Genomics-assisted Hybrid Breeding in Cassava -- Inbred Progenitor Xiaofei Zhang, Randall Holley, Giovanny Eduardo Covarrubias Pazaran, Marlee Rose Labroo, Hernan Ceballos May, 2022 Pain Point #1: LOW efficiency in trait introgression Inbred progenitor is essential P1 P2 3 6 to make change quickly. 7 2 4 4 6 7 Heterozygous 2 5 parents P1 P2 1 1 1 3 2 1 5 1 1 2 2 1 Homozygous 1 1 6 2 7 1 7 4 6 parents 1 1 5 1 2 3 2 2 3 1 1 7 5 6 4 3 6 2 2 4 4 7 6 7 4 1 7 1 5 4 3 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 6 3 6 1 5 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 3 3 5 2 5 1 7 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Mix up everything Targeted improvement “ In a changing world, we must change quickly. ” Upgraded TME419 with CBSD resistance Upgraded KU50 with CMD resistance New varieties are similar with the one farmers have been planting. Pain Point #2: SMALL between-family variance Euphytica (2016) 210:79-92 Feasibility: Biology Diploid Cross-pollinated Self-compatible Inbreeding depression Clonal propagation – no seed production system Feasibility: Technology #1 Flower Inducing Technology Photoperiod Extension induced early flowering by 2-3 months for progenitors with erect plant architecture. Flower Inducing Technology Pruning and Growth Regulators increased the seed number per plant up to >20. Flowering at Similar Time 2022 April 15 Towards Speed Breeding -- Implement Flower Inducing Technology Two lots, each 0.5 Ha Feasibility: Technology #2 Double Haploid Semi-inbred progenitors with purged genetic load make DH feasible. Genomics-assisted Hybrid Breeding in Cassava -- Inbred Progenitor Understand inbreeding depression Develop semi-inbred progenitors Improve population using rapid cycling Create heterotic groups Hybrid Cassava Breeding – Inbreeding Depression Selfing clones Variety Testcross Evaluate testcross Evaluate selfing Stake increase Pop. Improvement (Inbred clones) Development (heterotic pattern and predict (inbreeding depression for (variety development) GCA) MAS and GS) (reduce inbreeding depression) Year 1 Elite progenitors 30 S1 GH propagation* 30-50 Year 2 Selection S1 at TPE 30-50 Year 3 ID& S1 at TPE Prediction 30-50 Year 4 Year 5 * Genomewide marker for prediction or association; solid arrow, germplasm delivery; broken arrow, information sharing; ID, inbreeding depression. Hybrid Cassava Breeding – Semi-inbred Progenitors Selfing clones Variety Testcross Evaluate testcross Evaluate selfing (Inbred clones) Stake increase Pop. Improvement Development (heterotic pattern and predict (inbreeding depression for (variety development) (reduce inbreeding depression) GCA) MAS and GS) Year 1 Elite progenitors 30 S1 GH propagation* 30-50 S1 Year 2 30-50 Selection S1 at TPE 30-50 S1 30-5 Year 3 S2 GH propagation* 150-5 S2 30-5 Year 4 S3 GH propagation* 150-5 S3 paired cross 200-5 Year 5 Evaluation at TPE* * Genomewide marker for prediction or association; solid arrow, germplasm delivery; broken arrow, information sharing; ID, inbreeding depression. Hybrid Cassava Breeding – Population Improvement Selfing clones Variety Testcross Evaluate testcross Evaluate selfing Stake increase Pop. Improvement (Inbred clones) Development (heterotic pattern and predict (inbreeding depression for (variety development) GCA) MAS and GS) (reduce inbreeding depression) Year 1 Elite progenitors 30 S1 GH propagation* 30-50 Year 2 S1 at TPE Selection 30-50 Cross S1 within a family 150-20 Year 3 Increase & evaluate F1 150-20 Year 4 Year 5 Selection Evaluation at TPE* * Genomewide marker for prediction or association; solid arrow, germplasm delivery; broken arrow, information sharing; ID, inbreeding depression. Hybrid Cassava Breeding – Heterotic Groups Selfing clones Variety Testcross Evaluate testcross Evaluate selfing (Inbred clones) Stake increase Pop. Improvement Development (heterotic pattern and predict (inbreeding depression for (variety development) (reduce inbreeding depression) GCA) MAS and GS) Year 1 Elite progenitors 30 S1 GH propagation* 30-50 S1 Year 2 30-50 Selection S1 at TPE 30-50 Testcross 150 x 6 testers Year 3 Testcross clones* 900-10 Year 4 Heterotic Testcross clones at TPE Heterotic pattern& pattern& 900-10 prediction prediction Year 5 Selection Evaluation at TPE* * Genomewide marker for