Integrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Production

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cg.contributor.crpClimate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
cg.creator.identifierAndrew Challinor: 0000-0002-8551-6617
cg.creator.identifierJulian Ramirez-Villegas: 0000-0002-8044-583X
cg.howPublishedFormally Published
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1093/pcp/pcx141
cg.isijournalISI Journal
cg.issn0032-0781
cg.issue11
cg.journalPlant and Cell Physiology
cg.reviewStatusPeer Review
cg.subject.ciatCLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
cg.subject.ciatLAND USE
cg.volume58
dc.contributor.authorFodor, Nándor
dc.contributor.authorChallinor, Andrew J.
dc.contributor.authorDroutsas, Ioannis
dc.contributor.authorRamírez Villegas, Julián Armando
dc.contributor.authorZabel, Florian
dc.contributor.authorKöhler, Ann-Kristin
dc.contributor.authorFoyer, Christine H.
dc.date.accessioned2017-12-05T14:15:47Zen
dc.date.available2017-12-05T14:15:47Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/89633
dc.titleIntegrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Productionen
dcterms.abstractIncreasing global CO2 emissions have profound consequences for plant biology, not least because of direct influences on carbon gain. However, much remains uncertain regarding how our major crops will respond to a future high CO2 world. Crop model inter-comparison studies have identified large uncertainties and biases associated with climate change. The need to quantify uncertainty has drawn the fields of plant molecular physiology, crop breeding and biology, and climate change modeling closer together. Comparing data from different models that have been used to assess the potential climate change impacts on soybean and maize production, future yield losses have been predicted for both major crops. When CO2 fertilization effects are taken into account significant yield gains are predicted for soybean, together with a shift in global production from the Southern to the Northern hemisphere. Maize production is also forecast to shift northwards. However, unless plant breeders are able to produce new hybrids with improved traits, the forecasted yield losses for maize will only be mitigated by agro-management adaptations. In addition, the increasing demands of a growing world population will require larger areas of marginal land to be used for maize and soybean production. We summarize the outputs of crop models, together with mitigation options for decreasing the negative impacts of climate on the global maize and soybean production, providing an overview of projected land-use change as a major determining factor for future global crop production.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.available2017-09-15
dcterms.bibliographicCitationFodor, Nándor; Challinor, Andrew; Droutsas, Ioannis; Ramirez-Villegas, Julian; Zabel, Florian; Koehler, Ann-Kristin; Foyer, Christine H.. 2017. Integrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Production . Plant and Cell Physiology 58(11): 1833-1847.en
dcterms.extent1833-1847
dcterms.issued2017-11-01
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.publisherOxford University Press
dcterms.subjectphotosynthesisen
dcterms.subjectfotosíntesisen
dcterms.subjectcarbon dioxideen
dcterms.subjectdióxido de carbonoen
dcterms.subjectcrop productionen
dcterms.subjectproducción vegetalen
dcterms.subjectland useen
dcterms.subjectutilización de la tierraen
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectcambio climáticoen
dcterms.subjectcell biologyen
dcterms.subjectphysiologyen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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