exports. The PVA controls the quality of listed controlled plant varieties7 along the supply chain, including seed certification and registration of plant varieties, collectors, wholesalers, and retailers. Maize, sweet corn, rice, and sorghum are included in the list of controlled plant varieties. The production and sale of controlled seed must meet the require- ments of minimum standards. The PVA specifies the purity and germination rates (98 percent and 75 percent for maize and 98 per- cent and 80 percent for rice, respectively) of seed from registered sellers and regulates the standards of seed storage (Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives 2006). The penalties for substandard seed sellers are one year of confinement or a 2,000 baht fine or both. Despite the PVA regulation, the enforcement is non-stringent. Furthermore, PVA complies with the Convention on Interna- tional Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES) for the protection of endangered wild plant varieties. The pro- tection of new plant varieties that are not native to Thailand, such as maize, can be complicated under PVP because the benefit- sharing of germplasm that has been developed over time by various parties is not easy to achieve. Plant Quarantine Act (PQA) The PQA of 1964 mainly provides the sanitary and phytosanitary standards for importation, transit, and exportation of controlled plants and their parts, including seeds. The PQA aims to prevent the spread of unsafe foreign pests and diseases of controlled plants (Office of the Council of State 1964). The current more stringent PQA requires Pest Risk Analysis from the country of origin, which puts a greater burden on the importation of seed for research and commercial purposes. Seed Hub Policy Thailand aims to become the seed hub of Asia, particularly in preparing for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Economic Community (AEC) that will come into effected at the end of 2015. Several related public agencies are involved in promot- ing the Seed Hub Policy. The National Center for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology (BIOTEC) under the National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA) of the Ministry of Science and Technology has set the strategic plans in the Seed Cluster Program with the aim of using science and technology (S&T) in supporting the seed industry. The strategic plans were set for two phases: 2007–2011 and 2012–2016. The first phase emphasized the importance of S&T in promoting higher valued seed produc- tion. The SWOT and TOWS analysis by NSTDA suggested that the Thailand seed industry has a high potential to become a leader in the region. However, presently most of the seed companies are traders and contract producers of large multinational companies, and even fewer of them produce brand-name seed. This is due to insufficient investment in cutting-edge seed technology, particu- larly in the variety improvement and breeding technology of local companies. The goals of this program are (1) to provide farmers with good-quality seed, (2) to increase the number and income of seed-producing farmers, and (3) to promote the seed industry’s role in developing and exporting Thai-owned brand-name seeds (National Science and Technology Development Agency 2006). In the current phase, the program aims to support the use of S&T to elevate the seed industry’s competency. The target is to increase seed export value to 5,000 million baht (about US$160 million) by 2016. Major plans include (1) generating sustainable germplasm management, (2) using biotechnology (particularly molecular breeding) for crop improvement through a cooperation with the pri- vate sector, (3) developing disease diagnostics and providing support to small seed producers for high-value seed production, and (4) developing seed coating technology from natural products (National Science and Technology Development Agency 2011). The focused crops in the Seed Cluster Program are maize, chile, tomato, and melon. In 2013–14, MOA set up flagship projects to improve the standards of agricultural products. The seed hub project, in pre- paring for the inauguration of AEC, is determined to place Thailand as the hub of research and production for tropical plant seed. The seed hub project also aims to produce sufficient quality seed, particularly for field crops and vegetables, for domestic use and exports, and to supply sufficient certified rice seed because the current capacity of production by the Rice Department is much less than the demand (Office of Agricultural Economics 2013). NSTDA and MOA’s projects to promote the seed industry as a seed hub include several activities. The PPP and public sup- ports to farmer groups and local SMEs, such as maize seed village and rice seed village projects, are important factors in making the seed hub policy successful. Under BIOTEC’s Seed Cluster Program, for example, joint research projects have been set up with private companies and public universities involved in plant breeding. The germplasm network engages private companies, public universi- ties, DOA, and NCSRC in the collection, characterization, and evaluation of genotype and phenotype and multiplication of seed. 7 The Notification of Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives on Types and Varieties of Controlled Seeds B.E. 2556 (2013) listed 33 con- trolled plant varieties. 