prediction or association; solid arrow, germplasm delivery; broken arrow, information sharing; ID, inbreeding depression. Hybrid Cassava Breeding – Variety Development and Population Improvement Selfing clones Variety Testcross Evaluate testcross Evaluate selfing (Inbred clones) Stake increase Pop. Improvement Development (heterotic pattern and predict (inbreeding depression for (variety development) (reduce inbreeding depression) GCA) MAS and GS) Year 1 Elite progenitors 30 S1 GH propagation* 30-50 S1 Year 2 30-50 Selection Selection S1 at TPE 30-50 S1 30-5 Testcross Cross S1 within a 150 x 6 testers family 150-20 Year 3 S2 GH propagation* 150-5 S1 at TPE Testcross clones* ID& Prediction 30-50 Increase & evaluate F1 900-10 150-20 S2 30-5 Year 4 S3 GH propagation* 150-5 Heterotic Testcross clones at TPE Heterotic pattern& pattern& 900-10 prediction prediction S3 paired cross 200-5 Year 5 Selection Evaluation at TPE* * Genomewide marker for prediction or association; solid arrow, germplasm delivery; broken arrow, information sharing; ID, inbreeding depression. Cost Estimation of Cassava Breeding Xiaofei Zhang & Randall Holley April-22-2022 Cost components (years 1-10): 1) Breeding populations for major markets 2) Start of inbred and hybrid development 3) Double haploid development 4) Genetic studies 5) Building and transferring enhanced breeding populations 6) Breeding population maintenance ● 1.5 FTE for each market (=1.5 x 450,000) ● 20% for operation cost and 80% for personnel ● genomics-assisted recurrent selection Annual Annual Item New model activities years 1-10 Cost Current / ongoing Cassava model years 1-10 Cost Comments / clarifications ● 20% for opera on cost and 80% for personnel 1.1 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ● 1.5 FTE for each market (=1.5 x 450,000) $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 ● genomics-assisted recurrent selection Costs for start up are much less than a full program because the pipeline materials coming out of it will be transferred to 1.2 the local conventional program for advanced testing & product Start of inbred & hybrid development $ 250,000 development 1.3 Double haploid tech development $ 100,000 start later when we have improved selfing clones Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies without inbreds are more costly due to the 1.4 among key traits and the number of genes / QTL among key traits and the number of genes / QTL controlling need for higher entry # to generate the same quality of controlling them (integrated in #1.1 and #1.2) them (structured populations for genetic mapping) $ 100,000 information Cost of building and transferring enhanced breeding Extra cost as stacking genes in heterozygous populations 1.5 populations to others $ 50,000 $ 100,000 requires higher entry # and more cycles of selection ● $75,000 for maintain the historical popula ons; ● the other cost for cleaning and tes ng virus of new breeding 1.6 materials Maintaining cell cultures and grow outs to support ● maintain S3 or inbred seeds in storage room in the new Breeding population management costs $100,000 distributions $150,000 model, rather than tissue culture Total annual costs $ 3,875,000 $ 3,725,000 Cost components: 1) Breeding populations for major markets 2) Start of inbred and hybrid development 3) Double haploid development 4) Genetic studies 5) Building and transferring enhanced breeding populations 6) Breeding population maintenance Hybrid Cassava Breeding – Variety Development and Population Improvement Selfing clones Variety Testcross Evaluate testcross Evaluate selfing (Inbred clones) Stake increase Pop. Improvement Development (heterotic pattern and predict (inbreeding depression for (variety development) (reduce inbreeding depression) GCA) MAS and GS) Year 1 Elite progenitors 30 S1 GH propagation* 30-50 S1 Year 2 30-50 Selection Selection S1 at TPE 30-50 S1 30-5 Testcross Cross S1 within a 150 x 6 testers family 150-20 Year 3 S2 GH propagation* 150-5 S1 at TPE Testcross clones* ID& Prediction 30-50 Increase & evaluate F1 900-10 150-20 S2 30-5 Year 4 S3 GH propagation* 150-5 Heterotic Testcross clones at TPE Heterotic pattern& pattern& 900-10 prediction prediction S3 paired cross 200-5 Year 5 Selection Evaluation at TPE* * Genomewide