Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research institute
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Growth Centre
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Research Institute for Climate and Society
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Institute
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Institute
cg.contributor.affiliationAlliance for a Green Revolution in Africa
cg.contributor.donorWorld Bank
cg.contributor.donorUnited States Agency for International Development
cg.contributor.donorAustralian Centre for International Agricultural Research
cg.coverage.countryEthiopia
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ET
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africa
cg.creator.identifierJames Hansen: 0000-0002-8599-7895
cg.creator.identifierStephen Zebiak: 0000-0001-8473-8018
cg.creator.identifierAbonesh Tesfaye: 0000-0003-4768-4131
cg.creator.identifierBart Minten: 0000-0002-2183-1845
cg.creator.identifierTeferi Demissie: 0000-0002-0228-1972
cg.creator.identifierMaren Radeny: 0000-0001-6470-8372
cg.creator.identifierKindie Tesfaye: 0000-0002-7201-8053
cg.creator.identifierDawit Solomon: 0000-0002-6839-6801
cg.howPublishedFormally Published
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2025.100725
cg.identifier.url
cg.isijournalISI Journal
cg.issn2212-0963
cg.journalClimate Risk Management
cg.reviewStatusPeer Review
cg.subject.ilriAGRICULTURE
cg.subject.ilriCLIMATE CHANGE
cg.subject.ilriRESILIENCE
cg.volume49
dc.contributor.authorTamru, Seneshaw
dc.contributor.authorHansen, James
dc.contributor.authorZebiak, Stephen
dc.contributor.authorTesfaye, Abonesh
dc.contributor.authorMinten, Bart
dc.contributor.authorDemissie, Teferi
dc.contributor.authorRadeny, Maren A.O.
dc.contributor.authorTesfaye, Kindie
dc.contributor.authorSolomon, Dawit
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-10T04:13:08Z
dc.date.available2025-07-10T04:13:08Z
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/175582
dc.titleClimate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysisen
dcterms.abstractWeather and climate services (WCS) are particularly important in Sub-Saharan Africa, where weather-dependent agriculture is the main source of livelihood, and where erratic weather patterns and extreme weather events have major impacts on rural livelihoods and food security. However, despite their importance, their effects on the agriculture sector and the overall economy are not well understood. For the case of Ethiopia, we use a computable general equilibrium modeling approach with the latest Ethiopian social accounting matrix data to estimate the potential contribution of WCS to macroeconomic variables, including growth in gross domestic product nationally and by sector. The analysis incorporates results of a separate econometric analysis of household survey data from five major regions in Ethiopia, which showed WCS use is associated with increased agricultural productivity. We estimate that increased agricultural productivity associated with WCS contributes to overall economic growth of more than 6 %, with a likely positive effect on farmers’ resilience to climate variability and change. The positive impact of WCS on agricultural productivity propagate to the overall economy, as evidenced by the considerable positive effect on GDP especially from the more climate sensitive sectors such as agriculture.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceAcademics
dcterms.audienceCGIAR
dcterms.audienceDevelopment Practitioners
dcterms.audienceDonors
dcterms.audienceExtension
dcterms.audienceNGOs
dcterms.audiencePolicy Makers
dcterms.audienceScientists
dcterms.available2025-07-05
dcterms.bibliographicCitationTamru, S., Hansen, J., Zebiak, S., Tesfaye, A., Minten, B., Demissie, T., Radeny, M., Tesfaye, K. and Solomon, D. 2025. Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis. Climate Risk Management 49:100725.
dcterms.issued2025-07-05
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.subjectagriculture
dcterms.subjectclimate change
dcterms.subjectresilience
dcterms.subjectproductivity
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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