30 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Other PPP activities supported by the public sector include multilocation field testing of maize varieties that involves public institu- tions, such as DOA, and private companies (Richmond 2013); village seed programs for maize and rice so that the local community can estimate the demand and produce its own rice and maize seed for local use (Dailynews 2012); and support by DOA and NCSRC in providing the parental lines without a royalty fee to SMEs that have limited research capacity. The seed business is currently one of the promoted industries in Thailand. The BOI has promoted incentives for businesses involved in plant propagation and development and seed production using biotechnology. Furthermore, for SMEs that have limited capital to invest in research and development, BOI also provides incentives to engage in plant propagation and development (Table 19). This provides more opportunities for both small and large companies to enter the seed industry, and will make the industry more competitive. Table 19—Recent promotion measures for seed business investment Business category Benefits Conditions 1. Biotechnology: Classified as a priority activity that has special im- portance and benefits to the coun- try 1. Exemption of import duties on machin- ery, regardless of zone 1. Projects must use modern bio- technology as approved by the National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA) or the Thailand Centre of Excellence for Life Sciences (TCELS) 1.1. Research and Development (R&D) activity and/or manufacturing of seed industry, plant and animal im- provement industry using biotechnol- ogy 2. Eight-year corporate income tax ex- emption, regardless of zone NOT subject to the corporate income tax exemption cap 1.2. R&D activity and/or manufactur- ing of biomolecule and bioactive com- pounds using microorganisms, plant cells, and animal cells 3. Other rights and benefits shall be granted according to BOI Announcement No. 1/2543 dated August 1, 2000 2. Letter of intention must be sub- mitted to the Office of the Board of Investment by De- cember 30, 2009 1.3. Manufacture of raw materials and/or essential materials used in molecular biological experiment or test 4. Projects that are located in science and technology parks shall receive a five-year additional 50% corporate income tax re- duction for net profits after the end of cor- porate income tax exemption period 1.4. Biological substances analysis and/or synthesis services 2. Plant propagation and develop- ment: Classified as a priority activ- ity 1. Exemption of import duty on machinery, regardless of zone 1. Project must have plant re- search and development process 2. Eight-year corporate income tax ex- emption, regardless of zone 3. Other rights and benefits shall be granted according to BOI Announcement No. 1/2543 dated August 1, 2000 2. Letter of intention must be sub- mitted to the Office of the Board of Investment by De- cember 30, 2009 3. Plant propagation and develop- ment: Classified as small and me- dium enterprises 1. Exemption of import duty on machinery, regardless of zone 1. Unconditional on plant research and development process 2. Eight-year corporate income tax subject to a cap at 100% of land and working cap- ital 2. The size of investment shall not be less than 200 million baht (ex- clusive of land prices and working capital) 3. Other rights and benefits shall be granted according to BOI Announcement No. 1/2543 dated August 1, 2000 Thai shareholders shall hold no less than 51% of registered capital 3. The ratio of liability to capital shall not exceed 3:1 4. Letter of intention must be sub- mitted to the Office of the Board of Investment by December 31, 2014 Source: Board of Investment 2009, Board of Investment 2013. 31 SUMMARY | APRIL 2010 Finally, to provide alternative inexpensive sources of seed, the DOA of Thailand and the Rural Development Administration of South Korea initiated a “Maize Seed Village in Thailand” under the ASEAN Food and Agriculture Cooperation Institute (AFACI) project during 2010–2013. Up to 2012, there were 175 farmers participating in 52 villages of five northern provinces—Nakhon Sawan, Tak, Chiang Mai, Sukhothai, and Phetchabun—covering 95 hectares. Farmers were trained to produce a hybrid public variety, Nakhon Sawan 3, which is a cross between two public inbreds, Tak Fa1 and Ta