marker for prediction or association; solid arrow, germplasm delivery; broken arrow, information sharing; ID, inbreeding depression. Towards Rapid Breeding -- Double Haploid Semi-inbred progenitors with purged genetic load make DH feasible. Annual Annual Item New model activities years 1-10 Cost Current / ongoing Cassava model years 1-10 Cost Comments / clarifications ● 20% for opera on cost and 80% for personnel 1.1 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ● 1.5 FTE for each market (=1.5 x 450,000) $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 ● genomics-assisted recurrent selection Costs for start up are much less than a full program because the pipeline materials coming out of it will be transferred to 1.2 the local conventional program for advanced testing & product Start of inbred & hybrid development $ 250,000 development 1.3 Double haploid tech development $ 100,000 start later when we have improved selfing clones Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies without inbreds are more costly due to the 1.4 among key traits and the number of genes / QTL among key traits and the number of genes / QTL controlling need for higher entry # to generate the same quality of controlling them (integrated in #1.1 and #1.2) them (structured populations for genetic mapping) $ 100,000 information Cost of building and transferring enhanced breeding Extra cost as stacking genes in heterozygous populations 1.5 populations to others $ 50,000 $ 100,000 requires higher entry # and more cycles of selection ● $75,000 for maintain the historical popula ons; ● the other cost for cleaning and tes ng virus of new breeding 1.6 materials Maintaining cell cultures and grow outs to support ● maintain S3 or inbred seeds in storage room in the new Breeding population management costs $100,000 distributions $150,000 model, rather than tissue culture Total annual costs $ 3,875,000 $ 3,725,000 Cost components: 1) Breeding populations for major markets 2) Start of inbred and hybrid development 3) Double haploid development 4) Genetic studies 5) Building and transferring enhanced breeding populations 6) Breeding population maintenance Annual Annual Item New model activities years 1-10 Cost Current / ongoing Cassava model years 1-10 Cost Comments / clarifications ● 20% for opera on cost and 80% for personnel 1.1 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ● 1.5 FTE for each market (=1.5 x 450,000) $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 ● genomics-assisted recurrent selection Costs for start up are much less than a full program because the pipeline materials coming out of it will be transferred to 1.2 the local conventional program for advanced testing & product Start of inbred & hybrid development $ 250,000 development 1.3 Double haploid tech development $ 100,000 start later when we have improved selfing clones Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies without inbreds are more costly due to the 1.4 among key traits and the number of genes / QTL among key traits and the number of genes / QTL controlling need for higher entry # to generate the same quality of controlling them (integrated in #1.1 and #1.2) them (structured populations for genetic mapping) $ 100,000 information Cost of building and transferring enhanced breeding Extra cost as stacking genes in heterozygous populations 1.5 populations to others $ 50,000 $ 100,000 requires higher entry # and more cycles of selection ● $75,000 for maintain the historical popula ons; ● the other cost for cleaning and tes ng virus of new breeding 1.6 materials Maintaining cell cultures and grow outs to support ● maintain S3 or inbred seeds in storage room in the new Breeding population management costs $100,000 distributions $150,000 model, rather than tissue culture Total annual costs $ 3,875,000 $ 3,725,000 Cost components: 1) Breeding populations for major markets 2) Start of inbred and hybrid development 3) Double haploid development 4) Genetic studies 5) Building and transferring enhanced breeding populations 6) Breeding population maintenance Annual Annual Item New model activities years 1-10 Cost Current / ongoing Cassava model years 1-10 Cost Comments / clarifications ● 20% for opera on cost and 80% for personnel 1.1 