Forecasting crop yields in Mozambique (2024/25 season analysis)

Mozambique faces chronic challenges in agricultural production and food security, exacerbated by natural disasters (floods, droughts) as well as and economic instability. as well as socio-economic disruptions (Matavel et al., 2022; Manuel et al., 2021). These chronic stressors have resulted in low crop productivity and recurrent food insecurity. In this context, improvement in crop yield forecasts can support early warning systems and proactive decision makings on food policies. In particular, accurate yield prediction is increasingly recognized as a vital tool for enhancing food security and guiding decisions on resource allocation (Kheir et al., 2025).