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ● 1.5 FTE for each market (=1.5 x 450,000) $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 ● genomics-assisted recurrent selection Costs for start up are much less than a full program because the pipeline materials coming out of it will be transferred to 1.2 the local conventional program for advanced testing & product Start of inbred & hybrid development $ 250,000 development 1.3 Double haploid tech development $ 100,000 start later when we have improved selfing clones Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies without inbreds are more costly due to the 1.4 among key traits and the number of genes / QTL among key traits and the number of genes / QTL controlling need for higher entry # to generate the same quality of controlling them (integrated in #1.1 and #1.2) them (structured populations for genetic mapping) $ 100,000 information Cost of building and transferring enhanced breeding Extra cost as stacking genes in heterozygous populations 1.5 populations to others $ 50,000 $ 100,000 requires higher entry # and more cycles of selection ● $75,000 for maintain the historical popula ons; ● the other cost for cleaning and tes ng virus of new breeding 1.6 materials Maintaining cell cultures and grow outs to support ● maintain S3 or inbred seeds in storage room in the new Breeding population management costs $100,000 distributions $150,000 model, rather than tissue culture Total annual costs $ 3,875,000 $ 3,725,000 Cost components: 1) Breeding populations for major markets 2) Start of inbred and hybrid development 3) Double haploid development 4) Genetic studies 5) Building and transferring enhanced breeding populations 6) Breeding population maintenance Ability to store seed of inbreds with traits of interest over long time periods in a cold room in contrast to maintaining cell cultures or growing out the clones each year. Annual Annual Item New model activities years 1-10 Cost Current / ongoing Cassava model years 1-10 Cost Comments / clarifications ● 20% for opera on cost and 80% for personnel 1.1 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at ● 1.5 FTE for each market (=1.5 x 450,000) $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 ● genomics-assisted recurrent selection Costs for start up are much less than a full program because the pipeline materials coming out of it will be transferred to 1.2 the local conventional program for advanced testing & product Start of inbred & hybrid development $ 250,000 development 1.3 Double haploid tech development $ 100,000 start later when we have improved selfing clones Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies without inbreds are more costly due to the 1.4 among key traits and the number of genes / QTL among key traits and the number of genes / QTL controlling need for higher entry # to generate the same quality of controlling them (integrated in #1.1 and #1.2) them (structured populations for genetic mapping) $ 100,000 information Cost of building and transferring enhanced breeding Extra cost as stacking genes in heterozygous populations 1.5 populations to others $ 50,000 $ 100,000 requires higher entry # and more cycles of selection ● $75,000 for maintain the historical popula ons; ● the other cost for cleaning and tes ng virus of new breeding 1.6 materials Maintaining cell cultures and grow outs to support ● maintain S3 or inbred seeds in storage room in the new Breeding population management costs $100,000 distributions $150,000 model, rather than tissue culture Total annual costs $ 3,875,000 $ 3,725,000 Cost components (years 11-20): 1) Breeding populations for major markets 2) Inbred and hybrid development for trait donors 3) Double haploid development 4) Genetic studies 5) Building and transferring enhanced breeding populations 6) Breeding population maintenance New Model Current Model ONE foundation population and four conversion population vs FIVE separate populations ● 2 FTE for the base population for two pools and DH development. ● 0.8 FTE for each line conversion pipeline Annual Annual Item New model activities years 11-20 Cost Current / ongoing Cassava model years 11-20 Cost Comments / clarifications In the new model general agronomic improvements continue only in the base population for the largest TPP while feeding 2.1 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at new lines for the secondary programs to be used in trait $900,000 for the base program & $360,000 for each of the 4 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at conversion programs to generate products that better fit their line conversion / testing programs $ 2,340,000 $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 TPPs. There are additional costs for developing inbreds partly 2.2 Inbred & hybrid development continues with most costs because the development of inbreds will be expanding into covered within the larger base program (trait donors) $ 150,000 donor parents to facilitate utilization of gene bank materials 2.3 Double haploid tech development (integrated in #2.1) Genetic studies without inbreds are more costly due to the Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations need for higher entry # to generate the same quality of 2.4 among key traits and the number of genes / QTL among key traits and the number of genes / QTL controlling information & the poorly quality of results requires ongoing controlling them (integrated in #1.1 and #1.2) them (structured populations for genetic mapping) $ 100,000 efforts over a longer time period Cost of building and transferring enhanced breeding Extra cost as stacking genes in heterozygous populations 2.5 populations to other $ 25,000 $ 1 00,000 requires higher entry # and more cycles of selection ● Widespread use of inbreds as storage & transfer unit of germplasm 2.6 ● $75,000 for maintain the historical popula ons; Maintaining cell cultures and grow outs to support ● in the new model, the historical popula on size will be Breeding population management costs $50,000 distributions $150,000 reduced. Start of dihaploid development with associated reduction Cost reduction based on lower cost of genetic gains per unit in breeding cycle time & improved selection accuracy ($100,000) time Total annual costs $ 2,465,000 $ 3,725,000 Annual Annual Item New model activities years 11-20 Cost Current / ongoing Cassava model years 11-20 Cost Comments / clarifications In the new model general agronomic improvements continue only in the base population for the largest TPP while feeding 2.1 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at new lines for the secondary programs to be used in trait $900,000 for the base program & $360,000 for each of the 4 ~5 Breeding programs covering the 5 major markets at conversion programs to generate products that better fit their line conversion / testing programs $ 2,340,000 $675,000 each $ 3,375,000 TPPs. There are additional costs for developing inbreds partly 2.2 Inbred & hybrid development continues with most costs because the development of inbreds will be expanding into covered within the larger base program (trait donors) $ 150,000 donor parents to facilitate utilization of gene bank materials 2.3 Double haploid tech development (integrated in #2.1) Genetic studies without inbreds are more costly due to the Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations Genetic studies to better understand genetic correlations need for higher entry # to generate the same quality of 2.4 among key traits and the number of genes / QTL among key traits and the number of genes / QTL controlling information & the poorly quality of results requires ongoing controlling them (integrated in #1.1 and #1.2) them (structured populations for genetic mapping) $ 100,000 efforts over a longer time period Cost of building and transferring enhanced breeding Extra cost as stacking genes in heterozygous populations 2.5 populations to other $ 25,000 $ 1 00,000 requires higher entry # and more cycles of selection ● Widespread use of inbreds as storage & transfer unit of germplasm 2.6 ● $75,000 for maintain the historical popula ons; Maintaining cell cultures and grow outs to support ● in the new model, the historical popula on size will be Breeding population management costs $50,000 distributions $150,000 reduced. Start of dihaploid development with associated reduction Cost reduction based on lower cost of genetic gains per unit in breeding cycle time & improved selection accuracy ($100,000) time Total annual costs $ 2,465,000 $ 3,725,000